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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. Don't think we'll be able to evaluate the Schoop trade until next season. I don't even remember what we gave up for Gio. Weirdly a lot, in perspective of what we got for 1 month. I mean just Gilbert Lara and KJ Harrison, but just the fact that we had to give up not one but two prospects that we actually know of was far more than I anticipated for a month of a nothingburger of a pitcher.
  2. I don't want to see Gonzalez on the World Series roster, personally. Problem is now Davies and Anderson haven't thrown in a month.
  3. Apparently "make Hill work" was not part of the plan tonight. Yelich needs to snap out of it, too.
  4. Definitely unavailable: Chuck Crim.
  5. I'm good with Schoop going. If there's a reason for him being on the roster, this is it. Let's see it. Strong bench bats having both Shaw and Santana coming off of it.
  6. You need both guys who come in to lock down games, and guys who get you to that point in the first place. Max Scherzer can do almost what Hader can do, except in 220 innings rather than 80. He should stay in that role. Hader got better as a reliever, because he could get by using only his two good pitches, and because he could go all out for shorter bursts. Hader is exactly the type of pitcher who should be a reliever rather than persist as a starter, because they're simply better in that role. But the guys who actually can reliably perform to that insanely high level over 200+ innings should keep doing that. That type of talent is in short supply, and whoever you get to pitch those remaining 120 innings will do a worse job of it. Times through the order penalty is real, we all know (or should know) that, it's not exactly news. But when you have someone who performs the same the third time through the order as he does the second (Like Scherzer has for his career), then why would you cut his innings total in half? Having one guy like that means you don't have to use your 2-3 inning guys that day, and you can use them better on the 4 days where you don't have Scherzer. Max Scherzer isn't immune to this line of thinking, either, though. He has a .480 OPS against the first time through the order! The 2nd, and 3rd time through, it drops to .638 and .645. Still good, but we have 9 guys who are better the 1st time through than Scherzer's 2nd or 3rd! That shows how powerful this analytical approach can be. This is why I just don't get the criticism when a starter is pulled and people say "Why? He was cruising." Well, Buehler was cruising yesterday too. It's just math and odds. Your reliever the first time through is still more likely to be more effective than your starter on his 3rd trip through the order.
  7. We are actually slight favorites tomorrow. Game 3 was the game we were not supposed to win. I know the big thing was getting at least one of Games 3 or 4, but how huge would it be to take Game 4 tomorrow and put the Dodgers on the brink? Pressure on them increasing...
  8. It's the first full year OF his career...so it seems premature to say this was his career year. Aguilar is a guy who has power to all fields and in part time action two years ago and as a starter this year looks like a outstanding hitter. It seems like a lot of the people who warn about sample sizes on here seem to put more emphasis on a poor small sampling than the opposite. I'm sure the D-backs would want more back for an MVP type bat, but Aguilar seems to be exactly like the type of guy they'd want. They have the talent to make a playoff push now. You could plug Aguilar in a have a great replacement for Goldshmidt. But that's not the direction they're going if they're selling Goldschmidt, that's the thing. If Goldschmidt goes, it's likely a full fire sale. And if Aguilar is indeed for real, why are we trading him + pieces for 1 year of Goldschmidt? He fits our necessary model of cost control perfectly.
  9. Yep. In almost every game in the regular season, a 4 run lead in the 7th, you're feeling good. We're up 4-0 in the 7th. I'm nervous.
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