joepepsi
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Everything posted by joepepsi
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They thought they could fill out the back 3 of the rotation with kids who have barely pitched in the majors. They had a lot of holes in the lineup and thought they could go cheap and fill them with Garrett Atkins, Tejada, Izturis, Lugo, etc. It's not Trembley's fault, but then it rarely is the manager's fault. MacPhail set him up for failure by proclaiming this season was all about results. Then he gave him a team of washed up veterans and kids with limited experience.
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What's the current value of an average RF'er? $6m doesn't seem that far off. If you trade him and don't replace him with a vet from another team, then you are probably taking a step back for a year or two while his prospect replacement gets acclimated. I understand sometimes you have to do this to remain fiscally responsible, but other than Braun and Yo, the mood on this board is to trade everyone at their peak. The result is the team is always approaching good, but never quite reaches it because each year they trade off another 1,2, or handful of players for prospects.
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I'm with you, sheethead. I think one reason why players stick around so long now is because of the money. Sing a deal for a million or two in your late 30's just to ride the bench, PH, and get a start on a Sunday afternoon? Sure, why not. If the guy's a respected veteran the team won't hassle him too much if he's a bit lackadaisical. These lingering seasons for these vets may have run its course though. Teams are finally catching on to the concept of replacement level and paying for performance vs. paying for reputation. Jim Edmonds and Trevor Hoffman notwithstanding.
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Trading every player at their peak means you are in constant rebuilding mode. Think Pirates.
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I figured he'd be around league average for a corner OF'er this year. If you look at his current avg/obp, 268/333, you'll see it's right where he was last year. The difference is the slugging, which I don't expect to stay at .599 for the whole season. He's on a great homer streak now, so look for the slugging to drop a bit over the next month. Still, I see no reason why he can't maintain the 268/333 number for the season. His slugging should stay in the upper .400's through the end of the year at the very least, giving him a solid .800+ OPS for the year. He'll probably hit a power slump at some point. This will result in a slew of Doug Melvin criticisms on this board for not having traded Hart for Zack Greinke while he had the chance.
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It's not just that we have a losing record, it's that we have the 6th worst record in baseball. If we want to make the playoffs, we have to pass every team except the D'Backs and Astros. The last time a team came back from 10 under in June to make the playoffs was the 2005 Astros, but they were missing Berkman for the entire month of April and they also had Clemens, Petitte and Oswalt at the top of their rotation. Three pitchers that finished the season with ERAs under 3 (Clemens finished under 2). We're going to have one pitcher do that and he's not as good as those guys because Gallardo is barely averaging over 6 innings a start while they were all over 6.5 and pushing 7. We have 37 games left until the all-star break, 60% of those games are against teams over .500. I have absolutely no problem with them giving up now. In fact I'd prefer it. The Rockies last year were 18-28 on May 27th, 14 games behind in their division. Then they won 12 games in a row from June 4-14. It's not unthinkable the Brewers could do this.
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So, when do we start blaming Peterson for a lot of this mess?
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Who is going to claim Stern and put him on the 40 man roster? Isn't it likely has passes through waivers and accepts an assignment in Nashville? I doubt Stern is that upset with the way he's been treated. The Brewers gave him a legitimate shot in Spring Training-it's unlikely he had other options this good. As noted above, he came close to making the team. He went to Nashvilled, played well, and when they needed an OF'er in Milwaukee was the first one called up. Roster management is a cruel business but I'd say the Brewers treated him fine.
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Perhaps the Brewers are stealing money from its fans for producing such a shoddy team.
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Isn't Escobar supposed to be good with the leather?
joepepsi replied to AdvantageSchneider's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Hardy on May 31, 2005 was hitting .180/.283/.243. Hardy only made 10 errors his rookie season with a range factor of 3.76 per 9 innings. Escobar's number this season is 4.52. I think it's safe to say Escobar is performing at least as well as Hardy did his rookie season. I think a little better so far. Hardy did improve drastically starting in July. Whether Escobar does the same is something to watch. -
I agree this is what will happen. Stern will go when Edmonds or Gerut comes back. When either the other one or Davis is ready, something will have to give. If Braddock goes down before Suppan then you know the team doesn't care much about winning this year, nor the future. I don't see how Suppan makes it through June.
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MIthc Williams and Dan Plesac were impressed on MLB tonight or whatever that show is on MLB Network. Said he had good mechanics and should be used again in blowouts.
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Estrada was brilliant in his first appearance. He hasn't been very good since then, mostly just hanging on every inning.
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Gerut to the DL; the re-return of Stern
joepepsi replied to battlekow's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
So does everyone on the 40 man get at least the major league minimum? -
Good Lord I didn't write Earl Weaver never bunted! I agree there were times he used the bunt. Perhaps he was wrong based on today's metrics, that a runner on 2nd with 1 out was more likely to score than a runner on 1st with 0 outs. Earl hated wasting outs, but he loved playing for big innings. topper09er's chart shows a runner on 1st, 0 outs, is more likely to result in multiple runs than runner on 2nd, 1out. So maybe that was Earl's thinking.
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Those are great!
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Earl Weaver believed a runner on 1B with no outs was more likely to score than a runner on 2nd with one out. What's good enough for Earl is always good enough for me. I can see having a pitcher do it. Or late in close games, especially for the home team. Otherwise, I don't like it. I especially hate bunting a guy at 2nd over to 3rd. I don't care if it's the pitcher bunting in that situation, I still hate it.
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Actually Hoffman's career K rate is a little better than one per inning. Last year it was 8 per 9ip.
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too bad for Zaun. Always like the guy and the way he played. He was having a good year too, something the Brewers haven't seen from a catcher in a long while. There's nothing wrong with Lucroy and Kottaras as the catchers for the rest of they. fwiw, very few catchers come up to the bigs and are instantly made the everyday catcher. It's different with that position from say, playing 3B. I have no problem with Lucroy catching once or twice a week to start. If he earns more playing time, so be it. If Kottaras continues to play then the Brewers have a pleasant dilemma on their hands.
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I think Davey seems like a great guy that everybody would call a friend. But I'm often embarrassed for him during radio or TV broadcasts, because he has such a hard time stringing together a coherent thought. Since he's been on the radio though, there's been a few times I was pleasantly surprised with a comment he made. He spoke passionately about the Hanley Ramirez incident and I respect his opinion. Mostly though, when I hear ex-jocks stumble around on broadcasts I just feel sorry for all those sports broadcasting majors who dreamed of landing a job with a professional team, but can't find work because some incompetent good old boy was handed the job.
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My kid's throwing out the first pitch!
joepepsi replied to RoseBowlMtg's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
That's really great. What a thrill for him and of course the whole family. Congratulations! -
Texas Rangers vs. Brewers pitching comparison
joepepsi replied to NYChez's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Colby Lewis and CJ Wilson were both drafted by Doug Melvin. -
Jocketty and Friedman have been very successful GMs. Dan O'Dowd's Rockies' have a career 769-852 entering this season. This is his 12th season. 8 of his previous 11 seasons the Rockies had losing records. Jon Dainels first year he traded Alfonso Soriano, for, um,not much. He signed innings eater Kevin Millwood (hello Doug Melvin!), and traded Chris Young and Adrian Gonzalez for Adam Eaton and Akinori Otsuka (ouch!). That must be one of the worst trades of the millennium. He also engineered the Carlos Lee trade, which turned successful for him thanks to Nelson Cruz. His next season he turned John Danks into Brandon McCarthy. Ooh, the 2nd worst trade of the millennium. His Volquez for Hamilton trade is debatable. The Texeira trade was an excellent move. I'm not ready to say Daniels is a genius. Lots of his success is based on a farm system built by his predecessor, John Hart. Their best starting pitchers this year are C.J Wilson and Colby Lewis. Both drafted by *gasp* Doug Melvin! The Orioles are horrible. They have some good young pitching, some of which MacPhail acquired, some that was already in the organization. But it's mostly tied to 5-6 top arms; there's not a lot of depth. They have no hitting prospects in the minors. Their AA roster is full of guys in their mid-20s, hardly prospect age for that level. I think Oriole fans would hesitate to put MacPhail in their Top 10 GM list at this point.
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When it's all said and done: Best First Basemen
joepepsi replied to Crash2303's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I remember hearing Rob Dibble once argue on the Dan Patrick show that Luis Sojo was a better player than ARod because he had 2 World Series Rings. -
I'm sure he doesn't. There are precious few high ceiling young starting pitchers available through trade, and this organization can not afford to sign premium free agent starting pitchers. (Although Wolf was considered the 2nd best free agent starter on the market last winter.) The Twins don't have a bunch of high ceiling pitchers in their rotation either. Very few teams do. In fact, I'm not sure I can think of any other than the Orioles. And they have a terrible offense.