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Terry

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Everything posted by Terry

  1. Terry
    Is Sam McWilliams hurt or anything? Workload seems kinda low compared to others.
  2. Terry
    I mean scouts were already divided on his long term defensive home last year, so perhaps not exactly new viewpoint?
  3. Terry
    An article from BA today featuring Luis Peña and Braylon Payne. Here's a stat of Peña that caught my eyes. 👀👀👀
  4. Terry
    Inspired by wiguy's comment, I looked into all Misiorowski's outings over 50 pitches for 2024/2025 season. Here's the data calculated from baseball reference. And he's correct, it's one of the few outings that his stuff is on display(CSW%) and throw enough strikes at the same time(high Strike%, low BB%, HBP). Note: CSW% = (Called Strikes + Whiffs) / total pitches, only that foul tip is not considered as whiff in BR.
  5. Terry
    Oh I think the issue might be Fangraphs count foul tip as contact instead of whiffs. (In this case result would be roughly the same) https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast-search-minors?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfGT=R|&hfPR=foul|hit\.\.into\.\.play|foul\.\.tip|&hfZ=1|2|3|4|5|6|7|8|9|&hfStadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2024|&hfSit=&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&hfOpponent=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfMo=&hfTeam=&home_road=&hfRO=&position=&hfInn=&hfBBT=&batters_lookup[]=663662&hfFlag=is\.\.swing|is\.\.tracked|&hfLevel=&metric_1=&hfTeamAffiliate=&hfOpponentAffiliate=&group_by=name-year&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&min_pas=0&sort_col=pitches&player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&sort_order=desc&chk_zones=on&chk_is..swing=on&chk_is..tracked=on#results
  6. Terry
    Curious about where you get these numbers, cause I'm getting multiple answers from different sources to same question haha(i.e. Fangraphs, Savant, Robert Orr)
  7. Terry
    Slider isn't exactly a whiff weapon for Misiorowski in early start, may have been why they scrap its usage. Did well in hammering the curve in the zone today. Best start so far.
  8. Terry
    Though the command was inconsistent in this start, there's some spotlight after all. This is the first ever start that he has negative average horz. movements on his cutter(meaning more glove side this time). It seems like Contreras was trying to guide him to backdoor the cutters to LHB, but Priester just can't execute it. Sliders remain a plus pitch and help him navigate some troubles. Velo was also down a bit in this start, hopefully not a big deal. Bonus: Craig Yoho So nasty that statcast identify his changeups as lefties curveballs at first.
  9. Terry
    I believe Elvin Rodriguez is tinkering with his cutter, as spin axis is different from what we've seen in the past.(Granted my classification of pitch type may not be 100% accurate.) Also, he threw way too many strikes in zone.
  10. Terry
    I think one pitch labeled as changeup with velo around 89mph is sinker as well. I'm wondering if the cutter isn't entirely unintentional at this point cause his xwobacon for 4-Seamers against LHB in 2023 was career worst. And now that as velo went down, he might need another weapon?
  11. Terry
    Woodruff defintely is tinkering with some new toys.
  12. Terry
    I calibrate all pitch labels and made a comparison. The newly added cutters and sweepers are kind of surprising considering he's mostly a pronator. But overall I'm just really happy that he came back and touched 95 still. ICYMI here's some statcast numbers for Chandler Welch in college. (6 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 SO today)
  13. Terry
    A Nashville pen guy I'm keeping tabs on. Savant labeled all his fastballs as 4-Seamers, but from spin axis and pitch movement some looked more like newly added sinkers.
  14. Terry
    Slightly worry about up and in fastball with premium velocity, as his swing length will very likely be longest in MLB. But this is definitely a nice start, way better than my expectations.
  15. Terry
    1. EMJ continues to mash the ball and maintain excellent plate discipline in the meantime, but that swing length still kind of scares me. (From what's recorded in ST, his 8.6ft. swing length would basically be the longest in MLB) 2. Durbin's avg EV from last year was 83.8mph, up until yesterday it was 89.5mph (Granted it was 33 BIPs, only halfway through stabilization point, but this is noteworthy) (There may be some sneaky power in there if he's able to maintain that EV) 3. Misiorowski threw more changeups in this outing and the shape came out better than last time, also his 68.6 strike% today is second best in his career so far for any outings that exceeds 50 pitches(Highest: 2024/6/19, 69.2%). Even though he still threw 3 BBs, in the long run this is heading toward right direction.
  16. Terry
    From FanGraphs, he specifically made that a goal and added 10 pounds compared to last year, so hopefully yes.
  17. Terry
    His increased bat speed is mostly because of the increased swing length. (There's another stat called swing acceleration, and his remain roughly the same compared to last year. PS. His bat speed and swing length both ranked around 1st percentile while swing acceleration ranked around league average last year.) I originally thought that he pulled the ball more, so as to optimize his bat speed. But he actually has lowest pull% so far in his career. My theory is that his setup is less crouched to the plate this year, which in turns create a longer swing path. Voilà, sacrificing some contact for better bat speed. Last year: This year: Like you said he did repeatedly say he didn't do anything differently, perhaps just not intentional? Cause the results so far is hell lot of different.
  18. Terry
    That's my thought as to why they kill the curveball drop as well. From LHB standpoint, curveball didn't blend all that well to rest of the arsenals compared to RHB. It seems like the new version will be much more similar to that of slider. But sample size is too small for now for the plot to be actually meaningful.
  19. Terry
    From FanGraphs: Rodriguez is a fine lower-level outfield prospect. He isn’t super toolsy or projectable even though he’s very young, but he has advanced feel for the strike zone and good (if awkward looking) plate coverage. He can spray pitches from foul line to foul line with his punchy all-fields swing, and he projects as a complementary corner outfielder (he’s fast but isn’t a skilled center field defender) with roughly 45-grade contact and power. The main return in this trade is absolutely the draft pick. BA also ranked him as 14 in our system before the trade. Also, There are somewhat disparate opinions about the upcoming draft class. I think it’s slightly better than average in the 50-75 range; the tier of player you’d find in a typical second round extends into the third. That sort of depth doesn’t really have an impact on pick 33, but the Brewers’ draft picks are valuable to them because they’re in a smaller market and need to grow their own talent, and their dev group is good at doing exactly that.
  20. Terry
    Are you trying to compare Yophery Rodriguez to Joey Ortiz And DL hall, whom were both top 100 guy? I mean I love Yophery, but that is nuts.
  21. Terry
    Haven't it cross your mind that maybe trading for an established starting pitcher will take a much heavier toll?
  22. Terry
    I don't think his control is as bad as Zone% suggests, as you can see number would be higher with major league strike zone. Interestingly, he was able to throw more strikes with slider than 4-Seam for second game in a row. (Last year in AAA it was 43.2%. Sample size's still small I know) It's been a long time since Misiorowski last throw his changeup. 9.6iVB, 17.3HB, it's a firm one without much drop and BA gave it a 40.
  23. Terry
    Only up until recently that I figure out how to scrape college data, here's some summary card on games with statcast. I'll see if can dig up some data post draft as well. Chandler Welch There may not be much physical projection left, but I love the arsenal. Sam Garcia That's some crazy vert on 4-Seam. Also some sinkers were mislabeled as changeups. Tate Kuehner
  24. Terry
    Strike zone is also smaller in Triple A if you look at called strikes distribution for these two levels. Especially unfriendly for those who pound fastballs at upper third of the zone.
  25. Terry
    Also, I'll add that this is the third highest strike% he's ever had for any outing that exceeds 50 pitches since he entered the system, like I said hopefully it sticks.
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