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cwolf2012

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Everything posted by cwolf2012

  1. cwolf2012
    I could GM the Yankees to the playoffs. They are a model money franchise. If you have it, spend it, I guess. Red Sox are the Yankees light. Epstein is a good GM, but he's blessed with a large payroll too. It's hard to screw it up (unless you're the Mets). Twins/As/Cardinals/Marlins: Good GMs lead these teams. As much as the A's have sucked the last couple seasons, I still would take Beane in an instant as my GM. Same goes for the Marlins. I think if the Marlins could field an 80 mil payroll, they would make the playoffs every season.
  2. cwolf2012
    "ANd Jeffress was going to become the top pitching prospect in baseball....but then he got high....again. " Jeffress had some potential, but there have been a lot of ?'s on him the last two seasons. His performance this year was abysmal. Even in A ball, he didn't dominate. If he somehow stays clean, I still don't see him panning out as anything more than a reliever. Yes, 100mph fastball, great, but he has no secondary pitches and no control.
  3. cwolf2012
    Berkman hasn't underperformed nearly as bad as you think, JB12. His slash line is .270/.397/.504. Still very good. He's 33 years old, so a decline is expected at this point. He overperformed last year, and he came back to earth this year. Oswalt is 32 and has logged a lot of innings over the last 6 years. He was due for a decline, and they got just a little bit worse than they should have expected. Houston has about as many wins as I could have expected at this point, but their run differential is awful. They probably should have a much worse record. Just like last year, where they finished well above .500 and had a negative run differential, they've won more games than they deserved to.
  4. cwolf2012
    Hockey is worse than the NFL when it comes to people taking discounts for title shots. The contract Marian Hossa signed with the Red Wings last year was criminal. He knew he would get a worse team to sign him long term the next season, so he took a pay cut to play with the heavily favored Wings. The same type of thing can happen with any salary capped sport. It's a risk, but good management should still be able to put together winning teams from nothing. How many teams in the NFL have gone from one of the worst teams in the league to one of the top teams within a year or two. That happens almost never in the MLB (big exception, the Rays in 2008). Usually it's a steady increase, followed by one or two great seasons, and then a return to mediocrity for mid and small market teams.
  5. cwolf2012
    The guy was a beast in the minors, and has a 3.67 ERA in 61.1 IP this year as a starter. For some reason, they pulled him from the rotation. In my opinion, he is one of the most undervalued prospects in the major leagues, seeing as they don't even think he'll be in the rotation next year for Toronto. Any chance they will part with him? Who can we give up?
  6. cwolf2012
    If we sign Pineiro, I'm going to be really upset (unless it's really cheap). Signing people at peak value is absolutely not the right play. We did it with Suppan, we did it with Hall, and we can not afford to do it again. Pineiro is not as good as his numbers this year. Who is arby-eligible for the Marlins? Nolasco reached it yet? He might be a target. I'm not certain what the team needs, but McGehee can play both 2B and 3B, and those may be organizational needs with Uggla due for a raise.
  7. cwolf2012
    The funny thing is that I think Prince has lost weight since that commercial.
  8. cwolf2012
    It was funny?
  9. cwolf2012
    I would LOVE to see us resign Sheets. The price would be right in our range, and he's the #1/#2 type this rotation needs. He's too talented to not come back strong.
  10. cwolf2012
    "And Bill Hall had twice the power capability of Hardy. Just because Hardy hit 26 HRs two years ago doesn't mean he will do it again." I understand your point, but there certainly is a discrepancy between Hall and Hardy. Hardy at least had success in the minors when hitting. Hall was awful in the minors. The same could be said about any player in the league, if you're going to take that approach. Just because Braun hit 37 homeruns last year doesn't mean he'll do it again. But I do understand your point. I was just making note of the irrelevance of that statement as an argument. Every argument around "just because it happened once, it won't necessarily happen again" doesn't really hold water. We know that Hardy can hit the ball better than he has this year, and he absolutely has 20+ HR talent. He showed that he could hit for power in the minors as well. Escobar has never hit for power in his short career in the minors or in the MLB. It's just not his style. If he's going to be good at hitting, he needs to take walks and bat .300. Prince could get away with batting .270 because he has a great eye and phenomonal power. The same principle applies to Hardy, just at a much lower scale.
  11. cwolf2012
    "he will become better than him offensively as well" I definitely don't agree with this. JJ has about twice the power capability of Escobar. Just because he was bad this season does not make him a bad hitter. If Escobar could take walks, he would be a much better hitter. If he can get his OBP into the .350+ range, then we can start talking about him being as good a hitter as Hardy, but right now he hasn't shown himself as much more than a Juan Pierre type hitter. As I look at Escobar as a hitter, I think we should be happy if we ever get more than about a .100-.120 ISO out of him. Thankfully, he's a high BA type hitter, so we could see something like a .300/.360/.400 line out of him in a year or two, which would be plenty adequate for a SS of his defensive caliber. When it comes to defense, Escobar has certainly shown that he has the tools to be amazing. UZR doesn't like him right now (EXTREMELY SMALL SAMPLE SIZE ALERT!), but I fully expect him to turn it around and be about as good or better than Hardy in the field.
  12. cwolf2012
    If Looper, Parra, Bush, and Suppan pitch to their career norms, or even close, we're looking at a team still in contention right now. Yes, the rotation was not great to start, but they've severely underperformed. Not a single starter for the Brewers has an ERA at or below his career average as a starter. That was predictable for Yo and Suppan, but Bush, Looper, and Parra should have all been 4.5 ERA pitchers, and they're not. If you're going to blame Melvin for all 4 of our non-Gallardo starters being significantly worse than predicted, then there's not much anyone can say. This team should have been an 85 win team. Injuries and pitchers underperforming by a LOT have derailed the season. So it goes. I can't honestly hate on Melvin for that. He put together what should have been at least a competent staff this year, and they all fell apart. Is the pitching coach to blame? A little bit, but most of the blame falls squarely on the shoulders of the trainers and the players themselves. Melvin can take part of the blame for the lack of depth in AAA to replace those people, along with Jack Z and possibly the developmental system. There are so many factors in play here, and so much has gone wrong for the Brewers this year that was entirely out of anyone's control that coming down on Melvin and declaring him a GM who doesn't "have a winning style" is premature, and frankly, an entirely emotional response with little or no basis in fact. Melvin did about as well as he could this offseason, with having handcuffed himself with Suppan and Hall. That's an entirely over-discussed topic, so I won't go into it.
  13. cwolf2012
    I guess this is more sci-fi than fantasy, but Ender's Game is a really good book, and the series is quite good as well. I recommend it.
  14. cwolf2012
    As said before, Pujols is a better hitter in pretty much everything but batting average. This most definitely is a career year for Mauer right now. Here's some basic slash stats: 2006: .347/.429/.507 2007: .293/.382/.426 2008: .328/.413/.451 2009: .380/.446/.637 2009 is clearly the outlier here. He hadn't batted anywhere near this effectively (not saying he wasn't anything but great the last 3 years if you factor in position) before this season. I suspect the power spike is not permanent, but he's certainly shown he can hit for more power than he has the 2 years before this.
  15. cwolf2012
    Kind of. But I would think if you call it "overall," that would adjust for position, defense, and offense. It's extremely difficult to quantify defense without adjusting for position. If best overall implies offense compared to the entire league and defense compared to the entire league (not just the position that player plays), then there really isn't a good means to even judge it.
  16. cwolf2012
    What would Rivera have to do in the next 2 games to get 3/5 starts? 4 HR, 3 BB and no outs?
  17. cwolf2012
    Then he'll get BURNED by the awesome negotiating skills of the Royals. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif I wasn't aware of this rule until a short while ago. It makes sense since he doesn't have the NCAA to go back to. Either way, I thought it was hilarious before I realized he had more time that he had been unsigned twice in a row. Delaying getting to the next level for a couple hundred thousand is not particularly smart when you're a top prospect.
  18. cwolf2012
    Absolutely not. That would be a complete loss of value for J.J and we'd be paying too much anyway. I'd rather trade him in a package with McGehee and one of our A level arms for a pitcher of some sort.
  19. cwolf2012
    Who is slated to start tonight?
  20. cwolf2012
    I love Escobar batting 9th. Perfect spot for that type of hitter.
  21. cwolf2012
    Acta is available. He has shown a very strong inclination for sabermetrics and going against the status quo. His team just sucked.
  22. cwolf2012
    "OXS, BABIP, TGIF, CYA, SNAFU" Did someone invite Joe Morgan to Brewerfan?
  23. cwolf2012
    This is one of Jeter's best defensive years of his career. If he continues to play like he has, there's no reason to pull him from SS. That being said, I have no idea how he isn't terrible at D, but whatever.
  24. cwolf2012
    Has anyone considered him the MVP of this season or mentioned it? Does what happened this year take away from the amazing season he had last year?
  25. cwolf2012
    I completely disagree with this. We have plenty of people who can replace Hall, we actually don't have anyone to replace Suppan right now. We need a pitcher worse than a utility player.
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