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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. I find it likely Stearns will pursue a good, but not great, reliever. And that's probably all the team really needs, someone to fill in the Boxberger role a little better than it's currently filled.
  2. Definitely, I'm just struggling to see how Bell moves the needle enough to make a difference. Maybe I'm just being overly skeptical, Bell would certainly be an improvement in the lineup every day.
  3. Definitely, I'm just struggling to see how Bell moves the needle enough to make a difference. Maybe I'm just being overly skeptical, Bell would certainly be an improvement in the lineup every day.
  4. Mercedes just built a one-off proof of concept car that can get 750 miles on a single charge. https://arstechnica.com/cars/2022/07/we-test-an-electric-mercedes-that-can-can-go-747-miles-on-a-single-charge/
  5. With the qualifying offer still in place (ugh), that might change the matrix on Bell a bit. I'm not sure what it would take to get him but suspect the initial asking price might be a fringy top ten guy. I'm not sure I'd wager that kind of upside on a two month rental.
  6. With the qualifying offer still in place (ugh), that might change the matrix on Bell a bit. I'm not sure what it would take to get him but suspect the initial asking price might be a fringy top ten guy. I'm not sure I'd wager that kind of upside on a two month rental.
  7. I'm not a fan of jersey sponsors but it's also not a deal-breaker for me, provided it's on the sleeve. What I really dislike is soccer's tendency to have the sponsor front and center on the chest, which I dislike enormously.
  8. Okay, thanks. I'll keep plugging away using dark mode for awhile and see if I can get it to happen (my primary mobile device is an iPhone).
  9. Are you seeing this while on a stable wi-fi connection or are you using 4g/5g when it happens? I have a suspicion what might be causing this but can’t replicate it yet.
  10. They're not out of the race but they're at a pretty severe disadvantage right now. None of the teams above them appear to be a mirage and the teams surrounding them - the Guardians and White Sox - are talented and have an easier schedule going forward. Given the enormous number of pending FAs on the roster and their current position in both the division and race, the smart move is probably to bow out now and salvage what you can for 2023.
  11. MLB Trade Rumors, quoting Jeff Passan, reports that the Brewers are interested in first baseman Josh Bell. Alongside Milwaukee are the Astros and Mets, who are interested in the switch-hitter who will be a free agent at year's end. Milwaukee could really use Bell's bat but it's harder to fit him into the lineup defensively. In a perfect scenario, Milwaukee can land an offensively-capable centerfielder but given the dearth of options at that position, falling back to a bat-first corner player and wedging him into the defensive alignment somewhere makes a lot of sense. What would you be willing to give up for a rental like Josh Bell? View full trade rumor
  12. MLB Trade Rumors, quoting Jeff Passan, reports that the Brewers are interested in first baseman Josh Bell. Alongside Milwaukee are the Astros and Mets, who are interested in the switch-hitter who will be a free agent at year's end. Milwaukee could really use Bell's bat but it's harder to fit him into the lineup defensively. In a perfect scenario, Milwaukee can land an offensively-capable centerfielder but given the dearth of options at that position, falling back to a bat-first corner player and wedging him into the defensive alignment somewhere makes a lot of sense. What would you be willing to give up for a rental like Josh Bell?
  13. I'm aware, this is an automatic cross-post from our trade rumors section of the site.
  14. I'm aware, this is an automatic cross-post from our trade rumors section of the site.
  15. By locking up the promising young lefty for five years with two additional option years, the Milwaukee Brewers control Ashby through his age 31 season. There’s no downside to the contract from the club’s perspective. As the MLB trade deadline looms, rumors of Brewer acquisitions have been few and far between but on Saturday they surprised with the announcement of a contract extension for Aaron Ashby with only $20.5m in guaranteed money. The guaranteed portion of the contract locks up Ashby through his final team-controlled season in 2027: a $1m signing bonus and then a gradually-rising salary that ultimately peaks at $7.5m guaranteed in 2027 for a total of $19.5m through five seasons. Should Milwaukee decline Ashby’s 2028 $9m team option, they will owe him an additional $1m buyout but if they retain his services, they have another team option available in 2029 for $13m. On top of the option years, a significant portion of the contract is in performance-based escalators: up to $1.5m could be added to the 2028 option if Ashby averages 150 or more innings from 2025-2027 and up to another $1.5m if he finishes in the top ten for the National League Cy Young Award in those years. There are similar escalators built into the 2029 option as well. It’s hard to imagine these terms being more team-friendly for the Brewers. The innings pitched escalators don’t begin to kick in until Ashby averages 150 innings pitched over three seasons. To show how significant this number is in modern baseball, only 55 pitchers pitched 150 innings in the 2021 season. In a game where starters are routinely pulled after two turns through the order, even reaching 150 innings in a season is a significant feat that occurs fewer than two times per MLB team. The escalators top out when Ashby averages 180 innings over three seasons. Only 20 pitchers threw 180 innings in the 2021 season. Unfortunately, the Covid-shortened 2020 season makes it hard to count the number of pitchers who could have averaged 180 innings over the past three seasons, but the number can probably be counted on one hand. The escalators become moot if Ashby is converted into a late-inning relief option, which may be his most likely outcome. Moving to a relief role takes $6m of escalators out of the contract entirely, bringing the uppermost limit to $40m through seven seasons. Ashby’s surface numbers aren’t that appealing, as he has only a 4.43 ERA through his first 107 innings, good for a 93 ERA+ (100 is average so slightly below average once adjusted for league and park). If you dig into his underlying numbers, you see why the Brewers were eager to lock him up into his early 30s: Ashby has a much better-looking 3.76 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) and a 27.9% strikeout rate. While neither of those numbers are elite, they’re both above league average for a starter and show the potential still untapped in that 24-year-old arm. Should Ashby falter as a starter, Milwaukee can easily convert his 96mph fastball to the bullpen, where it could go from mid-90s to high-90s overnight. Coupled with a slider and change, his fallback plan still profiles as a good late-inning reliever. The obvious comparison to this contract extension is Freddy Peralta, whom the Brewers signed to a five-year extension in the weeks preceding the Covid shutdown in Spring Training of 2020. Entering that season, Peralta was in a similar position to Ashby today: roughly 150 innings pitched over two split seasons with an ungainly 4.79 ERA, but a well above average 11.9 strikeouts per nine innings and a sub-4.00 FIP. Since signing that contract, Peralta has been dynamite in the Milwaukee rotation, pitching 212 innings with a 3.26 ERA and 12.4 strikeouts per nine innings. According to FanGraphs, Peralta has been worth 5.3 Wins Above Replacement which in itself is worth far more than the $15.5m Peralta was guaranteed through the end of the 2024 season. The Peralta contract is something approaching a best-case outcome for Ashby but it illustrates how a contract of this size can pay for itself in one or two seasons. According to SportTrac, the 2022 Milwaukee Brewers will pay roughly $133m in player contracts. Should that payroll number remain static - and generally speaking, payroll only rises over time - the most the team will commit to Aaron Ashby in a guaranteed contract year is roughly 5.5% of payroll in the 2027 season. Given the upside found in the left arm of Aaron Ashby, every team in MLB should be willing to take that risk without a moment’s hesitation. Short of a career-ending injury, this contract is going look very good for the Brewers in years to come, just as the Peralta contract has over the past three seasons. View full article
  16. As the MLB trade deadline looms, rumors of Brewer acquisitions have been few and far between but on Saturday they surprised with the announcement of a contract extension for Aaron Ashby with only $20.5m in guaranteed money. The guaranteed portion of the contract locks up Ashby through his final team-controlled season in 2027: a $1m signing bonus and then a gradually-rising salary that ultimately peaks at $7.5m guaranteed in 2027 for a total of $19.5m through five seasons. Should Milwaukee decline Ashby’s 2028 $9m team option, they will owe him an additional $1m buyout but if they retain his services, they have another team option available in 2029 for $13m. On top of the option years, a significant portion of the contract is in performance-based escalators: up to $1.5m could be added to the 2028 option if Ashby averages 150 or more innings from 2025-2027 and up to another $1.5m if he finishes in the top ten for the National League Cy Young Award in those years. There are similar escalators built into the 2029 option as well. It’s hard to imagine these terms being more team-friendly for the Brewers. The innings pitched escalators don’t begin to kick in until Ashby averages 150 innings pitched over three seasons. To show how significant this number is in modern baseball, only 55 pitchers pitched 150 innings in the 2021 season. In a game where starters are routinely pulled after two turns through the order, even reaching 150 innings in a season is a significant feat that occurs fewer than two times per MLB team. The escalators top out when Ashby averages 180 innings over three seasons. Only 20 pitchers threw 180 innings in the 2021 season. Unfortunately, the Covid-shortened 2020 season makes it hard to count the number of pitchers who could have averaged 180 innings over the past three seasons, but the number can probably be counted on one hand. The escalators become moot if Ashby is converted into a late-inning relief option, which may be his most likely outcome. Moving to a relief role takes $6m of escalators out of the contract entirely, bringing the uppermost limit to $40m through seven seasons. Ashby’s surface numbers aren’t that appealing, as he has only a 4.43 ERA through his first 107 innings, good for a 93 ERA+ (100 is average so slightly below average once adjusted for league and park). If you dig into his underlying numbers, you see why the Brewers were eager to lock him up into his early 30s: Ashby has a much better-looking 3.76 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) and a 27.9% strikeout rate. While neither of those numbers are elite, they’re both above league average for a starter and show the potential still untapped in that 24-year-old arm. Should Ashby falter as a starter, Milwaukee can easily convert his 96mph fastball to the bullpen, where it could go from mid-90s to high-90s overnight. Coupled with a slider and change, his fallback plan still profiles as a good late-inning reliever. The obvious comparison to this contract extension is Freddy Peralta, whom the Brewers signed to a five-year extension in the weeks preceding the Covid shutdown in Spring Training of 2020. Entering that season, Peralta was in a similar position to Ashby today: roughly 150 innings pitched over two split seasons with an ungainly 4.79 ERA, but a well above average 11.9 strikeouts per nine innings and a sub-4.00 FIP. Since signing that contract, Peralta has been dynamite in the Milwaukee rotation, pitching 212 innings with a 3.26 ERA and 12.4 strikeouts per nine innings. According to FanGraphs, Peralta has been worth 5.3 Wins Above Replacement which in itself is worth far more than the $15.5m Peralta was guaranteed through the end of the 2024 season. The Peralta contract is something approaching a best-case outcome for Ashby but it illustrates how a contract of this size can pay for itself in one or two seasons. According to SportTrac, the 2022 Milwaukee Brewers will pay roughly $133m in player contracts. Should that payroll number remain static - and generally speaking, payroll only rises over time - the most the team will commit to Aaron Ashby in a guaranteed contract year is roughly 5.5% of payroll in the 2027 season. Given the upside found in the left arm of Aaron Ashby, every team in MLB should be willing to take that risk without a moment’s hesitation. Short of a career-ending injury, this contract is going look very good for the Brewers in years to come, just as the Peralta contract has over the past three seasons.
  17. Mark Feinsand of MLB polled a bunch of executives to see who they predict will land phenom slugger Juan Soto and one of them picked... the Brewers? Wait, what? In much more logical votes, the top vote-getter was the Padres, followed immediately by the Dodgers. Both teams make a lot of sense with a lot of young talent, good farm systems, and the willingness to pay Soto the gobs of money he's looking to land as he approaches free agency in a couple of years. Frankly, I don't think the Brewers have the horses to land Soto. They have Chourio - who is legitimately great right now - but the Nationals are likely looking for either young MLB talent or near-MLB talent, which the Brewers don't have a lot of right now, especially on the pitching side of things. And on top of the Brewers not having the horses, Milwaukee doesn't have the payroll to pay Soto into free agency, which makes this move a long-term rental. This move would force a full-scale rebuild in a couple of years after Soto leaves and an empty farm system needs to be restocked. Anyway, I thought this single vote was amusing enough to post about. View full trade rumor
  18. Mark Feinsand of MLB polled a bunch of executives to see who they predict will land phenom slugger Juan Soto and one of them picked... the Brewers? Wait, what? In much more logical votes, the top vote-getter was the Padres, followed immediately by the Dodgers. Both teams make a lot of sense with a lot of young talent, good farm systems, and the willingness to pay Soto the gobs of money he's looking to land as he approaches free agency in a couple of years. Frankly, I don't think the Brewers have the horses to land Soto. They have Chourio - who is legitimately great right now - but the Nationals are likely looking for either young MLB talent or near-MLB talent, which the Brewers don't have a lot of right now, especially on the pitching side of things. And on top of the Brewers not having the horses, Milwaukee doesn't have the payroll to pay Soto into free agency, which makes this move a long-term rental. This move would force a full-scale rebuild in a couple of years after Soto leaves and an empty farm system needs to be restocked. Anyway, I thought this single vote was amusing enough to post about.
  19. I expect the Red Sox to sell. It should also be noted that not only have they fallen out of the Wild Card race a bit, they're only half a game out of last place, as the Orioles have been much better recently as the Red Sox have faltered.
  20. Thanks for the heads-up. I'll flip over to dark mode on my phone and see if I can replicate the issue.
  21. No. Most EVs don’t have a conventional transmission with gears. I think the Porsche uses a two speed but other than that, AFAIK all EVs are direct drive to the wheels.
  22. Before anyone writes off an EV, I implore them to go find a model they like and test drive it. I can't see myself buying another ICE vehicle again unless it's another classic car. EVs are faster, smoother, and quieter than the equivalent ICE vehicle. From a daily driver standpoint, EVs are just better. And I say this as someone who is an avid motorcyclist and loves the sound and feel of a performance ICE vehicle. But EVs are just better driving if I'm going from point A to point B, which is 90% of my driving.
  23. Most of this is wildly untrue, sorry. First an EV thrives in a traffic jam. The lack of wind resistance and regenerative braking increases range by a lot. If you were to drive 100 miles in traffic, it'd take a lot less juice than driving that same 100 miles at 75mph. Second, pretty much any dedicated public charger will charge an EV up to 80% in less than half an hour. I have a Chevy Volt - 55 miles range electric, then uses a gas generator - and I really regret not moving to the full-EV Chevy Bolt because I was worried about range. It's simply not a problem 95% of the time and for that other 5%, we have another car to use in those situations. I put gas in the Volt about once every two months. It'd be nice to be able to just skip over the filling station entirely instead.
  24. And that’s fair, I probably should have been more clear with my language. When looking at prospects, I tend to clump them in small groups, I rarely go 1/2/3/4/…
  25. And that’s fair, I probably should have been more clear with my language. When looking at prospects, I tend to clump them in small groups, I rarely go 1/2/3/4/…
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