Yeah, that was a pessimistic take, even more so with the offensive struggles, the disappointing trade deadline, and playing against the Dodgers, but FanGraphs seemed to agree. The two walks were nearly a 14% increase in win probability, which was close to the percentage after the first Dodgers home run, so it wasn’t nothing. The Dodgers were more likely to win at that point. Lauer did a hell of a job getting out of that inning unscathed. I wonder what the likelihood was for that.