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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Davis makes marginally better contact than Francisco, one K per 3.6 ABs, as opposed to one K per 2.7 AB's for Francisco. Carp, the guy I like, is the same as Davis. Whoever is opposite Reynolds is going to have to make enough starts to keep them viable as hitters off the bench as contact is even more of an issue for guys not playing a lot. What worries me is that the Brewers seem to think Overbay, who's fanned more than either Reynolds or Francisco this spring is some sort of "contact" alternative. He's not.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    This is one I was surprised to see. Just 22, & was only in the system for a year+ ... ? Why make this cut at this time? Couldn't agree more. Giacalone and McMahan defy logic (other than their relatively low draft status) for an organization short on bats. You'd think the organization could have found them room someplace.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    The problem is the Brewers seem to believe Overbay is similar to Kotsay offensively. Overall numbers maybe. But they are not similar hitters. Overbay's fanned once every 4.6 AB's in his career to Kotsay's once every 8.5. Most of Overbay's AB's have come as a starter, not a late inning PH where you face high octane, high strikeout relievers. Say what you want about Kotsay, but he did make those type pitchers work and he could more often than not put the ball in play. I don't like either Overbay or Francisco coming off the bench late to face power pitching relievers. That's not a favorable matchup.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    As many of these on this list prove, if you aren't picked high, you don't have the luxury of an off year after a promotion. You have to keep proving it every year. McMahan is a good example. He had a fine year at Appleton in 2012 then slipped a bit at Brevard last year but in just 246 PA. Had he been a top 5 round pick, he'd undoubtedly get another shot at Brevard. But alas 23rd rounders don't get the benefit of the doubt. Indy leagues are full of guys like that. Wall though is a stunner. 2.15 ERA and a 1.152 WHIP last year?? If he's healthy some organization will pick him up.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    Arizona and certainly Atlanta are teams the Brewers could be fighting with for a wild card. Lets hope the same doesn't befall any key members of the Brewers' rotation.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Arizona's problem is they lost arguably their best starter. They have 5 guys who can be decent but none are aces. I don't think they were a serious contender before Corbin got hurt. Now if they wanted to talk Martin Prado for a Brewer pitcher, that would be worth considering. Maybe Reynolds and Estrada for Prado? Reynolds had big years there playing 3B. Prado would solve the Brewer 1B question in 2014 and be the heir apparent to Ramirez at 3B for 2015 and 2016.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    He's not a Hall of Fame manager but to compare him to Yost is a huge stretch. Yost is one of the worst managers in this generation. He's got a point about wanting to see how Wang handles adversity. What Wang has done so far in Arizona is nice, but it doesn't mean he's a major league pitcher. The intensity level between spring games and the regular season is night and day.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Maybe he should consider the indy league route?
  9. JohnBriggs12
    I think it means Duke makes the roster. Francisco is out of options and Overbay would take his spot. They needed to add 2, either Reynolds and Overbay or Reynolds and Duke, and they only had one spot. It also means Wang likely makes it too and that they don't have a deal imminent for Weeks either unless it's for another guy they'd have on their 40 man. I think its a bad move because Halton is a guy who has value as a replacement at 3 positions if an injury pops up. Now it will take a 40 man roster move to add him back. I would have outrighted Fiers instead.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    What is interesting is that so many are 2nd timers. Teams are going think twice about giving big money to guys with TJ in their history. Pitching is the ultimate survival of the fittest. So many guys throw so hard these days, that all the precautions taken with limiting innings really have had minimal affect at least when it comes to elbows.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    By the way Corey Hart has been awful this spring: 3 for 28 with 14 K's. The solution at first base, is dump all 3 guys, trade for Mike Carp, and recall Halton to back up and face lefties. If they're going to keep both Weeks and Gennett, Bianchi can fill the backup role for Ramirez because there isn't much left for him to see playing time.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    If Reynolds is a monumental failure, Melvin will get a lot less criticism than if he had rolled the dice on Sean Halton or Hunter Morris. That's not to say Reynolds will do any better than those guys would, but as they say, that's baseball. I've always liked Halton and would have liked to see him get a real chance to compete. But that clearly wasn't the case with either he or Morris. By the way Corey Hart has fanned 14 times in 28 spring ABs, with no HR and a .107 BA. Melvin might have been correct to not make a big play to keep him.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Duke's meltdown yesterday probably sealed his fate. There's no reason to add him to the 40 man now. He can start in Nashville. It certainly helped Wang's chances though I still wouldn't rule out a trade with Pittsburgh so he can be optioned out and groomed as a starter at AA. I still think Weeks is going to be traded, and that Gindl is going to take that 5th OF spot over Herrera. Herrera has an option and should be playing SS in Nashville. Bianchi with zero options is having a good enough spring to stick though a trade for him wouldn't be a shock either. I just don't think they'll simply expose him to waivers. If Bianchi were to be dealt, that would open a spot for Herrera, and might allow the Gennett/Weeks platoon instead of keeping Gindl. Otherwise if they keep Weeks I think they option Scooter. That's not what I would like to see happen, but Weeks would have 6 weeks or about 120 AB's to sink or swim. If he starts like he has the past two seasons, bye bye. Blazek is one guy who pitched himself off the opening day roster. I think they wanted him to make it.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    Overbay has now fanned 9 times in 22 spring ABs. Spring stats are notoriously misleading but that one tells me what I suspected. He's old and can't get around on good fastballs any more. Francisco's had a decent spring, but Overbay's handing him that spot.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    What depth they have will be tested now. Not sure it's enough. They were missing a ton of quality innings already with the departure of Hudson and Maholm via FA.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    Use leverage. He's thrown it well enough to make Pirates believe that you are prepared to keep him. You tell them that you are prepared to keep him but that you would listen to a reasonable offer. Pirates might be more than willing to take another lefty back like Bradley or Suter. From Brewer perspective Wang appears to be on a level above those two.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Really?? Peralta has the best stuff on the entire staff in my opinion and is poised for a breakout season. From June 1st on, he posted a 3.48 ERA over 21 starts, including 2 complete games. How is that not worthy of a rotation spot?
  18. JohnBriggs12
    Joe Kelly was in a similar situation as Thornburg last year for the Cardinals. They used him in the pen very effectively and when needed he slid right into the rotation. He was on a pitch count for couple of starts, then was fine. To me Thornburg is easily one of the 12 best pitchers they have and should be on the major league roster. As for Wang, I'd work out a deal with Pittsburgh and send him to AA to start, not relieve. Duke's shown enough to be 2nd lefty while Gorzelanny is on DL. Pittsburgh is still looking for a LH bat to platoon at 1B. Send them Francisco and a low level arm for Wang. That would free up two 40 man spots with one move.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    I don't see the White Sox as a great comparison. Their core group the last several years was much older and not as talented as the Brewers. I think the Brewers have more time than say the 2010 White Sox. You are talking guys like Konerko and Pierzynski who are now both in their late 30's compared to Braun and Lucroy who are 8-9 years younger and better. Gomez is still younger now than when the Sox acquired Rios. I suppose you could compare Alexei Ramirez to Segura, though Segura's considerably younger too. Some guys the Sox thought would turn into core players haven't. Beckum was very highly touted. But what the White Sox did this past winter, bringing in Abreu shows that it's not just drafting and developing that goes into building a roster. Brewers had a taste of that with Aoki who's now brought a nice young lefty in Smith into the mix. Yes they also drafted and produced an ace in Sale, but they've had under the radar guys come through like Jose Quintana who they got off the scrap heap in a very Doug Melvin type move.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    reports now are that tom gorzelanny will likely open the season on the disabled list. if the brewers desire left-handers in their bullpen, this bodes well for wang and/or duke . . . Don't forget Smith. Duke pitching well doesn't bode all that well for Wang. Duke needs a roster spot and sending Wang back to Pittsburgh creates one.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    Again this is something that surprises no one. It's not a dire situation at all because the core of their team: Braun, Gomez, Segura, Lucroy are all under team control through at least 2016 and going off of the samples for last year with Davis and Gennett, perhaps they've been a bit underrated. The rotation situation too is solid if not spectacular and under control for two more seasons. Filling in around that core for the next 3 or 4 seasons can be done without a first class farm system. There's time to find and develop guys who will be part of the next core. Melvin turns 62 in July. His days are likely numbered to some extent. They probably need to add a young up and coming guy as his assistant/heir apparent.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    This was a move necessitated by Medlen's injury. Braves didn't have a lot of options. They might still love Lohse, but Melvin wasn't about to make that move on the eve of the season without addressing current needs and Atlanta has nothing to offer in that regard.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Just adding to what monty57 said, since there's been no hint that they are negotiating on anything long term for Estrada, he's another of the veteran starters that might get traded to make some rotation room. I also wouldn't rule out Smith getting a starting shot too. It will be interesting to see if any of Morris, Rogers or Halton turns in a big enough year at AAA to grab an inside track at next season's 1B job. This may well be the last real chances for Morris and Halton, though a guy like Halton that can play corner OF and even 3B, has some utility value. It's likely now or never for Green too. He needs a big year. If not, at best he's utility guy.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Big guys that throw hard are always intriguing so he'll get another shot somewhere.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Who's West? Do you mean Smith? I suspect 5 spots are pretty locked in: Henderson, Rodriguez, Kintzler, Smith and Blazek. The main competitors for the other two are Figaro, Thornburg, Wang and Duke. If he's healthy Gorzelanny is a lock too, leaving those other 4 fighting for just one spot.
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