It's about separating results from performance, and to an extent performance from talent. Good results and good performance (especially if there's a good track record, indicative of taletn) and you believe in it. Good performance but poor results and you should have some patience. Burnes is both pitching well and getting results, so believe in him. Whereas you shouldn't have believed in Jon Lester after his first 3-4 starts; his ERA was good, literally everything else was a red flag. Some stats you can trust more than others in small sample sizes, so trust in them. When a young guy struggles for a year and then makes significant changes and improves it’s ok to be excited. We all were excited by his minor league performance.....it’s great to see him start to figure it out.