Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

rluzinski

Verified Member
  • Posts

    9,362
  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by rluzinski

  1. Wow, so all you have to do is put your hand into the strike zone and you can get on base for free? Nice.
  2. A hit and run with Rivera running and Villy batting? Rivera's first ML SB. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif And Villy gets a friggin' RBi single? Bizaro world or what!?
  3. I bet you right now that Marlins fans, all 5 of them, are complaining that their damn team never seems to be able to score with the bases loaded and less than 2 out.
  4. O my goodness did Braun look silly there. No matter because it's not an error! Villy is not getting much help here. I'm sick of hearing about how much better the defense is, with error totals being offered up as proof. The defense is better but it is by no means good. And some think Braun can play CF... I don't know if he could ever be but that's not exactly fair after 35 starts in the outfield, or whatever it's been. That was a result of bad judgement, not lack of physical talent.
  5. Did it not take Villy like FIVE HOURS to get to the plate? Wow.
  6. Bases loaded.... one out......... Braun... please? EDIT: Not good. At least we have our #5 batter up!
  7. Hey.... two on... and 1 out. Will anything happen here?... Please?
  8. Some of you people are never freaking happy. Yesterday - "I can't believe we are trotting out the same lineup day after day" Today - "What the hell are we doing changing the lineup"? Not... the... same... person.
  9. This is just getting crazy, now. Hall's "error" = 2 runs.
  10. I'm sorry but that doesn't give us a 40% chance of winning. I suppose that would be true if you thought that Bush is a true 7.0 ERA pitcher (which would be very silly). But if you really believe that, you should be betting on every one of his starts because Vegas doesn't agree. You'll be rich! Please share some with me for giving you the tip.
  11. When it's over only 35 games, I would say it's much more luckly a result of random chance than anything else. Unless the coaching staff has insisted on those 6 batter changing whatever approach gave them success in the first place, I can't even fathom what they could do to cause such an effect.
  12. When it's over only 35 games, I would say it's much more luckly a result of random chance than anything else. Unless the coaching staff has insisted on those 6 batter changing whatever approach gave them success in the first place, I can't even fathom what they could do to cause such an effect.
  13. The worst that could happen is he gets rocked, we lose those two games and he gets released. No, the worst that could happen is that Weaver gets lucky, pitches well in those two starts and earns a spot in the rotation as a result. Those are 2 games we would have lost anyway with Bush. So, because the Brewers only have a 40% chance of winning with Bush, they should pretend it's actually 0%?
  14. Doesn't his contract also say something about incentives for pitching in the majors? I don't see the point of giving him ML innings with the expectation of him putting up a 5.0 ERA. I'd rather take my chances with the guys we already have. I think they are all clearly better than him, which isn't saying much.
  15. What? Kapler and Rivera have as many HR combined as Fielder and Hart. Kapler + Rivera > Fielder + Hart That's the kind of crazy logic that just might get the Brewers over this hump! Remember all those games (especially in Houston) where they had the bases loaded and never scored in those innings. Add in the solo HR's and you have a not so bad looking OPS yet under an performing offense and a losing record. You have it completely backwards. Because of how well they've done w/RISP, the Brewers have actually scored more runs than their raw productions suggests, not less. But because their team OPS is so bad, all that "clutch" hitting still still hasn't raised the run production to even average.
  16. All these "the same bad things will keep happening" IGT predictions always prompts me type "mlb odds" into google. Whenever it starts feeling like the Brewers will never win another game, I generally calm the nerves by looking at what Vegas thinks. Vegas basically see tonights game is a coin flip, which is really just the collective opinion of thousands of people willing to put their money where their mouth is. Collectively, they are very smart people. They should be trusted. The Brewers are a 3 game winning streak from being 2 or 3 games out of first and they have a 50% chance of starting that streak tonight. And since my 7 month old daughter will be attending her first game on Saturday (at least, outside the womb), the Brewers have 100% chance of winning that one. Almost there!
  17. Of course he is going to walk...He is batting in front of the pitcher. Why would you pitch to Hardy when you can just pitch to the opposing teams pitcher. I would have thought that was a fair assumption until I read this from fellow Brewer fan, Sackmann: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-benefit-of-batting-eighth/ Quite surprisingly, the walk rate didn't improve, at least in 2007. I wouldn't call the findings conclusive by any means, however. It's more of a quick look that a study. Of course, when we are only talking about 100 or so AB, the particular situations in which Hardy walked is most important. If the majority came with 2 outs and runners on, I would think those walks tell us little about Hardy's supposed new found ability to walk. Since the sample size is so small, I don't think it tells us much, anyway.
  18. I have heard this from others as well. Do we really know he is good at the intangibles and directing player psyches? Of course we don't really know but the players seem to like him and always seem to say the right things about knowing it's a long season, showing unwavering confidence in themselves, etc... I don't think that's worth too much personally but others seem to. I just think that if you wanted to try and blame a manager for an entire team not being able to hit or pitch, Yost wouldn't be a very good candidate.
  19. If you mean, should we expect Hardy to continue hitting like he is right now, don't think so. Did you expect Hardy to keep on hitting like he did at the start of last year? I sure hope not. Before the season started, he was projected by ZiPS to hit .262/.318/.421. He's currently hitting .231/.317/.287. There's no way he keeps up an ISO (SLG-BA) of .056. His slow start probably knocks that projected SLG down a few points but I don't see how I should expect him to ISO less than .100. No way. Hardy looks more and more like a guy who's not going to walk ort hit for much average but has a little power. For a decent fielding SS (which I think Hardy is), that isn't exciting but it's acceptable.
  20. GPA = Gross Production Average http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/statpages/glossary/#gpa Really, it's nothing special. Just think of it as OPS but a little better and scaled to BA. I also don't understand how a pitcher is struggling in a 7-1 game that the Brewers are leading (as in jazzytrav's post). He just means that, if your offense is producing, a pitcher doesn't have to be so darn perfect just to have any chance of winnings. When the offense can't muster up more than 2 or 3 runs, the Brewers have little chance of winning unless Sheets is pitching.
  21. GPA = Gross Production Average http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/statpages/glossary/#gpa Really, it's nothing special. Just think of it as OPS but a little better and scaled to BA. I also don't understand how a pitcher is struggling in a 7-1 game that the Brewers are leading (as in jazzytrav's post). He just means that, if your offense is producing, a pitcher doesn't have to be so darn perfect just to have any chance of winnings. When the offense can't muster up more than 2 or 3 runs, the Brewers have little chance of winning unless Sheets is pitching.
  22. For those that think a catcher has a significant effect on pitchers, apparently Kendall calls terrible games unless he's calling one for elite pitchers (Sheets/Gallardo). Suppan, Villy, Bush and Parra are all performing worse than their preseason expectations. Of course, I don't blame Kendall for the bad performances any more than I credit him for the good ones. I don't think any of us know what effect if any he has. I'd guess very little.
  23. On the hitters, would you really rule out the possibility that a new manager couldn't make a difference? I wouldn't rule anything out. I just would find it highly unlikely that Yost is somehow contributing to the collective offensive slump. The only thing Yost appears to be good at are the type of intangibles which might help with the psyche of his players, IMO. Heck, we could say that Yost has finally taught the batters to be clutch and at least do well with RISP. I think that's nonesense but if we want to crucify him for some things, shouldn't we praise him for that fact? I doubt he has any significant effect either way, however. And again, my point isn't that I don't think Yost has any negative effect on the team. I think his in-game management is generally garbage (although I don't think it works out to nearly many losses as some suggest). Compared to the other WOAHS right now , what Yost is doing is pretty insignificant, IMO.
  24. What would be considered a "run of the mill" GPA? Like, for instance, a 750-800 OPS. It's divided by 4, so that it is roughly scaled to BA. The average AL batter (including backups, of course) last year had about a .330 OBP and a .425 SLG, which works out to a .255 GPA. A very good hitter (.350 OBP, .500 SLG) would have a .283 GPA. Perennial All-Star (.380/.550) has a .309 GPA.
  25. What would be considered a "run of the mill" GPA? Like, for instance, a 750-800 OPS. It's divided by 4, so that it is roughly scaled to BA. The average AL batter (including backups, of course) last year had about a .330 OBP and a .425 SLG, which works out to a .255 GPA. A very good hitter (.350 OBP, .500 SLG) would have a .283 GPA. Perennial All-Star (.380/.550) has a .309 GPA.
×
×
  • Create New...