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ClosetBrewerFan

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Everything posted by ClosetBrewerFan

  1. ClosetBrewerFan
    Some of the late round HS picks may not take that much to sign. As a reminder, Brewers can sign players beyond round 10 for $150k without impacting the bonus pool. Pablo Garabitos signed out of high school in 2018 for the max without impacting the pool. Even still, it will be mighty impressive if the front office can sign both Bitonti and Pratt. Its likely going to take over $1M to sign Bitonti and nearly $2M for Pratt (I'm using their pre-draft ranking and the slot value for them). That means they will need to free up at least $1.9M to go overslot. They can spend up to 5% of their draft pool without losing a draft pick (at a cost of 75% of the overage). So this will be $550k of the $1.9M. Therefore, its going to take some hard negotiations on those College pitchers to free up the money required. Picks 4 and 7-10 may be getting the minimum bonus.
  2. ClosetBrewerFan
    Congrats to Ryan. Well deserved! Who had Ryan Brady as the first of the 2022 draft picks to make it to AA?
  3. ClosetBrewerFan
    Thanks for the always excellent analysis article! Well done.
  4. ClosetBrewerFan
    Well written article. Nice job!
  5. ClosetBrewerFan
    i'd be ok with extending Anderson. 2yr deal for $10M would be ok. I doubt Anderson would go for a 1yr extension as he will want the security of a longer deal. He has some flexibility being able to play 3B/RF and likely a few other positions. Question is with his injury history, not sure the Brewers would do it
  6. ClosetBrewerFan
    Awesome that they are serious about giving Black an opportunity at 3B. That could fill a big hole in the future. Surprised to not see Valerio in the lineup. Is he battling an injury?
  7. ClosetBrewerFan
    Ryan Brady skips low A. Those 4 IP in Arizona last year must have really impressed.
  8. ClosetBrewerFan
    I agree with many of these answers if we are talking about success of the Brewers over the next few years. But the question is what is success for 2023? That has to be one thing. Get to the playoffs and either win it all or at least go deep in the playoffs. If the Brewers are not going to make it, then I am fine with trading off a star or two before they leave for Free Agency but I would not call that 2023 Success. That's called failure and trying to make the best of it.
  9. ClosetBrewerFan
    I'm still holding out hope that Mitchell starts in CF and Frelick in RF, with Taylor getting plenty of time as a backup at all three positions. I think this would be the best lineup starting on opening day. We'll see how they do in spring training, but I hope they force the issue.
  10. ClosetBrewerFan
    What made you select Oglivie higher than Jenkins? Seems like Jenkins has a slight edge if you consider WAR and bigger edge if you use OPS. Just curious what your reasoning is.
  11. ClosetBrewerFan
    Ahh, Spring training is right around the corner. Looking forward to the "I'm in the best condition of my career!" statements from players.
  12. ClosetBrewerFan
    If I had to predict the roster today, this is what I would go with as well. Except likely Brousseau over Toro/Miller. If they can find a taker for Huira, then Toro/Miller (maybe Turang) would battle for that last spot.
  13. ClosetBrewerFan
    Anderson is the guy I was hoping they would sign. A team option would have been nice but I'm very happy with this low risk signing. I think he likely starts at 3b, but I doubt he is guaranteed a job. I would expect his OPS to be closer to 750 rather than the what he did in the last two injury riddled years, assuming he stays healthy. If not, this is a low risk sign and we have additional depth (Turang). We had very little depth and were planning to rely on a lot of rookies. Anderson gives us some coverage at 3b and RF in case things dont go well as we hope.
  14. ClosetBrewerFan
    I knew Moore had good defense but this is another level. If he can continue to hit, he is going to skyrocket up our prospect lists.
  15. ClosetBrewerFan
    I'd add Tristan Lutz to the list. Probably his last shot to prove it with the Brewers since he will be a free agent after the season. His star has faded but he still has a shot as a 4th/5th OF that can mash LH pitching. Strong OF arm. He has value and could be useful to complement all the LH OFs this team has.
  16. ClosetBrewerFan
    The Singleton selection is odd. He is out of options, so if he does not make the OD roster he will have to be outrighted. He has been outrighted before so he can refuse a minor league assignment and become a free agent. It just seems like he does not fit well on a team with Tellez, Yelich, and Hiura already on the roster as they all are better against RHs and play overlapping positions. IF he was a masher against LH pitchers he will fit perfectly as a platoon mate at 1b/LF/DH. Maybe this is an indication of some big shakeup on the roster. Just seems like this is a wasted roster spot.
  17. ClosetBrewerFan
    The Singleton selection is odd. He is out of options, so if he does not make the OD roster he will have to be outrighted. He has been outrighted before so he can refuse a minor league assignment and become a free agent. It just seems like he does not fit well on a team with Tellez, Yelich, and Hiura already on the roster as they all are better against RHs and play overlapping positions. IF he was a masher against LH pitchers he will fit perfectly as a platoon mate at 1b/LF/DH. Maybe this is an indication of some big shakeup on the roster. Just seems like this is a wasted roster spot.
  18. ClosetBrewerFan
    I agree that all of the names would be nice adds, but I think the Brewers will be closer to the dumpster in their free agent diving. Someone in the mold of Brett Anderson. A 1yr $5M contract in a prove it type year. A Ryan Yarbrough just got DFAd and would not cost much, but I think they could do better than that.
  19. ClosetBrewerFan
    I agree that all of the names would be nice adds, but I think the Brewers will be closer to the dumpster in their free agent diving. Someone in the mold of Brett Anderson. A 1yr $5M contract in a prove it type year. A Ryan Yarbrough just got DFAd and would not cost much, but I think they could do better than that.
  20. ClosetBrewerFan
    Singleton provides some insurance in case the Brewers find a taker for Tellez in order to reduce payroll. Other than that I think he is a AAAA type player. Who knows, maybe they strike gold with him, but I think its highly unlikely. I'm fairly confident Devanney will sneak through the draft but will be bummed if he gets picked. I see him as a solid Utility player as a floor with an average starting 3B at peak. That has a lot of value.
  21. ClosetBrewerFan
    Singleton provides some insurance in case the Brewers find a taker for Tellez in order to reduce payroll. Other than that I think he is a AAAA type player. Who knows, maybe they strike gold with him, but I think its highly unlikely. I'm fairly confident Devanney will sneak through the draft but will be bummed if he gets picked. I see him as a solid Utility player as a floor with an average starting 3B at peak. That has a lot of value.
  22. ClosetBrewerFan
    Its kind of amazing he was a decent defensive CF, considering his body type and lifestyle. He was a big guy with a big appetite. My memory thinks of him as a Vogelbach body type but looking at pictures from his prime, he was pretty sveldt. Interesting that he even played some infield in his early days. He never had a season with an OPS above 900, even with 45 home runs. But still was an incredibly productive player in his prime. He had a lot of rough seasons as well, which is reflected in his career 772 OPS. Thanks for the trip down memory lane!
  23. ClosetBrewerFan
    Its kind of amazing he was a decent defensive CF, considering his body type and lifestyle. He was a big guy with a big appetite. My memory thinks of him as a Vogelbach body type but looking at pictures from his prime, he was pretty sveldt. Interesting that he even played some infield in his early days. He never had a season with an OPS above 900, even with 45 home runs. But still was an incredibly productive player in his prime. He had a lot of rough seasons as well, which is reflected in his career 772 OPS. Thanks for the trip down memory lane!
  24. ClosetBrewerFan
    Should be noted that the Brewers will have at least five open spots to protect players, so the three that most people are suggesting should be no issue to protect. The roster is currently full at 40 with one man on the 60 day IL. They have five players who will be free agents and I expect they will decline Wong's club option but select Boxberger's very reasonable $3M club option. There are a couple non-tender candidates (Suter, Gustave) plus some players they could clear (Kelley, J.Davis, Topa) so there really is no reason to not at least protect three and possible one or two more. I think it will be just three as the Brewers like 40 man roster flexibility. If Frelick gets called up this year, I would expect he would take Davis's spot so that wont affect the rule 5 protection. Cant imagine Davis making it through the offseason with Frelick, Ruiz, Mitchell, and Wiemer all waiting in the wings to fill outfield spots. This is the most OF depth the Brewers have had as far as I can imagine (counting Chourio, Mendez, Hedbert, Avina, Castillo, Lutz, etc)
  25. ClosetBrewerFan
    Should be noted that the Brewers will have at least five open spots to protect players, so the three that most people are suggesting should be no issue to protect. The roster is currently full at 40 with one man on the 60 day IL. They have five players who will be free agents and I expect they will decline Wong's club option but select Boxberger's very reasonable $3M club option. There are a couple non-tender candidates (Suter, Gustave) plus some players they could clear (Kelley, J.Davis, Topa) so there really is no reason to not at least protect three and possible one or two more. I think it will be just three as the Brewers like 40 man roster flexibility. If Frelick gets called up this year, I would expect he would take Davis's spot so that wont affect the rule 5 protection. Cant imagine Davis making it through the offseason with Frelick, Ruiz, Mitchell, and Wiemer all waiting in the wings to fill outfield spots. This is the most OF depth the Brewers have had as far as I can imagine (counting Chourio, Mendez, Hedbert, Avina, Castillo, Lutz, etc)
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