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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    'Very good' is definitely a stretch, even during those last 11 healthy starts his numbers were almost completely average for a starter. Garza is a salary dump. Anyone expecting us to receive anything of significance for him, barring a real hot first half in 2017 and then a trade, is going to be very disappointed.
  2. adambr2
    Most of what you mentioned is something that MLB wants, including the draft. Can't just go ahead and do it, gotta get the union on board too, and they weren't. So.... not a small market friendly deal then. I didn't say it's not, as I said several posts ago. The point is that the MLB cannot just go ahead and implement an international draft or other measures on their own.
  3. adambr2
    Other than the international draft, just trying to understand here what exactly you're looking for here that isn't just a product of a free market. Blown up salaries sounds bad and a salary cap sounds good, but the reality is that the pie is as big as it is and it's just a matter of how much of it each side gets. Most of what you mentioned is something that MLB wants, including the draft. Can't just go ahead and do it, gotta get the union on board too, and they weren't.
  4. adambr2
    How so? We'll have an extra pick every year without needing to win a lottery, a hard cap on international spending should help us be more competitive in that area, and the lack of forfeiting a 1st round pick for a QO should help us in a year or two.
  5. adambr2
    On the surface I don't mind this deal, it's relatively cheap and perfectly tradeable. On the other hand if Gennett is not in fact traded, I'm not exactly sure how he fits onto the team next year. The club has hinted a commitment to Villar at 2nd, if that's the case he surely isn't going to be platooned. I suppose it's possible that they might plan on going with Scooter at 2nd and Villar at 3rd against RHP and Villar at 2nd and Perez at 3rd vs. LHP, but I doubt it.
  6. adambr2
    Hey, it never hurts to speculate. I think there's a good chance Trout ends up agreeing to go somewhere. Just doesn't seem like a fit right now, doubt he would want to go to a small market to be part of a rebuild, and because we're rebuilding I don't think we'd be wanting to part with the prospects that it would take.
  7. adambr2
    First, Trout has a full NTC. Can't see Milwaukee high on his preferred destination list. That package also isn't enough. You can't make up for quality with quantity and even though there is some quality in that deal, it isn't close to enough to land Trout. There is not a single prospect in that system to rebuild their farm which is what I'm sure they'll want to do if they ever trade Trout. My guess is if we were in the position to even try to pursue him, which we're not, you'd probably have to offer all of Brinson, Hader or Ortiz, Ray, and Isan Diaz right off the bat just to get them to even pick up the phone and listen.
  8. adambr2
    I really doubt this. If the Dodgers needing DeLeon for September was the only thing that kept him from being a Brewer, I'm sure the Brewers would have gladly sent Garza and a few million dollars to the Dodgers to fill the spot and complete the deal. I don't think there is any way a deal of this magnitude falls apart solely on the basis of the Dodgers needing 4 September starts out of a guy who had never pitched at the MLB level before.
  9. adambr2
    Was non-tendered by the Padres, carries a 3.64 career ERA and even better FIP (3.38). At his best he is near ace quality, but he missed most of 2016 because of injury. Prior to that he had full dominant seasons around 200 innings for the Padres in 2015 and 2014. If you're looking to buy low on a starting pitcher and take a chance on the risk/reward, the reward ceiling is about as high as you can possibly get for the money.
  10. adambr2
    Thanks for passing that along, good to see we'll still get the extra pick every year.
  11. adambr2
    Honestly? In part, I blame the arbitration process and panels when something like this happens. If Carter's projected arbitration numbers were more in line with his actual value, I think it's very possible we just would have gone ahead and tendered him for $4-5M. Even though we've all known for at least a decade or two that there's much more meaningful ways of determining a player's value than just going by their batting average, RBIs and HRs, arbitration panels are still notoriously stuck in the 1980s. I have no idea why, but there doesn't seem to have been much momentum to change it. So the result is you have guys that go to arbitration with projected numbers that are clearly higher than their actual value, and as a team if you've already committed yourself to the player at this point, you're just stuck paying that high amount. GMs and advisors are smarter than that these days. It's no longer just a bunch of old timers sitting around smoking cigars and talking about who's a gamer. And until arbitration panels catch up with the rest of baseball, you'll see more of this.
  12. adambr2
    Unless I missed it, didn't see anything about the Competitive Balance Lottery?
  13. adambr2
    I don't think anyone is arguing that Braun is expensive for his contract, but a big difference between Fowler and Braun is that Fowler is a free agent and basically costs a team nothing more than money, whereas we are obviously looking for a sizeable return for Braun. With that in mind it's understandably expected that we should pay some of the contract to compensate for the prospects sent our way for him. Braun's remaining salary and contract probably isn't substantially less right now than what he would net on the open market if he were a free agent right now, so it doesn't make good business sense for any team to not only pay him that full amount but also part with some of their own players.
  14. adambr2
    Doesn't a 10 day DL kind of open the door for starting pitchers whose teams planned on skipping a start anyway going on the DL for 'arm soreness' to gain a roster spot?
  15. adambr2
    While there's no doubt that Braun and McCutcheon are two different situations and tough to compare, I do think it's inevitable that whatever McCutcheon gets the Pirates will certainly be used in conversations between Stearns and whatever suitors he has for Braun. Stearns will point out Braun's far superior year, and trade partners will argue that Braun can't play CF, is older and has too many years left of commitment, Stearns will argue that Braun's longer contract is actually a benefit at a reasonable price tag, etc. etc. If you took all the pros and cons and weighed them, I would guess that the current cumulative values of McCutcheon and Braun are pretty similar, but that's a total guess, it depends how 29 other GMs view it. Braun may be downgraded because of his PED history. Whatever the case may be, the more that the Pirates can land for McCutcheon, the better case Stearns has for Braun. If they can land Robles for McCutcheon, that's good news.
  16. adambr2
    I'm glad they are going to give HFA to the best record team instead of the old way of just alternating it year to year, which was even more of a ridiculous way of doing it than using the AS game. Since the leagues didn't play each other, alternating years was a fair compromise. Honestly it is now likely to go to the team in the least competitive division, unless a WC team gets in. Might be more fair if HFA was determined by the league with the better interleague record. A fair compromise? The big advantage that gives you a much better chance of winning the World Series should be determined by random oscillation? Whether you happened to make it in an odd or even number year? Doing it by best record without interleague play wouldn't have been perfect, but it's a lot better than just having it determined by luck. Has that been in place in 1982 we might be talking about the Brewer team that won the World Series, not just made it.
  17. adambr2
    I'm glad they are going to give HFA to the best record team instead of the old way of just alternating it year to year, which was even more of a ridiculous way of doing it than using the AS game.
  18. adambr2
    Yeah, I'd like to see a international draft, but a cap on international spending is a whole lot better than status quo.
  19. adambr2
    Puig is still 25 and according to Fangraphs has been worth $92.2M dollars to his team already in his short career. I know this horse has been beaten to death but I have no idea why people don't see the potential advantage of such a low buy. There is no one in our system, either at the MLB or MILB level, with Puig's upside. Of course there are risks. If he hadn't slumped he would not be available. Not for Braun or anyone else we have.
  20. adambr2
    Mostly looks good to me, but I see zero reason for Maldonado to be starting in 2017. Personally I'd move on from him completely, but if you absolutely must keep him around as the backup for a year in arbitration, I could see that. Now is as good of time as any to give Susac an extended look.
  21. adambr2
    He was DFA'd not non-tendered meaning if he's traded that team has exclusive rights to negotiate with him until he signs or that team non-tenders him. I thought he was first non-tendered, then DFA'ed. That is the thread title anyway, that he was non-tendered.
  22. adambr2
    Can someone explain to me why a team would trade for him now? He wasn't tendered, which presumably means he isn't under control for next season, which essentially makes him a free agent, does it not? Just trying to understand why a trading club would have any more right to sign him over any other team.
  23. adambr2
    Interesting stipulations on the deal. Thames agrees to be optioned or outrighted at any time. Brewers agree not to offer him arbitration after the contract expires. Small re-assignment bonus to Thames if he's traded. 500K in bonuses available annually for PAs.
  24. adambr2
    Thames is a great investment, very Stearns like. Best case scenario, he's a late bloomer and while he doesn't match his Korea numbers he ends up being a tremendous bat for cheap. Worst case scenario he's a platoon bat and we buy him out for 1M after 3 years. Nice call Briggs.
  25. adambr2
    Then trade him, don't give him away. Very bad decision by Stearns. Why would a guy that 29 other teams deemed not worthy of a 1 year/$3M dollar offer a year ago with no trade compensation, and who was pretty much exactly the guy who everyone expected, be worth anything in trade compensation now, with an $8M dollar price tag attached?
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