Oh, so only the people that like the go for it on 4th down move can act like the following 49er drive would have automatically led to points had they started at the 25 instead of the 5, and just assume they get as much or more yardage? I thought it doesn't work that way... Sorry, nobody's mind is getting changed, we will agree to disagree here. 3 points in that spot in the game against a really good defense to me is worth far more than a consolation prize of 20 yds in field position if you don't convert. IMO, scoring decisions early in the second quarter should never be about weighing how many scores/possessions different decisions put you up by, it should be all about what decision gives you the best odds of increasing your point total. Converting and getting a TD on that drive is the obvious best case scenario, but I didn't like the risk taken at that point in the game given how it was unfolding compared to just picking up 3 more points and really giving san fran no sort of advantage afterwards. Had the GB defense forced a 3 and out right away leading to a short field on GB's next TD drive, I could see an argument justifying pinning them back as an advantage - but that didn't happen. I actually would have been more ok with going for it on 4th and short from the 30 in that spot compared to opting not to take a gimme field goal. I mean, you can feel however you want to feel about it, I'm just saying that at this point, there's years of analytics and data that demonstrate that going for a 4th and short inside the 5 (and most other situations) is almost always better toward your chances of winning the game than kicking a FG. You're literally arguing against math. https://medium.com/@greerre/when-should-nfl-teams-go-for-it-on-4th-down-expected-points-vs-cvar-428c9e26b0a9 I understand that each situation is different and you can't just be a total slave to analytics but when you're talking 4th and 1 and inside the 5 the value of each of your two choices as far as contributing toward your chances of winning is actually not very close.