Harold Hutchison
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Everything posted by Harold Hutchison
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My thinking? Have Darrien Miller ready for a call-up. While he has never had the hype of Quero, he's got excellent OBP skills, bats left-handed, and would have option years. Deal Haase for some minor-league pitching help, add Miller to the 40-man after selecting his contract, then he can be optioned to Nashville when Sanchez is healthy.
- 19 replies
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- eric haase
- gary sanchez
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A little past the half-way point of the major league season is a good time to take a look for the future. In this case, which under-the-radar position-player prospects have earned a spot on the 40-man roster, protecting them from the Rule 5 draft or keeping them in the fold? Let’s face it, there are some players who are making a very compelling case for either immediate promotion, or a spot on the 40-man in the higher levels of the minors. Let’s take a look at five of these prospects. IF/OF Isaac Collins Collins was a waiver-wire pickup from the Colorado Rockies system in the 2022-2023 offseason. Since then, he posted an .855 OPS in the pitcher-friendly Southern League in 2023, and is posting a .905 OPS with Triple-A Nashville to date. His power has gone up a step (36 extra-base hits in 263 at-bats to date, compared to 25 in all of 2023), he’s also adding speed (16-for-20 in stolen base attempts), and his OBP skills are superb. In addition, he plays multiple infield and outfield positions. With this performance, he will be at or near the top of lists for teams to grab in the Rule 5 draft, which means the only return the Crew gets is $100,000 cash. That’s not a good return for what could be at minimum, a valuable bench asset. The Crew ought to make sure that doesn’t happen by putting him on the 40-man. He represents a clear upgrade over Vinny Capra or Oliver Dunn in terms of offense. UT Noah Campbell Campbell was signed as an undrafted free agent following the truncated MLB draft, but earlier had been picked by the Crew. He’s been a bit of a steal, providing all-over-the-diamond positional versatility (even collecting a save). His offensive profiles features the ability to get walks, some speed, and occasional power. That competent bat is not his biggest virtue. His biggest virtue is his defensive versatility, in which he can handle any position on the diamond – useful when a team had all of four bench spots. His ability to take the mound is another asset, giving the Crew someone for those “garbage time” outings. 1B/C/DH Wes Clarke Clarke is perhaps one of the Brewers biggest late-round steals in recent years. In 2023, all he did was outperform Jackson Chourio in home runs, doubles, walks, and OPS while splitting time between first base, catcher, and designated hitter. His three-true-outcomes bat (54 homers, 200 walks, and 349 strikeouts in 1003 professional at-bats as of July 4) might make for a useful complement to Tyler Black at first base. Clarke’s defensive abilities also should give him an edge. In 2023, he was Jeferson Quero’s primary backup at Double-A Biloxi and fulfilled the same role for Darrien Miller in Advanced-A Wisconsin. Come 2025, should the Crew go with William Contreras and Jeferson Quero in Milwaukee, it’s likely Contreras sees a lot of time at DH, and having a third catcher like Clarke could be a huge boost. 1B/OF Ernesto Martinez Martinez has had a long road to date in his professional career, and the Crew re-signed him when he reached minor-league free agency in the 2023-2024 offseason. That decision’s looked good as Martinez has held down first base for Double-A Biloxi. While injuries have delayed Martinez’s rise, he is still only 25, but the tools and past production point to an Eric Thames offensive with a couple of bonuses. One such bonus is speed – Martinez has posted excellent stolen-base numbers since the pandemic – 67 stolen bases in 81 attempts. He’s also flashed greater defensive versatility than Jake Bauers or Thames, by filling in at center field in 2024 (and 2021). If the Crew did decide to move some outfielders or a player like Tyler Black, Martinez is not a bad fallback option. C Darrien Miller While Jeferson Quero has generated the prospect accolades, Darrien Miller has quietly developed into at least a solid number two catcher, and he could be an excellent complement to Contreras and/or Quero. His left-handed bat has flashed power, but throughout his career, Miller has also displayed superb OBP skills (192 walks in 1134 professional at-bats as of July 4). He’s also willing to get on base the hard way (plunked 72 times in those 1134 pro at-bats). Miller is a potential minor-league free agent in the 2024-2025 offseason but will only be 24 in the 2025 season. Brewers Player Development named him their Player of the Month for June. He’s a clear candidate for a 40-man spot, if only to have a little offensive variety with his lefty bat and OBP skills. Overview When the Brewers look at the upcoming offseason, these are players they could very easily lose to the Rule 5 draft or free agency. The Crew has done well with some not-so-heralded pickups in the offseason, luring them with 40-man spots (see Blake Perkins), but it may be time to do the same with home-grown talent. View full article
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I'd work the deal a little differently, and use it to clear 40-man space, which the Crew will have to do: 3B Brock Wilken, CF Blake Perkins, RHP Carlos F. Rodriguez, and 1B Jake Bauers. Detroit gets upgrades at 1B (Bauers over Torkelson) and DH (Perkins bumps Greene to DH, displacing Canha). They also get a near-MLB-ready arm in Rodriguez and our 2023 1st-round pick.
- 18 replies
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- tarik skubal
- jacob misiorowski
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I'd go with a package of Blake Perkins and Elvis Peguero for Eovaldi. Gives the Rangers a CF upgrade - Crew gets a veteran ace for 2024-2025 to go with Peralta and maybe Woodruff, and they net a 40-man spot for DL Hall/Devin Williams.
- 11 replies
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- michael lorenzen
- nathan eovaldi
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Yes, they need help in their starting rotation. Yes, they acquired starting pitcher Aaron Civale from the Rays, but that cost the Crew Gregory Barrios, a shortstop posting solid offensive numbers with the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers at the Advanced-A level. This is not the best way to go about it – not for the team’s long-term future – although, given the injuries, it probably was necessary. That being said, the Brewers need to sell at the deadline—in 2024—while leading the division with what looks like one of the best offenses in the majors. Before the pitchforks come out, let’s explain why they need to sell. They have a significant roster crunch coming in the 2024-2025 offseason. Part of this is due to having seven pitchers on the 60-day injured list. Those don’t count against the 40-man roster limit… until the season ends. That’s if the pitchers don’t return, and at least two of the seven pitchers on the 60-day list, DL Hall and Devin Williams, are expected back sometime in July to bolster the staff, so that’s two 40-man spots the Crew has to open up in short order. That number goes to three if Joe Ross makes a return. Down the road, the math gets tougher, too. Even if you account for the free-agent departures of Wade Miley, Jakob Junis, and Ross after 2024, the Brewers still need to accommodate the returns of Brandon Woodruff, JB Bukauskas, and Robert Gasser to the 40-man at the end of the season, when the injured lists go away. This crunch comes before the Crew even gets to the prospects needing protection from the Rule 5 draft that must be added. So, the undeniable truth is that the Brewers will need to clear some roster space soon. The usual way to clear the space is to designate players for assignment, waive them, or non-tendering them after the season. However, that denies the team a return on some players who – as we are finding out in 2024 – could be valuable contributors to a major league team. The good news is they have some talent they can sell for prospects to bolster the farm system or for additional short-term help in the starting rotation. Let’s look over some of the potential assets they could move. RHPs Elvis Peguero and Joel Payamps Let’s face it: when Devin Williams returns, the bullpen will shift around a bit. Make that a lot since Jared Koenig and Enoli Paredes are on the 15-day injured list and could return by the end of July. Peguero and Payamps could very well end up at the back end of the bullpen, even though they have been quite capable. But a back-end-of-the-bullpen guy on the Brewers might be a late-inning option for at least half the teams in MLB. This is where the Crew starts looking to sell at the right price and situation for these two pitchers. Payamps has two years of team control – and Peguero has four. That could only help the Brewers re-stock. At the start of the season, I said they were trade chips and that calculus isn’t changing – it’s becoming more apparent. LHP Hoby Milner Milner has one year of team control beyond 2024, and between Jared Koenig, Bryan Hudson, and Rob Zastryzny, the Brewers have controllable lefty relief options. While dealing Milner might seem like the Crew is repeating the infamous Josh Hader deal of 2022, the circumstances are far different – Milner is not a generational talent who is a dominating closer. The return might not be Hader-esque, but the team has plenty of options already on the table. OF Blake Perkins Blake Perkins has been one of the big breakouts for the Crew in 2024, a hidden gem signed in the 2022-2023 offseason. That said, it’s clear he is perhaps the fifth-best outfielder on the Brewers, behind Christian Yelich, Garrett Mitchell, Jackson Chourio, and Sal Frelick. Perkins has made some excellent plays and improved his approach at the plate. That said, it’s about putting the best players on the field, and Perkins is clearly behind almost all of the outfielders on the 40-man. That said, it is also true that he is a fourth or fifth outfielder on the Brewers, but he could start for a few teams – and could be a major upgrade for the Angels or Blue Jays in center field. He’s good enough to fetch a substantial return with five years of team control past 2024. OF Joey Wiemer Wiemer has been in AAA trying to re-work his swing. To put it mildly, the results have been mixed with a call-up to Milwaukee disrupting things. That said, in 2023, he showed he had a defense and power mix that made him a solid reserve - or a fourth outfielder. 1B/OF Jake Bauers Bauers has been a solid left-handed complement to Rhys Hoskins in 2023, posting a .710 OPS as of July 4. That being said, it may be time to flip him. For starters, the Crew will need a place for Tyler Black to get regular at-bats over the short term, and first base could be as good a place as any. Plus, there is a chance that Rhys Hoskins will move on (he has an opt-out for 2025), and that would require the Crew to look at a longer-term option at first base and DH. Could Christian Yelich make the move? Will Tyler Black settle in? In either of those cases, Bauer is a redundancy, not a complement. If Hoskins returns, Black is a cheaper alternative with greater positional versatility. Either way, the fair thing to do is to find him an opportunity. What To Ask For? The Brewers will need to carefully calibrate their asking price. They will certainly want to get assets to assist in the future. Ideally, it would be minor-league players two years away from a Rule 5 decision. Or, they can package a couple of these players for a short-term rental – gaining a net 40-man space (think a Peguero/Janson Junk package to the Blue Jays for Yusei Kikuchi or Blake Perkins to the Angels for Joel Hurtado and Adrian Acosta). Overview The Brewers will need some 40-man roster spots by the end of the season – and a few more afterwards. It may be time for them to sell now to free up those spots while netting a significant return that could help the team now or down the road.
- 12 comments
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- elvis peguero
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As of July 4, the Milwaukee Brewers had a 52-35 record. They lead the focus of evil in the National League Central by seven games. Image courtesy of © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports Yes, they need help in their starting rotation. Yes, they acquired starting pitcher Aaron Civale from the Rays, but that cost the Crew Gregory Barrios, a shortstop posting solid offensive numbers with the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers at the Advanced-A level. This is not the best way to go about it – not for the team’s long-term future – although, given the injuries, it probably was necessary. That being said, the Brewers need to sell at the deadline—in 2024—while leading the division with what looks like one of the best offenses in the majors. Before the pitchforks come out, let’s explain why they need to sell. They have a significant roster crunch coming in the 2024-2025 offseason. Part of this is due to having seven pitchers on the 60-day injured list. Those don’t count against the 40-man roster limit… until the season ends. That’s if the pitchers don’t return, and at least two of the seven pitchers on the 60-day list, DL Hall and Devin Williams, are expected back sometime in July to bolster the staff, so that’s two 40-man spots the Crew has to open up in short order. That number goes to three if Joe Ross makes a return. Down the road, the math gets tougher, too. Even if you account for the free-agent departures of Wade Miley, Jakob Junis, and Ross after 2024, the Brewers still need to accommodate the returns of Brandon Woodruff, JB Bukauskas, and Robert Gasser to the 40-man at the end of the season, when the injured lists go away. This crunch comes before the Crew even gets to the prospects needing protection from the Rule 5 draft that must be added. So, the undeniable truth is that the Brewers will need to clear some roster space soon. The usual way to clear the space is to designate players for assignment, waive them, or non-tendering them after the season. However, that denies the team a return on some players who – as we are finding out in 2024 – could be valuable contributors to a major league team. The good news is they have some talent they can sell for prospects to bolster the farm system or for additional short-term help in the starting rotation. Let’s look over some of the potential assets they could move. RHPs Elvis Peguero and Joel Payamps Let’s face it: when Devin Williams returns, the bullpen will shift around a bit. Make that a lot since Jared Koenig and Enoli Paredes are on the 15-day injured list and could return by the end of July. Peguero and Payamps could very well end up at the back end of the bullpen, even though they have been quite capable. But a back-end-of-the-bullpen guy on the Brewers might be a late-inning option for at least half the teams in MLB. This is where the Crew starts looking to sell at the right price and situation for these two pitchers. Payamps has two years of team control – and Peguero has four. That could only help the Brewers re-stock. At the start of the season, I said they were trade chips and that calculus isn’t changing – it’s becoming more apparent. LHP Hoby Milner Milner has one year of team control beyond 2024, and between Jared Koenig, Bryan Hudson, and Rob Zastryzny, the Brewers have controllable lefty relief options. While dealing Milner might seem like the Crew is repeating the infamous Josh Hader deal of 2022, the circumstances are far different – Milner is not a generational talent who is a dominating closer. The return might not be Hader-esque, but the team has plenty of options already on the table. OF Blake Perkins Blake Perkins has been one of the big breakouts for the Crew in 2024, a hidden gem signed in the 2022-2023 offseason. That said, it’s clear he is perhaps the fifth-best outfielder on the Brewers, behind Christian Yelich, Garrett Mitchell, Jackson Chourio, and Sal Frelick. Perkins has made some excellent plays and improved his approach at the plate. That said, it’s about putting the best players on the field, and Perkins is clearly behind almost all of the outfielders on the 40-man. That said, it is also true that he is a fourth or fifth outfielder on the Brewers, but he could start for a few teams – and could be a major upgrade for the Angels or Blue Jays in center field. He’s good enough to fetch a substantial return with five years of team control past 2024. OF Joey Wiemer Wiemer has been in AAA trying to re-work his swing. To put it mildly, the results have been mixed with a call-up to Milwaukee disrupting things. That said, in 2023, he showed he had a defense and power mix that made him a solid reserve - or a fourth outfielder. 1B/OF Jake Bauers Bauers has been a solid left-handed complement to Rhys Hoskins in 2023, posting a .710 OPS as of July 4. That being said, it may be time to flip him. For starters, the Crew will need a place for Tyler Black to get regular at-bats over the short term, and first base could be as good a place as any. Plus, there is a chance that Rhys Hoskins will move on (he has an opt-out for 2025), and that would require the Crew to look at a longer-term option at first base and DH. Could Christian Yelich make the move? Will Tyler Black settle in? In either of those cases, Bauer is a redundancy, not a complement. If Hoskins returns, Black is a cheaper alternative with greater positional versatility. Either way, the fair thing to do is to find him an opportunity. What To Ask For? The Brewers will need to carefully calibrate their asking price. They will certainly want to get assets to assist in the future. Ideally, it would be minor-league players two years away from a Rule 5 decision. Or, they can package a couple of these players for a short-term rental – gaining a net 40-man space (think a Peguero/Janson Junk package to the Blue Jays for Yusei Kikuchi or Blake Perkins to the Angels for Joel Hurtado and Adrian Acosta). Overview The Brewers will need some 40-man roster spots by the end of the season – and a few more afterwards. It may be time for them to sell now to free up those spots while netting a significant return that could help the team now or down the road. View full article
- 12 replies
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- elvis peguero
- hoby milner
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Put it this way... I would not make a major deal at the deadline. I did put forth my idea of the kind of deal we would see here: Dealing Perkins for Kikuchi could help the Crew win now (Especially with Garrett Mitchell coming back) and Kikuchi wouldn't break the bank if the Crew wanted to keep him on for another year.
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Let Tyler Black Be Tyler Black
Harold Hutchison replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Brewer Fanatic Front Page News
I see Paul Molitor in the 1987-1994 timeframe. It's that type of toolset. -
Let Tyler Black Be Tyler Black
Harold Hutchison replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Brewer Fanatic Front Page News
I think he sold out for launch angle in 2020 - and the numbers bear it out. Four doubles to 13 homers that year - and 85 strikeouts. I think he wanted to loft the ball more, and it wrecked his swing. -
Tyler Black has recently returned to Milwaukee, but how can the Brewers best help him reach his potential? For starters, perhaps they should let Tyler be Tyler. Image courtesy of © Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports A recent article suggested that Black has some similarities to Tampa Rays third baseman Isaac Paredes. While both have played first, second, and third base in their professional careers, the similarities may not quite hold up. Black and Paredes, Compared According to Baseball-Reference, Tyler Black is a left-handed hitter, 5'10" tall, and 204 pounds. Paredes is a right-handed hitter, with a five-foot-eleven height and weighing 213 pounds. Do an inch and ten pounds matter much? Well, Brice Turang’s offense took a leap up when he played to his skill set, but the fact he added muscle didn't hurt him too much, either. That said, while Black and Paredes arguably share batted ball data in common, and both have enough power to put balls in the stands when they pull the ball, they differ in two very important aspects of offense, and those differences matter a lot. Walks According to Baseball-Reference, Paredes has drawn 235 walks in 1,898 minor-league at-bats, or he walks about once every 8.07 at-bats. This is not a bad percentage, and that eye has held up in the majors with 149 walks in 1258 at-bats, or one walk for every 8.44 at-bats. It’s safe to say that Paredes has a decent eye to go with that power. Black, though, has 197 walks in 975 at-bats. That is one for every 5.21 at-bats. This is a huge difference and a sign that Black has a phenomenal eye for the strike zone. This sort of difference matters. All things being equal, Black’s likely to put up higher OBP by racking up a lot of free passes. Black’s superior OBP skills – and his eye – call for a different strategy than what might work for Paredes. There’s one other aspect of their offensive skill sets to look at. Speed Paredes posted nine triples and 13 steals across his 1,898 minor-league at-bats. Those don’t seem like bad numbers for a power hitter, particularly when looking at someone who has hit 56 homers in that timeframe. Black’s 975 minor-league at-bats for those categories are 20 triples and 84 swipes. In fact, during his breakout 2023 campaign, Black dwarfed Paredes’s minor league career totals in those categories in a total of 450 at-bats with 12 triples and 55 steals. There really is no comparison – on the basepaths, Black is a threat. When he gets hits, he can easily stretch doubles into triples and turn singles into doubles. This capability is completely absent from the skill set of Paredes and should be considered very carefully before one asks Black to completely sell out in this fashion. Hiura’s Cautionary Tale The Brewers drafted Keston Hiura in the first round of the 2017 draft. He rapidly rose through the minors to make his 2019 MLB debut as a second baseman. He posted a 138 OPS+ and was seen as a major contributor. But things started to go off-track in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season. Although Hiura led the Crew with 13 homers and 32 RBI, everything else went down the drain. He had an NL-leading 85 strikeouts and other numbers also dropped, including an OPS+ of only 87. In 2021, he completely cratered and split time between Milwaukee and Triple-A Nashville in that year and 2022. His partial rebound in 2022 wasn’t enough to keep him from being out-righted in 2023. In 2024, he’s split time between the Triple-A affiliates of the Tigers and the Angels. One factor may have been the “launch angle” revolution. In 2022, Hiura’s average exit velocity and BABIP were relatively comparable to his 2019 totals as a rookie, but the strikeout rate was higher. His skill set before that was a lot like Paredes's, albeit with a higher strikeout rate. There’s a lesson here. Overview The Brewers have a very dynamic bat in Black, as he has demonstrated in the minors. In this case, though, the answer may be more along the lines of allowing Black to play to his superb skills – with some serious offseason conditioning to add some more muscle. By letting Tyler Black be Tyler Black (albeit bulked up a little), the Brewers could get a truly special offensive player. View full article
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A recent article suggested that Black has some similarities to Tampa Rays third baseman Isaac Paredes. While both have played first, second, and third base in their professional careers, the similarities may not quite hold up. Black and Paredes, Compared According to Baseball-Reference, Tyler Black is a left-handed hitter, 5'10" tall, and 204 pounds. Paredes is a right-handed hitter, with a five-foot-eleven height and weighing 213 pounds. Do an inch and ten pounds matter much? Well, Brice Turang’s offense took a leap up when he played to his skill set, but the fact he added muscle didn't hurt him too much, either. That said, while Black and Paredes arguably share batted ball data in common, and both have enough power to put balls in the stands when they pull the ball, they differ in two very important aspects of offense, and those differences matter a lot. Walks According to Baseball-Reference, Paredes has drawn 235 walks in 1,898 minor-league at-bats, or he walks about once every 8.07 at-bats. This is not a bad percentage, and that eye has held up in the majors with 149 walks in 1258 at-bats, or one walk for every 8.44 at-bats. It’s safe to say that Paredes has a decent eye to go with that power. Black, though, has 197 walks in 975 at-bats. That is one for every 5.21 at-bats. This is a huge difference and a sign that Black has a phenomenal eye for the strike zone. This sort of difference matters. All things being equal, Black’s likely to put up higher OBP by racking up a lot of free passes. Black’s superior OBP skills – and his eye – call for a different strategy than what might work for Paredes. There’s one other aspect of their offensive skill sets to look at. Speed Paredes posted nine triples and 13 steals across his 1,898 minor-league at-bats. Those don’t seem like bad numbers for a power hitter, particularly when looking at someone who has hit 56 homers in that timeframe. Black’s 975 minor-league at-bats for those categories are 20 triples and 84 swipes. In fact, during his breakout 2023 campaign, Black dwarfed Paredes’s minor league career totals in those categories in a total of 450 at-bats with 12 triples and 55 steals. There really is no comparison – on the basepaths, Black is a threat. When he gets hits, he can easily stretch doubles into triples and turn singles into doubles. This capability is completely absent from the skill set of Paredes and should be considered very carefully before one asks Black to completely sell out in this fashion. Hiura’s Cautionary Tale The Brewers drafted Keston Hiura in the first round of the 2017 draft. He rapidly rose through the minors to make his 2019 MLB debut as a second baseman. He posted a 138 OPS+ and was seen as a major contributor. But things started to go off-track in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season. Although Hiura led the Crew with 13 homers and 32 RBI, everything else went down the drain. He had an NL-leading 85 strikeouts and other numbers also dropped, including an OPS+ of only 87. In 2021, he completely cratered and split time between Milwaukee and Triple-A Nashville in that year and 2022. His partial rebound in 2022 wasn’t enough to keep him from being out-righted in 2023. In 2024, he’s split time between the Triple-A affiliates of the Tigers and the Angels. One factor may have been the “launch angle” revolution. In 2022, Hiura’s average exit velocity and BABIP were relatively comparable to his 2019 totals as a rookie, but the strikeout rate was higher. His skill set before that was a lot like Paredes's, albeit with a higher strikeout rate. There’s a lesson here. Overview The Brewers have a very dynamic bat in Black, as he has demonstrated in the minors. In this case, though, the answer may be more along the lines of allowing Black to play to his superb skills – with some serious offseason conditioning to add some more muscle. By letting Tyler Black be Tyler Black (albeit bulked up a little), the Brewers could get a truly special offensive player.
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Let’s Make A Deal: Brewers And Blue Jays Do A Midseason Re-Tool
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Brewers
In some ways, Toronto looks like a seller. They are 13 games back of the division-leading Yankees, and the AL East is a tough division. The Tampa Bay Rays have made the playoffs for the last five years. The Baltimore Orioles won 101 games in 2023. The Yankees are looking very good this season, while the Red Sox have not exactly been pushovers. This just hasn’t looked like the Jays' year, but they have a lot of talent that could help them catch lightning in a bottle over the next few years, and they have some holes the Brewers could fill. Over 30 years ago, the Blue Jays were party to one of the biggest heartbreaks Brewers fans ever had. But could they bring Brewers fans a sweet memory? Let’s look and see what birds they have in hand for the Crew. Toronto Blue Jays: (32-33), 4th Place in the AL East The Blue Jays might be nearly in the cellar, but they are not as bad off as the White Sox, Marlins, or similarly moribund franchises. This is a team that has tasted success in recent years, even if they are decades removed from World Series titles in 1992 and 1993. In the only season of the last four in which they didn't reach the postseason, they were 91-win hard-luck losers. In the infield, Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have been mainstays. Their biggest issue on the offensive side of the ball has been the decline of George Springer and Kevin Kiermaier, both of whom have OPSes below .610 as of Jun. 7, with Kiermaier at a meager .557. Production at catcher and designated hitter has also dropped substantially, with Alejandro Kirk slumping and Justin Turner not quite performing at the level that Brandon Belt did for the Jays in 2023. On the other hand, Toronto has some strong pitching. Jose Berríos, Yusei Kikuchi, Chris Bassitt, and Kevin Gausman have all posted solid numbers this season. Their bullpen has been shakier, but some electric performances help the Jays remain in games with tough division opponents. Why Would They Sell? They are just two games back for the last Wild Card spot in the American League. So, they’re not looking to raise a white flag, but they have some holes to fill. They are in desperate need of improvement in center field. Over the medium to long term, they will be looking for young starting pitchers. None of their top four starters are below the age of 30, and the Jays are a club who looks to be in need of at least a soft reset to remain competitive while getting younger, given some of the veterans who have declined. Their payroll of $213 million limits their flexibility to address their holes. Plus, some of their players are on the cusp of free agency. Whom might they deal? One option would be Kikuchi, whose three-year deal ends after 2024, putting him back on the market. Another could be catcher Danny Jansen, who is arguably their best offensive player (.847 OPS in 113 at-bats), but also a pending free agent. The clock is also ticking on reliever Yimi Garcia, who’s posted a 1.50 ERA and three saves in 23 appearances, helping to cover for the injured Jordan Romano. Why They Could Be A Trade Partner If the Blue Jays need young talent, Milwaukee has a lot of it, including a couple of potential logjams where the Jays are looking for help. One of those logjams is in the outfield, where the Brewers have Sal Frelick, Jackson Chourio, Blake Perkins, Chris Roller, Garrett Mitchell, and Joey Wiemer on their 40-man roster, alongside Christian Yelich. On the flip side, the Brewers need starting pitching. While Joe Ross, DL Hall, and Jakob Junis could be back relatively soon, it is crucial for the Crew to line up one more arm, particularly with Robert Gasser going on the 15-day injured list with his elbow issue. With a number of teams looking for pitching help, the Brewers are going to have to make a solid offer or find a potential seller that other teams may not consider calling early on. The Blue Jays fit this bill, since they have some needs, but are not quite out of the playoff hunt yet. Brewers Trade Targets Blue Jays General Manager Ross Atkins has ruled out dealing Bichette or Guerrero, per MLB Trade Rumors. However, the Brewers aren't looking for infield help, and Atkins has said nothing about the team’s starting pitchers being off the market. Since the Crew needs someone for the rotation, it may be a chance to buy early, and get a decent deal. Which starter (or starters) should the Crew target? Let’s look over their top four. Bassitt and Gausman may look appealing, but both are old (Bassitt is 35, Gausman 33), and both have salaries in excess of $20 million for 2025. Bassitt’s deal runs through 2026. The Crew needs rotation help, but should only acquire Bassitt or Gausman if the Jays pick up substantial salary and if the cost in terms of young talent is lower than expected. Berríos is the youngest of the Jays starters, and arguably the ace of their rotation. He is also under team control as part of a seven-year, $131 million deal. He gets $18.7 million a year in 2025 and 2026, after which he can opt out. If he doesn’t, the Crew would be on the hook for $24.7 million in both 2027 and 2028. That’s a hefty price tag, but he could be worth it as a veteran ace alongside Freddy Peralta and the Crew’s young rotation prospects. The money would make a deal very complicated, but might also hold down the prospect price tag. That leaves Kikuchi, who has put up very good numbers in 2024, posting a 2-5 record and a 3.66 ERA over 66 1/3 innings pitched in 12 starts. The 33-year-old Japanese lefty has taken his game up a notch in the last year with a new curveball, but his contract expires after this year, and he’s represented by Scott Boras. As a partial-season rental, he could arguably fill in well enough for 2024. The pro-rated $10 million doesn’t break the bank, and it's unlikely he'd command the kind of prospect haul that a more controllable starter would. The Match-Up The Brewers could solve Toronto’s center field problem for the next few years with any number of candidates. Blake Perkins is an interesting player. Given the season he's had to date, he could help Toronto round out baseball's best defensive outfield, and his bat would give them nice ways to rest and rotate the likes of Kiermaier and Springer. It might be painful to move Perkins for a rest-of-the-season rental in Kikuchi, but such a deal gives both teams something to address 2024 needs as they continue running for the playoffs. Failing that, the two teams still have other pieces that might generate mutual interest. Toronto is a team to watch this month and next, as the Brewers position themselves for a run deep into October. -
The Toronto Blue Jays are a decent team in a tough division. Could the Brewers leverage their 2024 situation into some short-term solutions – or even a longer-term fix? Image courtesy of © Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports In some ways, Toronto looks like a seller. They are 13 games back of the division-leading Yankees, and the AL East is a tough division. The Tampa Bay Rays have made the playoffs for the last five years. The Baltimore Orioles won 101 games in 2023. The Yankees are looking very good this season, while the Red Sox have not exactly been pushovers. This just hasn’t looked like the Jays' year, but they have a lot of talent that could help them catch lightning in a bottle over the next few years, and they have some holes the Brewers could fill. Over 30 years ago, the Blue Jays were party to one of the biggest heartbreaks Brewers fans ever had. But could they bring Brewers fans a sweet memory? Let’s look and see what birds they have in hand for the Crew. Toronto Blue Jays: (32-33), 4th Place in the AL East The Blue Jays might be nearly in the cellar, but they are not as bad off as the White Sox, Marlins, or similarly moribund franchises. This is a team that has tasted success in recent years, even if they are decades removed from World Series titles in 1992 and 1993. In the only season of the last four in which they didn't reach the postseason, they were 91-win hard-luck losers. In the infield, Bo Bichette, Cavan Biggio, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have been mainstays. Their biggest issue on the offensive side of the ball has been the decline of George Springer and Kevin Kiermaier, both of whom have OPSes below .610 as of Jun. 7, with Kiermaier at a meager .557. Production at catcher and designated hitter has also dropped substantially, with Alejandro Kirk slumping and Justin Turner not quite performing at the level that Brandon Belt did for the Jays in 2023. On the other hand, Toronto has some strong pitching. Jose Berríos, Yusei Kikuchi, Chris Bassitt, and Kevin Gausman have all posted solid numbers this season. Their bullpen has been shakier, but some electric performances help the Jays remain in games with tough division opponents. Why Would They Sell? They are just two games back for the last Wild Card spot in the American League. So, they’re not looking to raise a white flag, but they have some holes to fill. They are in desperate need of improvement in center field. Over the medium to long term, they will be looking for young starting pitchers. None of their top four starters are below the age of 30, and the Jays are a club who looks to be in need of at least a soft reset to remain competitive while getting younger, given some of the veterans who have declined. Their payroll of $213 million limits their flexibility to address their holes. Plus, some of their players are on the cusp of free agency. Whom might they deal? One option would be Kikuchi, whose three-year deal ends after 2024, putting him back on the market. Another could be catcher Danny Jansen, who is arguably their best offensive player (.847 OPS in 113 at-bats), but also a pending free agent. The clock is also ticking on reliever Yimi Garcia, who’s posted a 1.50 ERA and three saves in 23 appearances, helping to cover for the injured Jordan Romano. Why They Could Be A Trade Partner If the Blue Jays need young talent, Milwaukee has a lot of it, including a couple of potential logjams where the Jays are looking for help. One of those logjams is in the outfield, where the Brewers have Sal Frelick, Jackson Chourio, Blake Perkins, Chris Roller, Garrett Mitchell, and Joey Wiemer on their 40-man roster, alongside Christian Yelich. On the flip side, the Brewers need starting pitching. While Joe Ross, DL Hall, and Jakob Junis could be back relatively soon, it is crucial for the Crew to line up one more arm, particularly with Robert Gasser going on the 15-day injured list with his elbow issue. With a number of teams looking for pitching help, the Brewers are going to have to make a solid offer or find a potential seller that other teams may not consider calling early on. The Blue Jays fit this bill, since they have some needs, but are not quite out of the playoff hunt yet. Brewers Trade Targets Blue Jays General Manager Ross Atkins has ruled out dealing Bichette or Guerrero, per MLB Trade Rumors. However, the Brewers aren't looking for infield help, and Atkins has said nothing about the team’s starting pitchers being off the market. Since the Crew needs someone for the rotation, it may be a chance to buy early, and get a decent deal. Which starter (or starters) should the Crew target? Let’s look over their top four. Bassitt and Gausman may look appealing, but both are old (Bassitt is 35, Gausman 33), and both have salaries in excess of $20 million for 2025. Bassitt’s deal runs through 2026. The Crew needs rotation help, but should only acquire Bassitt or Gausman if the Jays pick up substantial salary and if the cost in terms of young talent is lower than expected. Berríos is the youngest of the Jays starters, and arguably the ace of their rotation. He is also under team control as part of a seven-year, $131 million deal. He gets $18.7 million a year in 2025 and 2026, after which he can opt out. If he doesn’t, the Crew would be on the hook for $24.7 million in both 2027 and 2028. That’s a hefty price tag, but he could be worth it as a veteran ace alongside Freddy Peralta and the Crew’s young rotation prospects. The money would make a deal very complicated, but might also hold down the prospect price tag. That leaves Kikuchi, who has put up very good numbers in 2024, posting a 2-5 record and a 3.66 ERA over 66 1/3 innings pitched in 12 starts. The 33-year-old Japanese lefty has taken his game up a notch in the last year with a new curveball, but his contract expires after this year, and he’s represented by Scott Boras. As a partial-season rental, he could arguably fill in well enough for 2024. The pro-rated $10 million doesn’t break the bank, and it's unlikely he'd command the kind of prospect haul that a more controllable starter would. The Match-Up The Brewers could solve Toronto’s center field problem for the next few years with any number of candidates. Blake Perkins is an interesting player. Given the season he's had to date, he could help Toronto round out baseball's best defensive outfield, and his bat would give them nice ways to rest and rotate the likes of Kiermaier and Springer. It might be painful to move Perkins for a rest-of-the-season rental in Kikuchi, but such a deal gives both teams something to address 2024 needs as they continue running for the playoffs. Failing that, the two teams still have other pieces that might generate mutual interest. Toronto is a team to watch this month and next, as the Brewers position themselves for a run deep into October. View full article
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Trade Trees Bring Forth Bountiful Harvests For The Brewers
Harold Hutchison posted an article in Brewers
What Is A Trade Tree? To understand this piece, we need to define a trade tree. It is the future transactions stemming from any given trade. Take, for instance, the JJ Hardy trade. The Brewers got Carlos Gómez, whom they flipped a few years later with Mike Fiers for Josh Hader, Adrian Houser, Brett Phillips, and Domingo Santana. Houser was dealt this past offseason with Tyrone Taylor, for Coleman Crow (currently recovering from surgery). Phillips was part of a package the Brewers used to acquire Mike Moustakas. You get the idea. In fact, we can start this analysis with the trade tree stemming from part of the Carlos Gomez return package. The Josh Hader Trade – Short-Term Scuffle, Long-Term Lift This is one many Brewers fans already know about. By the end of October 2022, it looked like a mess. Dinelson Lamet and Taylor Rogers were both either out, or on their way out, while the Brewers were left with Esteury Ruiz, who could rack up a lot of stolen bases, along with left-handed pitcher Robert Gasser. Over the 2022-2023 offseason, though, the Crew made a trade that may not have been possible without the Hader deal. They acquired catcher William Contreras and reliever Joel Payamps (plus minor-league reliever Justin Yeager) for Ruiz. The Hader deal has taken on a whole new complexion now, not just with the knock-on trade, but also with Gasser’s arrival and his emergence as a solid starting pitcher. So Hader netted the Brewers an All-Star-level catcher (Contreras), a very solid bullpen piece (Payamps), a solid rookie starter (Gasser), and we still have yet to see what Yeager does. This is before any future trades involving the players currently on the ladder. The Jackie Bradley Jr. Trade Tree – Salvaging A Bad Signing After one year, the signing of Jackie Bradley Jr. was clearly not working out. He’d posted an OPS of .497 and provided -0.6 Wins Above Replacement in 2021. The Brewers were able to get out of a $9.5 million salary they would have paid Bradley by sending him (along with minor-leaguers Alex Binelas and David Hamilton) to Boston for Hunter Renfroe. Renfroe gave the Brewers a solid 2022 season in right field, posting an .807 OPS and hitting 29 homers. But with a lot of young outfielders, the Brewers made another deal, sending Renfroe to the Angels. In return, they got Elvis Peguero, Janson Junk, and Adam Seminaris. Peguero has been a solid reliever, sometimes dominant and at other times frustrating. Junk has been on the Milwaukee-Nashville shuttle, mostly providing depth. Adam Seminaris has struggled with injuries, but has posted solid numbers out of the Biloxi bullpen. Like the Hader trade, this trade tree is still capable of generating more returns, should one of Peguero, Junk, or Seminaris be dealt. For now, given that it started with a busted outfield signing, it's already yielded impressive returns. The Trent Grisham Trade Tree – A Roller-Coaster Heading Up For A While? Prior to 2020, the Brewers traded Zach Davies and Trent Grisham to the Padres for Luis Urías and Eric Lauer. Urías and Lauer struggled in the pandemic-altered 2020, but were key players on the 2021 and 2022 teams before falling off in 2023. It briefly looked like it could be a major coup, but has settled toward a fairly value-neutral sequence. Lauer was non-tendered, but the Crew dealt Urías to Boston for minor-league pitcher Bradley Blalock. Blaylock is putting up very strong numbers in the upper minors, and could be a solid rotation prospect. As such, there is no telling what heights this could lead to for the Crew, whether Blalock contributes as a Brewer or nets the Crew an asset in a trade. The Kolten Wong Trade Tree – Shooting Up Like A Rocket? The Brewers dealt Kolten Wong to the Mariners for Jesse Winker and Abraham Toro to clear the path for Brice Turang and to line up a full-time DH. The former plan worked. Turang struggled at the plate offensively, but provided Gold Glove-caliber defense in 2023, and we know what he's doing in 2024. Winker provided OBP skills, but little pop as a DH for the Crew. However, the Brewers also got Abraham Toro in the deal. Toro mostly spent 2023 in Triple-A, but did very well in a cup of coffee for the Crew. Then the Crew flipped Toro to the A’s and got Chad Patrick. This season, to date, Patrick is arguably Nashville’s ace, outperforming Carlos Rodriguez (the pitcher) so far. At the very least, Patrick is someone the Crew could flip for some pennant-run reinforcements. But he could also wind up being an excellent fit for the Brewers’ rotation as well. Overview Any trade made at the deadline isn’t just going to be about this season – trades in Brewers history have reverberated far into the future. Other trades, very recent, can likely do the same.-
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The Brewers have managed to do very well this season, and one of the reasons is the fact that trade trees have provided an outstanding harvest for the Crew. Which trades (which may not have seemed like much, or which even looked like bad calls) deserve to be studied under new light now? Image courtesy of © Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports What Is A Trade Tree? To understand this piece, we need to define a trade tree. It is the future transactions stemming from any given trade. Take, for instance, the JJ Hardy trade. The Brewers got Carlos Gómez, whom they flipped a few years later with Mike Fiers for Josh Hader, Adrian Houser, Brett Phillips, and Domingo Santana. Houser was dealt this past offseason with Tyrone Taylor, for Coleman Crow (currently recovering from surgery). Phillips was part of a package the Brewers used to acquire Mike Moustakas. You get the idea. In fact, we can start this analysis with the trade tree stemming from part of the Carlos Gomez return package. The Josh Hader Trade – Short-Term Scuffle, Long-Term Lift This is one many Brewers fans already know about. By the end of October 2022, it looked like a mess. Dinelson Lamet and Taylor Rogers were both either out, or on their way out, while the Brewers were left with Esteury Ruiz, who could rack up a lot of stolen bases, along with left-handed pitcher Robert Gasser. Over the 2022-2023 offseason, though, the Crew made a trade that may not have been possible without the Hader deal. They acquired catcher William Contreras and reliever Joel Payamps (plus minor-league reliever Justin Yeager) for Ruiz. The Hader deal has taken on a whole new complexion now, not just with the knock-on trade, but also with Gasser’s arrival and his emergence as a solid starting pitcher. So Hader netted the Brewers an All-Star-level catcher (Contreras), a very solid bullpen piece (Payamps), a solid rookie starter (Gasser), and we still have yet to see what Yeager does. This is before any future trades involving the players currently on the ladder. The Jackie Bradley Jr. Trade Tree – Salvaging A Bad Signing After one year, the signing of Jackie Bradley Jr. was clearly not working out. He’d posted an OPS of .497 and provided -0.6 Wins Above Replacement in 2021. The Brewers were able to get out of a $9.5 million salary they would have paid Bradley by sending him (along with minor-leaguers Alex Binelas and David Hamilton) to Boston for Hunter Renfroe. Renfroe gave the Brewers a solid 2022 season in right field, posting an .807 OPS and hitting 29 homers. But with a lot of young outfielders, the Brewers made another deal, sending Renfroe to the Angels. In return, they got Elvis Peguero, Janson Junk, and Adam Seminaris. Peguero has been a solid reliever, sometimes dominant and at other times frustrating. Junk has been on the Milwaukee-Nashville shuttle, mostly providing depth. Adam Seminaris has struggled with injuries, but has posted solid numbers out of the Biloxi bullpen. Like the Hader trade, this trade tree is still capable of generating more returns, should one of Peguero, Junk, or Seminaris be dealt. For now, given that it started with a busted outfield signing, it's already yielded impressive returns. The Trent Grisham Trade Tree – A Roller-Coaster Heading Up For A While? Prior to 2020, the Brewers traded Zach Davies and Trent Grisham to the Padres for Luis Urías and Eric Lauer. Urías and Lauer struggled in the pandemic-altered 2020, but were key players on the 2021 and 2022 teams before falling off in 2023. It briefly looked like it could be a major coup, but has settled toward a fairly value-neutral sequence. Lauer was non-tendered, but the Crew dealt Urías to Boston for minor-league pitcher Bradley Blalock. Blaylock is putting up very strong numbers in the upper minors, and could be a solid rotation prospect. As such, there is no telling what heights this could lead to for the Crew, whether Blalock contributes as a Brewer or nets the Crew an asset in a trade. The Kolten Wong Trade Tree – Shooting Up Like A Rocket? The Brewers dealt Kolten Wong to the Mariners for Jesse Winker and Abraham Toro to clear the path for Brice Turang and to line up a full-time DH. The former plan worked. Turang struggled at the plate offensively, but provided Gold Glove-caliber defense in 2023, and we know what he's doing in 2024. Winker provided OBP skills, but little pop as a DH for the Crew. However, the Brewers also got Abraham Toro in the deal. Toro mostly spent 2023 in Triple-A, but did very well in a cup of coffee for the Crew. Then the Crew flipped Toro to the A’s and got Chad Patrick. This season, to date, Patrick is arguably Nashville’s ace, outperforming Carlos Rodriguez (the pitcher) so far. At the very least, Patrick is someone the Crew could flip for some pennant-run reinforcements. But he could also wind up being an excellent fit for the Brewers’ rotation as well. Overview Any trade made at the deadline isn’t just going to be about this season – trades in Brewers history have reverberated far into the future. Other trades, very recent, can likely do the same. View full article
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I'd look at maybe stretching out Bryan Hudson to fill a rotation spot - the way the Crew did with Bryse Wilson. Also, with Rodriguez putting it together in AAA, along with the excellent performances from Chad Patrick and Bradley Blaylock, there are some options. In addition, if the Brewers are willing to roll the dice on a bit of a bullpen remodeling and do what the 2018 team did with a couple of future aces named Burnes and Woodruff... they could have a post-ASB pen of: Williams (closer), Megill (8th), Milner (6th/7th), Paredes (6th/7th), Koenig (6th/7th), Misiorowski (long/fireman), Ashby (long/fireman), and Rodriguez (long/fireman).
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- robert gasser
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The Current State of the Rotation The Brewers planned on a rotation of Freddy Peralta, Colin Rea, Wade Miley, DL Hall, and Joe Ross, with Jakob Junis and Aaron Ashby as additional depth for the team. How has that worked out for them? Junis and Miley combined for three starts before going on the injured list. Miley is done for the season due to Tommy John surgery, while Junis had a milder injury before a freak injury delayed his return. Hall struggled in four starts before a knee injury got him a trip to the disabled list, and he is currently rehabbing in Nashville. Ross is also on the injured list as well after nine solid starts. Jared Koenig has had two starts as an opener during the Red Sox series, but they won’t be counted here. While Peralta (3.61 ERA in 62.1 IP over 11 starts) and Rea (3.77 ERA in 54 IP over ten starts) have been very solid, the Brewers’ salvation to date has come from prospect Robert Gasser (2.57 ERA in 28 IP over five starts) and converted long-relief ace Bryse Wilson (2.76 ERA in 32.2 IP over seven starts). In comparison, Tobias Myers has been a decent inning-eater (5.61 ERA in 25.2 IP over six starts). Gasser's elbow, though, is being evaluated after he reported soreness, which could hurt the depth even more. The Brewers, currently 6.5 games ahead of the Cubs for first place in the NL Central and a game back of the Dodgers for the second first-round “bye” in the playoffs, have done pretty well with four of the five spots of a typical MLB starting rotation so far. They could use a fifth and some depth. Can they get it? Returns From the Injured List Hall is slated to return from the injured list in June and has made two rehab appearances at High-A Wisconsin and Triple-A Nashville. He could be plugged back into the rotation, or he may end up in the bullpen—the rehab and how current starters perform will tell the tale. Junis is starting a minor-league rehabilitation, which could be an option for at least some rotation depth. His only start in 2024 was short (4 IP), but still pretty solid. Again, whether in the rotation or as long-relief, the rehab and performance of those currently in the rotation will be the determining factors. Ross could return, but the team may be exercising caution as the lower back issues are a first for the veteran hurler, as he has not even started any minor-league rehabilitation assignment. Woodruff could return late in the season, but that is a long shot, and he may be broken in as a bullpen option, depending on the precise timing of his return to full baseball activities. Then there is Ashby, who missed most of 2023 with a shoulder injury and is on what is really an extended minor-league rehab stint. Over the last four appearances, he seems to be turning a corner, as the contact has been less effective, and he did toss seven scoreless frames in his May 31 appearance. Help From The Farm The Brewers also have plenty of prospects. Just in Nashville, the Brewers have the choice of Carlos F. Rodriguez, Chad Patrick, Evan McKendry, and Tyler Woessner. Patrick has been dominating from start to finish, while Rodriguez turned in a dominating month of May after a rough adjustment in March and April. Patrick, acquired in the Abraham Toro trade, could make the Brewers the ultimate winners of the Kolten Wong-for-Jesse Winker deal (the Mariners threw in Toro as part of the deal). McKendry missed time with an injury and is ramping back up after having a track record of being a sneaky-solid rotation member for Nashville prior to the injury. Woessner is adjusting to Triple-A after dominating at Double-A Biloxi. Myers could be called up as well after his initial stint. Bradley Blaylock, acquired in the Luis Urias trade, is on the 40-man down in Biloxi and was called up but returned to the Shuckers without appearing for the Crew. Then there is top prospect Jacob Misiorowski, who has dominating peripherals but has averaged less than four innings a start in Double-A. Wild Card There is one other option for the Brewers. Bryan Hudson has taken over Bryse Wilson’s old “long-relief ace” role. However, the Brewers may want to consider moving him to the rotation. It would require the Crew to find a replacement for that role, but Hudson’s gone two innings or more in nine out of 21 appearances. Stretching him out just might be the boost the Crew needs and could let them keep the prospect powder dry in the trade market. Overview The Brewers need a starter, arguably two if the news about Gasser's elbow is bad news (think extended IL time). The good news is that between those returning from the injured list, the prospects on the farm, and a wild card from their bullpen, they can fill the hole in the #5 spot and restore their depth without depleting the farm system via trade.
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- freddy peralta
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The best move for the pen, IMO, is to move Misiorowski to Triple-A soon to stretch him out some, then plug him into the bullpen. Rodriguez did recover in May from a rough March/April. My thinking would be to move Peguero and Payamps, then call those two up - use them the way the Crew used Woodruff and Burnes in 2018. Maybe DL Hall goes to the pen for the rest of the season.
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- bryan hudson
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Let’s get one thing clear: Abner Uribe is a very talented pitcher who has the stuff to be Milwaukee’s closer of the future. His fastball is pure heat, and his sinker-sweeper combo can dominate hitters when he is on. Right now, he is in Triple-A Nashville, trying to get back in shape after being clobbered at the MLB level in 2024 (6.81 ERA, 1.88 WHIP). The Case To Keep Uribe When he was on, he was dynamite. The Crew had hopes of Uribe, Devin Williams, Trevor Megill, Joel Payamps, and Hoby Milner forming the core of a dominating bullpen. That is still possible later in the season, which could be crucial, given the injuries that have afflicted the Crew’s rotation. Uribe doesn’t become arbitration-eligible until the 2027 season, and the Brewers control him through at least 2029. That could be a long time to have the closer’s spot locked up. Uribe is also cost-controlled for the short term, which is always an important consideration for the budget-conscious Crew. Furthermore, patience has worked out for the Brewers before. They stuck by Williams after he injured his hand punching a wall just before the 2021 playoffs, and that decision has worked out well. So there is a case to keep Uribe around. The Case To Deal Uribe The Brewers have a lot of bullpen depth. Put it this way: Pat Murphy has twice been able to burn Jared Koenig as an opener in two consecutive games, because the Crew had Milner and Bryan Hudson available as lefties in the pen. As the third-best lefty, Koenig’s posting a 2.45 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. On the right side, the Crew currently has Megill, Payamps, and Elvis Peguero leading the relief corps, with Mitch White and Enoli Paredes rounding out the bullpen. Williams will, hopefully, be back by the end of July, essentially becoming a major acquisition for the Crew’s bullpen. So, for the short term, the Brewers can do fine without Uribe. It is a much better bullpen with Uribe at top form, but he's something short of indispensable. Down the road, there are plenty of prospects putting up stellar numbers, including Craig Yoho, James Meeker, Shane Smith, Sam Gardner, Rob Zastryzny, Russell Smith, Darrell Thompson, Blake Holub, Harold Chirino, and Justin King. Then, of course, there is the fact that Uribe isn’t just slumping. He also displayed some decidedly poor judgment in instigating that brawl with the Rays, getting hit with a six-game suspension. That has to be figured into the equation. They gave Williams a shot, but Williams had a sustained track record of success. Do you shoot that same shot with Uribe? What The Crew Could Get The return for relievers can be hard to predict, particularly with their volatility, but in this case, it could be more difficult because they don’t often get dealt with a lot of team control. They would want to minimize the chance of facing Uribe themselves, so an American League team is probably the best bet, but teams in the NL East or NL West shouldn’t be ruled out if they are willing to blow the Brewers away. The best hope here might be to find a prospect a couple of years away at the Advanced-A or Single-A level, like Red Sox outfield prospect Allan Castro or Blue Jays pitcher Fernando Perez. Uribe could be packaged with another prospect (say, Brock Wilken) to land some serious assistance at the deadline (think a pickup like CC Sabathia, but for multiple years; perhaps Uribe is the right kind of risk for the Marlins right now). It would be a high cost, but at the same time, relief pitching is one place where (despite injuries and slumps) the Brewers remain very deep. Overview Uribe has immense talent. The Brewers could unlock his potential, but right now, he is also a question mark. They should be willing to make a deal involving Uribe, but only if a team is willing to give up legitimate talent to take their chances on an electric arm with some erratic edges in need of smoothing.
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The starting rotation has been a strength for the Brewers in recent years. From 2021-2023, the Crew scored two division titles behind the trio of Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, and Freddy Peralta. Prior to 2024, Woodruff suffered a shoulder injury and Burnes was traded. So, do the Brewers need rotation help at the trade deadline? The Current State of the Rotation The Brewers planned on a rotation of Peralta, Colin Rea, Wade Miley, DL Hall, and Joe Ross, with Jacob Junis and Aaron Ashby as additional depth for the team. How has that worked out for them? Junis and Miley combined for three starts before going on the injured list. Miley is done for the season due to Tommy Jon surgery, while Junis has a milder injury before a freak injury delayed his return. Hall struggled in four starts before a knee injury got him a trip to the disabled list, and he is currently rehabbing in Nashville. Ross is also on the injured list as well after nine solid starts. Jared Koenig has had two starts as an opener during the Red Sox series, but they won’t be counted here. While Peralta (3.61 ERA in 62.1 IP over 11 starts) and Rea (3.77 ERA in 54 IP over 10 starts) have been very solid, the Brewers’ salvation to date has come from prospect Robert Gasser (2.57 ERA in 28 IP over five starts) and converted long-relief ace Bryse Wilson (2.76 ERA in 32.2 IP over seven starts), while Tobias Myers has been a decent inning-eater (5.61 ERA in 25.2 IP over six starts). The Brewers, currently 6.5 games ahead of the Cubs for first place in the NL Central, and a game back of the Dodgers for the second first-round “bye” in the playoffs, have done pretty well with four of the five spots of a typical MLB starting rotation so far. They could use a fifth, and some depth. Can they get it? Returns From the Injured List Hall is slated to return from the injured list at some point in June and has made two rehab appearances at Advanced-A Wisconsin and Triple-A Nashville. He could be plugged back into the rotation, or he may end up in the bullpen – the rehab and how current starters perform will tell the tale. Junis is starting a minor-league rehabilitation and could be an option for at least some rotation depth. His only start in 2024 was short (4 IP), but still pretty solid. Again, whether it’s in the rotation or as long-relief, the rehab and performance of those currently in the rotation will be the determining factors. Ross could return, but the team may be exercising caution as the lower back issues are a first for the veteran hurler, as he has not even started any minor-league rehabilitation assignment. Woodruff could return late in the season, but that is a long-shot, and he may be broken in as a bullpen option, depending on the precise timing of his return to full baseball activities. Then there is the case of Ashby, who missed most of 2023 with a shoulder injury and is on what is really an extended minor-league rehab stint. Over the last four appearances, he seems to be turning a corner as the contact has been less effective, and he did toss seven scoreless frames in his May 31 appearance. Help From The Farm The Brewers also have plenty of prospects. Just in Nashville, the Brewers have the choice of Carlos F. Rodriguez, Chad Patrick, Evan McKendry, and Tyler Woessner. Patrick has been dominating from start to finish, while Rodriguez turned in a dominating month of May after a rough adjustment in March and April. Patrick, acquired in the Abraham Toro trade, could end up making the Brewers the ultimate winners of the Kolten Wong-for-Jesse Winker deal (Toro was thrown in by the Mariners as part of the deal). McKendry missed time with an injury and is ramping back up after having a track record of being a sneaky-solid rotation member for Nashville prior to the injury. Woessner is adjusting to Triple-A after dominating at Double-A Biloxi. Myers could be called up as well after his initial stint. Bradley Blaylock, acquired in the Luis Urias trade, is on the 40-man down in Biloxi and was called up, but returned to the Shuckers without appearing for the Crew. Then there is top prospect Jacob Misiorowski, who has dominating peripherals, but has averages less than four innings a start in Double-A. Wild Card There is one other option for the Brewers. Bryan Hudson has taken over Bryse Wilson’s old “long-relief ace” role. However, the Brewers may want to consider moving him to the rotation. It would require the Crew to find a replacement for that role, but Hudson’s gone two innings or more in nine out of 21 appearances. Stretching him out just might be the boost the Crew needs and could let them keep the prospect powder dry in the trade market. Overview The Brewers need a starter. The good news is that between those coming back from the injured list, the prospects on the farm, and a wild card from their own bullpen, they can fill the hole in the #5 spot and restore their depth without depleting the farm system via trade. View full article
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Even after going 0-for-10 over the first three games of the Brewers' series against the Cubs this week, Jake Bauers is hitting .205/.297/.402. In this year's starved offensive environment, that's essentially league-average production, and Bauers's combination of speed, power, and defense at first base has been energizing for the lineup. This is a small sample, and his recent success following an adjustment is an even smaller one, but even with those caveats, Bauers is looking like a real bargain in 2024. The Crew has team control through 2026. But could they do better than Bauers in-house? The Case For Keeping Bauers Bauer is, when it comes down to it, a solid complement for Rhys Hoskins. Should Hoskins opt in for 2025, he and Bauers make for an excellent platoon at first base (with the other either DHing or sitting on the bench, depending on the matchup). The Brewers' other main options for first base in 2025 would be to promote Tyler Black or to shift Christian Yelich from left field to the infield, in order to keep their young, talented outfielders (Sal Frelick, Jackson Chourio, Garrett Mitchell, and Joey Wiemer), while also maintaining Blake Perkins and Chris Roller for depth. It's possible neither of those things will happen: Yelich’s back may result in him seeing more time at DH, while Black’s defense is a work in progress. So, there’s a case to keep Bauers around. That said, there are also reasons to consider pivoting away from him right away. The Case To Move Bauers Why move Bauers? Think of it this way: the Brewers could soon face a crowd at the first base and DH positions. Yelich is spending time at DH since his return from the injured list. Hoskins may do the same when he returns from his hamstring tear. Gary Sánchez was signed to be the DH and backup catcher. Those are, of course, the veteran options at those slots. The farm could give the Crew a few more choices. The aforementioned Black has been knocking at the MLB door since an outstanding 2023 performance in Nashville, and he’s spending a lot of time at first base. Black’s offensive skill set could turn out to be similar to what Paul Molitor displayed in the 1987-1994 timeframe – and he will have plenty of team control. That would be one potential replacement for Bauers. But Black is not the only option. There is the under-the-radar battle between Wes Clarke and Ernesto Martinez, both of whom are clobbering the ball down on the farm (Clarke with an .821 OPS, Martinez with a .740 in the Southern League, which is making MLB's offensive downturn look minor). All three of these options in the minors could be better for the Crew in certain contexts, offering more team control at a lower cost. For the short term, Black offers a bat that is quite dynamic, and additional positional coverage (he’s played third base, second base, and the outfield as a professional). Over the medium-to-long term, a Clarke/Martinez platoon could offer solid production, while also providing more positional coverage than Bauers (Clarke has seen significant action at catcher, while Martinez could handle all three outfield positions). What Could The Crew Get For Bauers? This becomes a big question. Bauers is a solid first baseman, but those don’t tend to draw a huge return. Two or three players at the Rookie level (either the Dominican Summer League, the Florida Complex League, or the Arizona Complex League) might be a potential return. That might seem underwhelming, but then again, the Crew got a similar package for Adam Lind, and I don’t think Brewers fans are complaining too much about how that trade worked out (in the form of Freddy Peralta). But if the Brewers don’t want to have that sort of wait time, there may be a few teams whom they could make a deal with. The Miami Marlins, Colorado Rockies, Chicago White Sox, Oakland A's, and Pittsburgh Pirates all seem to be struggling to get good performance from their primary options at first base. The Brewers might be able to get a decent return from at least one of these teams that would be eager for some improvement, Pittsburgh is an especially interesting possible landing spot, since they might not have given up on the 2024 season yet, and could be more willing to part with far-off prospects in exchange for a medium-term upgrade. Overview Jake Bauers has been a solid performer for the Brewers. While he can certainly help the Crew win games, it may be time for the team to think seriously about flipping him now in order to open up a spot for some young prospects--and maybe to pick up some more.
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Abner Uribe has a lot of talent, but between his 2024 struggles and that fracas in Tampa, is it time to consider making a deal that moves him out of Milwaukee? Image courtesy of © Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports Let’s get one thing clear: Abner Uribe is a very talented pitcher who has the stuff to be Milwaukee’s Closer of the Future. His fastball is pure heat and his sinker-sweeper combo can dominate hitters when he is on. Right now, he is in Triple-A Nashville trying to get back in shape after being clobbered at the MLB level in 2024 (6.81 ERA, 1.884 WHIP). The Case To Keep Uribe When he was on, he was dynamite. The Crew had hopes of Uribe, Devin Williams, Trevor Megill, Joel Payamps, and Hoby Milner forming the core of a dominating bullpen. That is still possible later in the season, which could be crucial, given the injuries that have afflicted the Crew’s rotation, which still remains solid thanks to Bryse Wilson stepping up and Robert Gasser’s call-up from the minors. Uribe doesn’t become arbitration-eligible until the 2027 season, and the Brewers control him through 2030. That could be a long time to have the closer’s spot locked up. Uribe is also cost-controlled for the short term as well, an important factor as the Brewers have a decision to make vis-à-vis Willy Adames. Furthermore, patience has worked out for the Brewers before. They stuck by Williams after he injured his hand punching a wall just before the 2021 playoffs, and that decision has worked out well. So there is a case to keep Uribe around. The Case To Deal Uribe The Brewers have a lot of bullpen depth. Put it this way, Pat Murphy was able to burn Jared Koenig as an opener for two consecutive games because the Crew had Milner and Bryan Hudson available as lefties in the pen. As the third-best lefty, Koenig’s posting a 2.45 ERA and a 1.136 WHIP. On the right side, the Crew currently has Megill, Payamps, and Elvis Peguero leading the relief corps, with Mitch White and Enoli Paredes rounding out the bullpen. Williams will hopefully be back by the end of July, essentially becoming a major acquisition for the Crew’s bullpen. So, for the short term, the Brewers can do fine without Uribe. It is a much better bullpen with Uribe at top form, but this is not a bad bullpen. Down the road, there are plenty of prospects putting up stellar numbers, including Craig Yoho, James Meeker, Shane Smith, Sam Gardner, Rob Zastryzny, Russell Smith, Darrell Thompson, Blake Holub, Harold Chirino, and Justin King. Then, of course, there is the fact that Uribe isn’t just slumping. But also displayed some decidedly poor judgement in that brawl with the Rays, getting hit with a six-game suspension. That has to be figured into the equation. They gave Devin Williams a shot, but Williams had a sustained track record of success. Do you shoot that same shot with Uribe? What The Crew Could Get The return for relievers can be hard to predict, particularly with their volatility, but in this case, it could be more difficult because they don’t often get dealt with a lot of team control. They would want to minimize the chance of facing Uribe themselves, so an American League team is probably the best bet, but teams in the NL East or NL West shouldn’t be ruled out if they are willing to blow the Brewers away. The best hope here might be to find a prospect a couple of years away at the Advanced-A or Single-A level, like Red Sox outfield prospect Allan Castro or Blue Jays pitcher Fernando Perez. Uribe could be packaged with another prospect (say, Brock Wilken) to land some serious assistance at the deadline (think a pickup like CC Sabathia, but for multiple years). It would be a high cost, but at the same time, relief pitching is one place where despite injuries and slumps, the Brewers remain very deep. Overview Abner Uribe has some immense talent. The Brewers could unlock his potential, but right now, he is also a question mark. They should be willing to make a deal involving Uribe, but only if a team is willing to blow Milwaukee away with their offer. View full article
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I wonder if it might not be better to have some pitchers skip the ACL and go right to Carolina.
- 5 replies
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- reece walling
- craig yoho
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