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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. Counsell's comments on Davies the other day: "he'll make a lot of starts for us this year, just not any in the first 5 games barring injury". Somebody's on a short leash and his initials are MG. If he performs poorly in his first 6-7 starts, the dream he'll recapture trade value by July will be out the window so they might as well move on. Keeping him around just because you have to pay him makes no sense when all it would cost to replace him is a minimum salary arm.
  2. Kyle Lewis looks the part and he's gone from off the radar to All American so his ceiling is tremendous.
  3. Not saying if he's right or wrong, but the game itself was much better when Goose was in his prime and you didn't see each team fan a dozen or more times every game against average pitching.
  4. Yeah, the Brewers certainly aren't short on "one time prospects". If Olt hasn't got it by 27, after multiple chances, it's not likely he ever will. Not sure he's even that appealing to Japan teams. Atlantic League perhaps?
  5. Most guys who end up being stars make an impact in the big leagues by 22 or 23. But that's not a hard and fast rule and many very good major leaguers don't establish themselves until their mid 20's. Jason Rogers is unlike most players in the big leagues. When you are drafted at 22 in the 32nd round, staying in pro ball at all is a year to year proposition. You get no benefit of the doubt for any lack of production. Rogers had to prove himself at every level to make it to the next. He did just that and there were still doubters including Stearns who with the first base job open, thought nothing of dealing him for a marginal CF prospect. I wish he was still a Brewer. Self made players that overcame a low draft position to make it to the big leagues are guys worth having. They've figured it out.
  6. Wilkins is a career minor leaguer who got a 17 game trial with the White Sox a couple years ago in which he fanned 22 times in 43 AB's. His chances of making the opening day roster are slim and none and a couple HR in the first few preseason games isn't going to change that although the fact he's a LH hitter with some power on a roster devoid of that makes does make him stand out some. I would expect him to put up some big numbers in Colorado Springs in DH/1B role and who knows, that might earn him some big league time at some point. He does share the same birthday as Rickie Weeks and a frequent poster on here!
  7. Agree. I have Cubs at top of list, but not until the deadline. Cubs have blocked players, notably Baez who's an obvious fit at 3B. Brewers have salary room to take back Montero in deal to be stopgap. Why Cubs? Catcher is the one position they have room to get better, and their offense is a little left handed dominant and they could use a RH stick.
  8. Interesting move. For a team that's tanking, er rebuilding "slowly", it has a pretty decent pitching staff on paper especially if Nelson and Peralta pitch to their talent level.
  9. If we were to eat that much of his contact, what's the point? You are almost all in so why not wait and see if he has a break out 1st half and then trade him if he's the same Garza as last year what are you out? In your scenario you were going to eat the contract anyway. Matt Latos was signed for one year $3 million and he's both younger than Garza, has better career numbers, and had a better 2015 than Garza. Teams are leery of handing out money to veterans coming off bad years. Garza's 2015 was awful. If the Brewers were to cut Garza, I don't think they're be much of a market even though a signing team would only be on the hook for major league minimum. Most teams have rotations 6-7 guys deep right now. Eventually he'd get a job sure. Heck Suppan did, but then again Suppan had better clubhouse reputation too. But Garza would be on an extremely short leash anywhere he'd end up.
  10. Reason Brewers have 9 competing is because there isn't a proven starting major league CF in the bunch. Some of the 9 might have some value later on as depth pieces that could be moved elsewhere, but have to agree Jackson makes sense for Tigers.
  11. They could go out and sign an Alfredo Simon or even Lohse before they'd give up anything for Garza, regardless of how much the Brewers would kick in.
  12. If he pitches like he has every single season of his career outside of last year he will be traded. Garza still has decent value as a mid season trade unless he is awful like last year. Seems more likely that last year was just a fluke considering pitchers have fluke bad/good years like that all the time. I mean at 32 he could just be done, it happens sometimes. More times than not it is more gradual than just falling completely off though. If he has any sort of positive start to the season he'll have value for a contender. OK, you are a team in a pennant race in July and you need a starter. There's one out there with a 3.95 ERA who had a terrible 2015 and has a contract through 2017 paying him another $16 million or so. Is that any better than you can do from within for a lot less? Why take that risk? Certainly there will be better, cheaper options out there. Unless Garza's having close to a career year, he's trade value is very minimal.
  13. Nelson on his good days dominates. Ask the Pirates.
  14. Carter wasn't much worse in his PCL-infused plate appearances either. I would not call Jesus Montero's career dead, but Carter has at least shown a pulse in the majors. Seattle has been a nightmare for a lot of accomplished hitters. Most of Montero's career AB's were as a 22 year old. Put him in a hitter friendly park, and he'll likely blossom. Carter on the other hand is so contact challenged as to have a ceiling so low the Astros non-tendered him.
  15. Garza was the 2nd worst starter in the NL (Lohse was the worst) last year. The only reason he's in the rotation is his contract and the fact they can't trade him. I see a lot of talk that he's feeling better this year, blah, blah, blah. Ok so he goes back to his career self, a slightly under 4 ERA pitcher over the first 3 months. If you are a contender are you going to give up anything of any value to plug him into your rotation for the stretch drive? Probably not. There's always the risk that he reverts to his 2015 form.
  16. They'll likely be some minor deals at the end of spring with out of options players exchanging teams including some on the Brewers. Way too hard to speculate names at this point though how could they pass on 1B who just turned 26 and hit .355/.398/.569 at AAA last year? I'd take Montero over Carter easily if he didn't cost much in return.
  17. I get all that, but my point is Liriano and Flores are both out of options and Santana has one. It was thought earlier that Flores wouldn't be ready to start the year. Liriano is only a year older than Santana, and has been rated high as #39, while Santana highest rating was #71 last year. It's now or never for Liriano more so than it is for Santana. Sure he could play CF, but that's not his best position either and there's multiple other guys in the hunt there too. If he has a strong spring, he'll have to be on roster or he'll be lost on waivers. Flores, too, if healthy is almost assured of roster spot, given his option status and his much needed LH bat. If they went with Liriano and optioned Santana, and Liriano struggles, then they stand a much better chance of getting him through waivers.
  18. Any chance Liriano, and not Santana, is starting in RF come opening day? I know the theory behind the Davis trade is it opens up a spot for Santana, and it's probably his job to lose but if Liriano has a much better spring, and CF job goes to Broxton/Nieuwenhuis based on defense, could Santana (with an option remaining) be the odd man out?
  19. In somewhat of a stunner, Dexter Fowler, thought to have reached agreement for a 3 year deal with O's has signed for one year with a mutual option back with the Cubs. Good news is this means Cubs won't get compensation pick, and they've already lost their first round pick by signing both Lackey and Heyward. It's going to be interesting to see how they divvy up AB's among Schwarber, Heyward, Soler and Fowler. Guessing this nixes the idea of Baez playing CF and Zobrist playing some OF. I still say Cubs are a possible landing spot for Lucroy at some point. They have a piece in Baez who's without a position.
  20. I've always said Hernan Perez has a build that suggests more power too. Sometimes power is the last tool to emerge though.
  21. Hill had 8 HR in 520 AB's in 2011 and 26 in 609 AB's in 2012. So what's your point? He's been up and down and back up. Nobody's saying he will hit 20+ HR in 2016, only that he's capable of bouncing back based on his having already done so in significant fashion. It's worth it to give him that chance. He has a .955 career FP at 3B. That's above league average. Counsell's penciling in Hill as a starter is shows that Counsell realizes that even when a team is in rebuild mode, the manager owns the team's record and he's going to use the players he does have that give them the best chance of winning as many games as possible even if that ceiling is 72 or so wins. If Hill doesn't produce, they'll look at other options, but he's the one guy who's actually put up numbers in the big leagues.
  22. This is a great point. Agree as well except I think Liriano will be starting in CF Perez can play 3B, SS and 2B and he's a better hitter than Rivera so he's the logical guy to make the team as a non-roster player to backup all over the IF and platoon with Gennett. Everybody dissing Hill needs to realize, the when he's been good, he's been really, really good. He's 34, not 37 or 38 so a comeback season is still a real possibility especially considering he's done it before. He came off two bad years in 2010 and 2011 to post the best year of his career in 2012. This is a guy who's hit 36 HR in a single season, and 26 HR twice. He's responded when given a fresh start before. No reason he can't now. Given the other options, he's clearly the best. The next best candidate on the 40 man to play 3B is Villar who's going to be busy at SS until Arcia arrives. The addition of Hill makes it tougher to carry Walsh. If they like him enough, I think they'll send Oakland something so they can keep him and option him to AAA. Brewers have a crowded pen and you might end up seeing a guy out of options like Thornburg sent to Oakland so they can keep Walsh.
  23. Given that the Brewers have not had a lefty start a game since Tom Gorzelanny in 2013, I hope they look at Nolin as a starter. He certainly has AAA credentials to compete for spot. If he looks good this spring, it's doubtful they can get him through waivers so he can either pitch out of the pen as a long man or perhaps be part of a deal. Since all Brewer starters are RH, having a LH long man makes some sense. Nolin is first of my (wasn't alone) many "suggestions" that the new regime actually has followed through on. It's nice to hit on one.
  24. Either Hernan Perez or Colin Walsh could be in line as platoon mate for Scooter. My guess is Perez because he also can play SS and 3B. Hill is the logical choice to play 3B. By playing him everyday, he could rebound to close to the player he's been and be a piece that can be moved. Further they seem likely to carry 13 pitchers meaning they'll only carry one backup middle infielder. There are 3 guys in camp that can play all over, Rivera, Hernan Perez, and Jake Elmore. Rivera's bat is suspect so that makes Perez or Elmore the likely backup/2B platoon middle infielder. Villar figures to be SS to start the season backup up by Perez. When Arcia is called up, Villar could move to 3B and that would relegate Hill to 2b platoon. Middlebrooks is a flier. He's probably going to have to earn a job with a strong spring or by raking at AAA. He's probably got an out clause in his AAA contract. No way Cecchini figures in considering his bad 2015. He's got an option left too.
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