Fans have the luxury of only caring about what has already happened. The powers that be have to estimate who are the best players available at any given moment throughout the entire season. Sometimes the results perfectly reflect that, sometimes they sort of do and sometimes they don't at all. I understand that. I put great value in the predictive stats. I honestly do. I'm simply implicating that at some point whether it's talent or luck, you have to look at a 15-24 record and say "crap's not going right" Let me put it another way, because, as you say, I'm a fan only, with the luxury of result being my only concern. IF I were DM, would I bail on Davis? Absolutely not. But at some point, the results truly are what matters. The results sell season tickets. The results are what show up in the standings page. I don't think anyone sits back at the end of the season and calls it a 'success' because the peripheral stats indicate we SHOULD have had a good year, but lost 90 games anyways. It's like if I'm sitting outside and it's 58 degrees. I SHOULD be cold, but it's been really cool the last week, and 58 feels nice today. The result, the temperature is comfortable, despite what the numbers without context would indicate. In the case of Doug Davis or Trevor Hoffman, I'm not overly concerned about what the stats indicate for future predictability. They're neither one of them long term pieces of the puzzle here. At 15-24, unless something major changes, this team can't and won't contend this year. Not that too many people thought they would, but I also don't think it's unreasonable to think this team could have been .500, which is a handful of LUCKY plays from being in a playoff race. Heck, if Hoffman is even an average reliever, and blows 2 of his 10 save attempts, they're 18-21, and mass panic probably wouldn't be the rule of the day.