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sbrylski

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Everything posted by sbrylski

  1. sbrylski
    perhaps we should have just had #'s 1 and 2 be Braun and Gallardo. Heck, make Inman 3. Then voted for 4-23. That's a lot more challenging Or, because I know they will be 1-2, I can move everyone else on my list two spots up so my list holds more weight. Bwa-ha-ha.
  2. sbrylski
    Funny. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  3. sbrylski
    Interesting choice of a screen name.
  4. sbrylski
    In football I've seen some teams who swear by the combine results/stats when drafting players, where other teams swear by actual game performance whe n drafting payers. Football is totally different, IMO. Everything a player does in a football game is so team dependant that subjective observation is very necessary. Baseball, however, is a sequence of individual trials - batter verse pitcher, fielder verse groundball, ect. Therefore in baseball, stats are much more valid and important. Football stats are less important for the same reason team dependant baseball stats such as pitching wins and RBI's are becoming less accepted - they aren't as good at defining the ability of the individual.
  5. sbrylski
    Basically the more "extreme" stats help to do two things: 1.) Help to easily compare contributions from different types of players - VORP will compare a SS to a LF, RC/27 compares a basestealing leadoff hitter with a big bopper cleanup. 2.) Better predictor of future success - As mentioned above, though Turnbow posted a 1.79 ERA in '05, his xFIP was 3.32 and suggested he won't sustain his ERA. Sure enough, last year he put up a 6.87 ERA. No stat is going to predict a mental letdown that caused him to slip as much as he did though. Also, note his xFIP last year was 4.36, suggesting should bounce back to average. He may be somewhat of a special case though, depending on how he comes back mentally. Another thing xFIP is predicting is for Dave Bush to take a nice step foward again in '07.
  6. sbrylski
    Does this mean that the Dodgers brass is stupid? Well, yes. IMO.
  7. sbrylski
    It just doesn't always tell the whole story, like any other stat. No, but it tells you what happens at the end.
  8. sbrylski
    Plan A Offer Jeff Suppan a 3 year / $30 mil or a 4 year / $36 mil contract. Obviously he won't accept, so we don't really have to make the offer at all making plan B actually plan A. Plan A Target Pineiro, Redmon, or Brian Lawrence to pitch long man and compete with Vargas and Villanueva for the final two spots. (Or Trachsel)
  9. sbrylski
    If solome has a good year this year, will he finally jump up on some of these prospect lists? He seems to good to be so low. Maybe I'm overrating him, though. I remember seeing a prospect list a year ago that had Salome number 4 in all of baseball, IIRC.
  10. sbrylski
    If Rios came up thru the Brewers system, we would probably consider him untouchable. Heck, Corey Hart can't hold a candle to Rios, and some people on here think he is the 2nd coming. Disagreed. Alexis Rios Age Lvl OPS 21 A+ .752 22 AA .923 23 AAA .665 Corey Hart Age Lvl OPS 21 AA .807 22 AAA .827 23 AAA .913 Rios may be slightly more established, but Hart is a year younger and put up better offensive numbers that Rios and was a level higher each year at the same age. Hart also steals more bases. Defensively the edge does go to Rios though.
  11. sbrylski
    With Konerko & Dye the only two ChiSox hitters with 30 HRs that year, the casual glance at their lineup says they needed another slugger to be world-beaters They were 5th in the majors in HR. They didn't need more power. Only 9th in the AL in runs scored though, so they needed something. OBP would be that something. Team OBP of .322 was good for 11th of the 14 AL teams.
  12. sbrylski
    Glasses?
  13. sbrylski
    Ken Rosenthal of FoxSports is reporting that the offer is between 36 and 40 million over 4 years. This is along the lines of what we expected. I could definately handle this. I am expecting him to sign for about $10 million more than that though.
  14. sbrylski
    TooLiveBrew, excellent post. I was about to make the same points but you said it all.
  15. sbrylski
    If Suppan means no Sheets after 2008, count me out.
  16. sbrylski
    I sometimes wonder what's better? IA guy who's generally giving up 4+ runs a game, or somebody who gives up 12 one game, and throws shutouts the next two? Not there's anybody that's that extreme, and maybe this should be another thread, but just wondering which is better overall? To me, it wothe second example, but hey, that's just me... You are correct sir. The more inconsistent the pitcher, the more games he is likely to win. EDIT: Link to study
  17. sbrylski
    If this is true, I'm going to have to buy one of these: http://www.corporatedump.com/images/stressred.gif
  18. sbrylski
    Prince wasn't a Gold Glover there and probably never will be but he is in no way a poor defender. Fielding % doesn't tell the whole story. Poor throws are credited to the fielder, but a good 1B can save some.
  19. sbrylski
    Another thing about Weeks is that he will get to a lot of balls, which is what helps the pitcher. If he throws it away the run will be credited to an error, not to Suppan.
  20. sbrylski
    Cut Weeks Ks and his chances of getting on base obvisously increase. Sure, a reduction of strikeouts would raise the players chances of reaching base, but Crisp's K rate is already low and his OBP is as well. Reducing K's would likely raise the OBP, but having a low K rate doesn't necessarily translate into a high OBP.
  21. sbrylski
    As long as it is front-loaded and under 50 over 4 I'd be okay with it. He'd help the team, but it'd be out of the 4th spot in the rotation.
  22. sbrylski
    This was the most interesting to me.
  23. sbrylski
    He is to much of a free swinger and misses far to often. K's are the least important for the leadoff hitter. There's no runners to advance by putting the ball in play. Same reason why walks are more important for a leadoff hitter. There's no runners to move over, so it doesn't matter how he reaches first.
  24. sbrylski
    If a player is a very good percentage base stealer and prolific as well, and if he's a great defender, a speed player can be very valuable even if he has a 750 OPS. I wasn't taking defense into account. If he plays stellar defense then it does raise his overall value. But offensively alone, speed doesn't help make a .700 OPS valuable. (This is a general statement) A .750 OPS from a CF is decent, especially if he plays good defense. (This is talking about Crisp) I would take Crisp over Clark, though I'd rather just add a better corner OFer and put Hall in CF.
  25. sbrylski
    If you are looking at lead off hitters or guys who are primarily speed players, a .700ish OPS can be acceptable IMO. The only way a .700 OPS can be acceptable is if .400 of it is OBP. A speed player with a .700 OPS is only valuable to someone who overvalues speed. It's not all that important.
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