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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    1) That was the Mets - they don't make the best personnel decisions. B) At the time, PC-A was a 19-year-old in A-ball with 32 career professional plate appearances to his name. There was plenty of development risk. Tyler Black has successfully made the jump to AA - he has a lot more value today than PC-A did in 2021. If it's a late 1st round pick below AA, EBJ is the much better comp. Or Guilarte or Luis Lara (or both). 3) Every team in the league has access to Bellinger's advanced metrics and the Cubs know it. Even if he does regress to his metrics, what will that project to be? Still has to be a lot better than the Brewers .571 OPS from RF. His ISO and line drive % are less than his career averages, and he is only striking out 17.7% of the time. There are reasons to think that he won't regress that much.
  2. LouisEly
    Jeferson QueroJacob MisiorowskiJackson ChourioTyler BlackSal FrelickBrock WilkenRobert GasserCarlos F RodriguezJustin JarvisLogan HendersonJosh KnothAbner UribeEric Brown JrDaniel GuilarteFreddy ZamoraLuke AdamsCooper PrattLuis LaraMatthew WoodCam Devanney
  3. LouisEly
    Blackmon can't hit outside of Coors either. .706 road OPS this year, .663 last year, .703 in 2021. Moustakas was traded to the Angels on June 25th.
  4. LouisEly
    Cron away from Coors this year - .706 OPS. Last year - .619. Strong disagreement that he will be "fine".
  5. LouisEly
    Who does not interest me in any way is C.J. Cron. His OPS away from Coors this year is .706, and last year was .619. Not an upgrade.
  6. LouisEly
    Bellinger might be worth the risk. $12.5M mutual option next year, so no guarantee that he's back (likely declines his option if he continues at this pace), making it hard to estimate his value. Would likely have to be a PTBNL in there dependent on if he declines his option. But he solves both the RF and 1B issues though. No idea what would be a good offer. EBJ + Lara, with another piece (one of Mendez/Guilarte/Zamora) if Bellinger doesn't decline his option?
  7. LouisEly
    The reality is that there just aren't going to be many bats available who are significant upgrades. The Mets - with their $335M payroll - have Daniel Vogelbach as their DH. Think about that. The Cardinals can get more for Goldschmidt that he's worth because he will likely be the only high impact bat available, even though he turns 36 in September. Same with Candelario (and there's risk there - you can't ignore 2022). Candelario may be the right risk, but with that low salary there will be competition. I don't recall seeing Brandon Drury's name brought up yet. He could help shore up the offense anywhere in the infield except SS. Under contract next year for $8.5M so not terrible. I don't know that the Brewers like his BB:K profile, but the bat is there and defensive versatility. If I'm targeting players, it's Drury and Hader. Trade them in the offseason for 75% of what it costs to acquire them.
  8. LouisEly
    It's July 15th and the Yankees and Red Sox are tied for last place in the AL East.
  9. LouisEly
    With the off day on Monday, they won't need a 6th starter until 7/23. Then with the off day on 7/27, they won't need one until 8/2 and then maybe 8/6. But with off days on 8/10, 8/14, 8/21, and 8/24, they shouldn't need a 6th starter until the end of August. Burnes can suck it up and pitch on 4 days rest on 8/20; he won't need to pitch again until 8/27.
  10. LouisEly
    As I said, adaptive cruise isn't the same. Adaptive cruise doesn't work in heavy stop/go rush hour traffic.
  11. LouisEly
    This is what I'm looking at Good range (up to 350 miles), and my understanding is that the Traffic Jam Assist will keep a steady distance between you and the vehicle in front of you in heavy stop/go traffic without going gas/brake/gas/brake/gas/brake/etc. That is the #1 feature that I am looking for in a future vehicle. Going gas/brake/gas/brake/gas/etc. in heavy traffic hurts my knee and has triggered my plantar fasciitis - I've had to operate the pedals with my left foot while I try to massage the cramp out of my right foot. Adaptive cruise control, available on many vehicles, is not the same; I believe disengages if you come to a stop for more than 3-5 seconds and you need to get up to 25-30 in order to engage it.
  12. LouisEly
    He's making over $500K in NIL from what I hear. Maybe $750K.
  13. LouisEly
    What I suspected has now been confirmed. My former company just posted my team's roles based out of Mexico City. I knew that they were building a low-employee-cost hub there and had heard that it was Sales Development Reps. Apparently my team, too. Offshoring is no longer just for blue collar jobs. If your white-collar job doesn't require external or executive communication necessitating native English-speaking or needing to be on-site, it's at risk of being offshored. I wonder what the employee engagement scores would be now. Hard to have any trust in executive leadership and not live in fear that your job is next.
  14. LouisEly
    I get groceries at Mariano's, which is under the Kroger umbrella. Kroger just came out with their brand of no-sugar-added yogurt... and it's phenomenal. Key Lime, Cinnamon Roll, and White Chocolate Raspberry are the ones I've had so far and they're the best tasting yogurts I've ever had. And they're selling them for $0.60/each.
  15. LouisEly
    I don't know about Austin (10th round pick), but the other three pitchers have something. Kuehner had five saves for Louisville and 12.7 K/9 in 38 IP this past season. Yoho had 15.3 K/9 over 37 IP at Indiana. Manfredi had 10.9 K/9 at Dayton and 11.1 K/9 in 13 IP so far in the CCL. Maybe there's a potential reliever or two in that group.
  16. LouisEly
    Yeah, those two must be major under-slot agreements and must have an agreement with Knoth that isn't over-slot. I've got the over/under for Boeve at $800K (on a $1.55M slot) and $1M total under-slot between Boeve and Woodward. Another $725K on senior signs for rounds 7-10 and $530K in overage gives them at least $2.3M for Pratt and Bitonti.
  17. LouisEly
    Wrong Woodward. They drafted Jason Woodward, not Jackson Woodward.
  18. LouisEly
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=woodwa000jas Only 3 games this past season (injured?), started all three, 13.2 IP, 7 H, 6 BB, 18 K. There's something there. Pitched in CCL in 2022, gave up a lot of hits but 9.3 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 in 23.1 IP.
  19. LouisEly
    Also in that 2021 draft, they picked Roc Riggio in the 11th round but he didn't sign either. Rumors were that the Brewers offered up to $1M for him to forego college. Riggio is a draft-eligible sophomore being 21 years old; he has leverage to go back to Oklahoma State but maybe he's open to $1M given that he's 21 now. Had a really good year at OSU, increased his walks and decreased his K's, but with a "fringy" arm is still limited to 2B or LF.
  20. LouisEly
    Back in 2021, the Brewers drafted LHP Hunter Hollan in the 15th round out of JC but he didn't sign. Hollan is ranked #100 on MLB.com, and the Brewers have been known to follow guys they didn't sign. From MLB: Known more for his polish than his stuff at San Jac, Hollan averaged 87 mph with his fastball last spring before sitting at 93-94 and touching 97 with late life in shorter stints last fall. He has operated at 90-92 mph and hit 97 as junior while flashing three solid secondary pitches, the best of which is a 71-75 mph downer curveball that could use a bit more power but gets swings and misses. He utilizes a two-plane slider that parks around 80 mph and a firm mid-80s changeup with some tumble. Hollan mixes his four offerings well and throws them all for strikes. He has an athletic delivery that he repeats well and a lean frame with room to add more strength. Even though he hasn't held all of the power he added when he first arrived in Fayetteville, his high floor as a pitchability left-hander could land him in the third round. I like the "athletic delivery" which suggests that he might be able to add more strength and get he velo back up to mid-90's.
  21. LouisEly
    There's your double-dip at 3B, though there is question if Boeve can stick there. Curious as to why Whitman is dropping.
  22. LouisEly
    Paul Wilson, HS LHP and son of former MLB pitcher Trevor Wilson, is still out there. Wouldn't mind him.
  23. LouisEly
    I'm shocked he's still available. He went to the Cape and in his first start went 5 IP, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K.
  24. LouisEly
    Cincinnati grabbing Lowder and Floyd. I think they see their window starting right now.
  25. LouisEly
    Devin Williams wasn't converted to a reliever until his seventh year in the organization. He's 17. Plenty of time to develop.
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