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Baldkin

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Everything posted by Baldkin

  1. That's exactly the way it works. There is a lot of luck that goes into determining a team's final record. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/ I was pretty alone last spring when I said your record is what should ultimately determine how much talent you had. I don't think i ever explained why I think we should look at records to determine talent levels very well. I think part of my problem with just writing it off as luck is the danger of assuming the metrics we used to determine talent level is right even when the record says it isn't. People have an idea that certain metrics determine player value and the culmination of all those metrics determine the relative talent level of the team. When the team's actual performance level doesn't match the predetermined talent level it is just written off as luck. Maybe it is but isn't predetermining talent levels and ignoring what actually happens in the only stat that matters a dangerous precedent to set? Especially when we are talking about a game that evolves over time. By the time we get enough stats to know something the dynamics of why it was so important to begin with may very well have changed. Shouldn't we start by assuming how many wins a team has is it's actual talent level and then go about determining why our metrics didn't predict the end result? Shouldn't the metrics we use be the first thing we question instead of just writing it off as luck? it just seems backwards to me to say we know what makes a good team and the fact that it didn't turn out that way was just random luck. Isn't that essentially saying our numbers were right and reality got it wrong? A team that scores the same number as it gives up is much more likely to be a .500 team than a 96 win team. Going forward, the Rangers should probably realize that they got lucky this year in having the best record in the AL. That they probably should've been fighting for the division with the Mariners. It's no different than the Brewers, after being outscored on the season in 2014, bringing back the same team and saying, "We were in first place for 150 days." It's delusional thinking.
  2. He stays healthy he could get 3,000. How hilarious would it be to see all the Hall of Famers touching his head when he's up on stage giving his speech. I realize the post I'm quoting is 2 years old, but I was talking to a buddy about this recently. Is he the 2nd best third baseman ever? I'm pretty sure he is. I'd say 3rd, behind Schmidt and Mathews.... but the argument could be made, for sure. My buddy and I were talking about him the other day as well, put him as by far the most underrated player of this generation.
  3. 4 out of 21... that's 50% more likely to win it all than the normal 1 out of 8 you'd expect.
  4. Keep on beating that horse. Eventually the meat will soften up. They weren't winning 86 games with this pitching staff. Having Khris Davis and Jean Segura and 40 more games of Lucroy, Jeffress and Smith wasn't going to win them 15 more games. Do you honestly think that?
  5. It was ridiculous that Price took that long to get out there. He should have done that immediately. I'd say it's on the LF. He had the best view.
  6. Why do they have to challenge after the 6th? Did that rule change? Edit: Nevermind. The crew chief cannot request a replay if the team has challenges remaining.
  7. Eric Davis is one of the greatest "what if's" in MLB history. 27-80 HR/SB in his first full year in 132 games. 37/50 in 129 games (and suffered a shoulder injury, missing the last 6 weeks) in his sophomore season (with a 155 OPS+), in 1987, the year before Jose Canseco became the first 40/40 guy.
  8. Considering Nelson and Peralta had career worst seasons this year and they are still sitting 17th in team ERA for their starters.... I'd say they have upside above 15th for next year.
  9. I seem to remember something coming out pre-season 2014 or 2015 stating that MLB has banned the practice for fear of abuse. That the roof must simply be "open" or "closed". I might be completely crazy, though. I can't seem to find the article.
  10. Grossly inflated, indeed. I'm not greatly upset about it; it probably happens everywhere, sure. But when I hear gushing over how great the crowds have been at Miller Park this year- and I have been to several this year- the truth is that the numbers have much lower than announced..... this year especially. It's every single year they've started out bad. People just don't show up for late August and September weeknight games. This year is no different then 2010 or last year.
  11. Now the question is, how many pitchers have thrown 2 triple plays?
  12. After being there Wednesday night, perhaps holographic fans might be a good idea. I'm hoping for robot Bob Uecker.
  13. My guess would be some sort of all-inclusive "tailgate" area outside of the stadium in Right-Center -- or maybe at the Sausage Haus. Plenty of space there, and it's one of the least-used entrances to the park. After seeing how packed the area outside Friday's was all season.... I wouldn't be surprised.
  14. College football has it right. There is absolutely no reason to have a challenge system, which has a few plays a night where guys are sitting, waiting for the manager to decide if he's challenging or not (while they wait to watch a replay in the dugout). Have a 5th ump in the booth, who has access to all replay angles, automatically synced up. He buzzes the home plate ump if they need to review a play. 30 seconds later, call stands or is overturned.
  15. Heck, telling fans at the game what is being reviewed would be a huge improvement.
  16. TJ Ford Michael Redd Andrew Bogut Jabari Parker Khris Middleton Cursed. This team is cursed.
  17. Well, strikes early in the count are good, Jim.
  18. Someone spilled ammonia in the stadium. It is awful in here.
  19. Ted Williams had OPS over 1.000 through age 39. Not comparing Braun to the Spendid Splinter, but Braun's certainly been an elite hitter and had he not had the PED stuff, he'd have HOF credentials. He's worth taking a risk that he'll be productive through age 36 or 37. Dale Murphy was a 3 time MVP and put up a 157 OPS+ at age 31. He never broke 110 OPS+ again. He was all-but done by age 34.
  20. http://www.milb.com/milb/info/affiliations.jsp I feel as though this is allowing one team a competitive advantage that another (poorer) team might not have. Correct me if I'm wrong, but it looks like the Yankees have 3 rookie ball teams, where as the Brewers have only one.
  21. 1) Just because guys remain anonymous doesn't mean that what they say isn't true. http://www.latimes.com/sports/dodgers/dodgersnow/la-sp-dn-dodgers-yasiel-puig-divide-20151119-story.html 2) A LOT more gets heard and done than gets reported on. Many reporters/news outlets are scared to lose their credentials if they print something bad about a team or a player.
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