And That
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Everything posted by And That
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Minor league free agent pitching didn't seem particularly deep to me this year, and the Brewers aren't in great need of much outside help on the minor league mounds going into the 2011 season, so here are just a few RHPs and LHPs I think they should consider: RHPs: Ching Lung Lo, Erick Abreu, Edgar Gonzalez, Richard de los Santos, Blake Johnson, Jason Hirsh LHPs: Dana Eveland, Geno Espineli, Andy Sisco, Ryan Feierabend, Chris Seddon, Darin Downs -
Minor league free agent pitching didn't seem particularly deep to me this year, and the Brewers aren't in great need of much outside help on the minor league mounds going into the 2011 season, so here are just a few RHPs and LHPs I think they should consider: RHPs: Ching Lung Lo, Erick Abreu, Edgar Gonzalez, Richard de los Santos, Blake Johnson, Jason Hirsh LHPs: Dana Eveland, Geno Espineli, Andy Sisco, Ryan Feierabend, Chris Seddon, Darin Downs
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I wouldn't. Especially not the guys with only a few years left on their contracts. I'm not going to dig through all of those contracts right now, but I don't think anyone from that group is signed for as long as Braun. Again, a big part of Braun's value is his contract. He's not only signed through 2015, he's signed through 2015 incredibly cheaply. He's not the best hitter in baseball, or IMO even in the top 10. Top 20, probably. However, almost everyone around him is going to be making a lot more in the next five years. His conservative contract and the cost control that comes with it is a remarkable asset. The Brewers don't have many remarkable assets. Braun for Lester comes close to being a good deal for both sides, but I still wouldn't do it due to the injury risk built in to trading for a pitcher. The extra win per season of value Lester would bring (if they both maintain constant production) isn't enough to mitigate both the injury risk and the extra year on Braun's deal. I do believe a reasonable person could see it the other way, though.
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On my Twitter feed, I've been running through some names of batters from the BA free agent list that I'd like to see the Brewers go after. The Brewers are in particular need of middle infield and catching depth, though the crop of minor league free agent outfielders is pretty good this year, too. Catchers: Carlos Corproan, Dusty Brown, Cole Armstrong, Brandon Yarbrough, Hector Gimenez, Dusty Ryan (I had Erik Kratz on the list too, but he's already signed with the Phillies.) Infielders: Joel Guzman, Russ Canzler, Luis O. Rodriguez, Drew Sutton, Andy Marte, Daniel Mayora, Ed Lucas, D'Angelo Jimenez, Ruben Gotay, Jesus Guzman, Tim Torres, Marcos Cabral, Hainley Statia, Drew Meyer (Not all of them are middle infielders, even though the Brewers should keep their focus there.) Outfielders: Bryan LaHair, Wladimir Balentien, Jose Constanza, Bronson Sardinha, Mike Wilson, Brandon Boggs (There are other guys too, but once again, the Brewers don't have a big need here.) Once the Brewers have filled some holes, I'll refresh my roster projections, maybe around the end of the year.
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On my Twitter feed, I've been running through some names of batters from the BA free agent list that I'd like to see the Brewers go after. The Brewers are in particular need of middle infield and catching depth, though the crop of minor league free agent outfielders is pretty good this year, too. Catchers: Carlos Corproan, Dusty Brown, Cole Armstrong, Brandon Yarbrough, Hector Gimenez, Dusty Ryan (I had Erik Kratz on the list too, but he's already signed with the Phillies.) Infielders: Joel Guzman, Russ Canzler, Luis O. Rodriguez, Drew Sutton, Andy Marte, Daniel Mayora, Ed Lucas, D'Angelo Jimenez, Ruben Gotay, Jesus Guzman, Tim Torres, Marcos Cabral, Hainley Statia, Drew Meyer (Not all of them are middle infielders, even though the Brewers should keep their focus there.) Outfielders: Bryan LaHair, Wladimir Balentien, Jose Constanza, Bronson Sardinha, Mike Wilson, Brandon Boggs (There are other guys too, but once again, the Brewers don't have a big need here.) Once the Brewers have filled some holes, I'll refresh my roster projections, maybe around the end of the year.
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While I doubt he'd accept the offer, the Brewers could try and get Peterson to oversee the minor league pitching for a year if Roenicke indeed decides to go a different way with his pitching coach.
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Dayton Buller is not on BA's most recent transactions summary. Could be he signed a multi-year deal last June?
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Dayton Buller is not on BA's most recent transactions summary. Could be he signed a multi-year deal last June?
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Finding average players at those positions is relatively easy. However, we have exceptional players there, and finding exceptional players is, by nature, very difficult. There are only a handful of players in either league who wouldn't be downgrades from Braun and Fielder. And we're not getting any of them. I agree with thebruce44 - trading McGehee and keeping both Gamel and Braun makes a lot more sense to me than relying on McGehee and Gamel.
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Going by WAR, Lester averages about one win better than Braun over the past 3 years (5.7 vs. 4.6). One win is something, but it's not enough risk premium for me, especially since I don't know if Lester is going to get any better than he already is and I think Braun has at least one 5 WAR season in him in the near future. I also wouldn't downplay Braun's extra year at the end of the contract... that's still huge value.
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It's cliche to say, but it's true... I wouldn't trade Ryan Braun straight up for Jon Lester because Lester is one arm injury away from losing all of his value. Braun is not only signed longer than Lester, it's much less likely a severe injury will threaten his career in the next five years. It is so hard to put a value on what we'd have to get back from Braun because he's a really good player with a really good contract, a combination a small/mid-market club like Milwaukee doesn't often have in its possession. I wouldn't trade him just for Lester and certainly not just for Buchholtz. OTOH, the Red Sox would be kind of crazy to give up both of them in the same deal. Perhaps we can trade them Gallardo too?
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If you haven't seen any in this thread, probably not.
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Argue with a premise all you want, I think you get the point. I don't even know what premise you're referring to, or what your point is. I'm just glad I can form an opinion again. Whew. After all is said and done, are we going to judge him for his speech or what happens on the field? I'm not talking about judging him right now, I'm talking about forming an opinion about him right now. I'm still not sure why opinions are being frowned upon. I don't believe anyone has said "he's going to be a terrible manager." If you can correct me on that, please do. I believe most people who aren't head over heels about the hire have the opinion that he appears to be a really intelligent guy who seems to want to be more aggressive than may be helpful, but are waiting to see what happens. That's my opinion.
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Form an opinion of their ability to talk? Sure. I am lost with the logic on this one... by listening to someone talk, I am only be able to form an opinion on their ability to verbalize words? I can not draw any conclusions about them from their words which they use to describe themselves and their thoughts and feelings on particular issues when they talk?
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It's not ok to form an opinion of someone from hearing them talk?
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This is basically how I feel about him. It remains to be seen how his philosophy will actually play out on the field.
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I think if you have that idea in the first place, you're in trouble.
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Roenicke: "If you want to try a fake bunt and a double steal you do it. If it doesn't work out, oh well."
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I got that vibe, too. Roenicke seemed to infer that the pitching results the Brewers had were not indicative of good coaching.
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Roenicke: "I wanted to be more aggressive [than Scioscia]." Oh no you didn't.
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Maldonado is regarded as a really good defender, though as you can see from his offensive output, his potential there is limited.
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I, personally, don't want to see any drastic changes to our offensive approach. And as long as we field basically the same lineup and since we have the same hitting coach, I don't see the approach at the plate changing a whole lot. Adding some stolen bases and a hit-and-run here and there to our approach won't hurt team OBP or SLG much if at all, and as long as the SB% is high enough, it will help the team score more runs, and score runs more consistently. Putting some diversity into the offensive will reduce the risk of the long offensive droughts this team has gone through.
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There's a very low correlation between SB leaders and R leaders to be sure, but as long as the team is successful in stealing a relatively high percentage of bases, that has some positive value. I'm a fan of successful stolen bases - they help score more runs. To that end, trying to correlate SB with overall runs scored is kind of off base (ha-ha) IMO - stolen bases are such a small part of the overall game that its effect on the total number of runs scored in a season is going to be relatively low. A really bad stolen base team may be worth, at most, a couple wins less than a really good stolen base team. Walks and especially HR obviously have a much bigger impact. However, the incremental impact of successful stolen bases should not be discounted. Every little bit helps.
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Isn't 67%-70% the "break-even" point for stolen base success? If so, a 66% SB% doesn't strike me as something that would sink a team.
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I'd still like to see Randolph come back as bench coach. I haven't heard his name called for any of the remaining managerial openings, so there's still a chance. Even though Roenicke played in the NL experience and has minor league managerial experience, you'd have to think they'll bring in a bench coach who has managed before, even if its just another former minor league manager.
