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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    The one player I don't see on that list that I would take a flyer on is Tsuyoshi Wada. When healthy he's been very effective, and LHP is always in demand (I think Toronto will say that not adding another LHP to the bullpen at the trade deadline was a big mistake, as they are getting killed by KC's LH lineup). He was on a one-year, $4M contract this past season, just the right type of contract to take a flyer with. The Brewers have had pretty good luck with Cubs castoffs...
  2. LouisEly
    Considering that one of those 16 hasn't been to the WS since the 1940's, that means that one of 15 teams has been to the World Series every year since 1962.
  3. LouisEly
    Jose Bautista is still going pretty strong for a just-turned-35-year-old corner OF who missed significant time with injury in 2012 and 2013, so I don't think it is a given that Braun starts falling off at age 33 or 34. If the interest is there for Braun and a contract needs to come back, Andre Ethier had a nice bounce back season to the tune of an .850 OPS in a pitcher-friendly park. If he can play 1B, he's a LH good OBP bat that can fill a position of need for a few years and he's locked up at most for three more seasons, possibly two with a $2.5M buyout for 2018 but it can vest. If he can't play 1B then he doesn't have much value to a team with a lot of young OFs coming up. Once upon a time Lind was a corner OF who moved to 1B. Ethier had a higher OPS in a pitcher's park last year than Lind had in a hitter's park. Trade Lind for prospect(s), pick up Ethier and prospect(s) from LA, and get a good LH bat at 1B sounds like a win to me. Edit: Ethier became a 10/5 guy this season so he can nix any trade.... scrap that idea.
  4. LouisEly
    How in the world can the microwave be the dirtiest thing in the kitchen? Where in the world is all of this grease coming from?? Anyone want to take a guess as to how many Q-tips I have gone through already in cleaning this thing?
  5. LouisEly
    Buehrle has a bum shoulder - .896 OPS-A in Sept/Oct.
  6. LouisEly
    I would argue that the average player is bigger, stronger, and faster than they were 30 years ago. As a 12-year-old playing tackle football without pads or a helmet 30 years ago, there was no 6'3", 240 lb linebacker who runs a 4.55 40-yard-dash looking to hit me - that is the biggest reason why we didn't break bones. If someone like that hits you, no matter where or what technique, it could do damage. Force equals mass times velocity; both average mass and average velocity is greater than it used to be. A close friend of mine was the #3 ranked QB recruit coming out of HS in the early 90's; he was 6'5", 240, ran a 4.5 40... and wanted nothing to do with 6'6", 280 lb Javon Kearse chasing him. The other factor is technology. The technology of helmets and pads couldn't keep up with the increasing speed and size of players resulting from improved training techniques and pharmaceutical supplements (legal or not) in the 90's. That contributed to the increase in brain injuries. Yes, technique is very important, and yes, many people don't use proper technique. But the size and speed at which guys are now... proper technique or not, it could still jar your brain.
  7. LouisEly
    With Cecil injured the Jays only have one LHP in the bullpen. They have to be judicious as to when to use Loup. They kept Price in to face the Royals' LH hitters Hosmer, Moustakas, and Gordon.
  8. LouisEly
    My point exactly - that's coaching.
  9. LouisEly
    Could coaching have helped him develop a different approach or change his mechanics in certain situations that led to the higher strand rate? Could it be possible that the lower BABIP, HR rate, and HR/FB % was a result of him tweaking his mechanics or changing his approach that led to hitters not being able to pick up his pitches or not tipping his pitches as much? Could coaching have helped him alter his mechanics which resulted in more movement on his pitches which led to hitters not being able to square him up as much? Fewer HR/9, HR/FB, etc., is a result of hitters not hitting the ball as hard off of him. I'm not convinced that is purely random. Fewer strikeouts could be the result of a different approach in certain situations. Why could Arietta not put it together in Baltimore but could be a Cy Young winner in Chicago? Is his success in Chicago - or failure in Baltimore - purely random? Yes, his WHIP and HR/9 decreased and K/9 increased in Chicago. But why? Another example is Taylor Jungmann; the Brewers got him to stand on the far right side of the rubber, where he used to stand in the middle. If you look at his stats you can say that his improvement from 2013 to 2014 was a result if his K/9 significantly increasing. But his K/9 significantly increased because he changed his position on the rubber. That was a result of coaching. You point out some great statistics, but what is behind the statistics? Stats tell you the "what", but don't tell you the "why". "Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted." - Albert Einstein
  10. LouisEly
    I wouldn't say that Gallardo did a lot better - his WHIP was up but his HR/9 was down, which kind of offset each other into a slightly lower ERA but his FIP was mostly in-line with his career. But like Briggs said, the evaluation of the Estrada trade will be based on what Lind is traded for. The biggest concern with Lind was durability, and he played in 149 games. That should help his trade value.
  11. LouisEly
    Thanks rwa12! I've looked in Central West End, but haven't found much there I like. I found two nice modern houses, but one of them is south of 64 and several of the establishments nearby are gay bars (nothing wrong with that, just not the scene I'm looking for). The other one is more up by Delmar and is surrounded by churches; Google street view doesn't show a real exciting neighborhood. The lofts I'm looking at are in the 1100-1500 Washington Ave part, kind of Washington & Tucker and west. I did find a crime report map. When you eliminate the domestic incidents, registered sex offenders (no kids to worry about), theft from buildings/stores (mostly shoplifting, but I would be on 3rd floor or higher anyway), and stuff that happens at 3am (won't be out then), there aren't a lot of incidents. There are a number of vehicle thefts and theft from vehicles though, but I will have secure garage parking and not be parked on the street. There have been two incidents of concern - a highway/firearm robbery and an aggravated assault - in that area in the last month. The question is how would that compare to a month of time in say the River North area of Chicago, Water Street area in Milwaukee, Over the Rhine in Cincinnati, etc., other places where lots of people are walking around at night without much concern.
  12. LouisEly
    Francisco Liriano and Edinson Volquez both had two bad years in a row and have bounced back nicely (actually, 3 bad years out of 4 for Liriano). Garza had one bad year in which he was hurt. Estrada had a problem with the gopher ball in MIL - his HR/9 was increasing and he was 30 years old and supposedly washed up. Gallardo left and his HR/9 went down. I'm not convinced that Kranitz wasn't a significant part of the problem, and I'd like to see what a new pitching coach will do before writing Garza off, especially for an older player who is much less likely to rebound. Look at what Bosio has done with the Cubs staff, particularly Arrieta. I'd much prefer to see if a new approach improves results.
  13. LouisEly
    Agreed. Let's not forget that the Cubs have two of their biggest stars, Arrieta and Rizzo, because they did two things that a number of folks here vehemently disagree with - sign free agents and trade away young pitching. I don't think PIT has regrets about taking a flyer on Liriano after two bad years in a row.
  14. LouisEly
    Hey Mass, the first link for DoU is actually a link to the MiLB box scores.
  15. LouisEly
    Yes, that's basically Clayton. Everything there is either old or expensive - there are a few modern places on the market but they are at least $450K, if not $650K... or $750K. There are a couple of places on the other side of Forest Park, more of the Central West End neighborhood, for around $400K but there are a lot more churches and hospitals there than restaurants and bars. That whole area is much more single family homes than townhouses/condos. They say you get what you pay for, so it makes you wonder why places cost $450K (or more) there and $250K downtown.
  16. LouisEly
    So I did a crazy thing this morning and accepted a truly amazing job reporting to a great guy who is an alumni of my MBA program. I got hired by Anheuser-Busch in St. Louis. (Insert joke about Brewers fan living in hell.) Wondering if there are folks here who can help me out with info on St. Louis neighborhoods. What I'm finding out is that St. Louis is an old city, with not much new housing built in the last 10-15 years. I don't need a new building, but the interior needs to be modern (granite/stainless/hardwood/open concept/etc.). Since I don't have a family I'm looking for a vibrant neighborhood with a good social scene - good restaurants/bars to hang out and meet people. Preferably a good walk score or at least a short cab ride to a downtown-like area. I've looked at Soulard and Clayton, but the same thing with both neighborhoods is a lack of newer/modern housing. Downtown has some really sweet warehouse lofts that are good size, modern, and cheap (1500-1800 sq. ft. for under $250K), but I'm not sure how safe downtown is. Police incident maps show a fair number of vehicle thefts and a couple of assaults/robberies w/weapons. Any info or suggestions are appreciated. Free beer in exchange for your help. Thanks!
  17. LouisEly
    If "but"s and "and"s were pots and pans we'd all be gourmet chefs. Any one of a hundred things could have happened that could have caused the Brewers, A's, Rockies, or Braves to win or lose two more games. The Braves swept three from the Cardinals and five of six from the Cards and Nats, the A's lost 10 of their last 14 but won three of their last four, and the Rockies won five of six versus the Dodgers and Giants - who would've thought that would happen? How the Braves, A's, Rockies, and Reds finished had more to do with the Brewers draft spot than a few late wins by the Brewers.
  18. LouisEly
    Nothing is private anymore. If ESPN had existed back then as it did today (and a hundred other media outlets bribing people to get the scoop) Molitor's rehab wouldn't have been private. Sabathia's situation would have come out anyway, and a slow leak probably would have been more distracting than an announcement. Also - having a friend who is on the wagon right now - it's better he starts getting help now than waiting for the offseason.
  19. LouisEly
    Lighting up Rosenthal twice in the 9th inning - and hopefully putting a little doubt in Matheny's mind this offseason - was worth one spot in the draft. Let's also remember that having #1 overall in 2014 hurt the Astros, as the issue with Aiken also cost them their 5th round pick Jacob Nix as they no longer had the $ they thought they would have to sign him.
  20. LouisEly
    Glad Kranitz is going to say the least, but very surprised that Tunnell and Guerrero are gone. Smith and Jeffress developed into two of the top setup men in the league, as well as Blazek before he got hurt. The bullpen was perhaps the only strength of the team. I hope this is a case like the Cubs last year where they fired someone who didn't necessarily deserve to be fired because they knew they could get someone better.
  21. LouisEly
    Yeah, he wasn't just a throw-in on a salary dump.
  22. LouisEly
    The Reds losing 11 straight, the A's losing 9 of their last 11, and the Rockies going 3-7 in their last 10 have more to do with the Brewers draft position than picking up a few garbage wins. Yes, they've won three in a row, but they went 5-15 over the previous 20. They've shut down Braun, Peralta, and Nelson, have relegated Lucroy to PH and a few innings at 1B, and their starting rotation is all rookies (and they're giving Schafer a lot of playing time). Aside from shutting down K-Rod and Lind (which will do nothing to help their trade value and only invite grievances from the players union), I don't see any more tanking that could possibly be done. The value they can get in trade with Lind proving he is healthy and K-Rod showing he is still an elite closer is much greater than the value of one or two slots in the draft.
  23. LouisEly
    Lawn sweepers are much more efficient. And much quieter.
  24. LouisEly
    Davies, Cravy, Thornburg, Pena - with Lopez, Wagner, Houser and Hader waiting at AAA - is there another team in the majors with starting pitching depth like this at the top of the organization? Say what you want about Melvin and Seid, but they have done a great job of stocking the organization with pitching. Maybe they don't have that true #1 ace, but it's hard to find those when you're drafting in the bottom half of the first round. Plenty of arms to deal to acquire the 3B and C of the immediate future.
  25. LouisEly
    Fun fact, Kevin Quackenbush received the smallest signing bonus of any player picked in the first 10 rounds of the 2011 draft. Bubba Starling got $7.5M and is toiling in AA. Quackenbush got $5000 and is in the majors.
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