rluzinski

I hate sac bunts. Now they only have 2 outs to disapoint the fans.

Magruder and Trent really bring alot to table for this team. Where's Ginter when you need him? O, Schroeder likes Magruder, so he must be good.

You can't take the ratio of two coefficients of different scales like this. What were the p-values on each? Umm, yeh, I'm an engineer, not a statistician http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif The r^2 value is .79, whish isn't terribly high, but good enough to estimate like I was trying to do. I used the LINEST function in excel, if that helps. I don't understand why you say the scales need to be the same to compare their effect on runs. I'm certainly not arguing that I am right, just that when I got an answer that made sense, I ran with it. I've read many times that OBP usually coorelates to runs with a coefficients between 1.5 and 1.8. EDIT: I didn't expect the r^2 value to be too high because I know treating all hits as qual to 1 is wrong. Runs Created or Linear Weights estimates runs scored better.

Turnbow... I'm scared.

Lee looks bad, that outside pitch strikes again. Seesh.

Funny to watch Jenkins call of Clark and his noodle arm. He was like, "get outa my way!"

O look double p... O yeh, ERROR! Now the potential run is at third.... sigh. JENKINS ATONES! Man that guy has an arm!

The Brewers strike again! Don't let your kids watch the crew, they will learn bad, bad things!

Is it REALLY worth having to suffer thorough a thousand Bottalico outings just to get a middling prospect??

Wrong thread but I agree, I have NO idea what a strike is anymore.

Sure glad we have Trent on the team. He brings alot to the table. Pathetic.

Every Sheet's Outing 1. Struggles first inning. 2. Locks down competition for the next 6 innings. 3. Get's lose.

OBP covers 1,000 points while SLG covers 4,000. I'm sure that's part of it, but with the fascination with OPS, it's good to realize all OPS are not created equal. I fell victim to that when I didn't give Clark his props for having a high OBP. Hardball times uses a stat called GPA: "Gross Production Average, a variation of OPS, but more accurate and easier to interpret. The exact formula is (OBP*1.8+SLG)/4, adjusted for ballpark factor. The scale of GPA is similar to BA: .200 is lousy, .265 is around average and .300 is a star." They say 1.8, so far this year it's been 1.6, but the idea remains the same; comparing just OPS's of two players isn't really fair since OBP is that much more important.

WOW, Branyan watches strike 3 right down the middle. Not sure what he was looking for there. Fast ball I guess?

Bill Hall crying about a pitch that was definetely a strike. There's that fire you guys like to see!

I heard some guy wrote his first article and is anxious for it to be posted... http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

And the Brewers do what they do best; make stupid outs.

Man, it looks like Carlos kinda gave up on that.

DOH! I have a REAL problem mixing up OBP and OPS!! It's comparing OBP to SLG http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/frown.gif

With ALL the problems you guys are always talking about with MLB.com, I can only hope I never leave Wisconsin.

If Overbay and Jenkins start carrying this team, Carlos is going to get a ton of fastballs. Just like Jenkins did? For all the talk people have about "protection" I've just never seen it's affect. Nothing more than a wive's tail if you ask me.

It's fun to watch managers act like a little kids, and 40,000 fans cheer him on. Are we 12 years old? Weeks was jawing pretty darn good.

In another thread, my contention was that 1 point of OBP was worth more than 1 point of SLG. Since that notion was roundly rejected I felt in neccessary to prove my point. Using Multiple Linear Regression, I was able to find the relative weights of OBP and SLG for prediction runs scored: SLG OBP RUNS LIN REG Boston Red Sox 0.451 0.357 479 475 New York Yankees 0.449 0.358 486 474 Baltimore Orioles 0.468 0.334 436 457 Los Angeles Angels 0.418 0.326 423 400 Florida Marlins 0.415 0.338 390 415 Chicago Cubs 0.451 0.327 410 431 San Francisco Giants 0.407 0.331 397 398 St. Louis Cardinals 0.427 0.341 447 430 Texas Rangers 0.476 0.330 476 458 Detroit Tigers 0.420 0.323 396 398 Tampa Bay Devil Rays 0.409 0.326 402 392 Minnesota Twins 0.409 0.334 398 404 Colorado Rockies 0.415 0.332 389 406 Toronto Blue Jays 0.413 0.333 428 406 Philadelphia Phillies 0.411 0.348 423 426 Oakland Athletics 0.396 0.336 406 395 Cincinnati Reds 0.442 0.337 434 438 Kansas City Royals 0.398 0.321 387 375 Atlanta Braves 0.432 0.330 431 419 Los Angeles Dodgers 0.407 0.332 387 399 San Diego Padres 0.404 0.338 406 405 Chicago White Sox 0.418 0.322 414 395 Cleveland Indians 0.431 0.323 406 408 Washington Nationals 0.395 0.328 359 383 Arizona Diamondbacks 0.419 0.331 400 409 Seattle Mariners 0.389 0.317 380 362 New York Mets 0.410 0.321 393 386 Milwaukee Brewers 0.418 0.331 396 408 Houston Astros 0.405 0.319 365 379 Pittsburgh Pirates 0.402 0.321 367 379 http://home.new.rr.com/mffl03/risp.jpg The equation I found was: Runs = 1444 x OBP + 898 x SLG - 443 1444 / 898 = 1.6 One point of OBP is equal to 1.6 points of SLG. EDIT: Opps, thanks endhttp://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Also, what I did here has been done before, incase someone thinks I'm trying to say I "invented" this.

WHAT is up with Sheets and the first inning?! He'll probably go 6 more innings and not give up another run. Crazy.

Well, since their wasn't a RISP when Jenkins hit that, apparently it's not clutch nor was it important in anyway. Just Jenkins padding his stats when it' obvious the Crew is going to lose.