Responding here to a post from the MiLB forum's "Brewers have worst MiLB system in baseball" This time 2 years from now Greinke will be turning 29 and physically on the downside of his career, quickly approaching the injury apex in the average pitcher's career cycle. His stuff is better than Gallardo now, but they'll be pretty similar in 2 years, and overall his stuff isn't in that top tier, he's in that next group down. I'd appreciate if you'd lay out which pitchers are in your top tier. I think that's pretty arbitrary to hold against Melvin, since the King Felixes & Freaks of the world aren't available for trade. I really don't think anything realistic will satisfy you at this point. It's one thing to demand excellence from an organization, it's another thing entirely to demand a constant stream of pre-arby players that are all-star caliber. No one does that. Not even the Rays, who I agree are a model franchise. An interesting side note is that Yo's average velocity actually climbed last season... at any rate Greinke had 1 season he pitched like an Ace, I think he's comfortably a very good #2 and if he gets in an extended groove he can pitch like Ace, but statistically he's not an Ace, the stats for his career just don't bear that out. And Greinke's increased in '07, decreased in '08, increased in '09, & decreased in '10. For pete's sake, the guy is entering his age-27 season, and even in a down season he still qualified statistically as an ace by xFIP, FIP, & tERA. ERA is where he didn't, but his strand rate was so far out of norms that I can't bring myself to be concerned. At this point, I think you need to clarify how you mean he isn't an ace, statistically, because even in what for him was a poor season, he was. This time 2 years from now Greinke will be turning 29 and physically on the downside of his career, quickly approaching the injury apex in the average pitcher's career cycle. So who do you trade for? Which pre-arby ace caliber guy are you able to pry away from a team with the talent the Brewers had available this offseason? We know for a fact that Melvin chased after Clay Buchholz in '09, so from an outsider's p.o.v. I believe it's more fair to assume he's pursuing ideas like that, as opposed to claiming that's probably the one isolated incident. With that, it's fair to argue that Melvin *is* out there trying to make deals for pre-arby impact arms happen. But this is where your strategy is always brought to a halt -- teams aren't trading guys like that now as a general rule. And that's not based on Brewers examples, there were plenty of 'hot stove' rumors this offseason that mentioned some variation of 'teams just aren't trading pre-arby arms'. For as much as you criticize Melvin for not making the types of trades, and saying there's one or no examples of him trying to do so, you yourself can only point to a small collection of trades that have happened over the past four or so seasons across the entire league. You can't build a system when your best-case scenario is making one type of trade (that fits your standards) every three seasons or so. Not to mention that the price is so high to get these guys now that there's a chance you're cutting off your nose to spite your face in terms of prospects. I'd also appreciate seeing a list of trades that would meet your standard, just so we have a frame of reference as to what types of deals you're talking about making. Iirc you like the Jair Jurrgens deal for Atlanta, so there's one. I'd really appreciate seeing several more, especially if one team has been responsible for multiple deals like this in a short timespan.