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IIAY

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Everything posted by IIAY

  1. IIAY
    It's fun to look at the J.J. Hardy Tree. Start with 3 home-grown players: J.J. Hardy (11 bWAR with Brewers) Mike Fiers (4.4 WAR) Jorge Lopez (0.2 WAR) Trades involving these 3 players have resulted in the following: No longer in organziaton Carlos Gomez (19.1 WAR) Domingo Santana (4.2 WAR) Brett Phillips (1.4 WAR) Still in organization Josh Hader (6.0 WAR) Mike Moustakas (3.4 WAR) Adrian Houser (0.5 WAR) Ben Gamel (0.2 WAR) Noah Zavolas (having a good year at AA) That is a total of 50.4 bWAR while with the Brewers for these 11 players with obviously more runway for those still with the Brewers.
  2. IIAY
    Wouldn't that be something if we could add Albert Ciprian to a farm system that already includes Arbert Cipion.
  3. IIAY
    A couple of non-Yamamoto notes: - Harrison and Diaz were both selected for the Futures Game for the Marlins - Harrison was yanked from last night's AAA game in the ninth inning of a 5-5 tie when he went to the plate batting LEFT handed (he is right handed). When his manager noticed, he removed Harrison from the game and Harrison was NOT happy about it.
  4. IIAY
    Literally the article in the first couple of posts which you would've realized had you not been so mad about me thinking that a couple of mediocre at best prospects would be enough for a guy who's nearly produced 3 WAR already with 3 more years of control. I apologize if my post lead to confusion that a Boyd for Dubon/Ray trade was proposed as that certainly was NOT described in the article. I tried to adhere to forum rules regarding posting content from $$ articles by grabbing what I felt was the most pertinent section. It said that Detroit would be looking for bats and then spoke specifically of Dubon and Ray as possible targets that align with Detroit's needs. Here is another quote from the article that indicates that Hiura isn't headed anywhere other than Milwaukee:
  5. IIAY
    Article in The Athletic today by Robert Murray specifically highlights Boyd as someone the Brewers are keeping an eye on. Dubon and Ray are mentioned as possible targets. https://theathletic.com/1040556/2019/06/21/would-the-brewers-trade-one-of-their-best-prospects-for-a-top-of-the-rotation-starter-you-better-believe-it/
  6. IIAY
    Between Bumgarner on the mound and Estabrook behind the plate today we have no chance.
  7. IIAY
    Man, I had you pegged as a little older than that. Seriously, thanks for all that you contribute to this forum and enjoy the time with your family as time goes fast. My oldest graduated from HS on Saturday and it seems like just yesterday that I was going to his kindergarten graduation.
  8. IIAY
    Looking at the schedule at the beginning of the year, if you would have told me that as of May 31 our top two pitchers would be Davies and Woodruff and we would have next to no contribution from Burnes, Shaw, Aguilar, and Thames, there is no way I would have expected to be 7 games above .500. This team has done an excellent job of navigating the tough early schedule and is in prime position to make some hay over the next two months.
  9. IIAY
    First-round mock draft from the staff of The Athletic ($):
  10. IIAY
    The Brewers are on a 91.5 win pace after playing arguably the toughest collection of opponents through the first one-third of the season (55 games). They have set themselves up nicely by staying above .500 to this point in the season with the schedule on the horizon seemingly easing up. I'm not exactly sure how ESPN/Sagarin calculate their SoS, but I tried to break the season down into three 54-game sections. The first of these ended on Sunday (5/26) with the Brewers sitting at 30-24 (90 win pace). Here is how it breaks down: Games 1 through 54 Opponent wPCT: .532 Games vs. teams > .550 wPCT: 23 Games vs. teams < .450 wPCT: 3 Games vs. CHC/STL: 16 Games vs. CIN/PIT: 5 Games 55 through 108: Opponent wPCT: .492 Games vs. teams > .550 wPCT: 10 Games vs. teams < .450 wPCT: 12 Games vs. CHC/STL: 3 Games vs. CIN/PIT: 24 Games 109 through 162: Opponent wPCT: .512 Games vs. teams > .550 wPCT: 14 Games vs. teams < .450 wPCT: 7 Games vs. CHC/STL: 19 Games vs. CIN/PIT: 9 It is clear that the middle 54 game stretch will be big opportunity for the Crew to take charge in the division after doing a great job in the first 54 games (by far the toughest third of the schedule). 24 games against the Reds and Pirates vs. 3 games against the Cubs and Cardinals. Done with the Dodgers and Phillies for the year. They started off on the right foot last night in Minnesota. Hopefully they have figured out how to beat the Pirates!
  11. IIAY
    Forget Cecil Cooper, I want to know what Coach Cooper would think about it.
  12. IIAY
    Looked like Hiura was standing around watching when he should have been covering second on that double by Freeman. It appeared Cain was going to throw it to second when he realized no one was covering and ended up spiking it into the ground. Rookie mistake. Thankfully it didn’t lead to any runs.
  13. IIAY
    Broxton was just DFA'd by the Mets.
  14. IIAY
    The 11 runs the Brewers have scored is only the 3rd highest total by a team in the 4 afternoon games today.
  15. IIAY
    Nathan Stevens and Waunakee are playing at Miller Park today. Would be interested to hear from Patrick or Toby their thoughts on Stevens or any of the other top WI prep players that may have a chance at being drafted in the top 10 rounds.
  16. IIAY
    The first one that popped into my head was Wes Helms. Like you, I hope KH changes this.
  17. IIAY
    And there are plenty of examples in recent history on the other end of the spectrum that dominate MLB pitching early in their career. Bellinger, Soto, Acuna, further back obviously Braun. Even our last "great" 2B prospect, Brett Lawrie, had a dominant rookie year after the trade. Just because it doesn't happen every time doesn't mean Hiura can't do it. Of course. Maybe he'll be great. But the success rate of "Top" guys is mixed. That's all I'm saying. Byron Buxton, Delmon Young, Gregg Jefferies, Lewis Brinson, Matt LaPorta, Brett Wallace, Kyle Schwarber, Dustin Ackley. . .There was lots of greatness predicted for that group and they delivered a collective shrug. Baseball prospecting is an uncertain game. I want to see Hiura, but more as a curiosity than to think that he'll be an instant improvement. Somewhere I have a bunch of 1988 Donruss Gregg Jefferies rookie cards that, as an 11-year old, I thought would help fund my retirement. I think I'll be working for a while... Here's to Keston having a much better career than all of the guys you listed.
  18. IIAY
    Plus we got Zavolas, who is doing really well in Carolina. Davies-like repertoire, velocity maybe a tick or two higher. Just checked on Santanas stats. His hot start has him at .269 with 11 dingers but he is 11 for his last 63(.175). I think it just took AL pitchers a while to figure out how to pitch him(up and in). Not sure where you see 11 dingers. I see 7 (with 3 coming in the first 4 games of the year). Santana and Gamel have identical .797 OPS after the game last night with Gamel's OBP 50 points higher.
  19. IIAY
    Two years ago today (5/7/17), the Brewers beat the Pirates 6-2 to move their record to 16-16. Since that day, the Brewers have spent exactly ONE DAY (4/16/18) with a record below .500. Not too shabby for a franchise that once had 12 consecutive losing seasons.
  20. IIAY
    Through games of May 1: Santana: .284/.349/.470, 819 OPS, 0.0 bWAR (0.8 oWAR, -1.0 dWAR) Gamel: .288/.391/.424, 815 OPS, 1.0 bWAR (0.4 oWAR, 0.6 dWAR) I really hope we continue to see Gamel start regularly against RHP in place of Braun, at least as long as he continues to produce as he has so far.
  21. IIAY
    At this point it would surprise me if they don't end up in Madison. Sam's girlfriend is on the UW volleyball team. Gard really wanted Sam badly but was overruled by Bo so I don't think there are any hard feelings there. The Badgers have 3 open scholarships so they have the room. Mr. Hauser also played college basketball with Brad Davison's dad at Duluth and they are close (despite the supposed "nut punch".) They are also both very good friends with Trevor Anderson. If they have to sit out a year, why not do it among friends close to home with a program that could be a top-5 team in 2020-21 with them on board? Perusing a few CBB message boards, a moderator on the Virginia board that appears to be connected doesn't think there is interest on the part of UVA. One of the Buckyville posters that is very close to the Bennett's has been dropping hints suggesting that UW is the likely destination. I personally feel they put MSU and UVA out there as possibilities so that they can get through finals on May 10 without it coming out that they are headed to Madison. Might make their final few weeks on campus a little rough...
  22. IIAY
    Not that it matters, I don't see how they come up with that number. Even if you add in Garza deferral, last year buyout money, Suter, etc. My number is much closer to Cot's total of $123.4M - but even that number has Braun at $19M, but cash flow it is only $15M this year. https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/national-league-central/milwaukee-brewers/ Not sure if this helps or not, but here is a blurb on the methodology used by the AP to get to the figures linked above:
  23. IIAY
    Brewers' opening day payroll officially just north of $130M, 14th highest of the 30 teams and about double that of the Pirates. It's likely been a while since the Brewers were in the top half of teams in payroll on opening day. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/2019-mlb-opening-day-payrolls-red-sox-cubs-yankees-open-season-above-competitive-balance-tax-threshold/ EDIT: I guess not as long as would have thought, as they were 10th in 2012 at $97.6M. http://www.stevetheump.com/Payrolls.htm#2011payroll
  24. IIAY
    With the day off today Counsell was able to observe some live BP sessions and noted that Rasmussen really stood out. Could end up being a steal. https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/brewers-drew-rasmussen-impresses-in-live-bp-session/
  25. IIAY
    The way I look at it is that he basically replaced the pick we gave up for Grandal by acquiring Adam Hill in the Broxton trade with the advantage of being able to see how Hill performed in his first half-year of professional ball. The so-called “lottery tickets” that DS always seems to be able to get in deals are just as if not more likely to be as successful as the players that we draft with the picks that were given up.
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