Week 1 of the Milwaukee Metric Mix‑Up was… educational. I tried predicting exact stats, and baseball responded by laughing directly in my face. Turns out trying to nail specific numbers in a sport built entirely on chaos is a great way to go 0‑for‑the‑internet.

So, this week, I’m tightening things up.

The Mix‑Up is now running on a new system: every player gets a number from 1–5, and I can only use each number twice. The goal is simple, whatever number I pick for them, they just need to hit it or beat it. Cleaner. Smarter. Slightly less unhinged. Still very "Irrelevant".

And yes, I’m sticking with the same stat categories from Week 1; except I’m switching out XBH for RBI, because I still can’t believe I forgot that one. So the pool is now: BB, SO, H, 2B, 3B, RBI, SB, HR, R. Every player gets one number and one metric, and if they meet or beat it, I get a hit in the Mix‑Up box score.

Let’s get into it.

Today’s Line Up:

1.     Christian Yelich (L) DH

2.     Jackson Chourio (R) LF

3.     Brice Turang (L) 2B

4.     William Contreras (R) C

5.     Jake Bauers (L) RF

6.     Andrew Vaughn (R) 1B

7.     Garrett Mitchell (L) CF

8.     Cooper Pratt (R) SS

9.     David Hamilton (L) 3B

SP: Robert Gasser LHP 0-3, 6.38 ERA 19 SO

Games This Week (6/17-6/23)

Metric Mix-up:

Christian Yelich — DH

YTD Stats: AVG .279 | OBP .353 | SLG .422 | 4 HR | 5 SB | 116 OPS+

Prediction:  3 BB

Yelich’s last five games have been a weird mix- 6-for-18, a couple RBI, 3 walks, and 7 strikeouts, though five of those came in Vegas where everyone was swinging like they had the power button glued down. I’m expecting him to sit Thursday with lefty Parker Messick on the mound, but Wednesday feels like the real opportunity. Gavin Williams, the AL wins leader, forces hitters to slow the game down. I’m banking on Yeli having one of those veteran, patient nights that sets him up for a more disciplined week.

Jackson Chourio — LF

YTD Stats: AVG .322 | OBP .370 | SLG .572 | 9 HR | 5 SB | 158 OPS+

Prediction:  5 H

Fresh off being named co–NL Player of the Week, Action Jackson is once again reminding everyone why he’s the future of the franchise. He’s gone 10-for-24 with 5 home runs and 9 RBI in his last five games, and right now he’s seeing the baseball roughly the size of a cantaloupe. And as the book says: you always hit on 11, and this 11 is hitting. When a 22‑year‑old gets this locked in, you ride the heater. I’m banking on at least five hits from the hottest bat in Milwaukee.

Brice Turang — 2B

YTD Stats: AVG .261 | OBP .378 | SLG .457 | 10 HR | 12 SB | 132 OPS+

Prediction:  1 SB

Turang has been fighting it at the plate lately, reaching base just three times in his last five games. The contact is still there, but the results haven’t followed, and Vegas didn’t help; that whole series played like the circus was in town. So if the bat isn’t carrying him right now, the legs need to. When Brice does get on, he has to make it count, and I want to see him take full advantage of every rare trip to first base. I’m calling for one stolen base this week: a small number, but the right one for where he’s at.

William Contreras — C

YTD Stats: AVG .295 | OBP .352 | SLG .411 | 6 HR | 1 SB | 113 OPS+

Prediction:  2 HR

Contreras’ last five games have been a roller coaster, a 0-for-4 with 3 strikeouts in Vegas, a Double Play pinch‑hit cameo, and then a steady climb back to form against Philly. He’s gone 6-for-13 in the last three games with a double, an RBI, and zero strikeouts, which is exactly the kind of “quiet correction” stretch he has before he unloads on one. The swing looks calmer, the takes are better, and the contact is getting louder. Wild Bill feels due, and I’m calling for two home runs this week to snap the drought and hopefully the contract-year-villain-arc starts this week.

Jake Bauers — RF

YTD Stats: AVG .267 | OBP .374 | SLG .519 | 13 HR | 5 SB | 147 OPS+

Prediction:  2 2B

Bauers’ last five games have been a study in extremes, Vegas turned half the lineup into strikeout machines, and he wasn’t spared, but once the Brewers got back to Milwaukee he started squaring balls up again. He’s gone 6-for-12 in the Philly series with a double, a homer, and 3 RBI, and right now he’s either finding gaps or finding seats with almost nothing in between. When he’s locked in like this, the doubles tend to come in bunches. I’m calling for two this week; a perfect Mix‑Up “2” and exactly the kind of production Bauers gives you when the swing is synced.

 Andrew Vaughn — 1B

YTD Stats: AVG .354 | OBP .431 | SLG .531 | 2 HR | 0 SB | 167 OPS+

Prediction:  4 SO

Vaughn hasn’t had a ton of run lately, but he’s been quietly sharp when he’s in the lineup. Over his last five games he’s logged 2 hits, 5 walks, and just 1 strikeout, which is exactly the kind of profile you want when you’re banking on a low‑K week. With more plate appearances likely coming his way, the hope is that this patient version of Vaughn sticks, the one who’s seeing pitches, taking his walks, and refusing to chase himself into trouble. I’m calling for fewer than four strikeouts, a number that fits both the Mix‑Up and the approach he’s shown in June.

Garrett Mitchell — CF

YTD Stats: AVG .246 | OBP .349 | SLG .406 | 4 HR | 6 SB | 110 OPS+

Prediction:  4 R

Mitchell’s last five games have been a strange split; some hitless nights, some loud ones, but one thing has stayed consistent: when he gets on, he finds a way home. He’s scored five runs in that stretch despite only reaching base six times, including a two‑run night against Philly and a three‑hit game in Vegas where he was basically teleporting around the bases. Even when the bat isn’t fully there, the speed, reads, and aggression absolutely are.

So I’m leaning into the thing he’s doing best right now: turning baserunners into runs. I’m calling for four this week, a bet on Mitchell’s ability to manufacture offense the moment he touches first.

Cooper Pratt — SS

YTD Stats: AVG .000 | OBP .000 | SLG .000 | 0 HR | 0 SB | 0 OPS+

Prediction:  3 RBI

The Brewers’ No. 4 prospect and the No. 63 prospect in all of baseball is stepping into The Show tonight, and if there’s one thing we’ve learned over the years, it’s that debut weeks have their own gravitational pull. Pratt’s been hitting everywhere he’s gone; elite bat‑to‑ball skills, mature approach, and that calm, unbothered presence that makes scouts talk about him like he’s been 22 for a decade.

And now he gets his first taste of big‑league pitching. First stadium lights. First ovation. First “holy hell, I’m here” moment. Guys with his profile often find a way to make something happen early, a big swing, a clutch knock, a moment that sticks.

So I’m leaning all the way into the debut‑week magic. I’m calling for 3 RBI from Pratt in his first week in Milwaukee: a Mix‑Up “3” powered by talent, adrenaline, and the baseball gods occasionally smiling on a kid’s first ride.

David Hamilton — 3B

YTD Stats: AVG .231 | OBP .316 | SLG .320 | 3 HR | 14 SB | 78 OPS+

Prediction:  1 3B

I had one number left: a 1. And one metric left: triples. And honestly, if you’re going to bet on anyone in this lineup to leg out a three‑bagger, it’s David Hamilton. The man is fast. Like, “so fast he makes fast people look… not fast”- The Longest Yard. Even when the bat isn’t fully there, the speed absolutely is, and all he needs is one ball in the right gap or one outfielder taking the wrong angle for the wheels to take over.

So I’m leaning into the chaos. I’m calling for one triple this week, a perfect Mix‑Up “1” and a bet on Hamilton’s ability to turn a routine hit into a track meet. 

And that wraps up this week’s Mix‑Up. Maybe these picks hit, maybe they miss, maybe they do that Brewers thing where they look great for 48 hours and then forget how to baseball until Tuesday. Either way, they’re locked in, typed during the sacred post‑bedtime window when the kids are finally asleep and I can stare at a box score like it’s the Zapruder film. Come back next week for the victory laps, the self‑roasting, and a fresh batch of predictions I absolutely did not whisper to myself while hiding from responsibility in the pantry.

Last Week’s Results:

Alright, now that this week’s chaos is officially on the books, let’s take a look back at last week’s picks and see which ones aged like fine wine and which ones aged like the McDonald’s milk that was left in my car by, apparently, nobody.

Well… that was something. Not good something. Not even “funny bad” something. This was the kind of statistical meltdown that makes you wonder if the Brewers front office has a personal vendetta against my Google Doc. I didn’t just go 0‑for‑9 — I went “Luis Rengifo got DFA’d mid‑prediction” levels of 0‑for‑9. That’s commitment. That’s art.

Let’s review the carnage:

• Yelich: Needed 4 XBH, got 1. Respectfully declined to participate.

• Chourio: Needed 6 runs, got 4. Close enough to hurt, far enough to mock me.

• Turang: Needed 3 doubles, got 1. He tried. Kind of.

• Contreras: Needed 4 homers, hit 0. Villain Arc I needed: Bane from Batman, Villain arc I got: Lord Farquaad, from Shrek.

• Bauers: Needed 2 or less strikeouts, got 7. "Can I help you?" Bauers: "Nope, just looking."

• Mitchell: Needed 2 steals, got 0. My man has become a conscientious objector to stealing.

• Frelick: Needed 1 triple, got 0. Triples are chaos; chaos chose violence.

• Rengifo: Needed 2 hits, got 1… and then got DFA’d. My man literally left the roster to avoid my prediction.

• Hamilton: Needed 5 walks, got 0. He said “no thank you” to the entire concept of plate discipline.

Lower your expectations,

-Irrelevant

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