Imo the question always has been, & always will be, 'do you have enough talent that you differentiate yourself?' Sure, teams get hot at the right times in every sport, & go on to win postseason hardware despite less-than-stellar regular seasons. But that's never an acceptable plan for me. You have to always be looking for ways to stack talent on top of talent. How many teams can say they have 'All-Star caliber' production from three or four positional spots? Quite a few. That doesn't make the Brewers special, it makes them run-of-the-mill. Should we feel good that they likely aren't as bad as this season's record (in terms of true talent), and also that they're much more likely a .500-ish true talent club? I guess you can if you want to. But half the league (or so) could talk themselves into feeling that way, frankly. Imo it's not about, 'hey, we won [X] games last year, so we should only need to win [X+Y] to make the postseason next year.' Things change. It's about how well your overall pile of talent compares to the teams in your division, & the teams in your league. I don't feel optimistic about the Brewers right now because they've demonstrated a below-average to poor ability, relative to their MLB peers, to create a depth of talent all across the 25-man roster for any sustained period of time. To me, the mission always needs to be, 'how can we add more talent?' -- not, 'we need to win [X] number of games, and that'll be good enough'.