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naivin

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Everything posted by naivin

  1. naivin
    As an adjunct to the post above, as I see absolutely nothing to be gained by simply elevating Simmons who had coached or managed in a grand total of 0 MLB games prior to this year, are there any realistic external candidates who might be options to come in and manage mid-season?
  2. naivin
    I'm not picking on you, so please don't take it that way, but I hear this thrown around quite a bit, but my weak memory has a hard time coming up with more than a very small handfull of cases where a mid-season change actually had any real positive results. Wondering if the collective group can't compile a list because I am far from convinced that it is anything more than wishful thinking on the part of many here. Harvey Kuehn in '82 is an obvious one. Jack McKeon in 2003 is another. For reasons I think I previously documented pretty well, I would be very hesitant to include Garner in '03 on a list of successes, but he's worth mentioning. That's all that really comes to mind for me.
  3. naivin
    I agree...largley with the entire post. Were Gallardo to make his regularly scheduled start tonight, I would be extremely excited. Due to the severity of that blow to the rotation however, my long-term prognosis is not all that positive. I suspect at the end of the year (leaving Sheets out of the discussion for the moment), we will all be left wondering what might have been had Gallardo not injured himself. However, I think the relative results will still be better than we have seen thus far, and they will manage to keep it interesting into September.
  4. naivin
    Just to jump on the Houston thing, I know you are just sayin', but that is a terrible example. First of all, he took over a .500 team mid-way through 2004, and while they went on to win 92 games, they did not make the playoffs. They won the NL in 2005. Both teams (04 and 05) had a starting rotation that included Clemens, Oswalt, and Pettitte. Did he make a difference in that second half? Perhaps, but no way to know for sure - especially in light of what happened the following year... and here is where it gets very interesting...in 2005, after 32 games, the Astros were 12-20. On May 27th they were 16-31, dead last, and 15 games out of first place. After 88 games, they were 44-44...the exact same record they had when they fired Williams the previous season. Based on that, i have a difficult time concluding that Garner was a primary reason for the turnaround the year prior.
  5. naivin
    Can someone explain to me what 1982 has to do with 2008? People act as if that is the only time a manager has been replaced mid-year. Seems to me there have been plenty of managers replaced at mid-year and despite that stroke of genius, somehow those teams still managed not to go to the World Series. Ted Simmons name seems to be thrown around as the obvious replacement, but what in Ted Simmons' past suggest he will be some sort of magic bullet as a manager to make the Brewers better? The fact that this is his first MLB coaching job? I'd love to see the Brewers replace Ned with Simmons if I thought that would mean a ride deep into October, but there is absolutely nothing to suggest that will be the result, as there is nothing to suggest it will result in any improvement what so ever.
  6. naivin
    Seems like the older version of Gabe Gross...seems to need regular AB's to be any good, and is questionable at best in the outfield.
  7. naivin
    Gabe Kapler is Better than Carlos Beltran, Ichiro, Sizemore...Check back in October Doc and let's see how Ryan stacks up then.
  8. naivin
    You know this how? Just so we're clear, your position is that the difference between Ned Yost and Tony LaRussa is 44 wins in a 162 game schedule (.363 vs. .636)? Forgive me if I question you objectivity when you throw around stupid numbers like that.
  9. naivin
    I don't think either one of those things. I think the players are pretty good this year, but as a whole haven't played real well, and I think the manager is fine, and taking teh correct approach with struggling players by not pushing the panic button or making drastic changes a month into a season with several new players in key positions. Not in the least - especially since that isn't necessarily the case. First off, Braun and Fielder have gone a full season though the league and are cleraly being pitched differently, and they will be the first to tell you they need to adjust to that. HR's aside, Corey Hart is hitting .310. Hardy and Weeks haven't exactly been hitting machines over the course of their careers, so while they aren't doing well, their performace isn't all that unfamiliar, and Bill Hall seems to be having a fairly Bill Hall-like year. All of that said, Hall leads the team in HR's, Braun leads in RBI, Hart leads in AVG., and Fielder leads in OBP. Are their overall stats where you'd like them to be? No. Have they played 31 games of a 162 game schedule? Yes. So outside of Kendall who is basically doing what he has always done, and I suppose Cameron who has been here for grand total 6 games, who are these older vets that are performing so well relative to the young guys? Gabe Kapler who is 5 for 29 since April 15th?
  10. naivin
    Short of immediately elevating Jeff Weaver to the rotation, I can't think of a bigger panic move than giving Mr. 21 Starts a big contract extension.
  11. naivin
    To win what exactly? The World Series? No chance. The National League? Extremely unlikely. The NL Central? Probably not. The Wild Card? Possible, but not likely. Finish above .500? Yes, I believe the Brewers can do that without Gallardo, if Sheets makes 30+ starts. Fact is, the game changed dramatically when Gallardo went down. A 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation of Ben Sheets and Jeff Suppan (or feel free to insert (Villanueva, Parra, Bush, Weaver, etc.), doesn't exactly scream playoffs, especially when the 1 in that 1-2 has demonstrated an inability to make it through a season. Even if he does, the drop off after that is pretty drastic.
  12. naivin
    Yes sir.
  13. naivin
    I never quite understand the 'what if' game. What if we had A-Rod? What if we had traded for Harren or Santana? Those things would have likely made the Brewers better as well, but there is nothingto indocate those were any more or less realistic possibilities than signing F-bomb, so I'm not trying to be a jerk, but I just don't get it.
  14. naivin
    No thanks. I don't kow that I could, nor do I really care. I was simply pointing out that hitting and pitching coaches are often the first victims on struggling teams, and based on little more than my owm memory, it generally doesn't translate into any tangible results. If you want to prove that it does make a difference, have at it.
  15. naivin
    After the hitting and/or pitching coach of course. They are almost always the first to go in an absolutely meaningless and completely ineffective way to make something happen.
  16. naivin
    Obviously you can't easily replace a pitcher like Gallardo, but does this situation present a bit of a test of Doug Melvin's mettle? We heard over and over again all through the off-season and Spring Traing how the Brewers had starting pitching depth - and it seemed logical to assume so. I guess we're gonna find out, but this season also provides plenty of evidnec of how quickly and easily depth can disappear. Capuano goes down, Gallardo goes down, and next thing you know we are hearing the name Jeff Weaver. When is he due to start again BTW? Is it true he only started like 6 games in the minors in his career???
  17. naivin
    I heard the news on Yo while driving out of town on Friday. Having had three days almost entirely away from the Brewers, my initial recation reaction has not changed much. I immediately declared teh season "over" as in I don't see anyway the Brewers make the playoffs. I also turned to my wife and told her my secondary reaction that I thought the Brewers may actually go into a bit of a tail spin for the next couple weeks. Three days in Houston seems to indcate that may be happening as well. This is really devastating from a Brewer fan's perspective. Its a very different situation, but it has a feel a bit like teh Sweep suit fiasco. The Brewers left Chicago on a total high, they finally had the roster complete, Braun and Fielder were starting to hit, even though I everyone know the injury had the possibility to be more serious, all indications were that he would be ok - thinsk were rolling along and then BAM! Do I really have to turn one eye towards 2009 on May 2nd? Then again that thought gets a bit depressing as well when you consider teh Sheets situation along with the time it typically takes an athlete to fully come back from this type of injury. While we all no dounbt have more important things and better things to worry about in our lives,l this really sucks! Will the discussion in July be more about our position in the standings or what the Yankees are willing to give us for Sheets?
  18. naivin
    "Wouldn't just seeing how far his leg went past where it should and the fact that he initially collapsed in pain tell you this?" Perhaps it would and perhaps it wouldn't. I don't know. I do know that Kapplinger was in the dugout and not in front of a TV watching the slow motion replay. No way he could have deduced that only seeing him go down in real time from 25 feet away - assuming he saw it at all.
  19. naivin
    See Mitchell report.
  20. naivin
    Well, if that's the case, then I'd say the only way we'll see him in MP again would probably be in another team's uniform. Given the releiver shortage out there, someone will think they can fix him, won't they (I'm looking at you Hank Stienbrenner)?
  21. naivin
    so if, in just 27 games, we can talk about 4 or 5 different plays in which we're wondering what happened, I think that brings him out of the invisible and therefore worthy to be questioned. But that's just it...where are those 4 or 5 different plays. I spend a fair amount of time here and yesterday is the first time I can really recall Sveum's name coming up, and in fairness, from most accounts, it sounds as if we are only talking about 1 play (sending Fielder), where Counsell was due up. So while it is still questionable, I could certainly make a case for being aggressive and making teh defense make a good throw. It might be something to keep an eye on, but I would certainly say he's been rather invisible. Sometimes guys get thrown out - doesn't necessarily mean the decision to send the runner was questionable. The defense gets a say in the matter as well.
  22. naivin
    Good grief.
  23. naivin
    I entered this thread prepared to rip Sveum for a really bad day yesterday. However, given this discussion, I think I'll have to see a bit more. If Weeks ran through a stop sign, obviously, that is not Sveum's fault, and would seem to indicate that he learned his lesson about running on F-bomb when Prince was thrown out. I am generally a believer in erring on teh side of aggressiveness and making the other team make a play. However, if he did send both guys, both times, I can live with the first one, but the second was a big mistake. Fact is, he has been rather invisible most of this year (of course the Brewers haven't sent many runners his way this year), which is good. So, its tough to get too critical based on what happened yesterday given some of the questions about what actually may or may not have happened.
  24. naivin
    I fairly certain if a teams claims T-bow, they are on the hook for his remaining salary. Teams only have to pay a player the minimum salary if T-bow cleared waivers and was then given he outright release, thus making him a FA. Since T-bow doesn't have the service time to refuse assignment, I doubt the Brewers would give him his outright release. I think your understanding is the correct one with one exception...He can refuse the assignement, but he forfeits his contract. That being the case, unless some team were to make the very questionable decision to claim him at $3.2 mil, it looks like it'll almost certainly be AAA or outright release. I aould assume the waiver period will be up some time this weekend.
  25. naivin
    It'll hurt for a couple days, but I think its a safe bet there isn't any real damange, and I'd be surprised if he doesn't make his next start.
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