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DuWayne Steurer

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Everything posted by DuWayne Steurer

  1. DuWayne Steurer
    What a joke. It's fast becoming the Hall of Very Good players.
  2. DuWayne Steurer
    Puckett had a higher OPS for his career (.837 to .830), a higher batting average, and more hits. While playing good defense at a premium position, while Mattingly's numbers for most of his career were more or less league average for a 1st baseman.
  3. DuWayne Steurer
    A career .830 OPS first baseman who didn't compile GREAT counting stats isn't going to make it in. Less than 250 homers, less than 1,100 RBI, less than 2,300 hits. Just doesn't make the grade. Not even really close, at least in my opinion. For point of reference, his 'most similar' on baseball reference is Cecil Cooper, and I don't see anyone clamoring for him to get in.
  4. DuWayne Steurer
    The big difference between Puckett, Koufax, and then Dawson is that injuries forced Puckett and Koufax out of the game. Injuries made Dawson average to mediocre for the latter half of his career, but they didn't force him out at a young age.
  5. DuWayne Steurer
    Raines. Blyleven. Alomar. Larkin. McGwire. Dawson.........I have to say no. I thought Jim Rice was a stretch, and Dawson wasn't as good as Jim Rice.
  6. DuWayne Steurer
    When I left for work this morning at about 4:30 am, EVERYTHING in Janesville was covered with about a 1/2" glaze. The trees looked awesome, but I'm concerned when I get home this afternoon, I'm going to be short a few more trees than I was yesterday. Drive to Madison was slow, slow going. About 35 mph up the interstate was all most people were daring to go at that time of the morning. Hopefully the drive home this afternoon is a little more smooth sailing.
  7. DuWayne Steurer
    Russ, I'm smellin' what you're cookin here, believe me. I'm not arguing the point you're trying to make. I guess I'm saying if the guy was going to do a study, he should have/could have went all the way with it. There's too much contextual data that was left out, *in my opinion*. I'm not saying at all that the addition of that contextual data would push luck out of the equation, not at all. I'm saying the data that he left out has meaning, that's all. We're on the same page as far as what the data means, I just think there could have been more of it. You're saying potato and I'm saying potahto, and I think we can leave it at that.
  8. DuWayne Steurer
    Yeah, I worded that poorly. Obviously velocity and break are indicators of physical ability. You can't teach someone to throw 98 mph. They either can, or they can't. I think luck is involved to some degree, but there's variances here that aren't being taken into context. Why is Trevor Hoffman's changeup so good, while other's are mediocre with it? Is it because his release point, arm angle, etc, are all the same as his fastball, while other's have difficulty throwing off speed with the same body motion as their fastball? I'd have to say it's at least worth considering. That again is something that isn't being brought up here. Again, I'm not trying to be dismissive of the subject material, it's interesting to be sure. It just seems like the author is ignoring a lot of contextual information and just randomly calling it 'luck'.
  9. DuWayne Steurer
    Context is everything here. A 3-1 curveball in the dirt is a bad pitch. An 0-2 curveball in the same location is most likely a good pitch. Just taking a pitch without context and looking at the break, velocity, and location tells us nothing. Consider what the pitcher is trying to accomplish on that pitch, because it's not as simple as saying, 'well obviously it's to get the batter to swing and miss'. What was the pitch location in relation to the targeted delivery spot? What was the pitch location in relation to the current batter's strong or weak areas of the strike zone? I'm not trying to dismiss the author's intent here, I'm simply saying there's a lot of context into each and every pitch that has to be considered, not just the measurable data such as location, break, and velocity. I do think to some degree, a reasonable baseball fan can, with context, judge weather most pitches are 'good' or not. I know if Yo fires a 2-0 fastball right down the middle and the batter swings and misses, I don't say 'great pitch!' just because the batter missed. I'm sure most others don't either.
  10. DuWayne Steurer
    Obviously, but the point is that now we know there was interest from at least one team in giving Cameron a multi-year deal, and I don't think Cameron would turn such a deal down in favor a one-year contract with the Brewers, even though he would have earned more in that one year than he would in the first year of this Boston contract. Cameron knows how old he is, and that makes the second guaranteed year very important. Had we offered him arby or negotiated an extension with him this might have never gotten to the point where other teams would have had a chance to get interested in him.
  11. DuWayne Steurer
    Gomez' UZR/150 was only .3 higher than Cam's last year. Now it's obvious that Cam can be counted on to regress slightly, but how much, in all honesty? Cam was +10 defensively last year, is +5 still realistic? I think it is. There's no way Gomez's bat covers even a portion of the difference. Keep in mind Gomez was -14.9 based on wOBA in less than 350 plate appearances. I surely hope he doesn't get even that many if he's that bad again this year.
  12. DuWayne Steurer
    At that price, I sure wish Melvin would have found a way to keep him.
  13. DuWayne Steurer
    We had a bonfire in our back yard that night and listened to the game. When Weeks hit the three run bomb I ran a lap around the entire house yelling "WE'RE GOING TO THE *expletive* PLAYOFFS!!!" over and over.
  14. DuWayne Steurer
    Yeah, Junction Road north of Mineral Point is an utter and complete disaster.
  15. DuWayne Steurer
    He's expendable at this point. It's cool that he had nice things to say about the org, city, and fans, but it looks like the bullpen is pretty well set at this point.
  16. DuWayne Steurer
    I've worked in Milwaukee, Racine, Kenosha, Janesville, and Madison, and none of these cities are even CLOSE to how terrible it is to drive in Madison after snow. Weather absolutely WRECKS the transportation in this city, and frankly, it's pathetic. Left my office on the west side at 3 today, made it to the beltline at 3:25 (4 blocks, yup), and got all the way out to I-90 about 4 pm. From there to Janesville was 30 minutes, and that's 3 times the distance.
  17. DuWayne Steurer
    I stop at the cheap scary motel. No question. After seeing my life flash before my eyes while spinning into a ditch yesterday morning, (through no fault of my own) I don't even have to think twice about this. I once did a straight-through from South Florida to Wisconsin with no co-pilot and no radio in my car. That was a LONG 25 hours. When I hit southern Illinois around 1 am, I was tempted badly to get a room, or at least crash at a rest area for a few hours, but I just wanted to get home. Of course, this was with good driving conditions, so that makes a big difference.
  18. DuWayne Steurer
    Good point slobberknocker. There've been more than just a handful of wild card teams that have won world series. Heck, the Cards got there (but lost) with an 83 win team. With short post season series in which anything can happen, the goal HAS to be to simply build a team to get to the playoffs. If you go by the law of averages, a team should win the WS once every 8 times they make the playoffs. Using only WS titles to measure how succesful a team has been is a poor way to judge the organizational philosophy for the team building process.
  19. DuWayne Steurer
    Seriously, why do people have to continually say Wolf is Suppan 2.0? Statistically, they're not even close to similar. Suppan has never had a season close to as good as the season Wolf had last year. Mabye it's an outlier, I can buy that, but it's a precedent that he has the ability to be above average. Suppan was average to mediocre his entire career before we signed him.
  20. DuWayne Steurer
    After shoveling and removing downed trees from my house, I had 2 grilled cheese sandwiches for lunch. But back to topic......here's what bugs me lately People who constantly whine and piss and moan on facebook about how much their life sucks. I had avoided this booming social phenomenon for as long as I could, until many friends and co-workers convinced me to sign up because of the huge group of people from work on it. From what I can tell, the main purpose of social networking sites is to have a forum to whine about....... 1.) how much your life sucks. 2.) the fact that you're currently bored (and believe me, I don't care) 3.) anything else that can give the person a reason to whine. That's not networking. That's lame.
  21. DuWayne Steurer
    I wish I knew how to post pics here, my back yard is amazing. There's almost no context to the pics because EVERYTHING is covered 100% in snow.
  22. DuWayne Steurer
    I'd rather see Melvin try and fail rather than do nothing, and still fail. Waiting for a future free agent class of pitchers that may not come to be is not what this team is currently in the mode to do.
  23. DuWayne Steurer
    Garland's K rate and K/BB rate are very suggestive that he is a similar pitcher to Jeff Suppan. That being said, he's a touch younger, and (I'd hope at least) significantly less expensive. I'd be ok with it, I wouldn't do cartwheels or anything.
  24. DuWayne Steurer
    I have lost another tree. This storm sucks. Sucks big time.
  25. DuWayne Steurer
    Most of the formulas I've ever seen say around 7 SB's create a run that otherwise would not have scored, and roughtly every 4 CS's cause you to lose a run that otherwise would have scored. Keeping in line with the 70% rule, you have to run a lot to create an amount of runs that will significantly impact your run potential. Granted, this doesn't have game specific context, but the premise holds true. If you're not succesful at bare minimum 70% of the time, there's no reason to do it at all.
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