I dunno, I think the Cards, Reds, & Crew are all pretty close when it comes to starters. And then can you really accurately say which bullpen is better, given how much of a crapshoot relievers tend to be? The Brewers & Cards definitely have the best top 3 on paper at this point, but I just think the Reds might be getting overlooked a bit. They'll have Volquez all season, no more Harang, and Leake/Bailey/Wood all with more experience. And while I can understand making the criticism that Chapman's BB rate isn't strong yet, that feels a bit like pointing out that Scarlett Johansson has a pimple. Imo Chapman is a bonafide ace in the making; whether he's able to blossom into that type of pitcher this season might make or break which of these three staffs is the best overall. Cincinnati looks to be 7-deep in quality starters (Volquez/Cueto/Wood/Chapman/Bailey/Arroyo/Leake). Neither the Brewers nor the Cardinals can boast that kind of depth. Chapman pitching as well as he's capable of doing in '11, combined with the Reds' depth, could well make them the best in the division. I think I'm about as big a Mark Rogers fan as there is (outside of Maine), and I want to believe Cappy & Narveson will perform well, but I just think Cincy is deeper. If I have to pick between just the Cards & Brewers, I lean towards Milwaukee. I'll admit part of that is probably homerism. However, I think that Carpenter's age & injury risk, along with the Brewers' superior depth, is enough to nudge the Brewers past St. Louis. It's definitely close, though. Very curious on Garcia as well. I can't see him repeating '10, but I could be wrong. If he repeats that's one heckuva #3. I have a hard time expecting him to repeat his '10 ERA, but his peripherals last season might be for real. My quick guess is that his ERA will be somewhere between 3.25 & 3.75 next season, which would obviously still be very good.