olliegjw
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Everything posted by olliegjw
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No, but they may play their first two games in a very fan friendly Bradley Center.
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According to the report, the trains will not be as environmentally friendly as cars. On page 16 of the report, it states that 279,064 gallons of diesel fuel will be used with today's infrastructure, in the year 2030. That is 11.17 gallons per passenger (based on the 25,000 weekly passengers estimated in the report). With the rail improvements, they say they can reduce the fuel consumption 36% to 177,600 gallons. That would still be 7.1 gallons per passenger. With an automobile (if every passenger drove their own car), it would take an average of about 4 gallons to drive from Milwaukee to Madison. By 2030, car's would use even less gallons than that. The gallons of fuel for the trains do include freight gallons used. However, a majority of the gallons will be used for passenger service, and any decrease in gallons/passenger due to that adjustment would be more than offset by the fact that there would be more than one passenger in some of the automobiles making the trip.
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I agree that it is a good discussion. I was only stating that it will all be settled on the court, and conference affliliation won't mean anything come tournament time. Everyone (except brewcrew7) seems to be in general agreement on who the top conferences are. Some have one conference slightly higher than another, but generally the opinions are in the same ballpark.
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I don't think anyone is trying to change anyones mind. It is just that people have different perspectives, which is a good thing. It all comes down to whether you believe the benefits outweigh the costs. Even if the report's projections are accurate, which I don't, is it worth $1 billion dollars over the next 10 years?
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In the big picture, who cares which conference is better, or the best? Only one team can win the title. I would not be totally surprised to see any of the top 4 Big 10 schools in the Final Four. The top 4 can compete with anyone in the country.
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There are very few facts in the report: we know a train will run from Milwaukee to some place in the Madison area, with some stops along the way. They will purchase 2 trains, and update the current train line to accomodate the "high speed" train. The number of routes, passengers, fares, stops, times, and total costs are all estimates. It is questionable if many of those estimates are even close to being realistic. The history of governmental infrastructure projects, and cost overruns are well-known. Later this week, I will search to see if I can find estimates on the Hiawatha line when it was put up. Also, the Twin Cities system that was installed a few years ago.
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Tabbert, the report says that there will be 6-7 roundtrips daily, with 2 trains running. I did not see times listed, but I would guess one would depart every 2.5 hours or so. Lets guess they start at 7:00 AM it would go 7:00, 9:30, 12:00, 2:30, 5:00, 7:30, and maybe 11:00? The times might even be spread out more, since a train can only be going in one direction at a time. Not to mention, there are a couple of freight companies that will be sharing the line as well.
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From skimming through the financial report: 1. They expect the riders from Milwaukee-Madison to be just over 300,000. The total riders currently from mil-chi is about 800,000. Intuitively, I would think that the Mil-Chi line would produce much more than 2-3 times the Mil-Mad route, due to Chicago's traffic problems. 2. The current average fare/passenger on the Hiawatha line is $18-19 per passenger. The Mil-Mad projection show an average of $24/passenger, while the Mil-Chi projection remains at $18-19/passenger. Why would the Madison line be 33% more on average when both routes are about the same distance and would take roughly the same time? Those two things alone make me think that the projections are way off.
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All taxes and fees will not cover the rail costs. The only revenue is from the fees. There is no tax revenue with the rails, unless the government pays itself gas tax, which would be a wash at best. With the roads, cars are paying $0.51 for every 25 miles (average MPG). There is no such corresponding tax revenue for trains. That would come out of the general fund (which is already currently running at a deficit).
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$800 million for 55 full-time jobs?? Can't they find another way that would add more jobs, in this high unemployment state. That $800 million could pay a salary of $40,000 this year to 20,000 people (not taking into account payroll taxes). Plus, that $40,000 per person would result in more income taxes paid to both the state and federal governments. And those 20,000 people would have money to spend, which would result in more sales tax collected by the state. Doesn't that seem to make more sense than a train that loses $15+ million/yr, and creates a whopping 55 full-time jobs?
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Do roads run at a huge deficit? All licensing fees and gas taxes have to come close to covering the maintenance costs. Why spend $800 million, when the roads aren't crowded at all 99% of the time. So, no $3 billion for a 3rd lane is necessary either.
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Ok, billions is too high, but there is no way that they keep the annual cost under $63 million. I would be willing to wager a lot of money that they would not keep it under $100 million/year. Even with the $15.6 million estimate, does it make sense to spend $800 million in order to lose $15.6 million per year? Why not use the $800 million to create jobs that will have a long term benefit and create positive revenue for a debt-ridden government? If the state, or federal, government was swimming in excess money, it would be a hard sell. But, in today's economic times, it makes absolutely no sense.
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At the best estimate peak, we have: 28000 riders/wk * 52 weeks *$33/ticket = $48 million revenue $48 million/5500 workers (your estimate) = $8736 per worker (YIPPEE!!!) That does not include upgrade and maintenance of trains, fuel costs, insurance, payroll taxes, etc. The trains will most likely lose billions of dollars per year. Not to mention that the time savings is rather insignificant. At least the highway system pays for itself through gas taxes (remember the reserves being transferred to other funds).
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And you are not accounting for the return of a (hopefully) healthy Weeks for an entire year. They were 10 games over .500 when he got hurt this year. Whose saying what is normal for McGehee? I would guess that his production would be down in 2010, but who knows by how much.
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What will you think if JJ replicates his 09 numbers?that it was a lateral at best trade? I don't know if I'd even start Gomez over Gerut who I also wasn't a fan of.And I wouldn't start Hardy over Escobar. They traded a backup SS, for a high potential, cheap CF.
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What will you think if JJ replicates his 09 numbers?
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...then that's what you do.Worked well doing that with Bill Hall in 2009.
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A shortstop who could lose a footrace to Johnny Estrada, by definition, does not have great range.
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Loss of power, yes. Loss of OBP, not as much. Kendall had an OBP 30 points higher than Hardy last year. Cameron will most likely have a decline at his age as well. Their combined OBP last year was about .640. That is hardly anything special.
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I like the move towards better defense. Escobar is a much better defender than Hardy. It sounds like Gomez is, at worst, a wash with Cameron defensively right now. However, Gomez is only about 24, while Cameron will be 37 next year. Offensively, Hardy's .302 OBP won't be missed. Cameron is due for a fall off at his age. Escobar and Gomez have the potential to match those two offensively, while providing much better defense and under control for more years.
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I agree with the $1000 emergency fund. The only way it makes sense to have a 3-6 month fund, is if the "fund" is earning a higher rate of return than the interest you are paying on the debt. If you put all the money that would have gone to an emergency fund towards credit card debt, you will be much better off. If an emergency comes up, you have the excess room on the credit card to pay off the emergency.
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The bank needs collateral for loans, most often the home is that collateral.
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The problem is that the loan through landmark will be secured with your home. The credit card debt is unsecured. Meaning that if you don't pay the credit card debt, you just have the hit to your credit, and maybe a judgement. If you don't pay the landmark loan, you may lose your house.
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Close. Actually, you should pay minimums on all but the card with the highest interest rate. Once that is paid off, work on the next highest interest rate, until they are all paid off.
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And we are so much better off without Yost. Where can I order the World Series tickets?
