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Lucas O.

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Everything posted by Lucas O.

  1. Lucas O.
    More just correcting you for saying something inaccurate. Perkins quality has been a much better hitter so far this season than last and you're just looking at surface numbers which can fluctuate significantly in small sample due to batted ball good/bad luck. Here are some comparison of 2023 and 2024 Perkins. 2023 then 2024 numbers Barrel% - 5.1% to 9.5% Avg EV - 85.8 to 90.0 xBA - .194 to .238 xSLG - .302 to .384 xwOBA - .279 to .323 xwOBACON - .312 to .376 Hard hit % - 29.3% to 47.3% Perkins went 0-4 yesterday. Perkins had a 408ft flyout to CF that would have been a HR in 14 of 30 parks (wind was also blowing in slightly) and a 100.7 EV lineout to RF that had a .480 xBA. By your logic Perkins had a bad day at the plate because the wRC+ was bad when nobody would say Perkins had a bad day at the plate actually seeing the contact he made.
  2. Lucas O.
    That's a very simplistic way to look at things also it's incredibly normal for high strikeout players to carry BABIP's that are much higher than their batting average. Benson - 41.1% K-rate, .190 AVG, .305 BABIP Cruz - 34.7% K-rate, .252 AVG, .363 BABIP Busch - 34.5% K-rate, .256 AVG, .342 BABIP Stanton - 33.8% K-rate, .228 AVG, .286 BABIP Julien - 33.8% K-rate, .204 AVG, .262 BABIP That's the 5 highest K-rates from qualified hitters. The average BABIP-AVG difference between the 5 is 86 points. Furthermore, of the 341 hitters with 50 PA this season Bauers' .448 xwOBACON is 46th in the MLB. When Bauers makes contact the contact is generally quality contact. His wOBACON is .432 so he's actually slightly underperformed his xwOBACON to this point.
  3. Lucas O.
    Perkins had a .323 xWOBA in April and currently has a .321 xwOBA in May. He had some batted ball luck in April and the opposite in May. His peripherals on the year remain very solid especially when you consider he's the best defensive OF on the team by a considerable margin.
  4. Lucas O.
    Perkins getting a well deserved day off. This is a strong lineup. Probably the best lineup we have seen this year although that OF defense is lacking.
  5. Lucas O.
    Yes hitters production fluctuates. That's not a new phenomenon. You talking the lower end production and trying to push that this is who the offense really is pretty much comes down to you being a very open pessimist. The offense has been at worst above average this year. The season long xwOBA is .323 which is 13th in the MLB and 5 points above the .318 MLB average.
  6. Lucas O.
    45 days but Ortiz isn't going to be optioned so it doesn't really matter.
  7. Lucas O.
    Great thing that Manuel Rodriguez threw 7 innings last night because today has not gone to plan for the Mudcats. Letson-Rivero were likely piggybacking today. Instead Letson doesn't pitch because of the lengthy delay and Rivero doesn't even get an out.
  8. Lucas O.
    Bayden Root just threw a pickoff attempt at 2B nearly to the wall in right center field lmao. I have never seen that before.
  9. Lucas O.
    Golden Sombrero for Yophery tonight with 3 of them looking.
  10. Lucas O.
    And Harrison Durow comes in and plunks his first batter.
  11. Lucas O.
    Rivero gets pulled without getting a single out. Double, single, HBP, HBP, BB, HBP. Rough stuff.
  12. Lucas O.
    Mother nature really doesn't want Bishop Letson to pitch I guess.
  13. Lucas O.
    Woessner is really just looking like RHP Aaron Ashby since he got to AAA. This is hard to watch.
  14. Lucas O.
    I don't know if it's a mental or mechanical thing, but Woessner's command has been very sub par in his first 2 AAA starts. 9 BB in 4.2 IP.
  15. Lucas O.
    Sanchez????
  16. Lucas O.
    And when Contreras isn't behind home plate they will want him DH'ing. Just not a ton of DH PA if Yelich and Contreras are going to be getting 2/3 to 3/4 of the PA there.
  17. Lucas O.
    I wonder if there's any bias coming from the person with Tyler Black as their profile picture...
  18. Lucas O.
    It probably will, but I think it's the right move if Yelich is going to be primarily playing at DH going forward. There's just not playing time there for Black if Yelich is DH'ing most days.
  19. Lucas O.
    I believe I saw 2-3 weeks
  20. Lucas O.
    Martin has options and Paredes doesn't.
  21. Lucas O.
    I'd love to see Russell Smith get promoted to AAA. He's Rule 5 eligible this offseason, so might as well see what he can do at the highest level of the minors.
  22. Lucas O.
    Nice seeing Biloxi score some runs with their lineup healthy again.
  23. Lucas O.
    I wonder who hasn't played in the last 21 games.
  24. Lucas O.
    Monte Harrison has committed to play football at the University of Arkansas. Guess he's given up baseball.
  25. Lucas O.
    With the Sounds down to their last strike, Brewer Hicklen crushed a 109 EV, 451ft HR for his 2nd HR of the day.
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