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LouisEly

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  1. Airplane Repo Some of the scenes are embellished/recreated for dramatic purposes, but it's hilarious. Of course, even though a couple of months ago I watched a few episodes of Season 1 (I think around Christmas/New Years) on TV, I now have to pay for Season 1. The last episode of Season 2 is a riot.
  2. ESPN is showing Wrestlemania 32 right now, I believe in its entirety. Undertaker vs. Shane McMahon first match.
  3. Coming from the guy who says 200k are going to die from this in our country? Can leaders decide if they want to be optimistic or use scare tactics? It won't be eradicated in a couple of weeks - there will still be cases and deaths. It's that if they can ramp up production of the new faster tests (Abbott Labs said they can make 50K/day IIRC, not sure about others) and find/isolate those who have it, it will go a long way towards slowing it to the point where the infections won't overwhelm the hospital system and we can start resuscitating the economy. If the US averages 50 deaths a day per state across all 50 states (more in some states, less in others), over the next two weeks that's 35,000 deaths by Easter. Doesn't take long to add up.
  4. I've had some time on my hands lately, and since it doesn't look like pro days or team visits will happen anytime soon, here goes. (If they do resume, I reserve the right to modify). Round 1 (#30): Ezra Cleveland, OT, Boise State – early entrant who started all three years at LT, Cleveland answered any and all questions about his athleticism at the combine, besting the numbers by perceived more athletic tackles (Josh Jones, Austin Jackson) and even besting Tristan Wirfs in the bench, 3-cone, and short-shuttle. He also answered questions about his functional strength by putting up more reps on the bench than any other OT. The Packers gravitate towards guys with a high RAS (Relative Athlete Score), and Cleveland has an almost-perfect 9.93 (10 is perfect). With Bahktiari a FA after next season and Wagner signed as a stopgap after a down year, the Packers are looking at possibly two holes at OT in the next couple of years. Left tackles get drafted early, and OT is not deep this year so it’s highly unlikely he’ll be around with their 2nd round pick. The best way for Rodgers to make plays is to keep him upright. (replaces Bryan Bulaga/Alex Light) If he’s still available: Chase Claypool, WR/TE, Notre Dame – ridiculously athletic (4.42, 40.5” vertical) WR with the size of a TE (6’4”, 238), huge hands (9 7/8”) and production to match (1,037 yards, 15.7 YPC, 13 TD’s), Claypool has the physical traits to overwhelm DB’s and dominate. Also an outstanding run blocker, he could be a real weapon across from Adams. Again, the Packers seem to like guys with a high RAS, and Claypool has a perfect 10. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Jacob Eason, QB, Washington – scouting reports label him as having “a rocket launcher connected to his right shoulder” and “the confidence to throw a football through a coin slot”. Sound like a certain QB you know? Eason also excels with play action, deep-ball accuracy, and throwing to where a receiver is supposed to be without waiting for them to make their breaks. There are questions about his poise and trying to throw everything 100mph, but talent like this is rarely available this late in the draft. Favre was the same age as Rodgers is now when Rodgers was drafted. As we know, you don't pass on Brett Favre when you have Aaron Rodgers. Round 2 (#62): Lynn Bowden, Jr., WR, Kentucky – I don’t really need to write anything, you can just read this article about why the Packers should draft him. Bowden was forced to play QB the last 8 games of the year because of injuries, and he proceeded to lead the nation in yards per carry against tough SEC defenses. Human joystick who is electric with the ball in hand, he also has kick and punt return experience and two of his nine career punt returns went to the house. He won’t be a polished WR right from day 1, but has tremendous upside as a slot receiver and can also be used as a gadget player on jet sweeps and out of the backfield. The signing of Funchess reduces the need for a more ready WR, allowing the Packers to go with upside. (replaces Geronimo Allison) If he’s still available: Laviska Shenault, WR, Colorado – I don’t think he’ll get drafted as high as some do, as his injury history will scare teams off. But not only is he a great WR, he also has lined up all over the field including the backfield, and the Packers did say they were looking for one more weapon out of the backfield. His injury history is too lengthy to spend a 1st round pick, but if he’s still there after #50, the Packers could move up to get him. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Jordan Elliot, DT, Missouri - first-team All-SEC/second team AP All-American and ideal size for a 3-4 (6'4", 315), Elliot posted the top overall PFF grade for a DL and was the only Power 5 DL to have an elite grade at both pass rushing and run stopping. Having both pass-rushing and run-stopping ability is what the Packers need in their DL. Round 3 (#94): Logan Wilson, ILB, Wyoming – ultra productive four-year starter who outgrew his safety position but maintained his athleticism, Wilson put up very good numbers at the combine but it was the pass coverage drills where he showed why he’s a true every-down LB and why he has 10 career interceptions. He also has elite fundamentals as a tackler. Wilson had the 8th highest RAS among LB’s at the combine. (replaces Martinez/Goodson) If he’s still available: Jeremy Chinn, S, Southern Illinois – prototypical big nickel who at the Senior Bowl played CB and covered WR’s. Outstanding athlete, checking in at 6’3”, 221, and running a 4.45 with a 41” vertical, he has good cover skills and the size and speed to cover anyone on the field, especially TE’s. Chinn has an almost perfect 9.97 RAS, but there are questions about his instincts and football IQ. Don’t be surprised if it’s: James Lynch, DT, Baylor – slightly undersized but incredibly productive DT who was a 1st team All American after accumulating 13.5 sacks,19.5 TFL, 3 forced fumbles, 5 passes defensed, and two kicks blocked this past season. True junior who is young and still developing and growing but already has explosive upper body power. Can be a 3-technique next to Clark and a big disruptor inside. Round 4 (#136): Khalil Davis, DT, Nebraska – cue the Mike Daniels comparisons as Davis was a very disruptive penetrator but has concerns about his lack of length and short arms. Davis had similar production as Daniels his senior year (8 sacks, 11 TFL), but really showed his athleticism at the combine running a 4.75(!) 40 and a cumulative 9.55 RAS, second highest for a DL. Daniels was about the same size and the Packers had a really effective DL with Daniels lining up at the 3-technique next to Clark. (replaces one of Keke/Lancaster/Adams) If he’s still available: Trey Adams, OT, Washington – Adams is very talented but has significant injury risk that will push him down the board. He’s not a great athlete, but he has great length and he’s quick out of his stance and into his pass sets and has plus body control for a player of his height and size. His back injury creates long-term durability risk. At this point in the draft though, you take a chance on a guy who has the legitimate ability to play LT. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Tanner Muse, S/LB, Clemson – like Chinn, Muse might be an ideal big nickel checking in at 6’2, 227 whose athleticism (4.41) opened a lot of eyes at the combine. He played more of a centerfield safety for Clemson and was quite productive (6 INTs over his junior and senior year) but his best fit might be a hybrid safety/LB role. Like Chinn, Muse has an almost perfect 9.97 RAS. Round 5 (#175): Reggie Robinson II, CB, Tulsa – height (6’1”), weight (205), speed (4.44) cornerback prospect with good production (4 INTs, 13 passes defensed). Also has special teams experience, having blocked a kick in each of his four seasons, and had the second highest RAS score of any CB at the combine. With many impending free agents after the season and a big jump in cap hit for Rodgers, the Packers may not have room to resign the oft-injured Kevin King. (replaces Tramon Williams) If he’s still available: Quez Watkins, WR, Southern Mississippi – speed demon who put up the 2nd fastest 40 of any WR at the combine (4.35), Watkins was a very productive deep threat who, despite missing two games this year, still put up over 1,000 receiving yards and 18.4 YPC. Watkins also has experience returning punts and kicks. A bit on the smaller side, he’s an outside receiver and vertical threat but not really a slot receiver. Don’t be surprised if it’s: James Morgan, QB, Florida Atlantic – great size and a big arm plus willing to stand in the pocket, but not terribly accurate. He can make throws all over the field, but will need to spend some time reworking his mechanics. The Packers like a big arm and need to start developing a backup, and they can have Morgan work on his mechanics while learning behind Rodgers for a few years. Round 6 (#192): Casey Toohill, OLB, Stanford – the Packers need to replace Fackrell but only have four OLBs on the roster with any NFL game experience and one was a waiver wire pickup. Toohill fits the Packers bill, with good size (6’4”, 250) and athleticism (6th highest RAS of any LB at the combine). Took a while to develop, but very productive senior year (8 sacks, 11 TFL, 1 FF). (competes with Tim Williams for roster spot) If he’s still available: Isaiah Hodgins, WR, Oregon State – son of long-time NFL fullback James Hodgins, he isn’t known for straight-line speed, but he’s known for two things – agility and hands. He only ran a 4.61 at the combine, but he had the top short-shuttle time and the 6th-best 3-cone time, making him a slot WR option. Big frame (6’4”, 210, 80 1/2” wingspan) and big hands (9 7/8”), he has a huge catch radius and as one scouting report said, “Good luck finding drops on tape.” I think he’s better than Funchess, MVS, ESB, and Kumerow, and won’t be surprised if he’s taken a lot earlier. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Shaun Bradley, ILB, Temple – slightly undersized but very athletic ILB known for toughness and intangibles. Ran the 5th fastest 40 for a LB at the combine (4.51, only 0.01 slower than Queen), 4th fastest short-shuttle, and 9th fastest 3-cone time. Also doubled as a fullback, with nine career carries. Round 6 (#208): Charlie Taumoepeau, H-Back/FB, Portland St. Doesn't have the size to play TE in the NFL, but worked out at the combine at FB and had the 2nd fastest 3-cone time and tied for 2nd fastest short shuttle among TE's. Consistent, tough attitude as a blocker. Could be a good replacement for Danny Vitale. (competes with Evan Baylis/James Looney for roster spot) If he’s still available: Julian Good-Jones, OL, Iowa State - athletic four-year starter with experience at LT, RT, and center, his versatility and athleticism will be appealing to the Packers who may need to move on from Linsley because of salary cap purposes. The Packers like guys with LT experience who can move inside. Could be the next J.C. Tretter. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Chris Jackson, CB, Marshall – four year starter with 45 career passes defensed and another guy who was lucky to have the opportunity to show his athleticism at a pro day as he ran a 4.44 40. Meets the Packers desired height (6’0”) but is a little thin (186). Round 6 (#209): Jake Luton, QB, Oregon State – Luton has good size (6’6”, 224), good accuracy, and a good enough arm. Huge hands (10 3/8”), Luton is known for taking care of the ball having rarely fumbled and only threw 3 INTs to 28 TD’s his senior year. He worked in a pro-style passing game with plenty of play-action, and is more NFL-ready than some. Career deep-ball completion rate of over 50%. (competes with Tim Boyle for roster spot) If he's still available: Madre Harper, CB, Southern Illinois – Harper was one of the lucky ones who had the opportunity to showcase his athleticism at a pro day, and he took advantage of it. Prototypical CB size (6’1”, 197) he blazed a 4.41 40, a 6.70 3-cone, and a 40” vertical. The Packers love these type of height/speed prospects at CB later in the draft. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Stephen Sullivan, TE, LSU – Sullivan came to LSU as a WR but outgrew the position and moved to TE. Stuck behind Moss, he is a projection prospect with good size (6’5”, 248), length (35 38” arms), and big hands (10 1/8”). With the resigning of Lewis, the Packers can wait until day 3 to grab a developmental TE. Round 7 (#236): Darrin Paulo, G/T, Utah – first team all-Pac 12 left tackle and three-year starter (one at LT, two at RT), his lack of length (6’4”) will likely push him inside to guard. The Packers like guys who have played LT and can be moved inside to guard and possibly free up Lane Taylor’s cap space. Linsley is a FA after the season, and the Packers may not have room to bring him back, requiring Jenkins to move back to center. Turner may not be long for his contract either. (competes with Taylor/Madison/Light for roster spot) If he’s still available: K.J. Osborne, WR, Miami - grad transfer from Buffalo where he was a productive slot option, Osborne had to endure Miami's horrible QB situation last year, suppressing his ability. Good showing at the combine, running a 4.48 40 with the 5th fastest 3-cone time and 10th fastest short shuttle. Osborne also has special teams experience as a gunner and punt returner, averaging 15.9 yards per punt return at Miami. Don’t be surprised if it’s: Dele Harding, ILB, Illinois – first team media/third team coaches All-Big Ten who exploded onto the scene as a senior with 149 tackles, 14 TFL, 3 INTs (two returned for TD’s) and two forced fumbles. Showed decent athleticism at their pro day (4.67 40, 34" vertical, 27 bench press reps). Round 7 (#242): A safety With only four safeties on the roster, they’ll likely spend a late pick on one. Javin White, UNLV, had a very productive career, accounting for nine INTs and six forced fumbles in his three years as a starter and played a hybrid/big nickel type position. Nigel Warrior, Tennessee, was a three-year starter who had a very productive senior year (4 INTs, 7 passes defensed) against SEC competition. Jaylinn Hawkins, California, combined for nine INTs and two forced fumbles over his junior and senior year but his history of targeting penalties will scare some teams off. UDFA’s (*Priority): Case Cookus, QB, Northern Arizona Reggie Corbin, RB, Illinois* Evin Ksiezarczyk, OT, Buffalo Marcus Keyes, OG, Oklahoma State Luke Juriga, C, Western Michigan J.J. Koskie, WR, Cal-Poly Pomona Nigel Kilby, TE, Southern Illinois* Giovanni Ricci, TE/H-Back/FB, Western Michigan* Drew Wiley, FB, Villanova Auzoyah Alufohai, DT, West Georgia Mike Panasuik, DT, Michigan State* Reggie Walker, OLB, Kansas State Bryan Wright, LB, Cincinnati Blake Lynch, S/LB, Baylor* Michael Jacquet, CB, Louisiana Shamad Lomax, CB/S, New Mexico State* Luther Kirk, S, Illinois State*
  5. It came to Fond du Lac because several people went on a cruise in the Mediterranean/Nile River. In many of these rural cases, someone went somewhere and brought it back with them.
  6. The virus can live in the air for 30 minutes to 3 hours. All it takes is one player to get it, they cough or sneeze or whatever and then another player breathes in that air and then they're all in the locker room together or lifting weights and all of a sudden the season is cancelled again. Then kiss 2020 goodbye, because the virus won't be eradicated any time soon. For the rest of the year, if not the next 18 months, it's about balancing risk with economic impact.
  7. The virus can live in the air for 30 minutes to 3 hours. All it takes is one player to get it, they cough or sneeze or whatever and then another player breathes in that air and then they're all in the locker room together or lifting weights and all of a sudden the season is cancelled again. Then kiss 2020 goodbye, because the virus won't be eradicated any time soon. For the rest of the year, if not the next 18 months, it's about balancing risk with economic impact.
  8. well, if you put corey knebel, luis urias, and tyrone taylor on ir to start the season, there's your 26-man lineup with 13 pitchers and 13 position players. if/when knebel comes off of ir, you send either devin williams or corbin burnes down, whomever is doing worse.
  9. well, if you put corey knebel, luis urias, and tyrone taylor on ir to start the season, there's your 26-man lineup with 13 pitchers and 13 position players. if/when knebel comes off of ir, you send either devin williams or corbin burnes down, whomever is doing worse.
  10. How often are baseball players really that close to each other? Other than the umpire hanging over the catcher's shoulder (good excuse to try automated balls/strikes for a shortened season) and the occasional holding the runner on at 1B, baseball players really aren't getting close to each other much less contacting each other. Maybe shorten the batter's box to create a little more room between the batter and catcher. Automate balls/strikes, space out in the dugout and bullpen, maybe ban holding runners at 1B and instead have a limit of how far a runner can lead off. Fairly low risk for transmission. Lol this can't be a serious post. LOL it is. Tags are made with gloves, not hands. Other than the home plate umpire, catcher, and batter, and holding people on at 1B (solutions for all of those already provided), they are rarely within 6 feet of each other and if they are, only for a second. And pretty much all of them are under 40 and in excellent health, not at significant risk in any way.
  11. How often are baseball players really that close to each other? Other than the umpire hanging over the catcher's shoulder (good excuse to try automated balls/strikes for a shortened season) and the occasional holding the runner on at 1B, baseball players really aren't getting close to each other much less contacting each other. Maybe shorten the batter's box to create a little more room between the batter and catcher. Automate balls/strikes, space out in the dugout and bullpen, maybe ban holding runners at 1B and instead have a limit of how far a runner can lead off. Fairly low risk for transmission. Lol this can't be a serious post. LOL it is. Tags are made with gloves, not hands. Other than the home plate umpire, catcher, and batter, and holding people on at 1B (solutions for all of those already provided), they are rarely within 6 feet of each other and if they are, only for a second. And pretty much all of them are under 40 and in excellent health, not at significant risk in any way.
  12. Plenty of room in the dugout, and I guarantee they aren't sharing rooms at the hotel. The clubhouse, maybe (I'll give you older stadiums such as Wrigley and Fenway), but they can easily regulate how many people can be in the clubhouse and have the rest stay in the dugout.
  13. Plenty of room in the dugout, and I guarantee they aren't sharing rooms at the hotel. The clubhouse, maybe (I'll give you older stadiums such as Wrigley and Fenway), but they can easily regulate how many people can be in the clubhouse and have the rest stay in the dugout.
  14. Neither of the two Chinese restaurants that I regularly get take-out from answered their phone today when I tried to order lunch. Went to the one around the corner at 11:30am and the door was locked and the "Open" sign was not on; they open at 10:30am on weekdays. I asked them about two weeks ago how business was and they said, "Slow". That was, IIRC, before they closed bars and restaurants. Neither restaurant does a lot of sit-down business; they are both mostly delivery/takeout. My favorite nearby BBQ restaurant (Lillie's Q) closed last night; I got some of the last brisket. They kept open until they depleted their inventory; they said it wasn't worth staying open. Most of my favorite places to get a good burger closed right away and never tried going the takeout/delivery route. The meat-heavy restaurant around the corner (Frontier) is still open for take-out, but who knows how long that will last.
  15. Neither of the two Chinese restaurants that I regularly get take-out from answered their phone today when I tried to order lunch. Went to the one around the corner at 11:30am and the door was locked and the "Open" sign was not on; they open at 10:30am on weekdays. I asked them about two weeks ago how business was and they said, "Slow". That was, IIRC, before they closed bars and restaurants. Neither restaurant does a lot of sit-down business; they are both mostly delivery/takeout. My favorite nearby BBQ restaurant (Lillie's Q) closed last night; I got some of the last brisket. They kept open until they depleted their inventory; they said it wasn't worth staying open. Most of my favorite places to get a good burger closed right away and never tried going the takeout/delivery route. The meat-heavy restaurant around the corner (Frontier) is still open for take-out, but who knows how long that will last.
  16. How often are baseball players really that close to each other? Other than the umpire hanging over the catcher's shoulder (good excuse to try automated balls/strikes for a shortened season) and the occasional holding the runner on at 1B, baseball players really aren't getting close to each other much less contacting each other. Maybe shorten the batter's box to create a little more room between the batter and catcher. Automate balls/strikes, space out in the dugout and bullpen, maybe ban holding runners at 1B and instead have a limit of how far a runner can lead off. Fairly low risk for transmission.
  17. How often are baseball players really that close to each other? Other than the umpire hanging over the catcher's shoulder (good excuse to try automated balls/strikes for a shortened season) and the occasional holding the runner on at 1B, baseball players really aren't getting close to each other much less contacting each other. Maybe shorten the batter's box to create a little more room between the batter and catcher. Automate balls/strikes, space out in the dugout and bullpen, maybe ban holding runners at 1B and instead have a limit of how far a runner can lead off. Fairly low risk for transmission.
  18. Here's your house arrest in Chicago: Not any more - they shut down the lakefront, river, and 606 trails (and all parks) yesterday afternoon. Yet, when I went to pick up dinner at 5:30pm there were 15-20 people piling into a city bus at the corner of Division and Ashland with not a foot between them. Yeah, let's shut down the running trails but let people cram into a city bus. Which do we think is more likely to lead to more infections?
  19. Here's your house arrest in Chicago: Not any more - they shut down the lakefront, river, and 606 trails (and all parks) yesterday afternoon. Yet, when I went to pick up dinner at 5:30pm there were 15-20 people piling into a city bus at the corner of Division and Ashland with not a foot between them. Yeah, let's shut down the running trails but let people cram into a city bus. Which do we think is more likely to lead to more infections?
  20. From what generation did all of the kids go on spring break this year? I know it is a relative sample size, but people in their late teens / early to mid 20's don't seem to take this as serious as older folks. They're Gen Z.
  21. From what generation did all of the kids go on spring break this year? I know it is a relative sample size, but people in their late teens / early to mid 20's don't seem to take this as serious as older folks. They're Gen Z.
  22. In the stories I read about Chris Sale the surgery date was unknown because it's non-essential. However, I have since read about a few pitchers that have had TJ recently. Probably depends on where you have it done. "Recently" is a relative word. Could mean two or three months ago, when COVID-19 wasn't a big concern here.
  23. In the stories I read about Chris Sale the surgery date was unknown because it's non-essential. However, I have since read about a few pitchers that have had TJ recently. Probably depends on where you have it done. "Recently" is a relative word. Could mean two or three months ago, when COVID-19 wasn't a big concern here.
  24. Population density seems to be a big factor. China, Italy, NYC, Barcelona - very dense. Chicago, Los Angeles - much less dense than NYC, and far fewer cases proportionately. Right now about a 1% death rate compared to confirmed cases in Illinois. Worldometers is reporting that of the ~$300K active cases, 96% are mild, and of the 53K active cases in the US 2% are serious/critical. We just need to hunker down for another 3 weeks and minimize contact with others.
  25. ... and then it still doesn't work. ***? We have had problems with the water line freezing. Fortunately after the ice maker so we still get ice, but no water. Our only fix (which was temporary) was to remove everything and let the line thaw out. I had a refrigerator that did that. Most of my neighbors in the condo development had the same refrigerator and the same problem. Likely an issue with insulation in the door. Two fixes: 1) run some heavy fishing line or similar down the water dispenser tube, and when it freezes pull the fishing line to break up the ice; 2) take a hair dryer to the water dispenser in the door on high for 5 minutes or so. You shouldn't have to remove everything and let it thaw.
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