Sometimes I think you say stuff just for the sake of saying something. It's actually not all that uncommon for guys to "luck" into a really good year. Obviously everyone in the bigs has some talent. But sometimes guys have an unreal season or two out of nowhere and then are not able to replicate it. Hall and McGehee are two Brewers who had such seasons. The key in determining whether it was "luck" or whether it was likely to happen again would be to look at a combo of past track record (amateur career, minors, previous MLB seasons, etc.) and scouting (has their approach changed, what "tools" do they have, etc.). Weeks had the track record and the tools. Hall/McGehee didn't. And your argument about holding a draft after a period of time doesn't make any sense. If you held a draft after the first few weeks of 2006, Chris Shelton would have been a top 5 pick. So what? Also, your point about Ian Kinsler doesn't make sense either. Pujols lasted until the 13th round and Piazza until the 62nd round. Sometimes scouts are wrong, yes. Especially when you are looking at high school/JUCO/foreign players, there isn't as much (and perhaps not as reliable) data available compared to guys who went to major colleges. Hindsight is 20/20, there is really no point in comparing Weeks to Kinsler and where they were drafted.