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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. For the $17.5M in cash he is due next year, they can probably find someone almost as good either through FA (consider the $17.5M in cash to be a signing bonus) or trade ($17.5M in salary) who will be a lot more available and reliable. Barron is going to have the most experience among draftable CBs, but he'll be almost 24 when the season starts and the Packers generally don't like to have a 2nd contract extend into a player's 30's.
  2. Get Peacock on Black Friday/Cyber Monday. Last year I got one year for $19.95, year before I got one year for $1.99/mo. I cancel in October/early Nov when there usually aren't any meaningful UW football or basketball games on for the next few weeks (usually UW football is on ESPN/Fox/B10/CBS/NBC unless they are playing Rutgers or Maryland), then resubscribe on BF/CM. No football games on Peacock last year, Arizona was the only meaningful basketball game on. Networks aren't allocated for the upcoming season yet, but the only football game that might be on Peacock is Nov 8th vs Washington as neither team was good last year. Possibly Indiana on 11/15, but Indiana was good last year so probably not on Peacock.
  3. Close - student visa. If someone is here on a student visa, they cannot earn income (possible exception is if it is directly from the university for a university job, but it has to be directly from the university).
  4. UW offered on 1/13/25. In today's age of college athletics, nothing is set in stone until the first day of classes. And even then, I'm not sure it is.
  5. Between Tonje this year and Storr last year, you have to think that any good transfer is going to give UW a long, hard look.
  6. Yeah, that was absurd. One was clearly "flagrant" and one clearly was not. And if the call on McGee is the "letter of the law", then I'd have guys pretending to get hit in the balls on screens every game.
  7. Not quite clear on how you're wording this, but if you let go of someone who is over 40 and then hire a graduate a few months later that could be a case for an age discrimination lawsuit (over 40 is a protected class) by the person you let go. I think that's what you mean, but the wording is a little unclear to me.
  8. Before this "Gutey drafts athletic players with no production" gets out of control, Lukas Van Ness had 13.5 sacks (plus 20 TFLs) in two seasons (RS freshman and RS soph years, redshirted true FR year) and led the team both years. Gary had 6 sacks his true soph year (plus 12 TFLs), but only 3.5 his junior year (plus 8 TFLs) due to injury.
  9. What I would recommend is to: Pull the offer for the upcoming graduate. This is not an uncommon situation. They have over three months to find a new job. Tell the new graduate: Why you have to pull the offer That you will absolutely be a reference for them in their job search and write a letter to anyone they interview with explaining the situation and why you chose to hire them in the first place That you will post on LinkedIn to your network and to any professional organizations for your occupation/industry the situation, a recommendation for this candidate, and ask if anyone is hiring You will help in their job search in any way you can It sucks, but from my 30,000 foot view I think that's the best course of action. I don't think the optics will be good if you let someone go and then hire the graduate a couple of months later.
  10. At this point, there isn't anyone I'm really sold on at #23. I don't think there's much if any difference in talent between #23 and #38. I wouldn't mind if they traded down a little and got an extra 2nd round pick or a 3rd that they package with their other 3rd to move up into the 2nd. Plenty of talent projected to go in the 2nd at positions of need: CB: Barron, Amos, Porter WR: Bech, Higgins, Harris Edge: Jackson, Scourton, Tuimoloau, Burch, Ivey DL: Harmon, Walker OL: Milum, Jackson
  11. During the regular season the Packers had more sacks than the Eagles (45 to 41), more knockdowns (43 to 41), and more pressures (143, 22.1% vs 111, 17.9%) against a similar strength of schedule (3rd for Packers, 5th for Eagles). I wouldn't turn down Garrett if the price is right, but I wouldn't give up the future for him either based on one game against a non-common opponent. Packers don't need to beat the Chiefs to get to the Super Bowl, they need to beat the Eagles. And with Hurts, you need to keep him in the pocket which means staying in your rush lanes which means sacrificing some of your pass rush. Otherwise, you give him a running lane and he's running for more yards than Barkley.
  12. Other than not having MLB Network, I like it. Has everything else for sports. Cost is about $80/mo including taxes.
  13. I'm at peace with losing to the Super Bowl champs. And holding them to the fewest yards and points of any team in the playoffs, including a gift short-field TD courtesy of the refs. Arguably you could say that the Packers looked the best against them of any team the Eagles played.
  14. If you look at the top four scorers in the league: SG-A (#11 overall) Giannis (#15 overall) Jokic (2nd round) Maxey (#21 overall) Add to Jalen Brunson (2nd) and most of the top MVP candidates this season could have been had or are very close to that 15-20+ range.
  15. All they need to do is make it a 2nd that upgrades to a 1st if the team has more than X number of wins (say, 7), that should make it a first but not if it's a top-10-ish, which is usually teams with 6 or fewer wins. That condition makes it very likely that it's a first, but should protect it from being a top-10 pick. If a team is really good, it's likely that they will be good the next year as well which almost guarantees a first. My point stands though, you should never, ever trade an unconditional future 1st.
  16. Among 315 players who have played at least 30 games this season, Kuzma has the 294th lowest effective FG% against him and Porter has the 305th lowest. Guys they guard aren't shooting well against them this year.
  17. ESPN says Beauchamp was traded for Kevin Porter Jr.. Porter missed 23-24 but in 22-23 averaged over 19ppg for HOU. Also saying Baldwin and cash to the Spurs.
  18. ESPN has it as adding two void years to the end of the contract, going from two void years to four void years. The second void year has a cap hit of $9M, so assuming the two additional void years are similar that creates $18M in cap space. Watson restructured his contract before last season that created $40M+ in carryover cap to this season. Spotrac and OTC both account for that carryover in their calculations of the Browns being over the cap. OTC has the Browns with $353M in cap liabilities with a top 51 of $304M and $40M of carryover dead cap. Spotrac has $275M in league cap plus $42M in cap rollover (from Watson's restructure before the season) for an adjusted cap of $317M with an active roster of $311M and $40M in dead cap. Their top 51 is $344M for a net of -27.5M before accounting for draft picks. Assuming the two void years create $18M in cap space, they're almost $10M over, not accounting for draft picks.
  19. Would love to see pictures of that
  20. ESPN Research has opponents shooting 42.7% against Kuzma, which ranks in the 25 lowest shooting % against among players with at least 250 shots attempted against. Not sure if that's consistent with his career, but opponents who Kuzma is guarding don't have a high shooting % this season.
  21. It is a small part. Labor and land are the biggest costs, accounting for 2/3rds of the cost of building (if you already own the land, that's a different story, but few people do). Materials is 1/3rd of the cost of a home, and then you have electrical, plumbing, HVAC, concrete foundation, roofing/shingles, siding/brick, drywall, fixtures, insulation, driveway, appliances, etc., in addition to lumber in the materials component. Per the article, lumber is 30% of materials cost, which is 1/3rd of the cost of the home, which means that lumber is 10% of the cost of building an average home. Which means that if lumber goes up 25% due to tariffs, then the cost of building a home goes up 2.5%. Not a significant impact. I didn't say it was an insignificant cost, just a small cost relative to the total cost of the home. I'd be willing to bet that if you're spending $200K on lumber... you're building one helluva house that not many people can afford, or you're building a log home (which also few people can afford). And new homes represent a small part of the housing market. A vast majority is existing homes. That's why I said that it isn't going to have a significant impact on shelter costs in the CPI. Most of the money spent on existing homes is on labor to repair things; materials is a much smaller cost.
  22. Lopez is a UFA after the season. Spotrac has the Bucks at $25M under the 2nd apron and $14M under the 1st apron next season.
  23. Except that it is very unlikely that the Browns will be able to trade him, much less want to trade him. OTC already has the Browns at -$38M effective cap space. Looking at their contracts, almost all of the big ones have negative dead cap if they trade or cut them. They are going to have to do some serious cap gymnastics just to get under the cap by mid-March, much less absorb another -$16.5M in dead cap by trading Garrett. That being said, they do have one guy who can provide them some cap relief - CB Greg Newsome II. One year left, guaranteed $13M salary, no dead cap, and the Packers need CB. Since he only has one year left on his contract he should be able to be had for a 3rd at most, and they should be able to recoup that with at worst a 4th round comp pick if he leaves after the season.
  24. Never, ever, ever, ever give up a future 1st unless it you can top-10 protect it. Ever. All it takes is a rash of injuries to your star players and a little bit of bad luck on the field and you're handing over a top-5 pick.
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