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splitterpfj

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Everything posted by splitterpfj

  1. splitterpfj
    Happ had been rolling through a fine season - he has 115 Ks in 105.1 IP, he has a 1.18 WHIP, and 10 wins - but he's been hit hard in recent days, which has ballooned his ERA into the mid 4s. Maybe the trade talk has him unsettled, or maybe it's just a bump in the road - but I'd watch closely, to make sure he's ok.
  2. splitterpfj
    I was going to post almost this same exact thing ..... it wouldn't surprise me one bit.
  3. splitterpfj
    The 40-man isn't big enough to hold all of the "keepable" guys the Brewers will have this winter, so dealing from depth makes a lot of sense right now, but don't think for one second that David Stearns will blow his depth out, just because he has it. I expect, "young, controllable talent" to be the foundation of Stearns' work for his entire career - he'll seek opportunities, and make his moves, but those moves could be a "depth for Manny Machado", or a "three teenage pitchers for Adam Lind", or both in the same week.
  4. splitterpfj
    Bump. This is still the way I see it, the Brewers have the mix of "MLB-ready" types the Orioles want, including young pitching. I think the Brewers are the best match, for this reason, and when you add in our ability to take on the rest of Machado's contract without having to create space, that just makes the fit all the better. At this point, I actually expect the Brewers to get Machado - as I said in my original post, someone will have to change course and throw an elite kid at the O's to change where this is heading - maybe that happens, but right now, I doubt it.
  5. splitterpfj
    I wonder if the O's would have interest in taking back Davies as part of a deal for Machado? With his current injury, I doubt it, but I think you're on the right track. I don't think Baltimore will pull an elite prospect in the return for Machado, and they've said they want multiple MLB-ready players in return, so I could see them taking a young veteran back as part of the deal. I think that plays in the Brewers' favor, because we have Arcia, Broxton, Davies, Santana, and Villar, for example - guys who have had success in the big leagues at some point, and who have multiple seasons of control left - if I'm Baltimore, and if that obvious prospect can't be had, I go for multiple players, to increase my odds of having success in this deal. The stock on these guys is down right now, so go get them, and wind up with 3-4 guys. I think the Orioles should push it, and ask for Arcia, Santana, Woodruff, and a kid - whoever the teams can agree on - guys like Erceg, Gatewood, Houser, Medeiros, Diplan and Stokes. In that scenario, the question the Brewers have to ask is, "Are we willing to enter 2019 with neither Arcia, nor Machado here to play SS?" That's a risky move, but the rest of what they'd be giving comes from depth, the risk at SS going forward is the real price we'd be paying. If Milwaukee thinks adding Machado gets them to the 2018 World Series, and if no team throws that elite prospect at the Orioles, I think the Brewers are very well positioned to get him.
  6. splitterpfj
    Ray has made huge strides this season, which is a big deal - on physical skills, Corey Ray is not one of the Brewers ten best prospects, he's one of their best five. There's a lot of work left to do, he's come quite a ways this season, but the K rate is still too high - offensively, he's got speed and power, it's all about making enough contact. Defensively, I'm still not convinced Ray is a center fielder - the minor leagues are there to find these things out, maybe he will be, but he may play best in left field, despite his speed. Don't give up on Corey Ray, don't even think about it, there's immense talent here if he can keep growing - the work ethic and positive attitude are both there too. The Brewers need Corey Ray to pan out, and before this season he played like a bust, for sure - I'm happy for him, and excited again about his future; if he hadn't been the fifth pick overall, people would be talking about the extra base hits and the speed right now, but he'll always have major expectations to live up to. I'm root, root, rooting for Corey Ray, if he don't win it's a shame.
  7. splitterpfj
    I agree with everyone who says there’s no way Hader is traded - forget it.
  8. splitterpfj
    I believe the Mets will deal deGrom if they get an offer they like - it just makes too much sense to use him to bring in a bunch of young talent. To me, for the Brewers to be the match here, there are a few key questions .... 1. Will we give Huira - if not, I think we're out. 2. Assuming Huira's in, I think the Mets get two of Burnes, Ortiz, Peralta and Woodruff - at this point, I say Peralta's out of the deal - can the two teams agree on two from the list? 3. There will be a fourth player, do the Mets try for three pitchers, or do they push for a bat? Most of the top rated hitters the Brewers had entering the season just haven't done a lot this year, the one guy who has taken obvious steps forward is Corey Ray. Is he in play? Do you give both Huira and Ray with two of your best pitching prospects to get deGrom? Do you give three of your best pitching prospects with Huira to get deGrom? If I'm the Mets, that's the sort of package I'm asking for, If no one will meet my price, I can deal this pitcher in December. I think the Brewers have enough in the system to get deGrom - I don't think they'll give what it takes.
  9. splitterpfj
    I agree, I don't consider it likely, but, either of these pitchers would offer multiple years of control beyond this season, which has to intrigue Stearns. I doubt the Brewers will make another 4-for-1 type deal right now, but I sure wouldn't call it impossible given the skill set, and contract of each of these pitchers. This is interesting - Stearns doesn't want a lack of organizational depth, but he's also willing to pay for something he thinks will make a big difference - I'd love to hear the conversations.
  10. splitterpfj
    Corey Ray has taken a huge step forward this year, I'm a fan of Lutz, and I'm excited for his future, but there is NO WAY he is a better prospect than Corey Ray. Ray has more to work on, there's still too much swing and miss, and his defense needs to improve, but his combination of speed, power, and plate discipline is a big deal.
  11. splitterpfj
    Of course they did - the networks play to the most tv sets, which begins with NY, as the largest media market. Beyond that, it absolutely makes sense for the two NY teams to try to work out a deal in this case - the Yankees need help in the rotation, and the Mets need to match up with a team that has a deep farm system. The Brewers could land deGrom, there's enough in the farm system to do that, but if they do, it will be a major change of course for Mr Stearns, because this one would leave them with a hole in the organizational depth he has talked about since the day he was hired. I think the Brewers should pursue the Mets' pitchers, if they are made available, I think there's a rare time and place to make a move like that, and the Brewers have gotten into that window. Having said that, I expect a much lower profile trade for a pitcher, in the same mold as the Chacin signing that took place while the media insisted we were players for Darvish, Arrieta, etc.
  12. splitterpfj
    I'll be shocked if Markakis actually makes it to 3,000 hits, but if he does, I believe he'll be elected to the HOF, and I would have no problem with that.
  13. splitterpfj
    I’d like to say I, “called this one” earlier today in the draft thread, but the truth is - I guessed it. Turang just seems to fit the Brewers - hitter, athletic, up the middle.
  14. splitterpfj
    BINGO! I had no information on this, I just tried to profile the player type, and in the range the Brewers were picking in, Turang fit.
  15. splitterpfj
    I'm looking for the obvious college bat, middle of the field player for the Brewers, and I can't find him. This, of course, is because I have no idea who will be available for them when they pick, but that's the profile that seems to match their philosophy. I'll break a little bit - hitter, middle of the field, but a high schooler .... Milwaukee selects Brice Turang, SS, Santiago HS, CA
  16. splitterpfj
    Stearns loves his organizational depth, and Shields wouldn't cost a major prospect at this point - if he continues to pitch well, I'm sure the Brewers will look into it. I expect the Brewers to check on a bunch of pitchers, and a bunch of whatever else they think the roster needs - why wouldn't they?
  17. splitterpfj
    Everyone seems so down on McHugh. Sure, he's not the ace that everyone really wants but lets be realistic at this point...we're not getting Archer and we probably shouldn't want him. If we make another big trade for a guy like Archer our Farm system would be completely depleated. McHugh would raise the floor on our rotation and he certainly has a higher ceiling than Chacin/Suter/Woodruff. He doesn't walk a lot of batters, he throws strikes, He has a good shot at having a better year than Davies even. If Houston calls and asks for Aguilar and a Top 15-20 prospect, I make that deal in a second if I'm Stearns. With the offense we have along with the continued success of our bullpen, a rotation of... Nelson Anderson McHugh Davies Chacin/Woodruff/Suter ...certainly is playoff-caliber and can make a run at the pennant! You don't NEED an ace to get to the WS. You need about a 3.5-3.8 rotation ERA and that rotation certainly has the ability to hit that mark. I want this to be true, but this includes an enormous assumption. Jimmy Nelson had his pitching shoulder repaired in multiple spots, and we think he'll just show up and roll like he was never gone? I sure hope so, but I think he's just as likely to miss this entire season as he is to come back and be what he was last year - the safe bet is somewhere in between.
  18. splitterpfj
    This is exactly right .... there's no reason not to want Archer, but there's every reason not to overpay. I'm sure the Brewers are watching him, and I'm sure they know what they're willing to pay - as with several other pitchers, "stay tuned."
  19. splitterpfj
    We're all going to keep talking about starting pitching, and I think that's warranted. The Brewers don't have terrible starters, but I wouldn't call their rotation a, "strength", either. Perhaps the Brewers will target pitchers with multiple years of control at the deadline, if they do, that opens up quite a few names to at least consider, but if they go with rentals, here are some ideas: Bartolo Colon (I can't resist putting the big fella on the list) Patrick Corbin JA Happ If the Brewers go beyond just this season, I'm sure you'll hear Cole Hamels as a possibility, but I think that's a longshot. Hamels has a team option for next year at 20 million, with a 6 million dollar buyout. Beyond what he's making this year, the two teams would have to navigate through that, too. It's not impossible, but I'll bet against it. If the Brewers focus on a longer time frame, Baltimore controls Kevin Gausman through 2020, and Dylan Bundy though 2021 - both guys have been erratic in their careers, but there's plenty of talent there, for sure. Dealing with the Orioles can be a pain in the butt, and they may decide to keep those guys, but I thought they were worth mentioning as possibilities. Chris Archer has had one bad start in his last five - you know the rumors are coming if he keeps that up.
  20. splitterpfj
    If the Brewers decide they need a second baseman, and if they go for a rental at that spot, there are some potential options out there, depending on which teams stay in the hunt, etc. Free agents at season's end .... Asdrubal Cabrera Brian Dozier DJ Lemahieu Jed Lowrie Some of the teams those players are on are likely to at least be on the fringe of the race at the deadline, and it's possible a couple of them are willing to make a qualifying offer and either keep their player or get the draft pick for losing them, but at least there some solid maybes at that position.
  21. splitterpfj
    Josh Hader is not available for Manny Machado, or any other rental - the suggestion of a deal like that is both humorous and insulting. If the Brewers decide to go for Machado, I would have to think Arcia is in the deal, and if you're going to win a bidding war for one of the best players in baseball, the Brewers don't have a minor league player who can be off the table. If I'm Baltimore, I want Arcia, and the best two pitching prospects I can get from Milwaukee. I'll guess they would see Burnes as the best of the bunch, so I'll put him in, then you can debate who the other one is. I could picture a 4th player being added, but it wouldn't be a prospect currently high on anyone's list. To make a move like that, the Brewers would have to truly believe they can win this year's World Series. Honestly, I don't see David Stearns making a bet like that. I could picture another Yelich-type move, one with literally no one in the Brewers' system truly off-limits, but I would think that would bring back a starting pitcher with years of control, not a stud infielder who walks in November.
  22. splitterpfj
    I'm sure the Brewers will be looking at pitchers, as will every other team, it just goes with the game of baseball. Second base and possibly catcher are much closer to the, "have to" category at the moment, so I agree on Lowrie, and as others have said, getting both Lowrie and Lucroy from Oakland could make a lot of sense in July, if the A's are sellers. Keep an eye on Asdrubal Cabrera as well, the Mets have faded after their fast start, he's having his best season in years, and he's a FA after the season.
  23. splitterpfj
    I say we trade for Freddy Peralta.
  24. splitterpfj
    Steve Stone
  25. splitterpfj
    Tyler is pitching for the Sugar Land Skeeters this season - Indy Ball.
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