sveumrules

Not BrewCrew82, but Hardin is probably the last guy in the system (that hasn't already seen MLB) who could still help the rotation out yet this season. Was named 2025 Minor League Pitcher of the Year in the system with 96 IP of 68 ERA- | 59 FIP- split between Wisconsin and Biloxi. Among 415 pitchers with at least 90 IP in the minors last year his 2.35 FIP was 3rd, his 5.65 K/BB ratio was 5th, and his 0.28 HR9 was 25th. Since being promoted to Nashville this year he has 52 IP of 76 ERA- | 66 FIP-. Among 69 pitchers with at least 50 IP in the International League this year some of his ranks are... 3.12 FIP (1st) | 0.52 HR9 (3rd) | 3.53 K/BB (5th) | 1.12 WHIP (7th) | 3.63 ERA (10th) | 46.4 GB% (12th) Believe the general scouting report is he is more of a sinker / strike thrower than a strike em out big stuff kind of guy, but either way has been one of the better performing pitchers in all of the minor leagues over the last two seasons after signing for $147K as 12th rounder in 2024. For me personally, my expectations are somewhere around that Chad Patrick / Shane Drohan kind of range.

The front office will typically give players (especially ones making $26M) more rope than fans. Frelick put up 199 PA of 214/284/295 (61 wRC+) with a .260 wOBA | .276 xwOBA under the hood through the end of May, Many fans were calling for him to be sent down to figure it out, but the Brewers were patient with him and he's responded with 113 PA of 275/333/392 (103 wRC+) and a .322 wOBA | .295 xwOBA under the hood since June. Pretty close to the 1,341 PA of 270/337/369 (100 wRC+) with a .313 wOBA | .293 xwOBA under the hood that Sal posted from 2023 to 2025. Yelich is currently at 216 PA of 229/321/367 (93 wRC+) with a .307 wOBA | .302 xwOBA since he began getting regular starts again on May 17th. Maybe they'll fiddle with the batting order out of the break to try and get him going. Perhaps something like... Turang 2B | Chourio LF | Bauers 1B/DH/RF | Contreras C | Mitchell CF one through five. Some combination of Yelich DH | Vaughn 1B/DH | Lara/Frelick RF in six and seven. Then Pratt SS and Ortiz/Bunty 3B in the bottom two spots. Either way I'd guess Yelich gets at least another 150 or so PA before they start to think about moving him out of the regular lineup. Maybe if their lead on the #2 seed (currently 3.5 games) or the Division (currently 5.0 games) gets more tenuous before then they'll act with some more urgency.

2023 (113 PA) 105 wRC+ | -5.5 DEF | -0.1 WAR 2024 (392 PA) 129 wRC+ | -8.1 DEF | 1.7 WAR 2025 (157 PA) 63 wRC+ | -4.6 DEF | -0.6 WAR 2026 (149 PA) 96 wRC+ | -3.0 DEF | 0.1 WAR He would have been valuable in 2024, but has been replacement level or worse for three of the last four seasons. Cleveland has tried Fry for 282 inning behind the plate with -7 DRS | -2.2 FRM | -6 FRV and a 10.3 CS% (26 SB / 3 CS). Looks like the scouting reports that said his glove would likely limit him to 3rd or emergency catcher status have turned out to be pretty spot on.

Luckily the POBO who presided over that has moved onto bluer and oranger pastures. But sure, let's see how Stearns full season teams from 2018 to 2022 stacked up with the versions we have seen for the last three plus seasons now since Arnold took over... 2018 pre-ASB (2.5 Games Back in NLC) 55 W - 43 L (.561 W%) 426 RS | 377 RA | +0.50 R/G 99 wRC+ | 90 ERA- | 99 FIP- 2018 post-ASB (Win Division in Game 163) 41 W - 24 L (.631 W%) 328 RS | 282 RA | +0.65 R/G 114 wRC+ | 95 ERA- | 98 FIP- 2019 pre-ASB (0.5 Games Back in NLC) 47 W - 44 L (.516 W%) 432 RS | 449 RA | -0.19 R/G 102 wRC+ | 104 ERA- | 98 FIP- 2019 post-ASB (Get The 2nd Wild Card) 42 W - 29 L (.592 W%) 337 RS | 317 RA | +0.28 R/G 102 wRC+ | 93 ERA- | 103 FIP- 2021 pre-ASB (4.0 Games Ahead in NLC) 53 W - 39 L (.576 W%) 394 RS | 348 RA | +0.50 R/G 93 wRC+ | 82 ERA- | 88 FIP- 2021 post-ASB (Win Division by 5.0 G) 42 W - 28 L (.583 W%) 344 RS | 275 RA | +0.99 R/G 104 wRC+ | 85 ERA- | 86 FIP- 2022 pre-ASB (0.5 Game Ahead in NLC) 50 W - 43 L (.538 W%) 417 RS | 392 RA | +0.27 R/G 103 wRC+ | 95 ERA- | 96 FIP- 2022 post-ASB (2.0 Games Back from WC3) 36 W - 33 L (.522 W%) 308 RS | 296 RA | +0.17 R/G 104 wRC+ | 94 ERA- | 100 FIP- The "collapse" of the 2022 team had a lot more to do with the Cardinals going from a .532 W% pre-ASB to a .633 W% post-ASB than it did with the Brewers dropping .016 W% after the break. Had MIL maintained their first half W% it would have garnered them one extra win and they would have lost out on WC3 via head to head tiebreaker instead. The 2022 "collapse" really happened when Hader lost it... thru 6/6/2022 33 W - 23 L (.589 W%) Hader (17.2 IP of 0.00 ERA | 0.96 FIP) 6/7/2022 to 7/29/2022 23 W - 21 L (.523 W%) Hader (16.1 IP of 8.82 ERA | 6.17 FIP) after trade 33 W - 29 L (.532 W%) Putting all those together does a pretty good job of illustrating how much the talent level has been increasing across the board over time though. Current iteration has six straight "halves" with at least a +0.80 R/G differential (and three of those over +1.30 R/G) while the 2018 to 2022 iterations only cracked that barrier one time in eight "halves". Or, just the straight up macro... 2018-22 Stearns/Counsell 395 W - 314 L (.557 W% | 6th) 3233 RS | 3000 RA | +0.33 R/G 101 wRC+ | 92 ERA- | 95 FIP- 2023-24 Transition Period 185 W - 139 L (.571 W% | t-4th) 1505 RS | 1288 RA | +0.67 R/G 99 wRC+ | 88 ERA- | 99 FIP- 2025-present Arnold/Murphy 156 W - 102 L (.605 W% | 1st) 1295 RS | 997 RA | +1.16 R/G 106 wRC+ | 85 ERA- | 91 FIP-

FanGraphs valued that one full season of Burnes at 4.5 rWAR. So far Ortiz is at 5.0 WAR by himself, and DL Hall has chipped in another 1.5 rWAR. The big power hitting 3B everybody wanted from BAL (and couldn't believe the Brewers didn't hold out for) Coby Mayo has an 82 wRC+ and -0.2 WAR so far. When the Orioles acquired Burnes they were coming off a 101 Win season with what was considered the most stacked young position player group in baseball. Of course they had to endure four years as the worst team in MLB from 2018 to 2021 losing 33 more games than the next worst team to get there. In the three years since they won 91 games with Burnes (bounced in two games in the Wild Card), then 75 games and are currently 46 W - 51 L. From 2024 to present they have gotten 10,238 PA (11th) | 103 wRC+ (10th) | 35.6 WAR (13th) from their highly touted position players Age 28 and under. In the three years since trading Burnes (& Williams & Peralta plus letting Adames walk in FA) the Brewers have increased their wins from 92 (last year with Burnes), to 93, to 97, to 59 W - 37 L at the break. From 2024 to present they have gotten 12,407 PA | (3rd) | 104 wRC+ (9th) | 58.4 WAR (1st) from their position players Age 28 and under. Over his last 416 IP Joe Ryan has an 81 ERA- | 81 FIP-. Over the two seasons before being traded Corbin Burnes had 395 IP of 75 ERA- | 83 FIP-. Burnes K% was in free fall by the time he was traded from 36.7% in his breakout 2020, to 35.6% in his CY season, to 30.5% in his follow up campaign, to 25.5% in his final Milwaukee season, to 23.1% in his lone Baltimore season. When Burnes was traded, he was two full seasons removed from his peak form. Teams knew that 2020 to 2021 Burnes wasn't walking through the door. On the other hand Ryan has taken a big step up this year (68 ERA- | 66 FIP- so far) compared to what he did in 2024 and 2025 (86 ERA- | 87 FIP-). If the Twins decide to deal Ryan he should net a better return than Burnes did because he is better now than Burnes was after 2023, he has an extra year of control, and prices are typically higher at the deadline than in the offseason.

Not a member, but clicking around their trade board a few pages I saw they had Joe Ryan at $46.6M in surplus value. Couldn't find any recent proposals with Pena at the MLB Trade Values site, but FanGraphs latest attempt at prospect valuation has a 55FV hitter (their grade) like Luis Pena at $55M.

How about Landen Roupp from the Giants? Similar to Reid Detmers (108 IP of 104 ERA- | 79 FIP-), Roupp has been a big time FIP underachiever this year (97 IP of 103 ERA- | 81 FIP-) who has 254 IP of 96 ERA- | 89 FIP- for his career. Gets a lot of grounders with a 115 GB+ this year and 111 GB+ for his career. His sinker (+2.6), curveball (+5.3), and changeup (+1.0) all have positive run values from StatCast so far this year. Lots of team control left (4.5 years) so could be more expensive than his name recognition, but might be worth it if the Brewers think they can unlock another gear or just get his run prevention more in line with his peripherals.

Yeah, between how good they have pitched already plus all the injuries will probably be hard for them to improve much there after the break. Feels like it will be more of a question of how much they can stave off the inevitable regression while also trying to keep their best pitchers healthy for the postseason.

With the All Star Break upon us, thought now might be as good a time as any to see how some recent Brewers teams have performed before the All Star Break versus after it... 2023 pre-ASB (1.0 Game Back in NLC) 49 W - 42 L (.538 W%) 384 RS | 397 RA | -0.14 R/G 89 wRC+ | 95 ERA- | 102 FIP- 2023 post-ASB (Win Division by 9.0 G) 43 W - 28 L (.606 W%) 344 RS | 250 RA | +1.32 R/G 98 wRC+ | 75 ERA- | 88 FIP- 2024 pre-ASB (4.5 Games Ahead in NLC) 55 W - 42 L (.567 W%) 466 RS | 387 RA | +0.81 R/G 107 wRC+ | 93 ERA- | 106 FIP- 2024 post-ASB (Win Division by 10.0 G) 38 W - 27 L (.585 W%) 311 RS | 254 RA | +0.85 R/G 101 wRC+ | 83 ERA- | 98 FIP- 2025 pre-ASB (1.0 Game Ahead in NLC) 56 W - 40 L (.583 W%) 457 RS | 376 RA | +0.84 R/G 99 wRC+ | 88 ERA- | 96 FIP- 2025 post-ASB (Win Division by 5.0 G) 41 W - 25 L (.621 W%) 349 RS | 258 RA | +1.38 R/G 118 wRC+ | 83 ERA- | 92 FIP- 2026 pre-ASB (5.0 Games Ahead in NLC) 59 W - 37 L (.615 W%) 489 RS | 363 RA | +1.31 R/G 105 wRC+ | 83 ERA- | 85 FIP- 2026 post-ASB ???????????????????? So over the last three years the Brewers have kicked it up post-ASB to the tune of a .604 W% versus a .563 W% pre-ASB. Between the pitching injuries and already starting from the highest baseline at a .615 W% so far this year, I'd be pretty surprised if the Brewers were able to increase their winning percentage post-ASB for the fourth consecutive season. Then again, 41 W - 25 L for the second straight year would barely qualify at a .621 W% and get them to the first 100 Win season in franchise history. Also pretty wild they have posted a run differential of at least +0.80 per game ever since the 2023 All Star Break, which implies something like a .600 W%. If they played at that pace rest of season they would end up around 98 wins. FanGraphs Depth Charts currently projects a +0.27 per game run differential rest of season. PECOTA has them at 778 DC RS and 631 DC RA full season which leaves 289 RS and 268 RA from here on out, or a +0.32 per game run differential rest of season.

How deep is the Brewers system currently? When Brice Turang was the Brewers first rounder back in 2018 he debuted at #4 on the FanGraphs team rankings behind Keston Hiura, Tristen Lutz, and Corey Ray (three of their top picks from the previous two drafts). Ethan Small (2019) debuted at #5 Garrett Mitchell (2020) debuted at #3 Sal Frelick (2021) debuted at #3 Eric Brown (2022) debuted at #11 though they had 2nd rounder Misio one spot higher at #10 Wilken (2023) debuted at #9 though again they preferred our second pick Josh Knoth debuting at #5 (not to mention sixth rounder Cooper Pratt debuting at #3) 2024 was again a mixed up year with Meccage (#19), Burke (#24), and Payne (#30) debuting on the FanGraphs team list in the reverse order they were drafted Fishcer (2025) debuted at #9 Entering the season FanGraphs had Trey's brother Brady ranked #15 in the Brewers system (same as his current rank in the BF Top 20). Have to imagine from reading his profile that Trey will debut somewhere lower than his bro's current ranking. "The Brewers system runs deep, so deep, so deep put your butt to sleep" - Ice Cube, probably.

Haha, was ready to give Horst a clean slate and see if Jenkins could whip up a fun 45 win team this season, but dang if this ain't some Same Old Bucks. That's what you get for being dumb enough to undertake shady dealings with Klutch over GTJ of all players...and, why? Because he went off for two playoff games against the Pacers? Guess if the return favor from Klutch is a sign and trade for Peyton Watson with maybe something like Kuzma & AJ Green going back I'll consider re-considering.

Of course everybody would take team b, team a could never win more than 54 games. Instead of impossible hypotheticals we could look at how actual runs have been distributed so far for the Top Ten teams in MLB by runs per game (excluding the Coors inflated Rockies) then see how the Brewers compared to that cohort... Nationals (108 wrC+ | 4th) 3 R or less (35) 4 or 5 (18) 6 plus (42) 5.28 R/G (1st) | 5.12 BaseRuns (3rd) with RISP (+72.25 RE24 | 2nd) 996 PA (4th) | 105 wRC+ (13th) | 367 R (3rd) Dodgers (116 wRC+ | 1st) 3 R or less (37) 4 or 5 (23) 6 plus (35) 5.27 R/G (1st) | 5.21 BaseRuns (2nd) with RISP (+92.87 RE24 | 1st) 972 PA (6th) | 114 wRC+ (4th) | 372 R (2nd) Pirates (110 wRC+ | 2nd) 3 R or less (35) 4 or 5 (16) 6 plus (43) 5.23 R/G (3rd) | 5.26 BaseRuns (1st) with RISP (+49.77 RE24 | 5th) 1,062 PA (3rd) | 104 wRC+ (14th) | 362 R (4th) Brewers (104 wRC+ | 8th) 3 R or less (37) 4 or 5 (19) 6 plus (37) 5.12 R/G (4th) | 4.85 BaseRuns (6th) with RISP (+50.26 RE24 | 4th) 1,072 PA (1st) | 115 wRC+ (3rd) | 385 R (1st) Cubs (108 wRC+ | 3rd) 3 R or less (38) 4 or 5 (16) 6 plus (40) 5.01 R/G (5th) | 5.06 BaseRuns (4th) with RISP (+56.00 RE24 | 3rd) 1,065 PA (2nd) | 103 wRC+ (16th) | 352 R (6th) Braves (98 wRC+ | 19th) 3 R or less (33) 4 or 5 (26) 6 plus (34) 4.89 R/G (6th) | 4.62 BaseRuns (11th) with RISP (+32.80 RE24 | 8th) 851 PA (22nd) | 109 wRC+ (9th) | 321 R (9th) Twins (105 wRC+ | 7th) 3 R or less (34) 4 or 5 (29) 6 plus (32) 4.86 R/G (7th) | 4.69 BaseRuns (9th) with RISP (+36.78 RE24 | 7th) 949 PA (7th) | 125 wRC+ (1st) | 344 R (7th) Yankees (107 wRC+ | 5th) 3 R or less (36) 4 or 5 (29) 6 plus (29) 4.82 R/G (8th) | 4.72 BaseRuns (8th) with RISP (+39.52 RE24 | 6th) 845 PA (24th) | 109 wRC+ (8th) | 296 R (19th) White Sox (104 wRC+ | 9th) 3 R or less (40) 4 or 5 (17) 6 plus (36) 4.77 R/G (10th) | 4.63 BaseRuns (10th) with RISP (+23.29 RE24 | 9th) 905 PA (13th) | 102 wRC+ (17th) | 305 R (15th) Marlins (104 wRC+ | 10th) 3 R or less (39) 4 or 5 (26) 6 plus (30) 4.59 R/G (11th) | 4.82 BaseRuns (7th) with RISP (+5.12 RE24 | 12th) 938 PA (9th) | 101 wRC+ (19th) | 324 R (8th) Range of high to low for 3 or less run games is White Sox (40) down to Braves (33), Brewers (37) in the middle. Range of high to low for 4 or 5 run games is Yankees/Twins (29) down to Cubs/Pirates (16), Brewers (19) towards the bottom. Range of high to low for 6 plus run games is Pirates (43) to Yankees (29), Brewers (37) closer to the top. Regardless of the largely random distribution of runs on a game to game basis, I think the totality of what has happened to this point would put the Dodgers and Nationals in a tier of their own, then I would have the Cubs and Brewers in the next tier down. Pirates have had a better offense so far, but their horrid defense drops them down into the third tier for me.

Looks like 8/$112.5M for Wetherholt with performance escalators but no option years. That’s $30.5M more in guaranteed money than Chourio, or $30.75M more than Pratt & Lara combined.

2025 to 2026 Pirates are a pretty fascinating example of the interplay between hitting, fielding and pitching. 2025 Pirates Position Players 82 wRC+ (29th) | 3.60 RS/G (30th) +32 DRS (10th) | +9 FRV (12th) 2025 Pirates Pitchers 88 ERA- (5th) | 93 FIP- (4th) 102 LOB+ (11th) | 3.98 RA/G (5th) [so a Top Five pitching staff, with an above average defense helping them strand runners, but just an abysmal group of hitters] 2026 Pirates Position Players 109 wRC+ (2nd) | 5.23 RS/G (3rd) +7 DRS (17th) | -18 FRV (27th) 2026 Pirates Pitchers 100 ERA- (14th) | 95 FIP- (10th) 95 LOB+ (29th) | 4.88 RA/G (22nd) [about as big an offensive turnaround as you can get, but the corresponding drop in defense has had a pretty big impact in their run prevention] Of course, hard to argue it hasn't been worth it in the aggregate to trade off +1.63 RS/G at the expense of -0.90 RA/G, but their defense might limit their ascent for this year to around .500 instead of true Wild Card Contender (currently 5.0 games out behind WAS, STL, MIA, PHI, CHI with ARI and SDP a half game back at 5.5 out of the last WC spot).

Every season has its share of ups and downs, so thought it might be interesting to track the roller coaster ride that got the Brewers here to today... First Ten Games 8 W - 2 L (.800 W%) 6.80 RS/G | 3.80 RA/G 128 wRC+ | 87 ERA- | 100 FIP- Next Sixteen Games 5 W - 11 L (.313 W%) 3.69 RS/G | 4.69 RA/G 65 wRC+ | 99 ERA- | 84 FIP- Next Thirty Eight Games 28 W - 10 L (.737 W%) 5.71 RS/G | 3.29 RA/G 111 wRC+ | 72 ERA- | 74 FIP- Next Ten Games 4 W - 6 L (.400 W%) 4.40 RS/G | 3.60 RA/G 109 wRC+ | 89 ERA- | 101 FIP- Last Nineteen Games 14 W - 5 L (.737 W%) 4.63 RS/G | 3.42 RA/G 105 wRC+ | 69 ERA- | 84 FIP- A less granular approach might be just to split the dang thing in uneven halves from when they bottomed out at 13 W - 13 L after their first 26 games compared to what they've done in the 67 games since... First Twenty Six 13 W - 13 L (.500 W%) 4.88 RS/G | 4.35 RA/G 90 wRC+ | 94 ERA- | 90 FIP- Last Sixty Seven 46 W - 21 L (.687 W%) 5.21 RS/G | 3.37 RA/G 109 wRC+ | 73 ERA- | 81 FIP- & just for fun here is how the Brewers most recent 67 games of this year stack up with their final 116 games of last season after starting out 21 W - 25 L... Last 116 of 2025 76 W - 40 L (.655 W%) 5.28 RS/G | 3.72 RA/G 115 wRC+ | 80 ERA- | 90 FIP- If the Brewers maintain the .687 W% of their last 67 games over their remaining 69 games they would end up with around 106 Wins. If the Brewers maintain their seasonal .634 W% over their remaining 69 games they would end up with around 102 Wins. To have their first 100 Win season if franchise history they would need to go 41 W - 28 L (.594 W%). To set a new franchise record with 98 Wins they would need to go 39 W - 30 L (.565 W%). Since Arnold took over the front office in 2023 the Brewers have a .589 W% over 579 games, since Murphy took over the manager's seat in 2024 the Brewers have a .597 W% over 417 games.

The mutual option will likely be declined, but Ryan has one year of club control remaining via Arby’s in 2027 so it wouldn’t be a rental.

2023 Brewers 4.49 R/G | 4.24 BaseRuns 93 wRC+ | .309 wOBA 2024 Brewers 4.80 R/G | 4.77 BaseRuns 105 wRC+ | .319 wOBA 2025 Brewers 4.98 R/G | 4.77 BaseRuns 107 wRC+ | .322 wOBA 2026 Brewers 5.11 R/G | 4.84 BaseRuns 104 wRC+ | .324 wOBA (season) 109 wRC+ | .332 wOBA (since May 4th) FanGraphs Depth Charts is projecting them to score 4.57 runs per game rest of season. I would say that is more a case of them being slow to recognize this is the Brewers 3rd straight year of pretty big improvements over 2023 than it is confirmation they have a middle of the pack offense. Especially considering these are the same projections that have sold the Brewers short by 87 wins over the last nine full seasons (& are on pace for another double digit underage this year). Since Murphy took over in 2024 the Brewers have scored 4.94 R/G (4th) with a 105 wRC+ (7th) over 417 games, I would say that is a better representation of their elusive "true talent level" as an offense than the projections with a proven history of underselling the Brewers to a large extent. Projections are also context neutral so they aren't giving the Brewers any credit for their 4,486 PA with RISP being the most in MLB since Murphy took over with a 117 wRC+ (3rd) that has produced 1,600 runs (1st) and a +184.71 RE24 (3rd) over that stretch. Turang has a 124 wRC+ over his last 1,056 PA, FGDC has him at 106 rest of season. Vaughn has a 145 wRC+ over 417 PA with MIL, FGDC has him at 107 rest of season. Bauers has a 144 wRC+ over his last 382 PA, FGDC has him at 115 rest of season. Chourio has a 128 wRC+ over his last 564 PA, FGDC has him at 116 rest of season. Mitchell has a 120 wRC+ over 732 career PA, FGDC has him at 106 rest of season. I'm not saying none of these guys will regress, but the penalties seem especially harsh (to me anyway) considering Chourio should still be improving as a 22yo, Turang's demonstrated improvements since debuting, plus Mitchell and Vaughn still being in what has typically been considered the prime window at 27/28yo.

First 57 Games (238 PA) 245/336/341 (86 wRC+) 11.3 BB% | 20.2 K% Last 20 Games (82 PA) 443/500/671 (203 wRC+) 12.2 BB% | 11.0 K% ...and that was before tonight's 2 for 3 with two walks.

DeBerry (Game Score: 77) 7 IP | 1 ER | 2 H | 3 BB | 11 K Torres (Game Score: 83) 7 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 0 BB | 8 K Game Score Calculator at BRef says WANDE

Looking at Cot's believe the largest contract for a pitcher with less than one year service time is still Chris Archer all the way back in 2014 at 6/$25.5M plus two options totaling $20M. Ashby's 5/$20.5M plus two options totaling $22M signed in 2022 is the second largest for a pitcher under one year of service time according to Cot's. If you get into one plus years of service time then it gets to guys like Spencer Strider (6/$75M with $22M option), Brayan Bello (6/$55M with $21M option), Hunter Greene (6/$53M with $21M option), and Brandon Pfaadt (5/$45M with $21M and $25M options).

Yeah, as mentioned only real issue has been health. 78 IP in 2023, 81 IP in 2024, 103 IP in 2025, 47 IP so far this year before tonight. Obviously a small MLB sample so far at only 48 IP before tonight, but his rate stats to this point have been among some pretty elite company (ranks out of 246 SP minimum 40 IP since last year)... Troy Melton (123 LOB+ | 1st) Logan Henderson (123 LOB+ | 2nd) Zack Wheeler (118 LOB+ | 3rd) Shohei Ohtani (52 ERA- | 1st) Troy Melton (52 ERA- | 2nd) Logan Henderson (53 ERA- | 3rd) Max Scherzer (138 FlyBall+ | 1st) Brandon Woodruff (138 FlyBall+ | 2nd) Logan Henderson (137 FlyBall+ | 3rd) Cole Ragans (156 K+ | 2nd) Logan Henderson (152 K+ | 3rd) Dylan Cease (146 K+ | 3rd) Logan Henderson (66 FIP- | 8th) Chris Sale (69 FIP- | 9th) Jesus Luzardo (69 FIP- | 10th) Logan Henderson (82 AVG+ | 16th) Hunter Greene (82 AVG+ | 17th) Jacob deGrom (83 AVG+ | 18th) Sonny Gray (179 K/BB+ | 19th) Shohei Ohtani (178 K/BB+ | 20th) Logan Henderson (177 K/BB+ | 21st) Logan Henderson (78 WHIP+ | 20th) Hunter Greene (78 WHIP+ | 21st) Tyler Glasnow (78 WHIP+ | 22nd) Nolan McLean (77 xFIP- | 20th) Logan Henderson (77 xFIP- | 21st) Dylan Cease (77 xFIP- | 22nd)

Lift & Pull is more like a State of Mind, so age is no disqualifier. Some even consider Dave Kingman to be a progenitor.

Haha, it's kinda funny because it's mostly just good old fashioned baseball that is getting the job done... 10.6 BB% (2nd) | 0.50 BB/K (3rd) | .337 OBP (4th) | .254 BA (6th) | 20.9 K% (7th) | +3.0 BsR (10th) | 43.5 Swing% (30th) Even with their recent RISP fallow stretch at 245 PA (1st) of 67 wRC+ (29th) for 65 runs scored (13th) going back to June 18th, their seasonal RISP numbers are still at 1,059 PA (1st) of 115 wRC+ (4th) for 378 runs scored (1st). With two outs? 1,154 PA (7th) of .744 OPS (3rd) for 178 runs scored (4th). With two strikes? 1,856 PA (13th) of .520 OPS (11th) for 158 runs scored (6th). Runner on 3rd, less than two outs? 243 PA (1st) of .899 OPS (11th) for 171 runs scored (1st). Bases Loaded? 121 PA (3rd) of .894 OPS (6th) for 100 runs scored (3rd). Against relievers? 1,608 PA (4th) of .738 OPS (7th) for 234 runs scored (6th). Late and Close? 589 PA (3rd) of .724 OPS (14th) for 92 runs scored (1st). High Leverage? 709 PA (5th) of .793 OPS (6th) for 198 runs scored (1st). The Brewers have the 3rd fewest PA when trailing all season (1,108) but have gone ahead and put up a .718 OPS (10th) and scored 138 runs (12th) anyway. The Pirates (139 runs when trailing) and Reds (136 runs when trailing) are on either side of us but have needed 1,226 (18th) and 1,363 PA (12th) respectively to score a similar amount of runs when behind. BaseRuns thinks the Brewers should be scoring 4.84 R/G with neutral sequencing, but with their high end contextual performances they have put up +46.78 RE24 (5th) and +3.95 WPA (4th) en route to actually scoring 5.09 R/G. Here's a fun one for the Lift & Pull Generation, the Brewers have a 47.9 GB% and 26.2 Oppo% both of which are the highest marks in all of MLB this year.

Good call on Boeve, he was #5 on their archived 2025 Top 30 so could see him getting added back on.

I'd go Juan Martinez or Dylan O'Rae personally. Yoho, Crow, Pratt, and Lara should all be graduating before the season is over too (plus whoever gets moved at the deadline) which will open up some more spots for 2026 Draftees plus maybe some guys like Jaron DeBerry, Cameron Wagner, Braylon Owens, Ricki Moneys, Angeni Fernandez, Leander Matos, etc. who are currently outside of the MLB Top 30.