owbc
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Everything posted by owbc
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I love how the announced attendance was 11,000. I wonder if they really sold that many tickets or if they are just inflating the number to make themselves look better. -
9/3/08 Non-Brewers IGT: 600 People show up to Braves-Marlins game
owbc replied to datrain711's topic in Archived Game Threads
I love how the announced attendance was 11,000. I wonder if they really sold that many tickets or if they are just inflating the number to make themselves look better. -
I'm glad that the levees held, but to say that the city is any safer than it was 3 years ago is terribly ignorant. There's a reason why they order the huge evacuations and why they will continue to do so in the future: the levees are incapable of withstanding a direct hit from a major hurricane. Gustav was a Category 2 and it made a glancing blow. Despite that, there was still water over topping the levees and there were still major concerns that some of them would fail, forcing the National Guard to reinforce them with sandbags. That's right--sandbags vs. a hurricane. Unfortunately, this ignorance is going to eventually result in the city being flooded worse than Katrina--with the people of the city once again being the victims while the wealthy sit on higher ground and the politicians bicker about who blame while the true villains are long gone. From what I saw, most people who rebuilt had their homes raised high enough to avoid the water, but it doesn't change the fact that the entire city is extremely vulnerable to a direct hit from any type of tropical system--even TS Fay would have caused a disaster with all that rainfall. Ray Nagin actually seems to have some common sense this time, but it doesn't change the fact that many politicians seem to consider this a success. The next time, they will be lucky to get a 75% evacuation rate due to the false sense of security that is being propagated through the media. Meanwhile, Hanna shouldn't be too big of a deal, but Hurricane Ike is projected to be near Miami 5-6 days out.
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9/3/08 Mets (Perez) at Brewers (Bush): 1:05 PM CDT
owbc replied to wibadgers23's topic in Archived Game Threads
2 on, no out...there's still hope -
I'd rather get the losses out of our system now. If this was the NLDS and we dumped the first two like that, then I would be in full scale panic mode. But not when we still have a 14% chance at the division and a 90% chance at the playoffs. I also agree that either Fielder or Weeks is going to go on a tear and finish off some unsuspecting team.
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The Cubs need to be really careful at this point. They have a playoff spot essentially wrapped up so they may as well give both of them a few weeks off and have them ready for the playoffs--or the Milwaukee series if the division remains close.
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I don't like the use of minor leaguers in a close game in a pennant race. How does Craig Counsell feel about suddenly being about #10 on the bench? I'm not a big Counsell fan, but at least he is a major league caliber player, unlike Gwynn and Nelson. Gwynn is one of the few players who can't even hit the ball as hard as Counsell can, and that's saying something. As for Nelson, it would be a cute story if he came through in his MLB debut, but as expected with a nervous young player, he swung at the first pitch and grounded out. It's nice that "the future" is up in the majors, but the future is NOW with the current 25-man roster. I really don't care to see how Gamel, Nelson, Escobar, or anyone else can play. We won 80 games with the 25 guys that we have, why not just get a 3rd catcher and a few extra bullpen arms and leave everyone else the way it is. None of the other players should EVER be used in a game like this, they have NO major league experience and now it NOT a good time to find out whether or not they will succeed.
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Prince: "Let me show you how to pick up a baseball"
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I don't think the type of sunscreen or the SPF really matters. For the football game, we got cheap Walgreens SPF 15 sunscreen. I was out in direct sunlight for 4-5 hours and I was sweating. I didn't have any sunburn and I will never buy the expensive stuff again. For reference, I am really pale and white and haven't been in the sun much this summer.
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To those who have suggested moving New Orleans: I don't think you have actually been to New Orleans (but I recommend you go). I used to think the same thing, but then I went there and saw the history, culture, and especially the personality of the city that is unique to the United States. New Orleans isn't like the rest of America--it has resisted the homogeneous culture that many of us now live in. I know the crime was bad and there are a number of deep issues, but the spirit of the place stood out more than anything else. Also, as pointed out, the Netherlands does just fine below sea level. New Orleans could as well--if there wasn't an incompetent federal government getting in the way of the city/state's plans to make levees that actually work. When I was down there in the spring, I saw that they basically just rebuilt the levees where they broke and added a few more pumps. I doubt Gustav will be as bad as Katrina, but if parts of the city flood it won't shock me. The good news is that the return rate in the lower 9th is less than 10% and most of the new homes that have been built have been raised up 5+ feet in order to prevent a repeat. They have basically wasted the money rebuilding the levees--and the figure is in the billions. Why not just spend a little more now to save future generations the hassle of rebuilding? As for the actual storm, it still hasn't made that predicted jog to the left--hopefully it will soon. Hanna won't be nearly as bad, it is being sheared by Gustav right now and will strengthen once Gustav goes away, but will never come close to the massive size/strength of Gustav.
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Storm surge is going to be a problem because New Orleans is on the right side of the projected landfall path. Wind is usually a bigger problem on the right side as well, although Gustav looks to be stronger on the West side. That could change though. Winds currently at 120 mph but a defined eye is reforming in the last few satellite images. Expect a Cat. 4 by this evening.
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Somewhat fortunately, New Orleans looks like it will be spared a direct hit again. However, Katrina wasn't a direct hit either. There's still some hope that it could shoot a little farther west, but in that scenario it would slow down and cause horrible flooding wherever it decides to stall out. I did Katrina recovery over the spring--at that time 6% or so of the lower 9th had returned--or about one house per block. The rest was just doorsteps where houses used to be. I highly doubt many of them will ever come back. FEMA is definitely better prepared this time, but if it hits where it is projected to, levees will break again. This also will hit on the opposite side so the storm surge will come from the South instead of Lake Ponchartrain. Winds are also higher on the right side of the storm so there could be more wind damage this time. The only good news I can think of is that there is some colder water right near the coast which will prevent it from being a cat. 5 at landfall--most likely a weak 4 or strong 3.
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Weather man suspects Rain will stay away tonight Play ball! Go Brewers!
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Yes, the divisional winner has home field advantage over the WC, always. Some will say otherwise, but I think it should be that way. The Brewers are a 2nd place team, the Mets are in 1st. Even in the unbalanced schedule, the Brewers play most of their games against the NL Central and are not the top team, while the Mets are the top team in the NL East. If you are a purist, you could go on to argue that the Brewers can't ever be considered WS champs since they aren't even the best team in their own division. I would also rather start on the road. We have played well on the road and should be able to get a split. If we start at home, the players could come out tense and over-aggressive like the Cubs series and dig a hole that they can't get out of.
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Welcome to Pittsburgh Often our house of horrors Please not this year guys.
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Chris Jaffe of THT: "Brewers...treat their fans with respect."
owbc replied to Brily0204's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
You may think that is expensive, but these days $10/ticket in fees isn't uncommon. We just aren't used to it. Unfortunately, the Brewers will be jacking their prices up quite significantly this offseason. I wouldn't be surprised to see $5-10/ticket for the more expensive seats and $3-5 for the terrace/bleachers. It will go relatively unnoticed if the Brewers make a playoff run. -
They are averaging 21,054 per game. Last year they averaged 17,148. That's a very impressive jump. To compare, they have increased their attendance by about 4000 fans/game. The Brewers have only increased their attendance this year by 2500 fans/game. The year before, the Brewers did increase by 6600 fans/game, which is a very impressive number. However, Tampa's increase of 22% is equal to the Brewers' increase of 22% from 2006 to 2007. Also, the Rays have had their highest rated TV games ever this year. They have their first ever advance sellout on a non-opening day. It is being unfair to the Tampa fans to take away from their accomplishment. It takes years and year to build up a fan base. Remember, the 1982 Brewers averaged 24,000 fans/game. The 1982 Montreal Expos averaged 28,000. Granted, this was a different era and those totals ranked 8th and 4th in MLB, but it still is a reminder that it takes many decades to build up a fan base. All the 1990s expansion cities are having similar trouble--it's nothing against the city, it's just that the older generations have other attachments.
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Riske is having his worst season since 2004. Can't really blame Melvin for not anticipating that. I will vent about Eric Gagne. You make $10 million and you are finally effective and you disappear for the birth of your 4th child when we need you in a pennant race.
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Team Chemistry is a big deal in football but I doubt it contributes to winning. "The Bronx is Burning" is a perfect example. However, it does result in positive reviews of Milwaukee by the players (see Jason Kendall) and should give us a better shot at contract extensions and free agents.
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Current playoff odds: Division 14.4% WC: 58% Playoffs: 72.4% You have to be careful with these numbers, though--we only had an 8% chance at the division a few days ago. If we lose 2 in a row and the Cards/Cubs win 2 in a row, it could easily drop our odds 20%. I agree that somebody with 90 wins is going to get left out. My theory is that all of the deadline trade moves have bolstered the contenders and put the non-contenders on a lower tier. The Braves, Pirates, and Reds are not what they used to be. Virtually every contender has made some kind of move to improve their team.
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It all depends on the marketing and game experience. If they do it right like the Madison Mallards, they will bring in a few thousand per game. Otherwise they will only draw 500-1000. The success of the Brewers should only help by getting more people interested in seeing baseball again. The actual cost to go to one of these games is about 1/4 the cost of a Brewers game when you throw in free parking and cheap concessions. Does anyone have suggestions for the team name?
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This brings up a number of interesting scenarios... First of all, there's a <1% chance of the fans storming the field. It would be an amazing moment if it happened, but the only chance is if Mark A. specifically gives permission before the clinching game, which for liability reasons would just never happen. Secondly, if the Brewers and Cubs clinch on the same night during the final series, the only possible scenario is that the Cubs won, the Brewers lost, and the 2nd place WC team also lost. In this scenario, I expect that there would be no on-field celebration by the Brewers and they would simply head to the clubhouse after the game--although they may possibly return after the Cubs have left the field. However, if the 2nd place WC team were to finish up their loss during the game, the fans would probably know about it and start celebrating even if the Brewers were losing. Overall, it would be a very strange and awkward situation that I would rather avoid. Unless the Brewers sweep at Wrigley, the most likely scenario is that the Cubs clinch a week in advance and the Brewers get the final week to themselves. Although I would prefer Friday the 27th as the clincher since I will be there, it would probably be better for them to take care of things during the Pirates series so that 99% of the people there are Brewers fans. Honestly, though, I just want them to make it, it doesn't matter really how they do it.
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Wow, I didn't realize it was only be 3 hits. If that was us, there would be posts about Skaalen, Yost's lineup, the Brewers' lack of desire, etc.
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Nice work by Coco! Cubs lose! Cubs lose!!! This should raise our odds of catching them to around 8%.
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Looks like it's .764. Not great, but not terrible either. For comparison, in approx. the same number of at-bats, Gabe Kapler has an .835 OPS.
