LouisEly
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Everything posted by LouisEly
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Word is that Miami is looking for a guard because D-Wade will miss a significant amount of time. What are the odds that Kohl can be convinced that this is a lost season and that dealing O.J. Mayo is the right move? The toughest part of a potential deal, other than convincing Kohl to do it, is matching up salaries. It would have to be something like Haslem + Anthony + Mason + at least two first round picks for Mayo + Radjulica, with perhaps a handshake agreement that the Bucks will release one of Haslem/Anthony. Maybe Santa will listen to Bucks wishes this year...
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This is Hudson's second TJ. He blew out his elbow rehabbing from his first TJ surgery. He hasn't pitched since June 2012. Hudson was supposedly offered for Fielder. Glad that didn't happen. Coulter/Haniger + playoff run was much better return.
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No, comments like these is why the GM gets a pass. This is a terrible team no matter which players on the roster play at 100% health, most of the guys individually on the roster would contribute to playoff and even championship level teams but the way it is constructed they can't win and won't win this year. I love that they keep on losing but Hammond needs to take more heat and be gone. The first year that Wade, LeBron, and Bosh were together in Miami they started 9-8 through November 27th. In no way, shape, or form am I saying that the 2013-14 Bucks are comparable to the 2010-11 Heat, but it took the Heat a while to learn how to play together just as it will take the Bucks a while. The Bucks aren't a great team, but they aren't a 2-11 team either. That's why I've been saying I hope they lose enough in Nov and Dec while learning to play together that they can get into the lottery and accumulate as many ping pong balls as possible.
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Again, this is a team that replaced 11 of 15 players, and two of the four not replaced have missed significant time with injury. Several other projected starters have missed considerable time with injury making it even harder to develop team chemistry. It will take a while for them to learn to play with each other, thus why they look terrible. That being said, hopefully they can lose enough games during these first two months of the season to get in the lottery and accumulate as many ping pong balls as possible.
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Interesting to note that in the article they said that Rogers was working at 3B at the Brewers Dominican Baseball academy and dabbled at the position during the AFL. It sounds like he is athletic for a big guy. If he can be at least serviceable at 3B that would be a very good reason to protect him. I'm more surprised by Hall's addition. Hopefully Shackleford can turn into more of Jason Motte than Tim Dillard. -
Interesting to note that in the article they said that Rogers was working at 3B at the Brewers Dominican Baseball academy and dabbled at the position during the AFL. It sounds like he is athletic for a big guy. If he can be at least serviceable at 3B that would be a very good reason to protect him. I'm more surprised by Hall's addition. Hopefully Shackleford can turn into more of Jason Motte than Tim Dillard.
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Baseball America: Brewers 2014 Top 10 Prospects
LouisEly replied to trwi7's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Looking at BA's top 100 lists I rarely see anyone on the list who wasn't a 1st or 2nd round draft pick, signed for 1st round money, or an international free agent that signed for 1st round money. Look at what Khris Davis did in the minors, particularly an unheard of .948 OPS in Brevard, a stadium that just destroys RH hitters, in 2011 and between AA and AAA in 2012, and he never cracked the Top 100. You can't tell me that there were 100 other minor league players those two years that will outproduce him in the majors. Fifty, yes, maybe 75, but not 100. Hell, Matt Wieters was the #1 prospect in baseball in 2009 and Jonathan Lucroy, who never cracked the Top 100, has a higher career OPS than Wieters. Paul Goldschmidt never was a Top 100 prospect and he just finished second in the MVP voting; three of the top four MVP finishers in the NL never made a BA Top 100. Honestly, I think BA either doesn't look at anyone who wasn't a 1st/2nd round pick or singed for 1st round money or they automatically cross them off the list. Point being, the BA Top 100 is nothing to get worked up over and is no indication of the future success of any player, much less any franchise. -
San Francisco. They desperately need a high OBP leadoff hitter and they have nothing in the OF outside of Pence. Plus they can market him to the large Asian community in the Bay area. SF has plenty of lower-level (A-ball) pitching to give back (Escobar, Gregorio, Agosta, Mejia); Escobar and Mejia would help shore up the lack of LHP. Speaking of LHP, wondering if Kickham might be available.
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Braves leaving Atlanta (for neighboring county/Marietta)
LouisEly replied to Invader3K's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Like Invader said, the issue is the lease not the ballpark. The only thing I can think of with the ballpark itself is a real minor one in that the field is boring because the OF doesn't have any nuances to the wall (varying depths/height of the wall/etc.) like most new parks, but I wouldn't call that an issue. The neighborhood has nothing to do with the ballpark itself. The money is on the north side of ATL though, and the ballpark is tough to get to having to get through downtown during rush hour. And maybe the lack of playoff attendance is due to not wanting to be in that neighborhood after dark. -
Judging by last night, it looks like Dukan might be the guy who makes the jump. Was really impressed with how he looked. The redshirt year last year may have done him wonders.
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Would you trade Segura for Shelby Miller?
LouisEly replied to paul253's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
Miami had really good starting pitching, including a true #1 (Fernandez) and a well-above-average #2-4 (Turner, Eovaldi, Nolasco, Alvarez; and Kohler/Slowey were well above-average for a #5). And they won the second fewest games in baseball. You can't win with poor pitching or poor hitting. -
John had to agree to the experimental surgery, do the rehab, and change his mechanics afterwards. The surgery then was hardly as reliable as it is now; there was no track record of outcomes to base a decision on, and all surgery no matter how routine has risks. At the time, Jobe estimated John's chances of recovery at 1 out of 100. John also retired having tied the ML record for most seasons played (26!) and pitched the 20th most career innings and is 8th among career starts. He's not the "lucky schmo" who had the surgery named after him. He's the guy who took the risk to have it, and put in the rehab work to make the surgery successful.
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Again, keep in mind they replaced 11 of 15 players. They have no chemistry right now because no one is used to playing with each other. That will take two months; they will look better in January. Hopefully they can lose enough winnable games in November and December to still get into the lottery. People were criticizing what Orlando got in the Howard trade, but Afflalo, Vucevic, and Harkless are looking pretty good plus two first round picks in a good draft class next year and another first round pick in 2017. I think they did alright in that trade.
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If Maholm turns out like the last former Pirates LH starting pitcher they signed I will be really happy, because the Brewers need another LH bullpen arm.
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In some way, shape or form, Billy Martin and George Steinbrenner deserve to be inducted into the Hall of Fame together. If the test of the Hall is, "Can you tell the history of the game without mentioning (this person)?", the answer is, no you cannot tell the history of baseball, particularly in the 70's and 80's, without mentioning Martin and Steinbrenner. Somewhere in the Hall there needs to be documentation of that relationship. And you cannot tell the history of baseball without mentioning Marvin Miller and Tommy John.
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By "ran out of gas the last 2-3 minutes", fondy means "couldn't make free throws the last 10 minutes".
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Well, your options at the 3 are Middleton, Butler, or GA. I understand the desire to develop GA, but if you play a guy too much who is so raw and isn't ready and he plays poorly it can hurt his confidence which can ruin his development. I think the best thing for GA's development right now is to limit his minutes so he gets some PT but isn't put in a position where his play is criticized as being a reason for a negative outcome. So that leaves Middleton or Butler, in which case I'd rather see what the 22-year-old Middleton can do.
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They did change the voting this year. They incorporated a defensive metric (don't remember who generated it) that constituted 25% of the vote.
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Anybody else surprised that Pachulia is only 29 years old? They replaced 11 of 15 players as well as their coach. It's going to be ugly in November and December as they get used to playing with each other. But the core of the team (Sanders, Mayo, Ilyasova, Henson, Knight, GA, Udoh, Wolters) is still all under the age of 27. The high roster turnover should allow them to lose enough games to be in the lottery hunt while still maintaining a young core. If they can lose enough games to get in the lottery and get lucky in the lottery they could be set up for a nice future; but as long as there are franchises in LA, Miami, New York, and Texas, and Cuban still owns a team it is extremely unlikely the Bucks could ever win a championship no matter what they do. The Bucks aren't a great team, but unfortunately the fans of Orlando, Charlotte, Atlanta, Detroit, Toronto, Philadelphia, and Boston are saying the same thing about their team too.
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Remember when Oliver Perez was the next big thing back in 2004? Had one good season after that. He only cost $1.5M last year; a 2-year, $4M deal to fill a LH relief role sounds pretty reasonable. He'll walk some guys, but struck out 74 in 53 IP last year. A LH Jose Veras?
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By my estimates this leaves Marquette with six scholarships open next year. They have four signed as of this point (one SG, two SFs, and one 6'7" PF), and depending on who you believe they have offers out to a couple of 3-star HS centers and a prep-school 6'9" PF. Not sure I'd want six freshman on the team; a senior graduate transfer (a la Lockett) C or PF next year would be ideal, or at least a Juco transfer. But juco transfers are always a risk with grades as there's a reason they went juco to begin with. But in the "new" Big East I don't think they will have to contend with as many opposing true centers as if they were still in a conference with Syracuse, UConn, Louisville, and Pitt (although Providence is bringing in some height). I think UW will be OK. They will likely run more of a 3-guard set (Marshall/Jackson with Brust & Gasser as off-guards) with Dekker as the 4 and Kaminski as the 5. They just need two of Anderson, Dukan, Hayes, and Brown to step up and provide backup minutes at the 4/5. Hopefully one of Anderson/Dukan can make as big of a jump from his sophomore to junior year as Berggren did. The two freshmen (Hayes, Brown) are beasts; might be the first time they've had guys who can bang down low with the type of PFs that Michigan State throws at you.
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Remember, Matt LaPorta failed with the Indians, not the Brewers. When the Brewers traded him he had a .978 OPS in Huntsville in his first full season in pro ball and was the #23-ranked prospect in baseball. Who's to say that Cleveland's coaching failed him, and he didn't fail? Up until they traded LaPorta it looked like a good pick. If you're saying the Brewers failed by not selecting Madison Bumgarner or Jarrod Parker instead, that's a different story. It would have hurt a lot more to have given up one of those guys for Sabathia though.
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MLBTR - Top 34 Free Agent Starting Pitchers
LouisEly replied to torts's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I would look at a lefty that could come cheap on a one-year deal that could start if need be or be the second lefty in the pen. The two names that come to mind are: Chris Capuano Ted Lilly Yes Lilly's old and has been hurt the last two years but still has been effective well into his 30's except for a small sample this year (been more effective that a younger Joe Saunders who is on the list). And I am specifically referring to a cheap one-year deal. If he doesn't make the rotation (which I hope happens and Thornburg has earned it), you stick him in the bullpen and he becomes your second lefty in the pen. Same thing with Capuano. More durable and younger than Lilly, he's been a solid starter for LA the last two years and worst case could be the second lefty in the pen. -
Rickie Weeks trade challenge
LouisEly replied to Matt Breen's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
The Dodgers have a lot coming off of the books - Lilly ($12M), Uribe ($8M), Capuano ($6M - $1M buyout), Ellis ($5.25M - $1M buyout), Hairston ($3.75M), Harang ($4.25M), plus others. If they move Beckett in the deal that's over $50M off the books; right now they only have $160M committed to 2014 ($145M if they move Beckett). They owe Kershaw a raise of about $8M (estimate $19M for 2014 salary, likely $27M in later years of the deal) and about $6M to Jansen, but they have room to work with. Plus their biggest holes are 3B and 2B. -
I wasn't specifically referring to Pentecost, I was referring to the Cape Cod league in general and using that performance solely as a reason for advocating that player. But looking at Pentecost's 2013 season at Kennesaw State over 212 AB's he only slugged .410 with an OPS of .785. Maybe if he was playing in a tougher conference such as the SEC and is a plus defensive C, but I'd expect a more dominating performance from someone in the Atlantic Sun conference to consider that person at #12 overall. I get what you are saying because his 130 ABs in the CCL account for 38% of his 2013 ABs. Point being, for #12 overall I want to see a dominating performance in both the Cape Cod league and in regular college season play. My reason for advocating Newcomb has little to do with his Cape Cod performance and mostly to do with his 2013 college season performance (6.63 H/9, 11.50 K/9 in 73 IP) and being a LHP (which the Brewers need). Weaker conference, yes, but a more dominating performance. Not saying he's #1 on my list, but he's in the discussion.
