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And That

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Everything posted by And That

  1. And That
    Gord, you had one job to do. One job.
  2. And That
    I don't know that Carter has much more value than when he was dumped by the Astros and the Brewers picked him up for a couple million, and he's going to get a raise in arbitration which will knock his value down a little as well.
  3. And That
    Guerra is already teetering on bobblehead territory.
  4. And That
    I don't believe there's a moratorium on trade dialogue at any point during the year. I imagine a fair amount of execs are on vacation after the World Series, so that might slow talks down, but just a hair.
  5. And That
    Yep.
  6. And That
    I agree that it's doubtful Braun removes the Dodgers from his list, but he could add other teams that would have an interest, or pare his list even further.
  7. And That
    The only teams currently not on his no trade list. Hence my question about the timing of when he submits a new list. If he submits a new list the day after the World Series and makes himself available to more teams, that obviously helps the Brewers' leverage. A new list could also hurt the Brewers' leverage even further.
  8. And That
    Part of the reason why people are so sure the deal will get done this offseason and not later is that Braun's 10 and 5 rights kick in next May. So unlike with Lucroy, whom they could wait to trade, there is no waiting with Braun before an already difficult set of trade parameters becomes that much more tricky. I wouldn't be shocked if Braun were still a Brewer in spring training, but I would be equally as unshocked if Braun were to be traded within 2 weeks of the World Series ending. Does anyone know when he submits his no-trade list for the 2017 season? Is that something he'd do in spring, or immediately after the World Series?
  9. And That
    You are delusional if you think Ryan Braun and his contract will be bringing back top quality pitching. Stop.
  10. And That
    Teams may pick as many Rule 5 players as they have open 40-man roster spots. 40-man rosters have to be set 2 days before the Rule 5 draft, i.e. no one can be outrighted in the two days before the draft.
  11. And That
    Alberto Paulino and Moises Perez are the only two DSL players brought stateside. Paulino's a (much) older than usual DSL player at 25, so he makes sense to get a longer look at. Perez showed some nice pop and plate awareness this summer in his first season. Perez just turned 18, so with a decent fall and spring he's a good bet to stick around in Maryvale next summer. Preston Gainey is the only player above advanced A-ball on the roster. He needs work after missing much of the season with a back injury. Kudos to BA for putting this together. It used to be almost impossible to find out who all were in fall instructs.
  12. And That
    I believe it is safe to say that there will be a fair amount of turnover on the player development side. There were some changes Stearns/Arnold knew they had to soon after they got here (Reid Nichols, buh-bye), but there are other things I think that they needed time to see shake out. Now that they've had a year to see how everyone works and works together, there will be some more-than modest changes up and down the amateur side of the organization. This includes scouting in addition to the development staff.
  13. And That
    McCann has a dedication to the unwritten rules that would make most of the Cardinals blush. I'd pass on him for any number of reasons, but mostly because I straight up don't like his condescending attitude towards the game. Skip Schumaker probably replaced his Braun jersey with a McCann jersey. The Brewers would be better served seeing if they have anything in Susac and possibly Pina.
  14. And That
    The Brewers took their highest rated draft prospect this year. They would have taken Ray at the first overall pick, had they had the selection. If there is a study showing how signing players under slot is a failed concept, I would be interested in reading it.
  15. And That
    Except that there is no absolute, slap-bang #3 overall player, nor is there any particular #11 overall player. Those rankings don't exist. No front office pays much or any attention to what Jim Callis, John Manuel, or anyone else is saying. All teams value these players differently because they are evaluated internally in unique constructs. The Brewers would have taken Ray at 1.1 - other teams wouldn't have taken him at 1.10. Someone's #3 is someone else's #15. And sometimes there's Jose Fernandez, who made it clear he wanted to sign with the Marlins, so he ended up with the Marlins. There are too many variables in 30 different scouting departments to say "player A has value X" and "player B has value Y." What's not variable are the bonus pools - those are real, verifiable numbers that all teams know they have to work with. And the more money a team is able to spend, the more players that it values highly can be acquired.
  16. And That
    Or, as Perfect Game stated prior to the 2015 draft: A solid athlete with loose and flexible actions behind the plate, McDowell put together a nice overall year on both sides of the ball while showing off his strong catch-and-throw skills. At the plate McDowell is a righthanded hitter who is capable of putting together quality at-bats and get on base thanks in part to his quality two-strike approach (24 walks, 20 hit-by-pitch, 27 strikeouts). With a short and quick swing and a feel for the barrel, McDowell ended up tied for second on the team with seven home runs while driving in 45 runs. Or, Baseball Draft Report: McDowell, on the other hand, appears to be one of the nation’s most underappreciated catching prospects. He does the things you’d expect out of any real catching prospect (solid glove, interesting power upside) while also doing the extras (really nice runner for the position, more athletic than most backstops) that make him a legitimate top ten round sleeper. As Brew4U noted (as has TheCrew07 in the past), McDowell still needs work with blocking and framing, but he has the tools and athleticism to advance. "Lacks power entirely" - wow.
  17. And That
    Using your math for the 2016 draft, which is what I was referring to: $6,510,800 slot - $4,000,000 (what Anderson signed for) = $2,510,800 $4,382,200 slot - $4,125,000 (what Ray signed for) = $257,000 Therefore the third pick was worth $2,253,800 more than the fifth pick. Or 2014, if you'd like: $5,721,500 slot - $6,582,000 (what Rodon signed for) = -$860,500 $3,851,000 slot - $3,851,000 (what Gordon signed for) = 0 Therefore the third pick was worth $860,500 less than the fifth pick? And yes, you will say Anderson was an underslot signing, to which I say, this is exactly my point. Guys are not drafted in order of talent because all teams view talent differently. Players are drafted because teams try to maximize the amount of self-perceived talent that they can acquire with their available bonus pool. In part because they signed Anderson to a deal $2.5 million under slot, they were able to get Joey Wentz for $1.4 million over slot, and the next four picks over slot as well. Had they selected Groome instead, they probably do not get Wentz, or a few other guys. Of course it is questionable whether or not that was the right strategy, time will tell, but by drafting at #3, the Braves had options the Brewers did not. The larger bonus pool a team has, the more talent it has the chance to acquire. And at the top of the first round, there is an extremely sharp slope to the bonus pool values. There is a ton of difference between picking at #3 and #5.
  18. And That
    Re-looking at the list and thinking about catchers, a little surprised Max McDowell didn't receive any votes. His work behind the plate is evolving, but he threw out 44% of runners, he gets on base, and even stole 21 bases in 24 attempts. I'm guilty of not voting for him as well, but he is one of the more intriguing prospects heading into next season, IMO.
  19. And That
    Jacob Nottingham, Max McDowell, Mario Feliciano, Jose Sibrian, and Dustin Houle disagree. Maybe even Carlos Leal too, somewhere. Of course if they could get a great deal on Mejia, they'd be nuts not to take it, but catching isn't anything they need to be singling out as a need.
  20. And That
    As for who was taken where, it's in the eye of the beholder. I'm sure some teams had Ray at 1 or 2. Equally as sure others had him outside of their top 10. And Groome was definitely the best player in the draft... until he wasn't. If Pint and Ray were both on the board when the Brewers picked, I'm guessing Pint would have slipped past Milwaukee. It's simply easier to get more talent with more money, if you're willing to spread it around. And the difference between the #3 and #5 slot in 2016 was $2.1+ million, not $500k. The Brewers lost out on $900k just by not drafting at 4.
  21. And That
    Don't higher picks sign for more money? No. None of the first five picks signed for slot this year. Or the year prior.
  22. And That
    Didn't McCarthy have one of the bigger anti-Braun rants during the PED scandal? Like Skip Schumaher level if I remember right. If the Dodgers are looking to get rid of him to get Braun... irony.
  23. And That
    If you're a team whose true performance should be 90 losses, it can make a huge difference in draft position if you get lucky and only lose 86 games, or get unlucky and lose 94.
  24. And That
    If the poster just recently made that comment, wouldn't that be less than a month? It seems like you are the person defining "the myth" as taking place over exactly the last month of the season. Haven't seen that defined length of time from anyone else. I believe what the frustration is, is that while the Brewers have generally been not good for decently sized chunks of their history, they have rarely managed to be bad enough to get one of the top couple of picks. Since their lone World Series appearance, the Brewers have drafted in the top 3 exactly twice, and have not drafted first overall in more than 30 years. Given the Brewers' historic mediocrity, you would think they would have lucked into the top spot at least once since BJ Surhoff. They're not even "always the bridesmaid" - they have been more of an usher.
  25. And That
    The Brewers lose 2 more games (maybe even just 1?), they pick two spots higher. It doesn't take a "big hot streak" to lose important draft position.
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