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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. Brewcrew82
    What's your point? Because my point is that his overall OPS (and OPS against RHP for that matter) would have likely continued to go down regardless of his exposure levels because 1) he was homering on fly balls at an unsustainable rate 2) he was striking out at an unsustainable rate and 3) balls he put into play were not being put out at an unsustainable rate. Extrapolation, which you seem to want to do, doesn't work.
  2. Brewcrew82
    Of course, he's not as good against RHP. But you still throw him out there as often as you can (which CC has done), not just because he's got an .801 OPS overall, which is what really matters and which is second highest on the team, but because he plays defense at a high level, which Rowdy and Keston do not. Rowdy hasn't been hitting. Contreras is our second best overall hitter, but was unavailable to C today. Not difficult to figure out why he would DH over Rowdy. If he doesn't DH on Friday against a righty, then things obviously would appear different.
  3. Brewcrew82
    I did know that actually, but thanks for the reminder. Did you know that Hiura's OPS vs. RHP last year was significantly higher than it had been the last three seasons AND was down precipitously from what it had been when he was hitting HRs on an unsustainable rate of fly balls . Goes hand in hand with the fact that you can't just extrapolate Hiura's stats against RHP and assume he would have produced at the same rate when the evidence is that he wouldn't have. On the contrary, it seems like you're struggling understand basic statistical concepts.
  4. Brewcrew82
    Wrong. Contreras is one of the few bats on this team you pencil in regardless of the pitcher.
  5. Brewcrew82
    Except that's not how stats work....You can't just assume Hiura would have continued to hit at the same rate had he gotten more ABs against RHP when there's a ton of evidence (namely, his 42% k rate) that he wouldn't have. Rowdy didn't DH today because Caratini is Burnes' personal catcher and they need to get Contreras' bat in the lineup regardless. I doubt he's going back to the IL considering CC was ready to have him pinch hit for Wiemer in the 10th.
  6. Brewcrew82
    Those things are in no way mutually exclusive. To make the OD roster due to his replacement level output since his rookie season, Hiura needed to have a big spring. He did the exact opposite and consequently failed to make the roster while being removed from the 40 man entirely. At the same time, a big spring training would have meant little as for his actual production in the majors had he made the roster. Just as his AAA stats mean little as to what we can expect from him in the majors. You may not have literally used the term "travesty", but the way you and certain others are arguing it it's hard to escape the conclusion that you do view it in that way.
  7. Brewcrew82
    Bottom line (and the point I'm trying to get across) is that I'm not using AAA stats to draw any conclusions about Hiura because a) he's always produced in AAA and b) there are a multitude of examples out there of players who crush AAA pitching yet are not so good against MLB pitching. If Rowdy doesn't start hitting soon, then I'll probably join you in calling for Hiura. But I don't think him not getting an opportunity so far this year is quite the travesty some of you have made it out to be. In fact, if he had had a good spring training in the first place instead of completely sucking, he would probably still be on the major league roster and we wouldn't even be having this discussion.
  8. Brewcrew82
    Not quite my perspective. My perspective is I see both sides and I honestly have no idea which one will transpire. It wouldn't shock me if Hiura suddenly looked like the 2019 version again (or something close to it) with the swing changes. It also wouldn't shock me if the changes accomplished little to nothing and he's the same replacement level player he's been since 2019. In the end, I'll be fine with whatever management decides simply because they have more information available than I do. We can't pretend Hiura isn't hampered by the fact that he's effectively limited to DH at this point. If Rowdy continues to falter, then you'll probably see me join the chorus with the rest of you, as there's really no other option for a power hitting DH and Hiura has always had the bat speed and QOC.
  9. Brewcrew82
    Again, I think Rowdy was a better option because a) he was more likely to make contact and b) if he did end up making contact, the likelihood is that it would have gone to the right side of the field potentially allowing the baserunner to advance. With Wiemer, there was a very high likelihood of a K or a rollover to the left side, either of which wouldn't advance the baserunner. I don't see why Anderson wouldn't have been a capable replacement defensively, with Taylor moving back to CF. That situation seemed to call for "going for the win" imo. Thankfully, it didn't matter and you're right that we probably won't ever find out CC's reasoning.
  10. Brewcrew82
    Not earlier in the year when they were trying desperately to compete and stay in the race while their primary DH Daniel Vogelbach was faltering....Voit was absolutely tearing up AAA (even moreso than Hiura), yet they decided not to call him up.
  11. Brewcrew82
    It's not as "black and white" as you're trying to make it though. I've been fooled with Hiura too many times at this point. I honestly wouldn't be shocked either way. That's the point. It's not about hedging my bets or "playing gotcha". Overall, I trust the Brewers' evaluation of the situation. This organization has earned the benefit of the doubt imo with their evaluation abilities. If they don't think Hiura is an upgrade to the point where it's worth rostering him, then I trust that appraisal. Hiura has already had plenty of opportunities to assert himself and become a mainstay on the MLB roster, including in 2020 and 2021 when they literally handed him a starting position and at the end of last season and ST this year. He failed each of those times.
  12. Brewcrew82
    I think I'd give him the weekend off hold him until the Cubs' series...No need to risk it given how we're actually scoring runs right now.
  13. Brewcrew82
    Not really. Almost all of those AAA #s came with the Mets, a bad team who declined to call him up in spite of his stats. Now, Voit is a free agent and hasn't even managed to latch on with another team. A lot like Hiura after the Brewers removed him from the 40 man after ST and nobody opted to place a claim on him... Some players are AAAA players. I won't ever close the door on Hiura because he has the bat speed and the talent, but he's got major, major contact issues and I trust the Brewers' evaluation.
  14. Brewcrew82
    Jax looks legit, though. 97/98 with 3000+ rpms on the breaking ball.
  15. Brewcrew82
    He's so much better suited for this type of role than the strict 7th inning role CC had him penciled into. Still getting key outs, too.
  16. Brewcrew82
    Frelick is unavailable presumably, but he still could've put Anderson in the OF in place of Wiemer once Rowdy batted.
  17. Brewcrew82
    "They're definitely comparable". This was you. They're not comparable despite their similar slash lines.
  18. Brewcrew82
    For me, it was just having Wiemer at the plate there. If you pinch hit Tellez, not only do you have someone who's more likely to make contact, but if he rolls over on it like Wiemer did, it would go to the right side to allow the baserunner to advance. Ended up not mattering, but that was a mistake imo.
  19. Brewcrew82
    Brewers are hot. Both literally and figuratively.
  20. Brewcrew82
    Brice says, "who cares about Wiemer hitting? I'll just end the game myself!".
  21. Brewcrew82
    If we lose this game, we should look to CC deciding to hit Wiemer there.
  22. Brewcrew82
    Wiemer can go to AAA when Frelick is healthy.
  23. Brewcrew82
    I don't like this at all. Go for the win. With Wiemer, you're effectively sacrificing an out and a chance to move the baserunner.
  24. Brewcrew82
    Nice piece of hitting.
  25. Brewcrew82
    Yeah. Wiemer CANNOT hit here, CC.
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