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NBBrewFan

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  1. I don't know if it's that low. I tend to think overall ranking tracks with top 100 prospects and you need to have 4 prospects in the top 100 (and not all 50+) to be higher than 15th (since each team should have 3.3 on average and the middle is #15/16). So I really don't think they are that far from #19 on mlb.com. I think you could make the argument that we should be flipped with the Giants as 2 Top prospects (#17/#22) isn't necessarily that much better than Churio/Frelick plus Weimer (#11/49/89). Hard to argue we should be higher than #18. Where they may get a bump is if Turang or Mitchel make it into the top 100 at the end of the year or next preseason plus where does Ruiz end up.
  2. +1 Billion! They all are the same type of hitter because the 2 headed Hitting Coaches monster is molding them into the same hitter. At this point I would be much happier if the team didn't have any Hitting Coach.
  3. +1 Billion! They all are the same type of hitter because the 2 headed Hitting Coaches monster is molding them into the same hitter. At this point I would be much happier if the team didn't have any Hitting Coach.
  4. 1) Craigtember hasn't been a thing since 2019. Do we still think it's a thing? We shall see. 2) They have struggled to beat bad teams because they are an average team. They are under +30 for run differential so far because they just aren't putting enough good pitching and/or good hitting together. Can they? I guess, but will they? Edit: Title shouldn't read " in September", but "starting today".
  5. 1) Craigtember hasn't been a thing since 2019. Do we still think it's a thing? We shall see. 2) They have struggled to beat bad teams because they are an average team. They are under +30 for run differential so far because they just aren't putting enough good pitching and/or good hitting together. Can they? I guess, but will they? Edit: Title shouldn't read " in September", but "starting today".
  6. The projections systems are actually down on the Brewers. There's 2 playoff spots for 3 teams. By chance each would have a 67% chance to grab one of the 2 spots. The fact the Brewers are coming in below 67% means that the projection systems favor the Padres and Phillies to get those spots. Does it mean they will? Of course not, but realistically they are the underdog and who doesn't like rooting for the underdog. Go Lions! I mean, Go Brewers!
  7. The projections systems are actually down on the Brewers. There's 2 playoff spots for 3 teams. By chance each would have a 67% chance to grab one of the 2 spots. The fact the Brewers are coming in below 67% means that the projection systems favor the Padres and Phillies to get those spots. Does it mean they will? Of course not, but realistically they are the underdog and who doesn't like rooting for the underdog. Go Lions! I mean, Go Brewers!
  8. I really wonder what the Brewers think in terms of some of these players. McCutcheon is almost out there every day no matter what the stats say about his ability to hit RH pitching. He's even in the field where he and Yelich make butchering seem like an art form. Hiura sits and sits (oh no he strikes out too much in a lineup we created of all or nothing hitters - can't have that) and yet he produces more than the crappy vets they put out there day after day. We keep wondering why they didn't add a hitter at the deadline? Maybe they have no problem with the way the offense has been assembled. I really am beginning to think that they just have an inflated view of the quality of the players they have acquired and trot out day after day. Maybe the best thing for this team is to fall apart over the next 7 weeks so a few in the front office will maybe consider that their decisions aren't working.
  9. From a Cumulative WAR point of view, he was worth the contract (8.4 WAR/$80M = $9.5M per WAR). Unfortunately it wasn't nearly as spread out as the Brewers may have liked since 73% came in one season (2018). On the other hand, we don't get to the 7th game of the NLCS in 2018 without that contribution. I think I'm not going out on a limb and say that when the Yelich contract is done we will look back at the Cain deal and think what a great contract.
  10. If you add his ISO to the tables, there clearly is a huge drop to the levels he was at when 21/22 and just starting in MLB. Exit Velocity is irrelevant if you are only converting that into hard hit singles. And, since he is just starting or goes into a slump whenever I comment that he hasn't been that bad, I am going to just stop defending him. He's a 10 ton anchor on a dingy.
  11. I agree with Adames being excellent this year at defense. I would say #2 should be that the teams approach of relying so heavily on HR and encouraging swing for the moon batting is the problem. While Adames may be the poster-child for that approach, it is a team-wide issue. I posted in another thread that given that the team has starting pitching where the top 3 are elite and the top 5 match up well with almost any other club (i.e Run prevention with better defense) and with a goal of keeping the score close/low that they should be more focused on situational hitting and getting runners in the "old way". Instead they seem to think that solo HR are the route to go. I know that they are have been putting a high amount of capital into contact hitters in the draft, but at the MLB level they have stayed with the all or nothing approach. Sure, the talent of the team may be that higher BA/contact isn't possible, but the current approach seems to be too hit or miss or miss or miss or miss or miss or miss.
  12. After a week of pretty poor moves, this is a positive for the Brewers as the risk of losing him by claim worked out as he wasn't claimed and he agreed to stay. I think a Caratini/Severino tandem next year means they can focus limited resources on other positions. (they probably talked to Severino before the DFA to gauge his willingness before doing it so him agreeing to stay was likely anyways)
  13. Should a player get a positive grade simply because the batters in front of him got to 2nd base and they need to walk you to setup the force out?
  14. Yeah. I don't think they go the route of a longer-term CF replacement. I don't see Frelick having the bat to fill a corner OF spot (at least for a few years until he's established/fully matured) and Turang could also fill a CF role depending on how they replace Wong. I just don't see them paying the premium in prospects to clog up CF. At some point they need their prospects to fill roster holes so they can focus monetary assets on other positions.
  15. We have mixed results with former Red Sox, but if the price is right I think this makes a lot of sense to me. If they can't swing a deal for a CF I would imagine he would split time with Taylor in CF and as brock mentioned above, spell McCutcheon and Renfroe.
  16. I can't predict where his stats go for the remainder of the year, but looking at his line for this year and last it's clear they are pretty much identical. Over the last 854 PAs he's been consistently worse than the Marlin version and the MVP Brewers version. He had a hot streak early on that gave a hint that maybe he had turned it around, but since then he's replicating 2021. At his current pace he's a 1.9 WAR per 600 PA player and for $23+M per year that is a really bad investment. Given the salary tied up in him anything higher than a C is generous. McCutcheon is at negative WAR for 2022 so no matter how you subset the data he has been worse than a replacement level player at a $8.5M investment. He's a penny stock trading on the big board. Plenty of upside, but at the end of the day still a fraction of the value needed. Grade = D. I've already expressed my admiration for Hunter Renfroe's abilities with the bases empty (he's the best Brewer batter), but he continues to have a huge gap between men on base and bases empty (611 OPS to 887). He's closing the gap, but unfortunately it appears the bigger movement has been to reduce his bases empty offense more than increase his men on base offense. While his gap is now 270ish when it was over 400 a month ago it would be nice if that regression wasn't at the expense of his overall production. Grade = B- I'd like to see more from Taylor, but the Brewers spent a ton of PAs on Cain to prove to themselves he was toast and now Tyrone has been battling injury further continuing his sporadic playing time. If he can stay healthy and the Brewers slot him in at CF consistently we might finally see what he can do as a regular. Grade = C
  17. Why is it pessimistic to be less generous? I don't think the grades should be as low as brewers888 suggested, but I think a half grade lower across the board isn't pessimistic. Also, part of the current problem with baseball is that there are so many teams in tanking/rebuilding mode (the "Have Nots"). Shouldn't the Brewers be in the "Have's" group? I think the frustration with this offense is that it's at the bottom of the Have's and those teams are the ones that are going to be advancing in the playoffs at the expense of the Brewers.
  18. Maybe Bunzell's could sponsor a promotion because looking at that infield defense and the only thing that comes to mind is butcher.
  19. I only have Spectrum experience, but have you considered T-Mobile Home Internet? I am testing out a 5G connection and it has almost always been 250-270Mbps compared to a Spectrum cap of 200. It's $50 per month if you have a T-mobile phone with no commitment (you just need to send back the Router/modem if you cancel otherwise you buy bought it). The other advantage is that Spectrum upload speeds are usually capped at 10M and I have had issues pushing data up my line (in case you need to do it as part of work). With T-Mobile I get 40-50M when speed testing for uploads. I have had it for 2 months and I haven't had a single outage. If you need to use it for work, the other consideration is that it does seem to be "faster" than Spectrum (I have some EU customers and I vpn to them and can get 50-60M transfers when I was never more than 12M (using the same VPN with Spectrum) for download.
  20. I did a google Maps Street View "tour" of the area while referencing the artistic rendering of the drawing and it looks like they will be taking the area from 6th street to 10th street, Michigan to the freeway as the footprint for the stadium and entertainment area with the stadium closest to 6th street (just north of the freeway/train station). Not much in that area at the moment, but that is a nice draw to increase people in the area. Also really easy access off the freeway and IIRC there is a streetcar stop nearby.
  21. Lots of good comments so far. I'll point out/highlight a few things that are important for me. As far as I know, Bauer never denied the injuries the women (both) received and that he committed. His "defense" has been that they agreed to it. I don't know the statistics, but I am guessing that about 1 person in 1,000 agrees that physical harm and pain are important parts of their "sexual" experiences. Anger has no role in consensual sexual experiences (all jokes aside). Most of us teach our children through our words and actions that this is unacceptable and has no role in a loving relationship or even one-time encounter. There's already too much anger and abuse outside the bedroom to in any way condone/tolerate it in the bedroom. I think he actually should have received a lifetime ban. Unfortunately, he does have some significant issues that he needs to deal with when he needs to inflict pain on his sexual partner either for pleasure or for reaching his "peak". This is not an anger management issue, this is the need for inflicting pain to achieve sexual arousal. I will bring out the old cliche that he is an example to our children. He is and anything, but the maximum penalty, is justified in this instance,. His idea of a sexual relationship should be in textbooks as deviant behavior (excuse me if it is as I never read that textbook) and not in any way should he benefit in his current profession from these activities. And this shouldn't be held up to other instances for equity in punishment as each case is unique and most of the others have vastly different circumstances. It's part of the game that those in different positions have different standards to uphold and punishments for breaking those standards. That's the way it is and, as was mentioned, we aren't discussing freedom we are discussing earnings and livelihood. As a parent this is one of the evils that keeps us up at night worrying about. My wife and I have raised 5 kids (2 daughters) and we hope and pray that we set an example where they would never get into a situation like a meet-up with someone like Trevor Bauer (or our sons believing that behavior is acceptable). Thankfully he's so open about his pathology that most women would just pass him by, but let's not pretend he was "outed" by his accusers, his social media posting and "honey trapping" behavior was out in the open. And it sucks for him that he was so outspoken in his previous criticism of the Commissioner while he was out there openly advertising his interest and participation in this reprehensible behavior.
  22. He's been on administrative leave and receiving full salary since last May. So he basically made $35M waiting for MLB to decide.
  23. MLB Suspends Trevor Bauer for 2 SEASONS.
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