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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    Since Bosch is apparently a guy who provided or consulted on PED's for numerous major league players that had ties to the Miami area, it's plausible Braun viewed him as a guy that could consult about the things he mentioned in his statement. Usually in these circumstances, there's fire where there's smoke, though. Braun will have to show financial statements proving his story, otherwise nobody's going to believe him, including most Brewer fans. However, with how Arod and Cabrera's names have been out there from the start being linked to PED's, if Braun fell in that same category you would think his name would have been front and center as well. That's the thing that makes his side of the story believeable.
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    Maybe I read wrong, but I think "The Braun advantage" comment was from a correspondence about Melky's appeal chances. Since Braun had won his appeal I think the note insinuated Cabrera may try using a similar defense.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    couldn't have happened to a better person, if you ask me. When healthy, he was one of the best pitchers in baseball. Whether he was healthy or not, he was always one of the game's biggest hypocrites - that came with wearing the Cardinal uni while LaRussa was managing though, so I'm not sure how much to hold that against him.
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    This offseason is mostly about getting payroll flexibility, something they haven't had the past two seasons. Bingo - I see 2013 as the season that tells Brewer management what direction they need to take. If the young pitching falls on its face and they're out of contention, they have alot of tradeable pieces that contending teams would want - adding top tier prospects would be very doable at the deadline. If the Brewers are in contention, they'll have enough payroll and pieces themselves to add to the big league roster via trade. Looking at the division, the Astros are gone, which gives the crew more games against better opponents (although the Astros are going to be rapidly improving 2-3 seasons from now), but that can be said of all the remaining NL Central teams. The Reds and Cardinals are better positioned to contend than the Brewers, but not by leaps and bounds - The fact is the Brewers are in the one division where there isn't a large market team going crazy with payroll, which gives them a better chance to contend.
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    Ennd, Other than Jackson, all of those deals to me look like stopgap signings to field a somewhat competitive team, and many of them could probably land minor league filler/prospects at the trade deadline - you see plenty of players of that caliber traded during the season to contending teams looking to improve their bench/pitching staff if there is a marginal hole to fill or injury to overcome. I think Theo's using veteran free agency as another route to restock a once porous minor league system, and the Cubs can afford adding some payroll while they wait for prospects to develop since they're in a large market.
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    No... The talent they're developing in the minor leagues is several years away from making a big league impact. They aren't close to being contenders, but they will probably be much more competitive early in the season. I think many of their offseason FA signings are going to be used to flip for prospects at the trade deadline, especially from a pitching standpoint. I see Edwin Jackson as the only guy they've signed that they would want to keep longterm.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    If Edwin Jackson is a team's #2 pitcher, they're not going to the playoffs. To me this signing fits in with other free agent pitching deals the Cubs made last year or this offseason. They signed Maholm and flipped him for prospects at the trade deadline last season, and I can see them doing something similar with both Baker and Villenueva. Jackson's still young enough for the Cubs to hold onto him for the length of his deal, where he could contribute to a staff on their next contending team (probably a few seasons away assuming some of their young talent develops fast in the minors). Or, he'd be a good trade chip for a deadline deal in 2014.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    Gorzelanny is a very good fit for the crew - if some of the young starting pitching falls flat, he can be used as a starter, and he projects well as a LH reliever that can be more than a LOOGY in the pen.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    The key for the Brewers is to keep roster flexibility as much as possible - be able to add a piece or make roster changes without worrying about payroll significance. Had the Brewers already signed a FA pitcher for the money the ones who've signed have commanded, the Brewers would have found themselves with no room to add other pieces in trades that would add payroll. The current roster, as constructed, has several positions that the Brewers could trade from in order to acquire pitching. I'd argue their offense is more than good enough to contend, and their defense is better than it's been previously. The glut of OF/corner IF players on the Brewer 40-man along with a pile of young pitching could be used by Melvin to add quality relief or a veteran starting pitcher to improve the roster. That's how Melvin needs to improve this Brewers team, and he's needed to wait for the FA dominos to start falling before getting started with trades.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    Sounding like the Tigers re-upped to 5 yrs 80 million and have signed Sanchez. Sanchez's home pitchers parks throughout his entire career have been extremely pitcher-friendly. I think the Tigers were a much better fit than Wrigley Field for him.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    Gallardo >> Sanchez, in my opinion, so yeah, I'd extend Gallardo at that price in a heartbeat if he was foolish enough to accept it. Doesn't Sanchez already have a surgically repaired labrum? The 15 million per year I can understand because that seems to be the going rate for pitchers of his caliber, but the length of the contract is the issue I have. He's a good starting pitcher, but I wouldn't want to hitch my wagon to him for half a decade's worth of guaranteed money. Free agency has officially entered silly season, IMO. Big market teams are completely blowing small and mid market teams out of the water, even moreso than prior offseasons.
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    75 million and FIVE years for Sanchez?? C'mon man! Whether it's the Tigers or Cubs, that's silly
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    It's a salary cap, but it's not a hard cap - teams that don't care what their payroll is have no problem shelling out the current luxury tax penalties for going over it with their TV money. As long as the revenue streams that come with being in a large market dwarf those penalties, the cap penalties don't matter to the big market teams. Either that salary cap needs to become a hard cap, or the penalties need to have more teeth in order to improve financial competitive balance among large and small market teams. I think there are already luxury tax escalators for teams that are always over the cap, but I would make them even more harsh. 1st year over the cap - 25 million penalty paid to revenue sharing pool shared by teams not over the cap. 2nd consecutive year over - 50 million penalty. 3rd straight year - 100 million penalty. 4th year - 200 million. Still gives teams the option to blow through their huge revenue, but eventually poor roster management and escalating payrolls would cause even the biggest fish to become cash-strapped and have to contribute huge dollars to revenue sharing.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    I wouldn't be surprised if he figures it out and has a successful career, he'll get plenty of opportunity because he's a LHP with good stuff. I also wouldn't be surprised if he spends the next 4 seasons on 5 different MLB rosters just because he's a LHP with good stuff, but he'll never be able to command it at the big league level to sustain success. Regardless of whether Parra does ultimately harness his potential and succeed elsewhere, I for one am glad it will be elsewhere so his spot in the Brewers' pitching staff can be filled by someone that hasn't had upteen chances to earn it.
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    Bonds was a HOFer before he got pissed that McGwuire and Sosa got roided up to inflate their stats and started using himself. McGwuire and Sosa have HOF numbers because they used PEDs. Bonds wouldn't have ended up with the HR totals he did without using, but he still would have finished his career with 1st ballot HOF numbers had he stayed clean. Ender, that's the joke of HOF voting during this era - there was no testing program in place and because of it we only know a few prominent stars who used (or have a strong suspicion of using). I'd argue that there were probably more players on something during this entire era that weren't before the drug testing program started having some teeth to it. Because of that I'd be more inclined to judge players' merits based on how they stacked up to their peers within this era, not by comparing their #'s to HOFers from different eras. Guys like Bonds and Clemens are more than deserving of being in the HOF based on that criterion, whether they're cheaters or not. The problem with HOF voting for this era for me is that many of the same writers who will undoubtedly not vote these players in claiming righteous indignation are the same ones who glorified the summer of McGwuire and Sosa's home run chase. The writers were among the group of people who simply looked the other way when it was all too obvious something unnatural was going on throughout baseball during this era.
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    Biggio gets in sooner than he otherwise would because other players were more obviously involved in PEDs...but guys like him and Bagwell pose another interesting question - what sort of fallout will come with players whose primes happened during the steroid era that weren't directly implicated with taking? There are going to be questions for all these players since there wasn't a testing program in place during their best seasons. Do the statistical requirements simply get inflated for these sort of players? Based on stats alone, players like Biggio and Bagwell would be first ballot, no doubt HOFers had they put their career stats up in different eras.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    yeah, sexson basically check-swinged his shoulder out of its socket and was never the same player afterwards. Hart has had mainly leg/knee issues, correct? Seems like moving him to first base and out of the outfield would only help things, right. I'm good with adding a couple more years to his deal, but by no means should it break the bank or extend him into his late 30's...
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    So the haul of exceptional minor league talent the Royals got from the Brewers for Greinke lost a bit of its luster...the centerpiece for the Royals needs to be Jake O. developing into a #2-type starting pitcher, otherwise it looks more and more like what the Indians got for CC (quantity with limited quality). All in all, here's where the Brewers stand two offseasons after this trade: Dealt a young & projectable SS prospect, serviceable CF prospect, flamethrowing relief prospect, and pitching prospect with big upside to the Royals for Greinke and Yuni B. Brewers make playoffs in 2011, miss playoffs in 2012, but deal Greinke to the Angels for a young & projectable SS, a hard throwing relief pitching prospect, and a high minors pitching prospect with alot of upside (risk/reward type, though). And, if they want Jeffress back in the fold they can pick him up off the scrap heap. Plus, they have an outside chance at resigning Greinke. Whether Greinke's back or not, I'd say Doug made out just fine on that Greinke deal...
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    if the brewers are willing to throw the kind of $ it would take to bring Hamilton in around this offseason, I'd much rather them go after Greinke. that said, a Brewers lineup that included Hamilton and was able to platoon Aoki and Gomez in CF would be just awesome in 2013...I don't think Hamilton is going to be able to play at a high level long enough to justify throwing all sorts of money at him over the long term.
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    Ramirez is no spring chicken - injury questions won't ever go away for veteran players...I'd argue that Braun has just as many injury questions as Ramirez but I'm willing to accept a near triple crown season from him. By all accounts Ramirez had a bounce-back season in Milwaukee even though he was never terrible as a Cub. The Brewers do need to have a viable option to back in up at 3B next season so he can continue getting days off to keep him from breaking down.
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    32, Cabrera, and final results of the voting won't be as close as they should because Miggy carried the Tigers to the playoffs despite the Angels winning one more game this year. I don't think people are blaming Trout for not playing the first 23 games of the major league season and counting that against him as a player, just for the MVP award. The MVP award is for the most valuable player in the league during the entire season, and games played should play a role. Blame the Angels for being dumb enough to keep a 10+ WAR player in the minors for more than 10% of their season and miss out on the playoffs by a few games. I posted earlier in this thread, if either of Cabrera's or Trout's seasons happened in either league during any given season, they win the MVP every time. The fact they both play in the AL means one of them doesn't get the award.
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    I agree with Ennder - and it's not about saying that the Brewers should trade Braun. All he was saying is that the Brewers need to continue to try contending every year during Braun's prime years, because he's so good at baseball. Right now Braun's contract is great for a small market team, and it allows them extra flexibility to bring in other pieces to improve the team around its best player. The Brewers do need to continue drafting and developing talent (especially pitching) to remain competitive at their payroll, but having a player of Braun's caliber on the team gives them good reason to avoid a total firesale and waste his prime years while rebuilding the roster. Braun becomes a tradeable piece to the Brewers at the tail end of his contract if the team needs to make a firesale to improve as an organization - right now he's probably one of the mose irreplaceable players in all of baseball when considering his production and his contract. If the Brewers manage their organization properly, they never get to that point.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    During the month of September, Cabrera slugged .654, had an OPS of 1.032, with 10HR and 27 RBI. Trout slugged .455, had an OPS of .836, with 6 HR, 6 RBI, and 6 SB. Trout scored 21 runs in September, Cabrera scored 22. Cabrera's OPS, month-by-month: Apr - 0.940 May- 0.839 Jun - 0.990 Jul - 1.086 Aug - 1.092 Sept - 1.032 Trout's OPS, month-by-month: May - 0.941 Jun - 0.950 Jul - 1.259 Aug - 0.866 Sept - 0.836 Two things stand out when looking at the OPS splits - first being Trout's incredible July, the second being Cabrera's incredible 2nd half. Unfortunately for Trout's MVP candidacy, the combination of Cabrera winning the triple crown and posting an OPS over 1.000 for each of the final 3 months of the season while Trout's declined is going to resonate. Edit: I don't have defensive or counting WAR stats in front of me, if someone could cite a source or show those, I think it would be interesting to see how much Trout and Cabrera's WAR values came from offense/defense. One would assume that Cabrera's value was almost entirely offense-related, while Trout may have shown closer to an equal value between offense and defense.
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    The fact Trout almost led the league in all 3 of those categories you mentioned without playing a full season in MLB is all the more impressive. I'm with you on the Matt Ryan b.s., too. Seems like every year is the year he's going to break through and be the elite qb that the talking heads think he is - then the playoffs start and his team's only score is a safety. The end of that Panthers game I was waiting for the db to 'Tramon Williams' him and jump one of those last two out routes, but apparently the cornerback decided to give the WR a 15 yard cushion.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    So, for team stats, the Angels lead the majors in WAR at 38.0 (Brewers are 2nd at 35.2, by the way). Mike Trout's insanely high WAR makes up 27% of his team's value above replacement level. Conversely, the Tigers have the 18th highest team WAR at 21.1. Miggy Cabrera's WAR makes up 35% of his team's value above replacement level. Trout's season is absolutely historic, but he wasn't as valuable to his team as Cabrera. Without Trout's contribution, the Angels would remain in MLB's top 10 WAR/$ value teams. Take Cabrera's contribution off the Tigers and they drop below the Cubs in WAR/$ value with the dregs of MLB. Antiquated stats or not, nobody's won the triple crown in MLB for 45 years. Cabrera's team also made the playoffs. He's the MVP, even though there's no arguing that Trout is deserving of MVP consideration in every way. Either one of their seasons wins MVP in either league 99% of the time every single year, and I hope that is understood by everyone regardless of opinions for this year's AL MVP award.
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