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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    I dont think starting a reliever forces an opposing manager to shift his lineup at all...and most teams have a combo of right and lefty hitters through the first few batters amongst their best hitters, which negates a platoon advantage that could be gained by opening the inning with a reliever. In this scenario, what happens when a reliever opening a game struggles? Are the presumed starters warming up early enough to get brought in quickly, or do they need to burn a 2nd pen arm to try and escape a jam? This could just as easily lead to burning a bullpen up quickly for a game, and if it's tight in the late innings forcing managers to leave guys in too long or not play matchups due to lack of options. I get that in theory it seems like it should work, but two romo appearances against a righty heavy angels lineup in mid may isn't the definitive proof that's where baseball is headed. I also think the presumed advantage of knowing an opposing lineup and then starting a game with a reliever based on the best matchup will be nipped in the bud - I think once lineups are posted, if a player or pitcher gets scratched before gametime they are done. Romo was basically the announced starter because they knew the Angels really didn't have LH options to put at the top of the order. Since ohtani wasn't going to be in the lineup sat or sun due to his pitching schedule, the angels had only valbuena and Calhoun as lh options on their whole roster, neither of which is an everyday option anywhere near the top of the lineup.
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    The Brewers' staff isn't set up that well for them to want to attempt this - Tampa has the "luxury" of tinkering because they are pretty much going with 4 starters and a bullpen mob day as their 5th starter all season. The Brewers, when and if they all get healthy, have a pile of mid to back of rotation starters that can't all be on the MLB roster at once. Instead of opening games with one of their late inning relief options, I could see the Brewers trying a few piggy back-type games - especially after rosters can expand in September and the Brewers could have the luxury of running a ton of MLB-capable arms into games.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    Ho hum, another brewer w...this pitching staff is something that isn't getting enough pub despite some recent articles about Hader's exploits
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    Its not about avoiding injury, it's about trying to give away as few outs as possible, particularly late in a close game. If a ph finds a way to get on base in the pitchers spot the top of the order comes up with men on, regardless of how many outs there are.
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    Zero guarantee that Machado continues anywhere near his offensive production that he has put up so far this year. He's never hit like this before. The same can be said of a whole lot of hitters during their free agent year - it would be just as foolish to plan on Machado cratering during the 2nd half of the year to balance his production back to pre-2018 levels than it would be to expect him to improve on what are MVP-level offensive numbers so far this year. Extremely talented players tend to find a few otherwordly seasons of production during their careers that outpace even their career averages. If Machado is still raking a few weeks from now and healthy, the Brewers' reasoning for not going after him via trade better not be "because career stats projected Machado to tank"....the asking price will probably be pretty high since he's essentially a SS version of CC Sabathia 2008 - a 2-3 month rental that could flat-out carry a team to the postseason if he's healthy and having a good year for his standards.
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    I agree with your post. Just had to chuckle at the "loud out" that got the guys to 2nd and 3rd. That was the least loud out ever. lol - yep I messed that part of my sequence up...I was at the game yesterday and apparently replaced the dribbler to third with one of the deep flies to Cain and Perez earlier in that game in my mind.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    Bandy is the biggest roster hole currently, and something needs to happen. They have internal options to replace him and improve their backup C position - or they could drastically upgrade their C position and make a trade for a better starting C option than Pina and shift Pina into that backup role. If that were to happen, I'd like to see something like a 60/40 split in starts between the new C and Pina, with either getting ample PH opportunities depending on game situations. As they are currently going with trying to limit an overmatched Bandy to 1 or maybe 2 starts a week, Pina will burn out.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    What made that 8th inning blow up yesterday was the pitch early in the count to logan's 1st hitter that squirted past Bandy and got williams' leadoff walk to 2nd with no outs. That led to Logan nibbling the rest of that AB and walking another guy, then getting a loud out to move the runners to 2nd and 3rd. An IBB to bring another lefty to the plate that logan can't get out. It's been posted before, but williams' erratic control and logan's struggles led to the last two losses. I don't get opening the 8th with Williams after he already gave them a solid inning instead of just giving Albers the 8th. CC must have been dead set on logan facing the lefties and kept Williams in so as not to burn Albers after 1 hitter - he shouldn't be considering logan a LOOGY right now. Sprinkle in watching Bandy not being good at catching and striking out in a few key spots yesterday and the weak links of the current roster cost the brewers dearly.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    Don't forget guys like Baez, Schwarber, hendricks, and Russell start seeing big pay bumps via arbitration the next few seasons, too. Unless the cubs don't care at all about the luxury tax, they'd be hard pressed to give machado what he wants in free agency.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    I think this thread title may need some revision to "fixing C/backup C"...
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    Fangraphs had the 2017 brewers pegged for 73 wins, so an 83 win projection means they'll wind up with what, 96-97 this year based on the ~13 win anti-brewer bias their fake stats projections include? There, now fangraphs can stay in the optimism thread!
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    I'm ticked Hader is unavailable tomorrow,since I'm going to the game...aside from that selfishness, this has been a fantastic road trip at a time when many thought they were going to get slapped back to reality a bit. This is a pretty damn deep team that's good at baseball, and they actually can beat teams alot of different ways
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    Easy for him to say right now, considering he has nothing of premium value in the minor leagues left. The cubs would have to part ways with 1-2 of their young mlb players (Russell + almora perhaps?) to put together a package I'd want in return for machado.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    Ray's 2016 was 60 games right after he was drafted, basically all at A+ Brevard County - which was notoriously a hitter's black hole. The fact he OPS-d near 0.700 in that league to open his professional career shouldn't be a huge negative. He wasn't afforded extended time at Helena or low A for a few months, or even a milb spring training to get comfortable. Then in fall instructional league 2016 Ray injured his knee and had surgery, which prevented him from having an offseason to really develop more aside from rehabbing his knee. He played all of last year in the high A Carolina league and results weren't good for a touted prospect. He showed some flashes in last year's AZ fall league, particularly towards the end. Having the full offseason this past winter to work on his craft instead of rehabbing an injury appears to have paid off - AA is a good level for him to be performing well at, he's still young for that league and a solid season there should re-establish him as a quality prospect.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    My hope is this 10-day stint gets Braun healthy enough to serve as the everyday DH by the time the next pair of road series in AL parks happens to start off June. And hopefully the consistent playing time Santana gets now will really get that bat going - to the point that when Braun returns it's a bit lower in the order as the #5 hitter.
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    Cubs-Braves game last night postponed and rescheduled for August 30, one of the few remaining Cub offdays down the stretch. They catch a small break now by not needing to find a spot starter for a doubleheader Saturday in Cincy due to the rainout, but their schedule after the AS Break is brutal in terms of limited time off. Following the break they get 12 games in 11 days (DH against the Cards), then their 1 July off day. They'll have two off days surrounding a series against Washington in mid August, then a third August off day just 6 games later. After that stretch, they'll have 23 consecutive days with a game, including an 11 game, 4 city road trip (includes 3 against Milwaukee) and ending with a 3 game home set against the Brewers. 2 more offdays in mid september will then lead to 10 straight games to wrap up the season. That's only 6 offdays over 2.5 months of baseball. For comparison, the Brewers have 9 even though they open the 2nd half with 17 straight days of games - 9 offdays between Aug 6 and the end of the season - and no scheduled doubleheaders. September callups may provide some relief during this stretch, but the Cubs' problem is they really don't have any September callups that'd be worth a damn. Conversely, imagine what an expanded September roster could look like for the Brewers with all the starting pitcher and pH options who have already figured prominently in the majors this season, not to mention guys like Burnes.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    Ray is decent in center defensively - scouts still question whether he'll be able to stick there as a full time starter in MLB. He'd be a plus defender in left, and his arm is good enough to play RF but his offensive profile would be an ideal fit to stay in center and put corner OF's with more power around him. If he keeps developing he could be a very solid 4th OF as early as next year, but I think he's talented enough to profile as an everyday CF or LF. Tricky part is the MLB OF's in front of him at those positions for the Brewers. With Brinson hitting 0.171 and showing the same issues at the plate he did during his cup of coffee in Milwaukee last season and Harrison scuffling thus far in AA, Ray actually compares favorably to those two and could easily wind up having the best MLB career of the 3. The fact that's even a possibility compared to what perceptions of these players were following last season shows how much Ray has rebounded this season in AA.
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    Villar has had 3 straight games of great ABs...and it dates back even further than that in the midst of him basically being the odd man out 1-2 weeks ago. he took an o-fer last night but probably should have walked at least twice. He's seeing the ball very well. Saladino's just fine in the role of the utility IF/Jack of all trades to provide the occasional spot start - basically he's a RH hitting Sogard with better defense. As long as he doesn't suddenly shift into the 2018 Sogard role of starting about 4 times a game or becoming an everyday option at 2nd or SS, I'm happy.
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    Saladino right back there with Domingo in the HR dept and to dead center...wow!
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    What is it about Jared Dyson that causes Woodruff to pitch him like he's Bryce Harper?
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    For Woodruff, it's all about command - he's struggling to locate his FB early in counts, either missing badly outside the zone or missing a corner and serving it to good hitters on a tee. The more significant command issue is with his slider - he is struggling to get it anywhere near the zone without absolutely hanging it, so hitters don't even need to worry about it and sit on his FB all day long. The stuff is there - he's got to command it better.
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    And Domingo tired of being tied with Saladino in the HR department!
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    1st inning runs are always nice...
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    Ray is going to wind up back on the top 100 prospect radar midseason - I'd just as soon keep him at AA for the entire season, as it's probably a better spot for him to continue developing offensively than CO Springs.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    What they really need is for Thames to get back into this lineup, giving a better 1B platoon option and providing more LH power with a good approach at the plate - regardless of whether the RH side is Aguilar or Braun.
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