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IIAY

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Everything posted by IIAY

  1. IIAY
    Let's not underestimate the fact that in addition to adding a switch-hitting power bat that can play almost any position, Escobar is by all accounts (like Adames) a great teammate and source of energy. For those with a subscription to The Athletic, here as an article from a few weeks ago: https://theathletic.com/2700974/2021/07/13/shamu-fogo-power-and-lobster-why-eduardo-escobar-is-every-diamondbacks-favorite-teammate/ A few select quotes:
  2. IIAY
    From Jim Bowden's latest article on The Athletic:
  3. IIAY
    I could see the Brewers having intertest in Gibson, given that he has had a very strong year and he is under contract and for 2022. Plus, it can allow me to dream that they pull off a deal for Gallo and Gibson.
  4. IIAY
    And sometimes Michael Brantley and Nelson Cruz are throw-ins. I would argue that Michael Brantley was not a throw-in. It was clear that there were going to be 2 highly thought of prospects sent to Cleveland in the Sabathia deal (LaPorta and the PTBNL). The PTBNL list included Brantley, Lucroy, and Taylor Green (who was one of our highest ranked prospects at the time). If we would have missed the playoffs, my understanding is that they would have sent Green to Cleveland (the Brewers' choice). Because we won the Wild Card, the Indians got to pick and chose Brantley.
  5. IIAY
    Also, under the Stearns/Counsell regime, the Brewers have always had a higher winning percentage in their last 62 games than they did in their first 100. Year: First 100/Last 62* 2016: .440/.468 2017: .530/.532 2018: .560/.635 2019: .520/.597 *included game 163 in 2018, because that game was kind of important Like MrTPlush, I just don't see this team falling apart down the stretch.
  6. IIAY
    Through 100 games, the 2021 team is tied for the second-best record in Brewers history: 1979: 60-40 2021: 58-42 1978: 58-42 1982: 58-42 Perhaps more importantly, it is only the sixth time the Brewers have been in first place after 100 games, and the 6.5 game lead is the largest lead in Brewers history: 2021: 6.5 game lead 2007: 3.0 game lead 2017: 1.0 game lead 1982: 0.5 game lead 2014: 0.5 game lead 2011: Tied for first
  7. IIAY
    Major kudos to David Stearns for pulling the trigger on this deal on May 21 and not waiting until the trade deadline. I think 4 factors helped contribute to the timing: 1) The 2 teams had previously been in discussions about Adames during the off-season, so a lot of the groundwork had probably been laid 2) Feyereisen got off to a great start this season and turned himself into a valuable commodity, while Rasmussen showed enough (along with his pedigree and the fact the Rays had previously drafted him in the first round). It allowed Stearns to trade assets from a position of strength that he didn't necessarily know he had during the off-season. 3) Urias developing the "yips" while throwing from SS. Maybe the preference all along was to acquire Adames and move Urias to 3B, but his throwing issues likely accelerated it. 4) Passing the Super 2 cutoff for the Rays to bring up the #1 prospect in baseball (who happens to play the same position as Adames). In the end, we are still 10 days away from the trade deadline, but we have likely already made the most impactful trade that any team will make this year. Since the trade, Adames has arguably been the most valuable player in the NL (for sure top-3), the Brewers have the best record in baseball, Urias has blossomed and filled the hole at 3B better than I could have imagined, and Adames has brought energy and fun to the team that appeared to be absent early on.
  8. IIAY
    Crazy to think McCutchen was a Top 5 MVP finisher for four straight years and then had a Christian Yelich style implosion at 29. Between that and getting nothing useful for Gerritt Cole was not a good start to getting back on track. [sarcasm]I also loved the foresight of Counsell to know that we could afford to get swept in that 5-game series right before the all-star break in 2018 and still win the division[/sarcasm]. That gave the Pirates a glimmer of hope that resulted in them trading Glasnow and Meadows for Chris Archer.
  9. IIAY
    I can see it now: deGrom retires the first 21 in order, notching 14 strikeouts. But Burnes is almost as good and we head to the eighth 0-0. With the ghost runner on second, Hiura drops down a sac bunt to move him to third. On an 0-2 pitch, a high fastball gets away from deGrom and gets to the screen, allowing the ghost runner to score. deGrom strikes out the last 2 hitters, but Hader comes in to strike out the side. deGrom's final line: 8 IP, 16 K, retires all 24 hitters, and loses 1-0.
  10. IIAY
    NL Teams by Winning Pct since beginning of 2017 (through 7/1/21): .629 Dodgers .555 Brewers .553 Cubs .541 Nationals .532 Braves .530 Cardinals .493 Rockies .490 Diamondbacks .482 Mets .468 Giants .468 Phillies .466 Padres .449 Reds .438 Pirates .420 Marlins Also, since the beginning of the 2017 season, the Brewers have played exactly ONE game at which time they had been eliminated from playoff contention.
  11. IIAY
    One of the most frustrating seasons I can remember. Ugh. I agree, but at least for me, the strong finishes and playoff berths (at the expense of the Cubs) in 2018 and 2019 took some of the sting out of that collapse.
  12. IIAY
    I actually feel pretty good about the back end of our bullpen right now. Assuming Ashby will be headed back down shortly, if we could add one more dependable 7th/8th inning guy as insurance for Williams and Boxberger, I would be very pleased. Tier A Hader Williams Deadline Acquisition Boxberger Tier B Suter Richards Cousins Tier C Sanchez Strickland We can (and have) done a lot worse than Sanchez and Strickland as the last guys in the pen.
  13. IIAY
    I thought I remembered the other Woody having a spectacular debut and was right. I'm sure there are more https://sabr.org/gamesproj/game/july-28-1997-brewers-steve-woodard-whiffs-12-in-first-big-league-start/ this article brings up a lot of fun names from the past. these late 90's teams were that good, but I had fun watching them. Woodard and Chris Saenz are the two that stand out for me. Saenz in particular as it was the only time he ever appeared in a major league game and he threw 6 shutout innings, striking out 7.
  14. IIAY
    And just like the Brewers/Cubs game, the Angels came back and won after giving up 7 runs in the first! There is something about both the Cubs and Yankees scoring 7 runs in the first inning and losing on the same day that warms my heart.
  15. IIAY
    Happy Bobby Bonilla Day everyone! I was 9 years old when Bonilla debuted in the majors and will be 58 when he receives his last check for playing baseball.
  16. IIAY
    Willy Adames 2021 bWAR: 2.1 Orlando Arcia career bWAR: 2.3
  17. IIAY
    If they do that the only thing that's going to keep them getting swept in five games again is that there is no game five this time. You’re confusing the “Sweep Suit” series (the 4-gamer in 2001) with the 5-gamer right before the all-star break in 2018. The team recovered pretty well in 2018. The 2001 team not so much…
  18. IIAY
    In all seriousness, it’s hard to believe it’s been 20 years since Burnitz and company wore the Sweep Suits and finished the season 30-60 in their last 90 games after a 38-34 start. Man I’m getting old.
  19. IIAY
    Late June three game sweep of the Cubs before heading to Pittsburgh for a four game set. Time to break out the “Sweep Suits?”
  20. IIAY
    I had a flashback to September 9, 2018 when Counsell was ejected after MadBum beaned Brauny to load the bases. Jonathan Schoop followed with a grand slam (his only positive contribution as a Brewer that I can recall).
  21. IIAY
    2021 stats: Nolan Arenado: .266/.319/.509 827 OPS, 132 OPS+, 2.3 bWAR Adolis Garcia: .279/.318/.550 867 OPS, 134 OPS+, 2.7 bWAR Randy Arozarena: .263/.345/.421 766 OPS, 120 OPS+, 2.2 bWAR Patrick Wisdom: .277/.341/.699 1039 OPS, 182 OPS+, 1.4 bWAR It sure is nice to see players experience success after leaving the Cardinals after so many years of the opposite happening.
  22. IIAY
    The 1979 team had a .587 winning percentage at the all-star break (54-38 record). The next highest was the 1982 team at .578. Because the number of games before the all-star game varies so drastically (anywhere from 75 games to 98 games in full 162-game seasons), I like to look at the record at the true halfway point (after 81 games) which happens to be Wednesday's finale against the Cubs. Here are the best records for Brewers' teams after 81 games: 2014 49-32 .605 2018 48-33 .593 2007 47-34 .580 1979 47-34 .580 1982 46-35 .568 1980 46-35 .568 1978 46-35 .568 If the Brewers sweep the Cubs, they will tie the 2018 squad for the second best record at the halfway point, trailing only the 2014 team (which we won't talk about since this is the optimism thread).
  23. IIAY
    It's an unusual pitch mix for sure, in that these days you'd generally pair curveballs with 4-seamers, many of them up in the zone. So I could very well imagine they try changing his pitch usage around to get a more cohesive mix. Not quite sure how though, as his curve certainly seems his best pitch, but he's not exactly a guy you'd expect to have the 4-seamer to pair it with. So it'll be interest what, if anything, changes. It looks like we’ll get a chance tomorrow to see what if anything the Brewers have changed with his pitch usage.
  24. IIAY
    I actually like the idea of 14. The team with the best record in each league gets a bye into the DS. The other 2 division winners play the 2 WC teams with the worst records. Top 2 WC teams play in first round with the winner playing the best team in the league in DS. Less than half of the teams get in the playoffs and less likely to see a team with a losing record in the playoffs.
  25. IIAY
    According to Ken Rosenthal in The Athletic, the Brewers referenced the tweets Hader made as a 17-year-old as part of their case. I suppose it is to be expected, as they are trying to do what they can to win the case, but you have to wonder if it will have a negative impact on the relationship going forward. "Maybe not – the club side mentioned Hader’s racist, homophobic, misogynistic and threatening tweets from when he was 17, sources said." https://theathletic.com/1624606/2020/02/21/rosenthal-flawed-arbitration-system-doesnt-always-reflect-actual-player-value/
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