nathanj42

Yeah, Perkins might be DFA'ed in the near future.

Also, guessing this indicates that Perkins' time in MKE is limited. Tough because he's so well liked.

$30mm is such a small number for an 8 year contact and buys out all of his entire prime. Guessing this is valued at: $1mm x 3 years Arb years: $2mm, $4mm, $6mm 2 free agent years: $7.5mm x 2 years This is paying for a low end starting OF / 4th OF level player through the arb process plus 2 FA years. Considering Woodruff is making $20mm, this is a small risk and potentially huge surplus value if he becomes an average 2-3 WAR OF.

FG stuff+/location+/pitching+ 99/108/107. That'll do.

Maybe fix the headline

For pitchers, I prefer bWAR, which is ERA based. I'm not a fan of basing fWAR on FIP, when there's so many better metrics. It's crude and obsolete. If they changed to xFIP, then yeah, I'd prefer fWAR.

I'm hopeful that Chourio can keep up his .903 xwOBA, 50.0% Barrel % and 87.5% HardHit%. With players with 10+ PAs, Chourio's 103.7 EV is 7.3MPH faster than any other player in MLB, which is the same gap as #2 (James Wood, not the guy for James Wood High School) to #220 and former Brewer Rhys Hoskins 89.1 EV.

Despite the high-ish ERA, Uribe should be the guy until Megill gets back to his 2023-25 form. Uribe's babip is .400 which likely regress. While his stuff+ is down, his pitching+ is 109, which is close to his career 111.

Guessing the rough value per year is: $1mm for the first 3 years, $4mm, $7mm, $10mm for the arb years, then 2 years of free agency ~$14mm. If he develops into a league average bat with above average SS defense, that's a huge discount for a 3-4 WAR player.

I still think Black could be an above average (3-3.5 WAR) LF type player (.270/.350/.425 similar to Ian Happ with slightly more bat and slightly less defense value) with his bat and speed. Insisting on IF reps cost him development time. He just never looked like a natural IF IMO. 2025 was a waste given his injury , and he's feeling healthy now. I'd start him in AAA to keep getting regular ABs, then when Mitchell gets injured, move Chourio to CF and let Black be the primary LF.

The difference between 2025 SP options and 2026 SP options is so huge.

Considering the Brewers only homegrown corner infielders of the last 35 years are Jeff Cirillo and Prince Fielder, it's an exciting time with all these potential mashers on the verge of contributing for the Brewers (plus Lara potentially being the next Mike Felder).

I assume they want Quero to start more games at catcher than 2025 (42) as they build him back from injury. Looks like his bat is more than ready.

Given that Contreras plays so often, not sure if Quero on the MLB roster for the entire 2026 season would be ideal for his development. I think Quero it'd be better if he spent 60% of his time starting in Nashville, and 40% being a MLB back-up in part of the schedule when the Brewers have fewer off days, allowing Quero to spell Contreras. Do we know if McGuire can be optioned to AAA if he is on the MLB roster?

I agree. This seems like the most probable roster.