Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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I'm hoping the Brewers manage to extend one of them and trade the other in an attempt to maintain the competitive window. I don't see another way through it, really, unless they plan to trade all three of Burnes, Adames, and Woodruff in the next 12 months and do a quick rebuild that way. -
It's not surprising to see Steamer that bullish on Ashby but it's also a welcome sight. If he takes a step forward, this rotation. Yowza.
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Yes.
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I keep forgetting Longoria is even on the market so yeah, he might fall through the cracks and be a nice January signing.
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As mentioned in this MLBTR piece, bats have been flying off the free agent market over the past few weeks and now it looks like teams are focusing in on one of the only intriguing bats remaining, utility man Brandon Drury. The 30-year-old can play all over the field but has spent the most time at second and third base. While not an exceptional hitter most years, the journeyman had very nice 2021 (111 OPS+) and 2022 (122 OPS+) seasons. As a right-handed hitter, he could slot into the Brewers' lineup nicely, resting several left-handed hitters throughout the lineup as needed. Drury's splits aren't pronounced (.720 OPS vs righties, .770 OPS vs lefties) but given the current makeup of the Brewers, being able to slot in someone who isn't a black hole against lefties (much less above average, as Drury is) could be a difference maker over 162 games. View full rumor
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As mentioned in this MLBTR piece, bats have been flying off the free agent market over the past few weeks and now it looks like teams are focusing in on one of the only intriguing bats remaining, utility man Brandon Drury. The 30-year-old can play all over the field but has spent the most time at second and third base. While not an exceptional hitter most years, the journeyman had very nice 2021 (111 OPS+) and 2022 (122 OPS+) seasons. As a right-handed hitter, he could slot into the Brewers' lineup nicely, resting several left-handed hitters throughout the lineup as needed. Drury's splits aren't pronounced (.720 OPS vs righties, .770 OPS vs lefties) but given the current makeup of the Brewers, being able to slot in someone who isn't a black hole against lefties (much less above average, as Drury is) could be a difference maker over 162 games. -
I find it really interesting how many two-way players and converted position players are mentioned in this piece.
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I always had a hard time reconciling projections with my fandom until I rammed it through my head that these are all 50th percentile projections that assume at least a modicum of health. Once I framed it that way, they made a lot more sense to me.
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It's very possible they're underrating how often Contreras will play. He was absolutely beastly against LHP in 2022 (1.036 OPS in 116 PAs). If he resembles anything like that player again, he'll be snagging a bunch of DH plate appearances in 2023. And welcome to Brewer Fanatic!
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Their names are too similar. I blame their parents.
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I think paying a veteran outfielder makes them a more complete team. Your opinion may differ, that's fine.
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If you go into the season expecting one rookie to start, you're almost guaranteed to have two rookies starting by the first of May. These guys will get their shots.
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Evaluators are often wrong but they're still more well-informed about prospects in the broadest sense of the term (as in all 30 teams) and they have no personal incentive to fudge the numbers one direction over the other (well, the good analysts, anyway). As for Law, he's one of the better analysts out there. I'd put his track record against almost anyone. He's overly opinionated and a bit of a jerk at times but he's also good at his job. When he speaks, I tend to listen because there's useful information in there. And anyway, I clearly said it was possible for the Brewers' rookies to all burst onto the scene but it's also unlikely and a pretty bad Plan A going into the season, in my opinion. That kind of decision is operating without a safety net.
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I don't know. Last offseason and early in the season, I heard the likes of Longenhagen and maybe Law (not sure if it was Keith or someone else like Szymborski) really talking up the upper levels of the Cleveland farm and how they were going to get scary-good, scary-fast. There were rumblings that most of baseball was sleeping on Cleveland's organization a bit. While I really like Milwaukee's hitting prospects, I haven't heard similar rumblings about them. Naturally, that doesn't mean the Brewers can't burst out with a bunch of rookies, that's always possible, but it's a dangerous way to build an Opening Day roster.
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I think the article brings up a very valid point that while it's fine to rotate 2-3 rookies through a single position until you find what sticks, it's really dangerous to do that with the same 2-3 rookies over two positions. The offensive downside could be disastrous if both decide to be, you know, rookies and post .550 OPSes for two months. That's the kind of thing that could sink a season where the Brewers are already at a disadvantage to the Cardinals. Get off to a bad start in April and May and it may not be possible to recover.
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Ah, okay, well then that changes my opinion quite a bit. Thanks for the clarification. Turang might sneak onto a single list. I do not see him making two of them.
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Refresh my memory on the new rule: the prospect has to make the top 100 of just one of BA, FG, or MLB? Or is it BA, BP, MLB? Such a weird agreement for a CBA.
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You don't believe the Brewers will consider starting Turang on the opening day roster? He would qualify for an extra pick that way, wouldn't he?
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I agree. And I think the market on him will be relatively soft.
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I haven't heard much about Turner lately. He's likely to take a one-year deal, right? That seems like the kind of thing the Brewers could swing.
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That's on me. I literally posted this last night: So my editing failed hard yet again.
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Welcome to Brewer Fanatic!
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Yet another great analysis piece from DuWayne. Well done! And wow, it appears Matt Arnold slid into someone's DMs and stole the show from the A's and Braves.
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Pretty hard not to be a HUGE fan of this trade. It appears the A's and Braves were at a standstill in their deal, allowing Arnold to sneak in and kinda rob everybody blind.
