Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

adambr2

Verified Member
  • Posts

    39,261
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    106

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by adambr2

  1. What savings in your proposal? You essentially give Adames more guaranteed money for the entire contract and he has no incentive to play hard the next 3 years. Reason Willy signs my less projected contract is because he sees more money right away that he can invest however he wants to make more money out of it than he could just going year-year and having to produce and work hard to keep pace on that projection. Take real estate. He can buy himself and parents a great home. Or he can tell a real estate that he's "projected" to make this money so give him the house loans and believe the imaginary income will exist even after death or unrecoverable injury. That insurance is how the team saves money on a projection both in arb projection and the future FA projection. The team has Yelich's contract and the Arb raises or contract extensions of Woodruff and Burnes to factor in on payroll. Paying Adames more these next 3years than likely they would is going to end up a reason you don't extend Burnes or trade one of the 2 away. The extension should lessen Adames' 2nd and 3rd year arb projection to accommodate Burnes and Woodruff's salaries by getting Adames more money up front. Huh? No incentive to play hard the next 3 years? Maybe to earn those 17.5M options and then hit free agency at age 31? Does Freddy Peralta have no reason to play hard right now? I don't have a problem with your deal either. A straight 5 year deal for $60M buying out 2 free agency years with no options is fine, too, if you believe in him. But if you're getting team options, you definitely have to pay a little more.
  2. Thus, its a preposterous notion, the Cubs would not trade players (who are going to elect free agency in November) to a particular team out of spite or a sense of rivalry, if in fact that team had made the clear cut best offer for said player. It's not preposterous, and it's not based out of spite, it's public relations. There's years and years of historical precedent that show that major players being dealt within their division are proportionality far less than the rest of the league. It happens, but they are typically smaller deals. Mid-season blockbusters are almost always between teams not in the same division. There are exceptions, but they are incredibly rare.
  3. I don't quite get suppose hes at 3/30 projection so we offer 3/35 with 2 club options 15&20 mil option. So you take a projection add 7.5mil to it followed to continual raises like a FA model? Wheres the savings here on Milw's side? I always thought an extension with option years spread the wealth earlier to save money near back-end. Youre giving Adames 7.5 mil more than projected and trusting he'll remain worth 17.5M avg the 2 FA seasons. Or in essence paying Adames 2/40. on the FA seasons? He's on a hott streak. White hot like the comparable JJ Hardy used to go through. Those followed with streaks like the one he started the season with for Tampa. I'm excited too and all about Adames, but just not on same page on the money here. Done right the 3/30mil projection ought to look more like extending him at 3/27 rate but paying him 7.5, 9, 10.5 with option years where the buyout is 2.5mil. Then Adames has guaranteed projection of 3/30, a 29.5 guarantee. 1st year FA buyout I would go 14mil and 2yr I think 18.5 is fair. Toss in incentives to earn extra. Even now I look at this and feel I'm offering too much but all told in the 1st extension end Adames gets 5/59.5 to enter real FA with. He'll have made what? 1.7? Mil for his career with chance to earn 7.5 mil the next season vs a 3-4.5mil arb based projection? How much is he really leaving on the table? Remember he's not a Super 2. He's not, nor will he have won an MVP before going through yr 1 of 3 Arbs. Arb is a what have you done. FA is a what you may do value. The "savings" is in the team options. Team options like the ones Peralta has have tremendous value to the team. Adames isn't taking less than his arbitration projections AND giving the team two player options. That would make no sense for him. The longer you can get the team options for, the better. Two is going to cost more upfront than one. If we can get three, even better. Team options are about the best value a team can get. They can get all of the potential reward without assuming major risk.
  4. Again, defense should have made both of those plays but what about the double to right? Or the single to center by Dozier? Those were smoked. and Santana hit his hard as well. One of the outs was an absolute meatball down the center of the plate that Suter got away with to Perez for a flyout. It works the other way, too. Suter didn't look good, and the poor defense exasperated it.
  5. The defense and Suter were both bad that inning. Both things can be concurrently true.
  6. I still have high hopes that Ashby can make an impact out of the pen, but his debut certainly was deflating. I think Hader's immediate impact in MLB probably has thrown my expectations out of whack for Ashby. He's probably not going to be that guy.
  7. Cant give a major league team 5 outs in an inning. Not sure that is Suters fault. He gave up 4 hits this inning. He didn't get much help, but I'm not going to make excuses for a guy who gave up 4 hits and a lot of hard contact in 1 inning.
  8. Strickland? Gustave? I don't deny that bullpen is a need. I just have no confidence in a junkball soft tossing lefty that has no stuff and relies purely on deception as anything more than a LOOGY which unfortunately doesn't really have much of a role in the modern game.
  9. And that's possibly the game. Thanks, Suter. Thanks, defense.
  10. With Williams and Boxberger out, who are those better options that can get you to the 9th inning? This is a pretty shaky bullpen right now, especially with Hader going through a rough stretch. I like Cousins over Suter for sure.
  11. Stop pitching Suter in close games over better options. And the defense has been very poor today.
  12. Alright, great chance to get something going. Let's get two out out this.
  13. Good grief you guys. It's the Royals. It's Brad Keller. Come on.
  14. I think the Brewers have a shot regardless, but I think the odds of Yelich ever being his '18 or '19 self are slim. If he could be his Marlins self I think that might have to suffice.
  15. he won his championship, i think its fair for him to want to get paid. Well of course. I wouldn't begrudge him one second for leaving.
  16. If the Cubs cannot reach a contract extension agreement with Rizzo, what do they care where they trade him? They take the best offer be it Milwaukee or anywhere else and move on. The alternative is they watch him play out the string on a second rate team then leave as a free agent or trade him a somewhere for less desirable talent. Realistically if the Cubs shop Rizzo, they are probably going to get several decent offers that are all pretty close. In a video game you would just take the best offer even if it was from the Brewers, but the real life implications matter. Imagine the backlash from local media, casual fans and season tickets holders if the Brewers had traded Braun in '15 to the Cubs or Cardinals. It's not really worth that kind of headache for the team if all the offers are kind of close anyway, and it's not worth it for the Brewers to offer something head and shoulders above everyone else for a 2 month rental.
  17. https://nypost.com/2021/07/21/bobby-portis-found-happiness-refusing-knicks-for-bucks-run/ Portis really does seem to love it here, but agreed it's a pretty big stretch to go from loving it here to exercising a way under market player option to stay here.
  18. Honestly between Nets/Bucks/Lakers/Clips and 2 or 3 others there are a handful of teams that could come away on top next year all with similar odds based on how things unravel. I don't care. I mean repeating would be awesome, and it's possible, but we didn't blow it, the Giannis era has not passed without a championship, and Wisconsin finally has a champion again. That's enough for me right now.
  19. I just can't see the Brewers and Cubs ever agreeing on a trade for one of their big 3 or even a guy like Kimbrel. A minor trade, I could see, but a stud? I would think they would opt for any comparable offer, and there would be other offers, to avoid the negative backlash associated from dealing one of their longtime heroes to us. So we'd have to drastically overpay and offer them something they just couldn't say no to, and that just doesn't make sense for us. It's just a little too tricky. I won't say impossible, but highly unlikely.
  20. Honestly part of what made the Bucks' run special is that we had to win the ECF without our King. It was a tie series and suddenly we had no Giannis and found our backs to the wall. Injuries happen. We had to overcome ours just like anyone else. It's crazy to think about now. When everyone saw Giannis go down, did anyone think there was an inkling of a chance of him even being on the court again this year?
  21. Brewers in the fall, then Packers in February
  22. I remember saying last year I just wanted to win a title regardless even if it were in the bubble and it wouldn't make a difference either way, but I was wrong. Winning it in Milwaukee...winning it in front of a huge crowd...it meant more. I know COVID isn't "over", but this felt like the first huge post-COVID sports era moment.
  23. Remember when Giannis had a major knee injury? That feels like forever ago. It's like it never even happened.
×
×
  • Create New...