Sat. 8/26 - Will Maryvale "Put a Ring on It?"

[Ro Mueller]

The Rattlers have erupted for 5 runs in the 3rd inning to push their lead to 6-0! 4 singles and 2 walks were enough to do the damage. Robert Moore started it with a single. Luis Lara has singled, walked, stole a base, scored a run.

It's the 3rd inning and 7 of 9 Wisconsin players have a hit, while Boeve walked - only Brown is searching for his first appearance on base.

RHP Miguel Guerrero is doing the heavy lifting after Blalock exited with an injury after 2 batters.

[Ro Mueller]

Problem. C Jeferson Quero comes out of the game in the top of the 6th inning after a foul ball.

[wiguy94]

Quero removed from the game after taking a brutal foul tip right to the jaw. Seemed to have been shaken up pretty good and needed to be assisted off the field.

[Ro Mueller]

Christian Mejias got in a 6th inning pickle (HBP, single), then Nick Bennett came in with one out and gave up back-to-back singles. Shuckers lead 3-2 now, going into the bottom of the 6th inning. I assume the plan is to get several innings out of Bennett, if he's up to the task.

[Ro Mueller]

Miguel Guerrero and the Rattlers gave up 3 runs in the 4th inning as Guerrero extended himself to 54 pitches, but Robert Moore and Luis Lara immediately responded in their typical manner: singles, stolen bases, runs scored.

Mike Boeve and Joe Gray Jr. had RBI singles - they're a combined 3-for-5 with 6 RBIs thus far.

Wisconsin leads 9-3 going into the 5th inning. Guerrero's still pitching...

[wiguy94]

Don't think the ACL Brewers will be putting a ring on it today. Down 6-0 in the 1st inning.

[Ro Mueller]

Leading 3-2, Biloxi faced down a 2nd and 3rd, 1-out situation in the top of the 7th inning (Nick Bennett and Ryan Middendorf induced 2 groundouts), then Jackson Chourio knocked in 2 insurance runs with an RBI single in the bottom half of the inning.

5-2 Shuckers lead in the 8th inning.

[Ro Mueller]

It's looking like a complete reversal of the Brewers' Friday minor league results, as the Sounds fell tonight and ACL Brewers are down 7-1, but Carolina and Biloxi were victorious and the Timber Rattlers lead 12-4.

[BrewerFan]

3 hours ago, snoogans8056 said:

Jace Avina is ops-ing over 1.000 the last two months as a 19/20 year old in single A.

His swing is a thing of beauty. I know guys get it done in different ways(there's a thread about Wiemer's stance/movement and mechanics)...but Avina's swing is so smooth and hands are so quick. 

I guess it's just about pitch recognition with him?

[BrewerFan]

3 hours ago, damuelle said:

Lauer with three straight walks to likely, unfortunately, end his 4 2/3 innings. I'd say he's fully stretched out at 92 pitches. I guess he's MLB starting depth for Wade Miley, though I still think we'd call up Rea and even McKendry ahead of him at the moment. Gasser would also be ahead of Lauer, in my opinion, but I won't allow myself to believe his call up is even a possibility, after what happened with Frelick last year.

Sounds trail 3-1 going into the 6th inning. Time to turn it around!!

Why do you think Rea and McKendry are ahead of Lauer?

Has he spent enough time in AAA to get another year of control? Would they even want that with his arbitration situation?

I was thinking he'd be anobvious left hander to bring up and be a long man in the pen given we only have Milner. I would not have guessed Rea or McKendry would be ahead of him. 

[brewmann04]

6 hours ago, damuelle said:

C Jose Sibrian has gunned down 3 baserunners in 3 innings, yet the Mudcats trail 2-1. Jace Avina singled in our run. C’mon men!!

What type of ceiling does this Sinrian kid have ?

[brewmann04]

Hi Looks  like Ernesto Martinez is putting up some nice numbers what is his ceiling?

[Ro Mueller]

2 hours ago, BrewerFan said:

Why do you think Rea and McKendry are ahead of Lauer?

Has he spent enough time in AAA to get another year of control? Would they even want that with his arbitration situation?

I was thinking he'd be anobvious left hander to bring up and be a long man in the pen given we only have Milner. I would not have guessed Rea or McKendry would be ahead of him. 

I’m speaking in terms of if/when the Brewers need a starting pitcher - I believe they’d want that starter to be highly capable of giving them 6-7 innings.

Lauer’s not quite there yet, having gone 5 IP and 4.2 IP in his last 2 outings. He’s not reached 6 IP in any outing since April, whereas Rea (on MLB 40-man roster) and McKendry (likely 40-man add in Nov 2023, so could naturally be added now) have done it severally.

For service time, my understanding is that Lauer’s been down long enough, so he can’t complete his 5th service time year if called up now. I believe that gives us the extra year of arbitration/control.

Assuming no MLB starter is injured, any of Rea, McKendry, Lauer, Mejia (if healthy), Andrews, Small, Sousa, Bukauskas, Junk, Abad, Claudio or Vieira could be added on September 1st.

But if we actually need a starting pitcher on relatively short notice, I believe that Rea is the man (at this immediate time), followed by McKendry, then Lauer, then Teheran, largely based on demonstrated ability to deliver a long start right now.

[Ro Mueller]

1 hour ago, brewmann04 said:

Hi Looks  like Ernesto Martinez is putting up some nice numbers what is his ceiling?

He has the athleticism and raw power to eventually make the major leagues, starting against right-handers.

It’s odd that it’s taken him 7 MILB seasons to finally play even a little bit of AA ball - this is a quirk of the Covid year, oddly-delayed promotion then late season injury while raking in 2021 Low-A, 2022 injuries, terrible start to 2023.

He’ll reach minor league free agency this offseason and I don’t believe there’s much chance of us adding him to the 40-man MLB roster. So we’ll either re-sign him like Erceg and Sibrian last offseason or see him continue his baseball journey elsewhere. 

 

[Ro Mueller]

2 hours ago, brewmann04 said:

What type of ceiling does this Sinrian kid have ?

To me, he’s like Brian Navarreto - AAA cap / future coach. This is Sibrian’s 8th season of MILB ball. He’s doing awesome things defensively for Low-A Carolina and also having a nice offensive season. This is helping player development at that level, but I don’t believe there’s any view of this carrying up to MLB, I’m sorry to say.

[BrewerFan]

1 hour ago, damuelle said:

I’m speaking in terms of if/when the Brewers need a starting pitcher - I believe they’d want that starter to be highly capable of giving them 6-7 innings.

Lauer’s not quite there yet, having gone 5 IP and 4.2 IP in his last 2 outings. He’s not reached 6 IP in any outing since April, whereas Rea (on MLB 40-man roster) and McKendry (likely 40-man add in Nov 2023, so could naturally be added now) have done it severally.

For service time, my understanding is that Lauer’s been down long enough, so he can’t complete his 5th service time year if called up now. I believe that gives us the extra year of arbitration/control.

Assuming no MLB starter is injured, any of Rea, McKendry, Lauer, Mejia (if healthy), Andrews, Small, Sousa, Bukauskas, Junk, Abad, Claudio or Vieira could be added on September 1st.

But if we actually need a starting pitcher on relatively short notice, I believe that Rea is the man (at this immediate time), followed by McKendry, then Lauer, then Teheran, largely based on demonstrated ability to deliver a long start right now.

Well...he just threw 90+ pitches and it's 8/27, so...I was thinking more of adding another lefty to the pen and he seems like the most likely candidate short of Ashby(who's not yet close and I don't actually think they'll bring back this year).

In 5 days when the roster expands, I'm thinking another lefty is going to be a priority over another starter. And if they do need to skip someone or get by without one of the 5 starters, they can get ~4 innings out of Lauer and then fill in with the BP. 

You're also listing pretty much every AAA pitcher but our best one(who's also a lefty). I'm having trouble seeing them bringing up Bukauskas or Junk, Abad, Claudio(Vieira, Rea, MAYBE McKendry if it's just about covering innings). 

 

 

[Ro Mueller]

2 hours ago, BrewerFan said:

Well...he just threw 90+ pitches and it's 8/27, so...I was thinking more of adding another lefty to the pen and he seems like the most likely candidate short of Ashby(who's not yet close and I don't actually think they'll bring back this year).

In 5 days when the roster expands, I'm thinking another lefty is going to be a priority over another starter. And if they do need to skip someone or get by without one of the 5 starters, they can get ~4 innings out of Lauer and then fill in with the BP. 

You're also listing pretty much every AAA pitcher but our best one(who's also a lefty). I'm having trouble seeing them bringing up Bukauskas or Junk, Abad, Claudio(Vieira, Rea, MAYBE McKendry if it's just about covering innings). 

 

 

Yeah, the team can go any number of ways with the Sep 1 call-up. My original comment above on Lauer was only in terms of MLB starter depth.

I’m one of those who wanted to see Lauer limited to 2 innings/appearance in AAA, so as to develop him into a terrific MLB relief option down the stretch. The fact that we’ve opted for long outings for him makes me think that Lauer’s actually less likely to get the Sep 1 call-up, instead being held as reserve starting depth in AAA. But I won’t mind if he gets the call.

I won’t get my hopes up on Gasser as a Sep 1 call-up after what happened with Frelick last year. That said, I’d love to see him get the call. He leads AAA in strikeouts and could be incredibly effective in relief, especially if it came with a slight velocity tick-up.

[BrewerFan]

21 minutes ago, damuelle said:

Yeah, the team can go any number of ways with the Sep 1 call-up. My original comment above on Lauer was only in terms of MLB starter depth.

I’m one of those who wanted to see Lauer limited to 2 innings/appearance in AAA, so as to develop him into a terrific MLB relief option down the stretch. The fact that we’ve opted for long outings for him makes me think that Lauer’s actually less likely to get the Sep 1 call-up, instead being held as reserve starting depth in AAA. But I won’t mind if he gets the call.

I won’t get my hopes up on Gasser as a Sep 1 call-up after what happened with Frelick last year. That said, I’d love to see him get the call. He leads AAA in strikeouts and could be incredibly effective in relief, especially if it came with a slight velocity tick-up.

I guess there's also the original callup's and then those could certainly change based on need. If things hold(and I kinda think they will...#3 seed, VERY unlikely they catch the #2 unless they have another crazy Craigtempber and it'd still take a Dodgers collapse...but we're still effectively 8 games back of a more talented team, so doesn't seem likely).

So would hardly be a shock to see Rea up to skip Woody, and then Burnes, then Peralta, then to set up the rotation as you get to the middle of Sept or...any number of possible outcomes. Chaffin struggles, he could just be DFF'ed. I still think he can contribute, but he's struggled.

I think Gasser has a chance and I don't think there's a huge correlation with Frelick. The Brewers did bring up Mitchell and good chance Gasser starts the year in Milwaukee, so we'll see. I think for the reasons you mentioned he'd make a LOT of sense out of the pen, especially as this team is so likely to win the division.