Brewers (Rea) vs Braves (Elder): 8/6/24, 6:20pm

[Underachiever]

Out of town, missed the game, but the results have some of you...wired.

[adambr2]

9 hours ago, yourout said:

Doesn't exactly have to worry about where his next meals coming from does he. 

I really like him as a player but I don't know if I like him that much.

A 5-6 WAR corner infielder who finished top 7 in MVP voting every year the last 3 years, is only 27 years old and locked up for only 21M a season through 2032?

I don't think Arnold could sign the contract fast enough. 

[kestrel79]

Put the kids to bed, log into iPad and see the game thread is only 5 pages long a couple hours into the game. My guess was the Brewers were up big and it turned out to be true :)

Nice W feels like we never get "comfortable" wins like this. Ever. Or is it just me? There has to be a stat on which team has most wins by a 5 run or more lead my guess is we are near the bottom?

[sveumrules]

29 minutes ago, kestrel79 said:

Nice W feels like we never get "comfortable" wins like this. Ever. Or is it just me? There has to be a stat on which team has most wins by a 5 run or more lead my guess is we are near the bottom?

Quickest and dirtiest way to look at this is probably what percentage of wins required a save?

Here are the rankings for the dozen teams that have won 60 games to this point…

CLE (56.7%)
67 W | 38 SV

MIL (55.6%)
63 W | 35 SV

LAD (53.0%)
66 W | 35 SV

BAL (50.7%)
67 W | 34 SV

MIN (49.2%)
63 W | 31 SV

ATL (46.7%)
60 W | 28 SV

ARI (45.9%)
61 W | 28 SV

BOS (45.9%)
61 W | 28 SV

NYY (43.3%)
67 W | 29 SV

KCR (42.3%)
63 W | 27 SV

SDP (41.9%)
62 W | 26 SV

PHI (40.3%)
67 W | 27 SV

Looks like Milwaukee has definitely had fewer comfortable wins by that methodology.

CLE (+10.19) and MIL (+8.96) are also the top two teams in bullpen Win Probability Added by a wide margin over ATL in 3rd at +5.14.

[sveumrules]

BRef also tracks “Blowouts” (which they define as games with a 5+ run margin) on their team schedule pages.

Here’s how those same dozen teams stack up…

MIL (20 W - 6 L)

KCR (25 W - 10 L)

NYY (27 W - 12 L)

PHI (26 W - 12 L)

BAL (22 W - 13 L)

MIN (22 W - 13 L)

CLE (19 W - 11 L)

ATL (19 W - 12 L)

LAD (16 W - 13 L)

SDP (16 W - 15 L)

BOS (23 W - 22 L)

ARI (20 W - 19 L)

Looking at it this way the Brewers clearly have the lowest number of total blowout games, but also the highest winning percentage in such games.

Only six blowout losses over 112 total games is pretty nuts all things considered.

[kestrel79]

3 hours ago, sveumrules said:

BRef also tracks “Blowouts” (which they define as games with a 5+ run margin) on their team schedule pages.

Here’s how those same dozen teams stack up…

MIL (20 W - 6 L)

KCR (25 W - 10 L)

NYY (27 W - 12 L)

PHI (26 W - 12 L)

BAL (22 W - 13 L)

MIN (22 W - 13 L)

CLE (19 W - 11 L)

ATL (19 W - 12 L)

LAD (16 W - 13 L)

SDP (16 W - 15 L)

BOS (23 W - 22 L)

ARI (20 W - 19 L)

Looking at it this way the Brewers clearly have the lowest number of total blowout games, but also the highest winning percentage in such games.

Only six blowout losses over 112 total games is pretty nuts all things considered.

 

Great stats as always. We always enjoy your insights thanks!

[82brewcrew82]

19 hours ago, TURBO said:

or how about "robots?"

Do we really need to see that same post in every single game thread?

How do you feel about people on your lawn?

[HarryDoyle]

On 8/6/2024 at 6:18 PM, HarryDoyle said:

We haven't been getting swept and it's still not working out. We need to win series' and probably should be sweeping some.

Phase 1 completed.

[HarryDoyle]

On 8/8/2024 at 7:25 PM, HarryDoyle said:

Phase 1 completed.

Phase 2 complete.