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Colin Rea and Tobias Myers helped propel the 2024 Brewers to their first back-to-back division titles. Myers led the team’s starters in ERA, while Rea led the team with 12 wins. Rea was allowed to leave as a free agent, but the Brewers might have a replacement for him in Hudson if they choose to use him in the rotation.
A Minor Transaction with Big Results
The Brewers acquired Bryan Hudson from the Dodgers in exchange for 2023 20th-round pick Justin Chambers. He quickly became a bullpen mainstay, getting five outs or more in 20 of his 43 appearances with the Crew. After a rough July, he rebounded in August and September but was sent to Triple-A Nashville on an unofficial rehab assignment late in the season.
The interesting thing about Hudson’s August “rebound” was that he did it in a manner that was very different from his first-half success. In the first half, he overpowered hitters with his stuff and insane control (51 strikeouts to eight walks in 44 innings from Opening Day through June). In August, he still went 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA despite only striking out six batters in ten innings, but he only allowed two walks.
In other words, in 2024, Hudson was two very different forms of a good pitcher. First-half Hudson succeeded by racking up a lot of strikeouts. Second-half Hudson was a pitcher who got outs through inducing bad contact. In 2024, he increased his weak contact rates from his brief appearances in 2023, but most important for Hudson was cutting his “flare/burner” rate by just under 40%.
Hudson’s Arsenal
According to Baseball Savant, Hudson uses a four-seam fastball that comes in at 91.3 miles per hour – slightly below average velocity for a lefty. He combines it with an 86-mile-per-hour cutter (also with slightly below-average velocity) and an 81.5-mile-per-hour sweeper that offers slightly above-average velocity compared to other southpaws’ sweepers.
The sweeper has been his best when it comes to racking up whiffs (35.2% whiff percentage) and putting hitters away (26.4%) – but much of Hudson’s success has been that when hitters make contact, it’s rarely good. Only 10 of 148 batted balls events were “barreled,” while he tripled his pop-up percentage from 2023 to 2024.
Starting in July, though, his sweeper use declined. From March through June, his average sweeper use was 26.2%, but it dropped to 15.8%.
Can He Stretch Out?
This becomes the big question. With three pitches, Hudson’s arsenal is marginal for a starter. That said, an adjustment to the pitch mix may be the answer. His sweeper induces a lot of whiffs, while his cutter was most likely to get clobbered (four of the seven home runs he allowed came from cutters).
That said, in August, he appeared to gain a feel for the cutter, going from allowing a .600 batting average off the cutter in July to a .200 batting average, with the slugging percentage allowed becoming a more drastic drop from 1.800 in July to .500 in August. Could a 40-30-30 mix turn Hudson into a left-handed Colin Rea?
Hudson has already been a great acquisition for Matt Arnold. But if he becomes a starter in the mold of Colin Rea, he might just be a big-time steal for the Brewers.
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