At what point is the possibility of something infinitely small enough that arguing about it almost daily is unnecessarily repetetive? Right now the Reds division odds are 0.8% Yes, there is a "chance" they could win the division. It's less than one in one hundred. I mean, if someone really wants to break down each series, and the starters, and how much that increases the Reds odds of catching the Brewers, by all means, but at this point in the season, it's not 100%, but it's pretty darn close. I'm also going to add..... you don't have to convince anyone (that I know of) that the division is not yet technically clinched. There's a magic number thread standing at 23 (IIRC). But as has been pointed out multiple times, these kinds of things don't happen very often. Sure, teams in-season will blow a 10 game lead from time to time (even this year!!!) but nearing the end of the season, when talent levels normalize to a larger degree and rosters are (more or less) locked in, it just doesn't happen very often. Not "never", but not very often, hence the 99.1% division odds for the Brewers.